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Petar G BS2014 1
Petar G BS2014 1
PROBABILISTIC ANALYSIS OF
PROGRESSIVE FLOODING TROUGH
NON-WATERTIGHT SHIP OPENINGS
P. Georgiev, L.Naydenov
Technical University of Varna, Bulgaria
INTRODUCTION
STRUCTURAL RELIABILITY ANALYSIS
METAMODELS AND RANDOM VARIABLES
DISTRIBUTION
CALCULATED EXAMPLE
CONCLUSIONS
Equation of the WL
xtg ytg z d mid 0
Distance from a point to the WL
x0tg y0tg z0 d mid
h
tg tg 1
2 2
M
M
40 Years Faculty of Shipbuilding of TU-Varna 5
METAMODELS AND RANDOM VARIABLES
DISTRIBUTION
min nT R 1n
xF
where n is a column vector of ni and,
0.016
P1,Y=6.630 m
P1,Y=7.935 m
P2,Y=6.630 m
Prob. of immersion, -
0.012
P2,Y=7.935 m
0.008
0.004
0
0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8
Height above deck, m
40 Years Faculty of Shipbuilding of TU-Varna 10
CONCLUSIONS
• The progressive flooding trough the opening (air pipe,
ventilation etc.) is considered as a set of realizations of the
limit state function.