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Basics of Capital Expenditure Decisions
Basics of Capital Expenditure Decisions
Chapter 11
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Syllabus – Basics of Capital Expenditure Decisions
Investments
Return)
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1. The Process of Capital Budgeting
Investment decisions has following steps
Identification of Potential Investment Opportunities
• Potential sources of Project Ideas
• Market Characteristics of Different Industries
• Product Profiles of Various Industries
• Imports and Exports
• Emerging Technologies
• Social and Economic Trends
• Consumption Patterns in Foreign Countries
• Revival of Sick Units
• Backward and Forward Integration
Chance Factors
Regulatory Framework and Policies 5 / 36
1. The Process of Capital Budgeting
Preliminary Screening
• Compatibility with the Promoter
• Compatibility with the Government Priorities
• Availability of Inputs
• Size of the Potential Market
• Reasonableness of Cost
Feasibility Study
Implementation
• Project Delays
Performance Review
Aspects of Project Appraisal
• Market Appraisal: Size of market, project’s market share
• Technical Appraisal: Technical aspects, implementation, technology
• Financial Appraisal: Risk and returns, cost benefits analysis
• Economic Appraisal: Social cost benefit analysis 6 / 36
2. Basic Principles in Estimating Cost and
Benefits of Investments
Basic principles in estimating cost (outflow) and benefits
(inflow) of investments are as follows
• All costs and benefits must be measured in terms of cash
flows. This implies that all non-cash charges (expenses)
like depreciation which are considered for the purpose of
determining the profit after tax must be added back to
arrive at the net cash flows for our purpose.
• Since the net cash flows relevant from the firm’s point of
view are what that accrue to the firm after paying tax,
cash flows for the purpose of appraisal must be defined in
post-tax terms. 7 / 36
2. Basic Principles in Estimating Cost and
Benefits of Investments
• Usually the net cash flows are defined from the point of
view of the suppliers of long-term funds (i.e. suppliers of
equity capital and long-term loans).
• Interest on long-term loans must not be included for
determining the net cash flows.
• Cash flows must be measured in incremental terms. In
other words, the increments in the present levels of costs
and benefits that occur on account of the adoption of the
project are alone relevant for the purpose of determining
the net cash flows. 8 / 36
2. Basic Principles in Estimating Cost and
Benefits of Investments
Evaluation Criteria
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3.1 Pay-Back Period
8 x PVIFA(12,n) = 20
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3.1 Pay-Back Period
From PVIFA table, we find that
PVIFA(12,3) = 2.402
PVIFA(12,4) = 3.037
By linear interpolation
2.5 - 2.402
Payback Period 3 (4 3) x 3.15 years
3.037 - 2.402
Advantages of ARR
recovery) 19 / 36
3.2 Accounting Rate of Return (ARR)
Disadvantages of ARR
• This criterion ignores the time value of money. That is, it
gives no allowance for immediate receipts, which are more
valuable than the distant flows.
• ARR depends on accounting income and not on the cash
flows. A profitability measure based on accounting income
cannot be used as a reliable investment appraisal criterion.
• The firm using ARR as an appraisal criterion must decide
on a yard-stick for judging a project and this decision is
often arbitrary. Often firms use their current book return
as the yard-stick for comparison. In such cases, if the
current book return of a firm tends to be very high or low,
then the firm can end up rejecting good project or
accepting bad projects. 20 / 36
3.3 Net Present Value (NPV)
If Decision Rule
BCR > 1 (NBCR > 0) Accept the project
BCR < 1 (NBCR < 0) Reject the project
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3.4 Benefit Cost Ratio (BCR)
= 6.25
must be accepted.
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3.5 Internal Rate of Return (IRR)
Solution
To determine the IRR, we have to compute the NPV of the
project for different rates of interest until we find that rate
of interest at which the sum of present values of all cash
flows is equal to the initial investment. Number of
iterations are involved in this trial and error method.
10 = 5 x PVIF(k,1) + 4 x PVIF(k,2) +3 x PVIF(k,3) +2 xPVIF(k,4)
With k=18%,
5 xPVIF(0.18,1)+ 4 xPVIF(0.18,2)+ 3 xPVIF(0.18,3)+ 2xPVIF(0.18,4)
= 5 x 0.847 + 4 x 0.718 + 3 x 0.609 + 2 x 0.516 = 9.966
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3.5 Internal Rate of Return (IRR)
= 10.139
∴ k lies between 17% and 18%
By linear interpolation
10.139 - 10
k 17 (18 17) x
∴ 10.139 - 9.967
= 17 + 0.80
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3.5 Internal Rate of Return (IRR)