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Risk in Sampling
the auditor is faced with an uncertainty of not detecting material
errors in an account balance or class of transactions. This uncertainty
arises because of sampling and non-sampling risks.
Sampling Risk
it refers to the possibility that the auditor’s conclusion based on a
sample may be different from the conclusion reached if the entire
population were subjected to the same audit procedure. this exist
because the sample selected for testing may not be truly
representative of a population.
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Non-sampling risk
refers to the risk that the auditor may draw incorrect conclusion about
account balance or class of transactions because of human errors such
as;
Application of inappropriate audit procedure
Failure to recognized errors in the sample tested
Misinterpretation of evidence obtained.
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Variable Sampling
This is a sampling plan used to estimate a numerical measurement
of a population such as peso value. (ex. customers account
balances)
Used when performing substantive tests to estimate the amount of
misstatements in the financial statements.
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The auditor may decide to examine only 100 out of the total 5,000
customers’ account in order to draw a conclusion whether the total
accounts receivable are actually existing as of the balance sheet date.
Systematic selection
Illustration:
the auditor wants to examine a sample of 100 invoices from the population
of 20,000 invoices. The sampling interval is computed by
20,000/100 = 200
after determining the sampling interval; the auditor randomly selects the
starting point from the first 200 invoices. For example the 25th invoice to be the first
item drawn by the auditor. Then the auditors succeeding items by taking the
(25th + 200) = 225th
(225th + 200) = 425th
(425th + 200) = 625th
(625th + 200) = 825th
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Haphazard selection
Attempts to approximate a random selection by selecting sampling units
without any conscious of bias, or special reason for including or omitting
certain items from the sample.
In selecting the sample and applying the appropriate audit procedure, the
auditor may encounter the following situations.
Voided Documents
the auditor may occasionally select a voided or cancelled document in a
sample. if the document has been properly voided, such document should
be replaced by another sample item.
Missing Documents
if the auditor encounters missing document and he is unable to determine
whether the control has been properly performed, such item should be
treated as a deviation for the purpose of evaluating sample results.
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Evaluation of results
both the qualitative and quantitative factors of deviations should be
considered.
Determine the sample deviation rate.
example: the auditor found 4 deviations out of the 200 sample items.
Sample deviation rate:
4/200 = 2%
Compare the sample deviation rate with the tolerable deviation rate and draw
an overall conclusion about the population.
The sample deviation rate exceeds the tolerable deviation rate.
The sample deviation rate is less than the tolerable deviation rate.
Sample deviation rate of 2% against tolerable deviation rate of 10%.
Sample deviation rate of 8% against tolerable deviation rate of 10%.
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Expected misstatements
Is the amount of misstatement that the auditor believes exists in the
population.
the expected amount of misstatements may be determined based
on the results of prior year’s substantive test or pilot sample.
Has a direct relationship to the sample size. An increase in the
amount of misstatement that the auditor expects to be present in
the population will cause the sample size to increase.
Variation in the population
the peso amount included in the population tends to vary
significantly.
the auditor can estimate the variation based on the prior year’s test
results or a pilot sample.
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Sample selection method
Stratified sampling
is a random sampling technique in which the population is first divided
into small strata and then the samples are randomly selected
separately from each stratum.
For example, the customers’ accounts may be stratified as
Stratum Account balances No. of Sample size
customers
1 More than 1,000,000 40 100%
examination
2 100,000 – 1,000,000 170 50 customers
3 Below 100,000 2040 100 customers
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Example:
the auditor plans to select one customer from a total accounts
receivable balance of 1,000,000, a customer’s account balance of 100,000.
100,000/1,000,000 = 0.1 or 10%
It will have a 10% probability of being selected.
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1. Define the Specify the control procedures Specify the purpose of the test
object of the to be tested. and its relationship to the
test. financial statements
assertions.