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Charts, Trend and Trend Reversal Patterns
Charts, Trend and Trend Reversal Patterns
Submitted By:
K.Satish (1MY18MBA18)
Price Charts
Its a key activity in technical analysis.
Security prices are usually charted.
A share may be traded in the market for different prices in a day.
Out of which only four prices are important.
1. Highest price of the day
2. Lowest price of the day
3. Opening price
4. Closing price
Price chart is a basic tool.
Point and Figure (P&F) Charting
Line Chart
Bar Chart
Japanese Candlestick Charts
Trends and Trend Reversals
Trend is the direction of movement of share prices.
When price moves upwards, its rising trend or uptrend.
When price moves downward, its falling trend or downtrend.
We have flat trend when prices move within a narrow range.
Change in the direction of the trend is known as trend reversal.
Consider a share exhibiting a rising trend later on it starts to fall, the
change in the direction of movement represents a trend reversal.
The reversal from a rising trend to falling trend is marked by the
formation of lower top or lower bottom, similarly a reversal from a
falling trend to a raising trend is characterized by the formation of a
higher top and a higher top.
Chart patterns
When price bar chart of several days are drawn together,
certain patterns emerge .
These patterns are used by the technical analysts to
identify the trend reversal and predict the future
movement prices.
The chart patterns can be classified as support and
resistance patterns, reversal patterns and
continuation patterns.
Support and Resistance
Support and Resistance are price level at which downtrend or uptrend
in the price movement is reversed.
Support occurs when the price is falling but bounces back every time it
reaches a particular level. When all these low points are connected by a
horizontal line it forms a support line.
Resistance occurs when share price moves upwards. The price may fall
back every time it reaches a particular level.
Horizontal line joining these tops form the resistance level.
Support and Resistance
Reversal Patterns
Price movement exhibits uptrend's and downtrends.
The trends reverse a direction after a period of time.
These reversal can be identified with the help of
certain chart formations that typically occur during
these trend reversals.
Thus, reversal patterns are chart formation that tend
to signal a change in the direction of the earlier
trend.
Head and Shoulder formation
This is one of the most popular and
reliable chart patterns in technical
analysis.
A horizontal line joining the bottom
of this formation is known as
neckline.
Head and Shoulder formation
usually occurs at the end of the bull
phase and is indicative of a reversal
of trend.
Inverted Head and Shoulders
Inverted head and shoulders is
used to signal a reversal in a
downtrend.
The price of the stock falls and
rises which makes an inverted
head and shoulder. The tops of the
inverted head gives the neckline.
When the price pierces the
neckline from below it indicates
the end of bear market and the
beginning of the bull market.
Continuation Patterns
There are certain patterns which tend to provide a
breathing space to the earlier sharp rise or fall and after
the completion of these patterns, the price trends to
move along the original trend
These patterns are formed during side way movements
of share prices and are called continuation patterns
because they indicate a continuation of the trend
prevailing before the formation of the pattern.
Triangles
Triangles are well-known chart
patterns used in technical analysis.
Triangles are formed when price
movement results in two or more
consecutive descending tops and
ascending bottoms.
The triangle becomes apparent I
chart when two consecutive tops are
joined by straight line and two
consecutive bottoms are joined by
another straight line.
Two straight lines are uptrend and
downtrend line.
Triangle formation may occur
during bull phase or bear phase.
Flags
They occur mid way between
sharp rise in price or steep fall
in price.
Flag formation looks like a
parallelogram with two trend
lines forming two parallel
lines.
The volume of trading is
expected to fall during the
formation of flag and again
pick up on breaking out of the
pattern.
Pennants
It looks like a symmetrical
triangle.
Upper trend line is formed by
connecting two top stoops
downward and lower trend
line is formed by connecting
bottom rise upwards.
Pennant is formed midway
between either a bullish trend
or a bearish trend and signals
the continuation of same
trend.
Elliott Wave Theory
Ralph Elliot developed the Elliot wave theory in the year 1934.
He formulated this theory after analyzing stock price movement and
charts for almost 75 years.
From his studies he concluded that market movement was quite orderly
and followed a pattern of waves.
According to this theory, Market moves in waves.
A movement in a particular direction can be represented by five distinct
waves, Of these five waves three waves are in the direction of the
movement and are termed as impulsive waves.
Two waves are against the direction of movement and are termed as
corrective waves.
Theory Interpretation