Professional Documents
Culture Documents
Fixed Income Markets
Fixed Income Markets
Fixed Income Markets
8/11/2019 1
Part-06
Part-02
An Introduction to Fixed Income
8/11/2019
Securities 2
Basics
What is debt?
It is a financial claim.
Who issues it?
The borrower of funds
For whom it is a liability
Who holds it?
The lender of funds
For whom it is an asset
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Basics (Cont…)
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Basics (Cont…)
It usually has a finite life span
The interest payments are contractual
obligations
Borrowers are required to make payments
irrespective of their financial performance
Interest payments have to be made before any
dividends can be paid to equity holders.
In the event of liquidation
• The claims of debt holders must be settled first
• Only then can equity holders be paid.
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Fixed Income – Instruments
Fixed Deposits
Banks
Companies
Post Office Deposits
Bonds/ Debentures
Money Market Instruments
Debt Mutual Funds
Structured Products
Fixed Income Securities
What is Difference?
Fixed Income Securities
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Basics (Cont…)
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Markets for Fixed Income Securities
Markets Prior to 1980s
Dominated by plain vanilla bonds with simple cash flow
structures
Valuation was simple and straightforward
Markets After 1980s
Complex cash flow structures
A variety of securities
Derivative products to facilitate portfolio strategies to
control interest rate risk and to enhance return
Wider range of investors
Markets for Fixed Income Securities
Two thirds of the market value of all the securities outstanding in
world classified as fixed income
Most participants in the corporate and financial sectors
participate in this market
Federal governments, state governments, and municipalities
have not choice but to issue fixed income securities
Therefore, a need to have well informed participants so that they
understand
the forces that drive the bond market
The valuation of complex cash flow structures
Portfolio management strategies
Participants in Debt Markets
Issuers
Government
Government Companies /agencies
State governments
Municipalities
Banks and other Financial Institutions
Corporates
Objectives
To receive a fair value for their securities
Be able to issue securities that best fit their needs
Participants in Debt Markets
Investors
Pension / Provident Funds
Insurance companies
Commercial banks
Mutual funds
Central banks
Corporates
Individual investors
Objectives
Safety
Fixed Income
Buy/Sell at a fair market price
Participants in Debt Markets
Intermediaries
Help issuers in the initial offering of the security
Assist in pricing and distribution of the securities
Make a secondary market, provide liquidity
Engage in proprietary trading activities
Produce information about credit quality of different issuers
Provide liquidity
Plain Vanilla & Bells and Whistles
The most basic form of a bond is called the
Plain Vanilla version.
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Plain Vanilla (Cont…)
This is true for all securities, not just for bonds.
More complicated versions are said to have
`Bells and Whistles’ attached.
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Plain Vanilla (Cont…)
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Bonds With Embedded Options
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Face Value
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Coupon
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Coupon
The coupon payment is the periodic
interest payment that has to be made by
the borrower.
The coupon rate when multiplied by the face
value gives the dollar value of the coupon.
Most bonds pays coupons on a semi-annual basis.
In the earlier days bonds were accompanied by
a booklet of post-dated coupons
Each coupon could be detached and redeemed on
the corresponding coupon payment date
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Example of Coupon Calculation
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YTM (Cont…)
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Value of a Bond
A bond holder gets a stream of contractually
promised payments.
The value of the bond is the value of this stream
of cash flows.
However you cannot simply add up cash flows
arising at different points in time.
Cash flows have to be discounted before being added.
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Price versus Yield
Price versus yield is a chicken and egg
story
We cannot say which comes first.
If we know the yield that is required we can
quote a price accordingly.
Similarly, once we acquire the asset at a certain
price, we can work out the corresponding yield.
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Bond Valuation
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Illustration
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Par, Discount & Premium Bonds
(Cont…)
If the required yield were to equal the coupon
rate, the bond would sell for Rs1,000.
Such bonds are said to be trading at Par.
If the required yield were to be less than the
coupon rate the price will exceed the face value.
Such bonds are called Premium Bonds, since they are
trading at a premium over the face value.
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Par Discount and Premium (Cont…)
If c = y, P = M
Thus if the coupon is equal to the YTM, the
bond will always sell at Par
It can be shown that the bond price is a
monotonically increasing function of the
coupon
Obviously if the coupon is less than the YTM
the price will be less than the face value
If the coupon is greater than the YTM the price
will be in excess of the face value
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Par Premium and Discount (Cont…)
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Par Premium and Discount (Cont…)
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Par Premium and Discount (Cont…)
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Evolution of The Price
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Evolution (Cont…)
If y = c, then ΔP = 0
Thus if the YTM remains constant, the
price of a par bond will remain at par as
we go from one coupon date to the next
If the YTM > Coupon, ΔP > 0
Thus a discount bond will steadily increase in
price as we go from one coupon date to another
If YTM < Coupon ΔP < 0
A premium bond will steadily decline in price as
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we go from one coupon date to another
Illustration
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Zero Coupon Bonds
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Zero Coupon Bonds
A Plain Vanilla bond pays coupon interest every
period, typically every six months, and repays
the face value at maturity.
A Zero Coupon Bond on the other hand does
not pay any coupon interest.
It is issued at a discount from the face value and
repays the principal at maturity.
The difference between the price and the face
value constitutes the interest for the buyer.
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Illustration
Microsoft is issuing zero coupon bonds
with 5 years to maturity and a face value
of Rs10,000.
If you want a yield of 10% per annum,
what price will you pay?
The price of the bond is the present value
of a single cash flow of Rs10,000,
discounted at 10%.
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Illustration (Cont…)
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Zero Coupon Bonds (Cont…)
Zero coupon bonds are called Zeroes by
traders.
They are also referred to as Deep
Discount Bonds.
They should not be confused with
Discount Bonds
Which are Plain Vanilla bonds which are trading
at a discount from the face value.
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Zero Coupon Bonds (Cont…)
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Treasury Securities
They are fully backed by the federal
government of the issuing nation.
Consequently they are devoid of credit risk
or the risk of default.
The interest rate on such securities is
used as a benchmark for setting rates on
other kinds of debt.
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U.S. Treasury Securities
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U.S. Treasury Securities (Cont…)
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US. Treasury Securities (Cont…)
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U.S. Treasury Securities (Cont…)
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Primary Dealers
Who is a primary dealer?
A PD is a bank or securities broker-dealer that directly
deals in government securities with the Reserve Bank of
India.
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Primary Dealers (Cont…)
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List of Primary Dealers
Bank of Nova Scotia, New Jefferies & Company, Inc.
York Agency J.P. Morgan Securities LLC
BMO Capital Markets Corp. Merrill Lynch
BNP Paribas Securities Mizuho Securities USA Inc.
Barclays Capital Inc. Morgan Stanley & Co.
Incorporated
Cantor Fitzgerald & Co.
Nomura Securities
Citigroup Global Markets International, Inc.
Credit Suisse Securities RBC Capital Markets
Daiwa Capital Markets RBS Securities Inc.
America SG Americas Securities
Deutsche Bank Securities UBS Securities LLC.
Goldman, Sachs & Co.
HSBC Securities (USA)
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Primary Dealers in India
Deutsche Securities Royal Bank of Scotland
ICICI Securities Primary Bank of America
Dealership
IDBI Bank Bank of Baroda
Morgan Stanley India Primary Canara Bank
Dealer Citibank
Nomura Fixed Income
Securities
Corporation Bank
PNB Gilts HDFC Bank
SBI DFHI STCI Primary Dealer
Kotak Mahindra Bank HSBC
Standard Chartered Bank
JP Morgan Chase
Axis Bank
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Goldman Sachs 59
Treasury Auctions
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Treasury Auctions
The U.S. Treasury sells bills, notes, and
bonds by way of a competitive auction
process.
Most of the treasury securities are bought
by primary dealers.
Individual investors who submit non-
competitive bids participate on a much
smaller scale.
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Treasury Auctions (Cont…)
The auction process begins with a public
announcement by the Treasury giving the
following information.
Offering amount
Description of the offering
Strips information
Is the security eligible for stripping
Procedures for submission of bids; minimum
bid amount; and payment terms
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Treasury Auctions (Cont…)
Primary dealers who bid for their accounts or on
behalf of their clients usually submit large
competitive bids
These bids indicate not only the quantity that is sought
But also the maximum price that the bidder is prepared
to pay if it is a price based auction
Or the minimum yield that the bidder is prepared to
accept if it is a yield based auction
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Treasury Auctions (Cont…)
Bids are submitted in terms of discount
rates for bills
Stated in 3 decimal places
In 0.005 percent increments
In note and bond auctions
They are expressed as yields up to 3 decimal
places
In 0.001 percent increments
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When Issued (WI) Trading
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WI Trading (Cont…)
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Coupon Stripping
The process of separating each coupon payment as well
as the principal and selling securities backed by them is
referred to as Coupon Stripping.
The receipts issued in the process are not created by the
Treasury.
But the underlying asset in the bank custody account is
an obligation of the Treasury.
Thus the cash flows from the underlying asset are
guaranteed.
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Treasury Strips
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STRIPS
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STRIPS (Cont…)
Most coupon and principal payments fall
on the same set of dates
These are
15 February
15 May
15 August
15 November
So a lot of bonds would have coupons on
the same date.
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STRIPS (Cont…)
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STRIPS (Cont…)
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Floating Rate Bonds
In the case of a Plain Vanilla Bond, the coupon
rate that is specified at the outset, is valid for the
life of the bond.
In the case of a Floating Rate bond, the coupon
rate is reset at the beginning of every period
And is therefore valid for only the next six months.
Thus when you buy such a bond, the coupon will
be known only for the first six months.
Subsequent coupons will be unknown.
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Floaters (Cont…)
For instance the rate on a floating rate bond,
also called a Floater, may be specified as LIBOR
+ 50b.p. in which case the spread is positive.
Or it may be specified as LIBOR – 30b.p., in
which case the spread is negative.
The rate of interest on a floater will move directly
with changes in the benchmark.
Thus if LIBOR rises, the rate will increase,
whereas if LIBOR falls, the rate will decrease.
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Inverse Floaters
In the case of an inverse floater the coupon
varies inversely with the benchmark.
For instance the rate on an inverse floater may
be specified as 10% - LIBOR.
In this case as LIBOR rises, the coupon will
decrease, whereas as LIBOR falls, the coupon
will increase.
In this case a floor has to be specified for the coupon.
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Inverse Floaters (Cont…)
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Callable Bonds
In the case of such a bond, the issuer has the
right to call back the bond prematurely.
He can buy it back from the holder before maturity by
paying him the face value.
In this case the option is with the issuer, and so
he has to pay a price for it.
This compensation will manifest itself as a lower price
for the bond as compared to a Plain Vanilla Bond.
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Callable Bond (Cont…)
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Callable Bonds (Cont…)
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Callable Bond (Cont…)
Thus the call provision works in favour of the
borrower and against the lender.
Hence it is not surprising that callable bonds command
a lower price.
The way to look at it is as follows
At the time of issue a callable bond has to carry a higher
coupon than an equivalent Plain Vanilla Bond
Subsequently a callable with a given coupon will have a
lower price than a Plain Vanilla with the same coupon.
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Callable Bonds (Cont…)
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Callable Bond (Cont…)
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Callable Bonds (Cont…)
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Callable Bond (Cont…)
In practice when a bond is recalled, the
issuer will pay the lender not just the face
value, but usually also one year’s coupon.
This additional amount is called the Call
Premium.
The call premium acts as a sweetener
That is it makes such bonds more attractive to
potential investors.
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Callable Bond (Cont…)
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Callable Bond (Cont…)
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Callable Bond (Cont…)
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Puttable Bonds
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Puttable Bonds (Cont…)
A higher bond price obviously means a
lower yield.
When will such a put option be exercised?
Obviously when interest rates are rising.
Under such conditions holders can return the
bonds and buy fresh bonds with a higher
coupon rate.
This is precisely the scenario when the issuers
would prefer that the holders hold on to the
bonds.
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Puttable Bonds (Cont…)
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Puttable Bonds (Cont…)
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Convertible Bonds
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Convertible Bonds (Cont…)
The number of shares of common stock that a
bondholder will receive if he converts the bond is
called the Conversion Ratio.
The conversion privilege may extend for all or only some
portion of the bond’s life.
The stated conversion ratio may also decline over time.
The conversion ratio is always adjusted proportionately
for stock splits and stock dividends.
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Convertible Bonds (Cont…)
Illustration
ABC Corporation has issued the following bond
Maturity = 10 years
Coupon rate = 8%
Conversion ratio = 40
Face value = $1,000
Current market price = $900
Current share price = $20
Dividends per share = $1
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Convertible Bonds (Cont…)
The conversion price = 1000
------- = $25
40
The conversion value of a convertible
bond is the value if it is converted
immediately.
Conversion value = Share price x
Conversion Ratio
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Convertible Bond (Cont…)
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Convertible Bond (Cont…)
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Convertible Bond (Cont…)
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Exchangeable Bonds
These are a category of convertible bonds where the
holder gets the shares of a different company when he
converts the bonds.
For instance if IBM were to issue convertible bonds, the holders
would get shares of IBM if they were to convert.
On the other hand, if IBM were to issue exchangeable bonds, the
holders would get shares of another company, say Hewlett
Packard.
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Exchangeable Bonds (Cont…)
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Risks Inherent in Bonds
What is risk?
Risk is the possibility of loss arising due to
the uncertainty regarding the outcome of a
transaction.
All bonds are exposed to one or more
sources of risk.
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Credit Risk
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Credit Risk
This risk refers to the possibility of default by the
borrower.
That is, it refers to the risk that coupon payments
and/or principal payments may not be
forthcoming as promised.
Except for Treasury securities - which are
backed by the full faith and credit of the Federal
government - all debt securities are exposed to
credit risk of varying magnitudes.
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Credit Evaluation
At the time of issue, it is the issuer’s
responsibility to provide accurate information
about his financial soundness and
creditworthiness.
This is provided in the Offer Document or the
Prospectus.
But every potential investor cannot be expected
to be able to properly evaluate the
creditworthiness of a borrower.
Thus in practice we have credit rating agencies.
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Rating Agencies
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Credit Rating Agencies
Such agencies specialize in evaluating the credit
quality of a bond at the time of issue.
They also monitor the issuing company,
throughout the life of the bond, and modify their
recommendations if required.
The main rating agencies in the U.S. are
Moody’s Investors Service
Standard and Poor’s Corporation
and Fitch Ratings.
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Rating Criteria
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Investment Grade Ratings
Somewhat Ba BB BB
Speculative
Speculative B B B
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Changes in Ratings
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Bond Insurance
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Insured Bonds
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Liquidity Risk
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Liquidity Risk
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Illiquid Markets
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Interest Rate Risk
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Interest Rate Risk
The interest rate or yield is the key
variable of interest in debt markets.
The yield is the fundamental variable that
drives the market.
Interest rate risk refers to the fact that
rates may move in an adverse fashion
from the standpoint of the holder of the
debt instrument.
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Interest Rate Risk
Interest rate risk impacts fixed income
securities in two ways.
Firstly, all bonds with the exception of zeroes
pay coupons
These have to be reinvested.
Reinvestment risk is the risk that market
rates of interest may decline by the time a
coupon is received.
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Interest Rate Risk (Cont…)
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Interest Rate Risk (Cont…)
Market Risk or Price Risk, is the risk that
interest rates may be higher than
anticipated at the time of sale
in which case the bond will have to be sold at a
lower than anticipated price.
The two risks work in opposite directions.
Reinvestment risk arises because rates may
fall subsequently
Market risk arises because rates may rise
subsequently.
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Inflation Risk
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Inflation Risk
Inflation refers to the erosion in the
purchasing power of money.
Most bonds promise fixed cash flows in
dollar terms.
Inflation risk is the risk that the purchasing
power of money may have eroded by
more than what was anticipated
By the time the cash flow from the bond is
received.
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Inflation Risk (Cont…)
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Inflation Risk (Cont…)
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Indexed Bonds
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Indexed Bonds (Cont…)
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Timing Risk
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Timing Risk
In the case of Plain Vanilla bonds, there is no
uncertainty regarding the times to receipt of the
cash flows.
However, callable bonds can be recalled at any
time.
For a callable bond holder there is cash flow
uncertainty
He is unsure as to how many coupons he is going to get
and also as to when the face value will be repaid.
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Timing Risk (Cont…)
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FOREX Risk
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Foreign Exchange Risk
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Illustration
A bond promises to pay a coupon of $10 every
six months.
Assume that the rate of exchange is Rs 50 per
dollar.
So an Indian bondholder will expect to receive Rs 500
every six months.
However, what if the exchange rate at the time
of the coupon payment is Rs 45.
If so, he will receive only Rs 450.
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Valuation in between
Coupon Dates
While valuing a bond we assumed that we
were standing on a coupon payment date.
This is a significant assumption because it
implies that the next coupon is exactly one
period away.
What should be the procedure if the
valuation date is in between two coupon
payment dates?
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The Procedure
for US Treasury Bonds
Calculate the actual number of days
between the date of valuation and the next
coupon date.
Include the next coupon date.
But do not include the starting date.
Or vice versa
Let us call this interval N1.
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Treasury Bonds (Cont…)
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Treasury Bonds (Cont…)
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Illustration
There is a Treasury bond with a face value
of $1,000.
The coupon rate is 8% per annum, paid on
a semi-annual basis.
The coupon dates are 15 July and 15
January.
The maturity date is 15 January 2032.
Today is 15 September 2012.
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No. of Days Till the
Next Coupon Date
Month No. of Days
September 15
October 31
November 30
December 31
January 15
TOTAL 122
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No. of Days between
Coupon Dates
K = 122/184 = .6630
This method is called the Actual/Actual
method and is often pronounced as the
Ack/Ack method.
It is the method used for Treasury bonds
in the U.S.
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The Treasury Method
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The Treasury Method (Cont…)
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The 30/360 NASD Approach
The Actual/Actual method is applicable for
Treasury bonds in the U.S.
For corporate bonds in the U.S. we use what is
called the 30/360 NASD method.
In this method the number of days between successive
coupon dates is always taken to be 180.
That is each month is considered to be of 30 days.
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The 30/360 Approach (Cont…)
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The 30/360 Approach (Cont…)
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Additional Rules
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Examples of Calculations
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30/360 European Convention
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Examples of Calculations
Start Date End Date Actual Days
Days Based on
30/360E
Mar-31-86 Dec-31-86 275 270
Dec-15-86 Dec-31-86 16 15
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Actual/365 Convention
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Actual/365 Japanese
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Actual/360 Convention
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Global Conventions
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Accrued Interest
The price of a bond is the present value of all the
cash flows that the buyer will receive when he
buys the bond.
Thus the seller is compensated for all the cash flows
that he is parting with.
This compensation includes the amount due for
the fact that the seller is parting with the entire
next coupon, although he has held it for a part of
the current coupon period.
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Accrued Interest (Cont…)
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Accrued Interest (Cont…)
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Why Accrued Interest?
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Why Accrued Interest? (Cont…)
The rationale is as follows.
On July 15 the price of the Treasury bond
using a YTM of 10% is $829.83.
On September 15 the price using a yield of
10% is $843.5906.
Since the required yield on both the days is the
same, the increase in price is entirely due to the
accrued interest.
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Why Accrued Interest (Cont…)
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Why Accrued Interest? (Cont…)
The price net of accrued interest is
$843.5906 - $13.4783 = $830.1123$
which is very close to the price of $829.83 that was
observed on July 15.
We know that as the required yield changes, so
will the price.
If the accrued interest is not subtracted from the
price before being quoted then we would be
unsure
Whether the observed price change is due to a change
in the market yield or is entirely due to accrued interest.
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Why Accrued Interest? (Cont…)
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Clean versus Dirty Prices
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Negative Accrued Interest
One logical question is
Can the accrued interest be negative?
That is, can there be cases where the seller of the bond
has to pay accrued interest to the buyer.
The answer is yes.
In markets where bonds trade ex-dividend the dirty price
will fall by the present value of the next coupon on the
ex-dividend date and the dirty price will be less than the
clean price.
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Ex-dividend Date
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Example
Take a T-bond that matures on 15 July
2031.
It pays a 9% coupon semi-annually on 15
January and 15 July every year.
The face value is 1000 and the YTM is
8%.
Assume that we are on 5 January 2012
which is the ex-dividend date.
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Example (Cont…)
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Example (Cont…)
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Example (Cont…)
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Example (Cont…)
This is the amount payable by the person
who buys the bond an instant after it goes
ex-dividend.
The accrued interest an instant before the
bond goes ex-dividend is:
0.09x1000 174
________ x ____ = $ 42.5543
2 184
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Example (Cont…)
Thus the clean price at the time of the bond
going ex-dividend is
1140.4910 – 42.5543 = $1097.9367
The clean price is therefore greater than the ex-
dividend dirty price.
This represents the fact that the seller has to
compensate the buyer
because while the buyer is entitled to his share of the next
coupon the entire amount will be received by the seller.
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Example (Cont…)
The fraction of the next coupon that is
payable to the buyer is
0.09x1000 10
_________ x ____ = $2.4457
2 184
Hence the buyer has to pay
1097.9367 – 2.4457 = $1095.4910 which
is the ex-dividend dirty price.
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Yield Measures
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The Current Yield
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Example of the Current Yield
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Current Yield (Cont…)
If you buy this bond for $800 and hold it for
one year you will earn an interest income
of $150.
So your interest yield is 18.75%
However, if you sell it after one year you
will either make a Capital Gain or a Capital
Loss.
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Current Yield (Cont…)
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Current Yield (Cont…)
One question is:
Should the current yield be based on the dirty price or
the clean price
The advantage of using the clean price is that the current
yield will stay constant till the yield changes.
However if the dirty price is used it will give rise to a
sawtooth pattern.
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Current Yield (Cont…)
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Simple YTM
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Simple YTM (Cont…)
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Simple YTM (Cont…)
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Simple YTM (Cont…)
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Yield to Maturity (YTM)
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YTM (Cont…)
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YTM (Cont…)
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YTM (Cont…)
The YTM is a solution to a non-linear equation.
We generally require a financial calculator or a
computer to calculate it.
However it is fairly simple to compute the YTM in
the case of a coupon paying bond with exactly
two periods to maturity.
In such a case it is simply a solution to a quadratic
equation.
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YTM for a Zero Coupon Bond
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Features of YTM
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Sources of Returns From a Bond
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Returns From a Bond (Cont…)
The YTM calculation assumes that the bond is
held to maturity.
Finally when a coupon is received it will have to
be reinvested till the time the bond eventually
matures or is sold or is called.
Once again the YTM calculation assumes that the bond
is held till maturity.
The reinvestment income is nothing but interest on
interest.
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YTM
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YTM (Cont…)
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YTM (Cont…)
The latter assumption is built in to the
mathematics of the YTM calculation.
The YTM is called a Promised Yield.
It is Promised because in order to realize it
you have to satisfy both the above
conditions.
If either of the two conditions is violated you
may not get what was promised.
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The Re-investment Assumption
Consider a bond that pays a semi-annual
coupon of $C/2.
Let r be the annual rate of interest at which
these coupons can be re-invested.
r would be dependent on the market rate
of interest that is prevailing when the
coupon is received
It need not be equal to y, the YTM, or c,
the coupon rate.
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Reinvestment (Cont…)
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Reinvestment (Cont…)
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Reinvestment (Cont…)
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Re-investment (Cont…)
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Reinvestment in Action (Cont…)
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Reinvestment in Action (Cont…)
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Reinvestment in Action (Cont…)
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Reinvestment in Action (Cont…)
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Reinvestment in Action (Cont…)
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The Significance of the Reinvestment
Rate
The reinvestment rate affects only the
interest on interest income.
The other two sources are unaffected.
If r > y, then the investor’s interest on
interest income would be higher
And the return on investment, i, would be
greater than the YTM, y.
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The Reinvestment Rate (Cont…)
On the contrary, if r < y, then the interest on
interest income would be lower
And the rate of return, i, would be less than the YTM, y.
So if you buy a bond by paying a price which
corresponds to a given YTM, you will realize that
YTM only if
You hold the bond till maturity
You are able to reinvest all the intermediate coupons at
the YTM.
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Reinvestment Risk
One faced by an investor is that future
reinvestment rates may be less than the
rate prevailing when the bond was bought
This risk is called Reinvestment Risk.
The degree of reinvestment risk depends on the
time to maturity as well as the quantum of the
coupon.
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Reinvestment Risk (Cont…)
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Reinvestment Risk (Cont…)
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Reinvestment Risk (Cont…)
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Zero Coupon Bonds
and Reinvestment Risk
If a zero coupon bond is held to maturity, there
will be no reinvestment risk, because there are
no coupons to reinvest.
Thus if a ZCB is held to maturity, the actual rate of
return will be equal to the promised YTM.
If the risk is lower or absent, the return should
also be less.
Thus a ZCB will command a higher price than an
otherwise similar Plain Vanilla bond.
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The Realized Compound Yield
We will continue with the assumption that the
bond is held till maturity.
But we will make an explicit assumption about
the rate at which the coupons can be reinvested.
That is, unlike in the case of the YTM, we will no
longer take it for granted
That intermediate cash flows can be reinvested at the
YTM.
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Illustration
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Illustration (Cont…)
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Illustration (Cont…)
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Illustration (Cont…)
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Illustration (Cont…)
Had we assumed the reinvestment rate to
be less than the YTM
The RCY would have turned out to be less than
the YTM.
The RCY can be an ex-ante or an ex-post
measure.
Ex-ante means that we make an assumption
about the reinvestment rate and calculate the
RCY.
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Illustration (Cont…)
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The Horizon Return
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The Horizon Return (Cont…)
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Illustration (Cont…)
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Illustration (Cont…)
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Illustration (Cont…)
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Yield to Call (YTC)
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YTC (Cont…)
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YTC (Cont…)
N* is the number of coupons till the call date.
M* is the price at which the bond is expected to
be recalled.
M* need not equal the face value.
In practice companies pay as much as one
year’s coupon as a Call Premium at the time of
recall.
If so, M* = M + C
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Illustration (Cont…)
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Illustration (Cont…)
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Illustration (Cont…)
The solution comes out to be 6.74%.
So the YTC on an annual basis is 13.48%.
The YTC is very important for Premium
Bonds.
The very fact that a bond is selling at a
premium, indicates that the coupon is
greater than the yield
And that therefore there is a greater chance of
recall.
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The Yield to Worst
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Portfolio Yield
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Portfolio Yield (Cont…)
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Illustration
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Illustration (Cont…)
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The Cash Flow Table
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Taxable Equivalent Yield (TEY)
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TEY (Cont…)
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TEY (Cont…)
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TEY (Cont…)
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TEY (Cont…)
Assume the Federal rate is 25% while the state tax rate
is 8%
The adjusted federal rate is:
25 - 0.25x0.08 = 0.23
TEY = 6.00/(1-0.23) = 7.7922%
That is if a person earns $100 he will have to pay $8 to
the state
Federal tax is applicable only on $92
Thus the effective Federal rate is
0.92x0.25 = 0.23 23%
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TEY (Cont…)
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Duration
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Duration (Cont…)
The longer term bond is more impacted by the
price change
Why?
The PV of a cash value is
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Duration (Cont…)
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Duration (Cont…)
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Duration (Cont…)
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Duration (Cont…)
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Illustration
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Illustration (Cont…)
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Illustration (Cont…)
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Duration (Cont…)
The relationship between the duration of a bond
and the rate of change of the percentage change
in price is
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Duration (Cont…)
D
________
(1+ y/2) is known as the Modified Duration.
Thus the rate of the %age change in the
price wrt. the yield is equal to the modified
duration of the bond.
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Duration (Cont…)
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Duration (Cont…)
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Dollar Duration
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