Download as ppt, pdf, or txt
Download as ppt, pdf, or txt
You are on page 1of 57

Heizer, Render, Griffin

Operations Management
Canadian Edition
Slides adapted for Canada by Mats Gerschman

Supplement 7: Capacity and Constraint


Management

Copyright © 2014 Pearson Canada Inc. S7 - 1


Outline
 Capacity
 Bottleneck Analysis and Theory of
Constraints
 Break-Even Analysis
 Reducing Risk with Incremental
Changes
 Applying Expected Monetary Value
to Capacity Decisions
 Applying Investment Analysis to
Strategy-Driven Investments
Copyright © 2014 Pearson Canada Inc. S7 - 2
Learning Objectives
When you complete this supplement,
you should be able to:
1. Define capacity
2. Determine design capacity, effective
capacity, and utilization
3. Perform bottleneck analysis
4. Compute break-even
5. Determine expected monetary value
of a capacity decision
6. Compute net present value

Copyright © 2014 Pearson Canada Inc. S7 - 3


Capacity consideration

Too little capacity loses customers


and too much capacity is expensive.
Capacity needs to be “just right.”

Copyright © 2014 Pearson Canada Inc. S7 - 4


Capacity
 The throughput, or the number of
units a facility can hold, receive,
store, or produce in a period of time
 Determines fixed costs
 Determines if demand will be
satisfied
 Three time horizons

Copyright © 2014 Pearson Canada Inc. S7 - 5


Time Horizons and Capacity
Options

Figure S7.1
Copyright © 2014 Pearson Canada Inc. S7 - 6
Design and Effective Capacity
 Design capacity is the maximum
theoretical output of a system
 Normally expressed as a rate
 Effective capacity is the capacity a
firm expects to achieve given current
operating constraints
 Often lower than design capacity

Copyright © 2014 Pearson Canada Inc. S7 - 7


Utilization and Efficiency

Utilization is the percent of design capacity


achieved

Utilization = Actual output/Design capacity

Efficiency is the percent of effective capacity


achieved

Efficiency = Actual output/Effective capacity

Copyright © 2014 Pearson Canada Inc. S7 - 8


Bakery Example

Actual production last week = 148 000 rolls


Effective capacity = 175 000 rolls
Design capacity = 1200 rolls per hour
Bakery operates 7 days/week, three 8 hour shifts

Design capacity = (7 x 3 x 8) x (1200) = 201 600 rolls

Copyright © 2014 Pearson Canada Inc. S7 - 9


Bakery Example

Actual production last week = 148 000 rolls


Effective capacity = 175 000 rolls
Design capacity = 1200 rolls per hour
Bakery operates 7 days/week, three 8 hour shifts

Design capacity = (7 x 3 x 8) x (1200) = 201 600 rolls

Copyright © 2014 Pearson Canada Inc. S7 - 10


Bakery Example

Actual production last week = 148 000 rolls


Effective capacity = 175 000 rolls
Design capacity = 1200 rolls per hour
Bakery operates 7 days/week, three 8 hour shifts

Design capacity = (7 x 3 x 8) x (1200) = 201 600 rolls

Utilization = 148 000/201 600 = 73.4%

Copyright © 2014 Pearson Canada Inc. S7 - 11


Bakery Example

Actual production last week = 148 000 rolls


Effective capacity = 175 000 rolls
Design capacity = 1200 rolls per hour
Bakery operates 7 days/week, three 8 hour shifts

Design capacity = (7 x 3 x 8) x (1200) = 201 600 rolls

Utilization = 148 000/201 600 = 73.4%

Copyright © 2014 Pearson Canada Inc. S7 - 12


Bakery Example

Actual production last week = 148 000 rolls


Effective capacity = 175 000 rolls
Design capacity = 1200 rolls per hour
Bakery operates 7 days/week, three 8 hour shifts

Design capacity = (7 x 3 x 8) x (1200) = 201 600 rolls

Utilization = 148 000/201 600 = 73.4%

Efficiency = 148 000/175 000 = 84.6%

Copyright © 2014 Pearson Canada Inc. S7 - 13


Bakery Example

Actual production last week = 148 000 rolls


Effective capacity = 175 000 rolls
Design capacity = 1200 rolls per hour
Bakery operates 7 days/week, three 8 hour shifts

Design capacity = (7 x 3 x 8) x (1200) = 201 600 rolls

Utilization = 148 000/201 600 = 73.4%

Efficiency = 148 000/175 000 = 84.6%

Copyright © 2014 Pearson Canada Inc. S7 - 14


Bakery Example

Actual production last week = 148 000 rolls


Effective capacity = 175 000 rolls
Design capacity = 1200 rolls per hour
Bakery operates 7 days/week, three 8 hour shifts
Efficiency = 84.6%
Efficiency of new line = 75%

Expected Output = (Effective Capacity)(Efficiency)

= (175 000)(.75) = 131 250 rolls

Copyright © 2014 Pearson Canada Inc. S7 - 15


Bakery Example

Actual production last week = 148 000 rolls


Effective capacity = 175 000 rolls
Design capacity = 1200 rolls per hour
Bakery operates 7 days/week, three 8 hour shifts
Efficiency = 84.6%
Efficiency of new line = 75%

Expected Output = (Effective Capacity)(Efficiency)

= (175 000)(.75) = 131 250 rolls

Copyright © 2014 Pearson Canada Inc. S7 - 16


Capacity and Strategy

 Capacity decisions impact all 10


decisions of operations
management as well as other
functional areas of the organization
 Capacity decisions must be
integrated into the organization’s
mission and strategy

Copyright © 2014 Pearson Canada Inc. S7 - 17


Capacity Considerations

1. Forecast demand accurately


2. Understand the technology and
capacity increments
3. Find the optimum operating size
(volume)
4. Build for change

Copyright © 2014 Pearson Canada Inc. S7 - 18


Economies and
Diseconomies of Scale
(dollars per room per night)
Average unit cost

25 - room 75 - room
roadside motel 50 - room roadside motel
roadside motel

Economies Diseconomies
of scale of scale
25 50 75
Number of Rooms
Figure S7.2
Copyright © 2014 Pearson Canada Inc. S7 - 19
Managing Demand
 Demand exceeds capacity
 Curtail demand by raising prices,
scheduling longer lead time
 Long term solution is to increase capacity
 Capacity exceeds demand
 Stimulate market
 Product changes
 Adjusting to seasonal demands
 Produce products with complementary
demand patterns

Copyright © 2014 Pearson Canada Inc. S7 - 20


Complementary Demand
Patterns

4,000 –
Sales in units

3,000 –

2,000 –

1,000 – Jet ski


engine
sales

JFMAMJJASONDJFMAMJJASONDJ
Time (months)
Figure S7.3
Copyright © 2014 Pearson Canada Inc. S7 - 21
Complementary Demand
Patterns

4,000 –
Sales in units

Snowmobile
3,000 – motor sales

2,000 –

1,000 – Jet ski


engine
sales

JFMAMJJASONDJFMAMJJASONDJ
Time (months)
Figure S7.3
Copyright © 2014 Pearson Canada Inc. S7 - 22
Complementary Demand
Patterns
Combining both
demand patterns
reduces the
variation
4,000 –
Sales in units

Snowmobile
3,000 – motor sales

2,000 –

1,000 – Jet ski


engine
sales

JFMAMJJASONDJFMAMJJASONDJ
Time (months)
Figure S7.3
Copyright © 2014 Pearson Canada Inc. S7 - 23
Tactics for Matching
Capacity to Demand
1. Making staffing changes
2. Adjusting equipment
 Purchasing additional machinery
 Selling or leasing out existing equipment
3. Improving processes to increase throughput
4. Redesigning products to facilitate more
throughput
5. Adding process flexibility to meet changing
product preferences
6. Closing facilities
Copyright © 2014 Pearson Canada Inc. S7 - 24
Demand and Capacity
Management in the
Service Sector
 Demand management
 Appointment, reservations, FCFS rule
 Capacity management
 Full-time, temporary, part-time staff

Copyright © 2014 Pearson Canada Inc. S7 - 25


Bottleneck Analysis and
Theory of Constraints
 Each work area can have its own unique
capacity
 Capacity analysis determines the
throughput capacity of workstations in a
system
 A bottleneck is a limiting factor or
constraint
 A bottleneck has the lowest effective
capacity in a system

Copyright © 2014 Pearson Canada Inc. S7 - 26


Process Times for Stations,
Systems, and Cycles
 The process time of a station is the
time to produce a unit at that single
workstation
 The process time of a system is the
time of the longest process in the
system … the bottleneck
 The process cycle time is the time it
takes for a product to go through the
production process with no waiting

Copyright © 2014 Pearson Canada Inc. S7 - 27


A Three-Station Assembly Line

Figure S7.4

Copyright © 2014 Pearson Canada Inc. S7 - 28


Process Times for Stations,
Systems, and Cycles
 The system process time is the
process time of the bottleneck after
dividing by the number of parallel
operations
 The system capacity is the inverse
of the system process time
 The process cycle time is the total
time through the longest path in the
system

Copyright © 2014 Pearson Canada Inc. S7 - 29


Capacity Analysis
 Two identical sandwich lines
 Lines have two workers and three operations
 All completed sandwiches are wrapped

Bread Fill Toast


15 sec/sandwich 20 sec/sandwich 40 sec/sandwich
Order Wrap
30 sec/sandwich 37.5 sec/sandwich
Bread Fill Toast
15 sec/sandwich 20 sec/sandwich 40 sec/sandwich

Copyright © 2014 Pearson Canada Inc. S7 - 30


Capacity Bread
15 sec
Fill
20 sec
Toast
40 sec

Analysis Order
30 sec
Bread
15 sec
Fill
20 sec
Toast
40 sec
Wrap
37.5 sec

 Toast work station has the longest processing


time – 40 seconds
 The two lines each deliver a sandwich every 40
seconds so the process time of the combined
lines is 40/2 = 20 seconds
 At 37.5 seconds, wrapping and delivery has the
longest processing time and is the bottleneck
 Capacity per hour is 3,600 seconds/37.5
seconds/sandwich = 96 sandwiches per hour
 Process cycle time is 30 + 15 + 20 + 40 + 37.5 =
142.5 seconds
Copyright © 2014 Pearson Canada Inc. S7 - 31
Capacity Analysis
 Standard process for cleaning teeth
 Cleaning and examining X-rays can happen
simultaneously

Cleaning

Takes Develops 24 min/unit Check


Check in Dentist
X-ray X-ray out

2 min/unit 2 min/unit 4 min/unit X-ray 8 min/unit 6 min/unit


exam

5 min/unit

Copyright © 2014 Pearson Canada Inc. S7 - 32


Capacity Check
in
Takes
X-ray
Develops
X-ray
Cleaning

24 min/unit
Dentist
Check
out

Analysis 2 min/unit 2 min/unit 4 min/unit X-ray


exam

5 min/unit
8 min/unit 6 min/unit

 All possible paths must be compared


 Cleaning path is 2 + 2 + 4 + 24 + 8 + 6 = 46
minutes
 X-ray exam path is 2 + 2 + 4 + 5 + 8 + 6 = 27
minutes
 Longest path involves the hygienist cleaning the
teeth
 Bottleneck is the hygienist at 24 minutes
 Hourly capacity is 60/24 = 2.5 patients
 Patient should be complete in 46 minutes

Copyright © 2014 Pearson Canada Inc. S7 - 33


Theory of Constraints
 Five-step process for recognizing and
managing limitations
Step 1: Identify the constraint
Step 2: Develop a plan for overcoming the
constraints
Step 3: Focus resources on accomplishing Step 2
Step 4: Reduce the effects of constraints by
offloading work or expanding capability
Step 5: Once overcome, go back to Step 1 and find
new constraints

Copyright © 2014 Pearson Canada Inc. S7 - 34


Bottleneck Management
1. Release work orders to the system at the
pace of set by the bottleneck
2. Lost time at the bottleneck represents
lost time for the whole system
3. Increasing the capacity of a non-
bottleneck station is a mirage
4. Increasing the capacity of a bottleneck
increases the capacity of the whole
system

Copyright © 2014 Pearson Canada Inc. S7 - 35


Break-Even Analysis

 Technique for evaluating process


and equipment alternatives
 Objective is to find the point in
dollars and units at which cost
equals revenue
 Requires estimation of fixed costs,
variable costs, and revenue

Copyright © 2014 Pearson Canada Inc. S7 - 36


Break-Even Analysis
 Fixed costs are costs that continue
even if no units are produced
 Depreciation, taxes, debt, mortgage
payments
 Variable costs are costs that vary
with the volume of units produced
 Labour, materials, portion of utilities
 Contribution is the difference between
selling price and variable cost

Copyright © 2014 Pearson Canada Inc. S7 - 37


Break-Even Analysis
Assumptions
 Costs and revenue are linear
functions
 Generally not the case in the real
world
 We actually know these costs
 Very difficult to verify
 Time value of money is often
ignored
Copyright © 2014 Pearson Canada Inc. S7 - 38
Break-Even Analysis

Total revenue line
900 –

800 –
Break-even point: Total cost line
700 – Total cost = Total revenue
Cost (dollars)

600 –

500 –

400 – Variable cost

300 –

200 –

100 – Fixed cost



| | | | | | | | | | | |
0 100 200 300 400 500 600 700 800 900 1000 1100
Figure S7.5 Volume (units per period)

Copyright © 2014 Pearson Canada Inc. S7 - 39


Break-Even Analysis
BEPx = break-even point in x = number of units
units produced
BEP$ = break-even point in TR = total revenue = Px
dollars F = fixed costs
P = price per unit (after V = variable cost per unit
all discounts) TC = total costs = F + Vx

Break-even point occurs when

TR = TC F
or BEPx =
P-V
Px = F + Vx

Copyright © 2014 Pearson Canada Inc. S7 - 40


Break-Even Analysis
BEPx = break-even point in x = number of units
units produced
BEP$ = break-even point in TR = total revenue = Px
dollars F = fixed costs
P = price per unit (after V = variable cost per unit
all discounts) TC = total costs = F + Vx

BEP$ = BEPx P
= F P Profit = TR - TC
P-V = Px - (F + Vx)
= F
= Px - F - Vx
(P - V)/P
F = (P - V)x - F
=
1 - V/P
Copyright © 2014 Pearson Canada Inc. S7 - 41
Break-Even Example

Fixed costs = $10 000 Material = $0.75/unit


Direct labour = $1.50/unit Selling price = $4.00 per unit

F $10 000
BEP$ = =
1 - (V/P) 1 - [(1.50 + 0.75)/(4.00)]

Copyright © 2014 Pearson Canada Inc. S7 - 42


Break-Even Example

Fixed costs = $10 000 Material = $0.75/unit


Direct labour = $1.50/unit Selling price = $4.00 per unit

F $10 000
BEP$ = =
1 - (V/P) 1 - [(1.50 + 0.75)/(4.00)]
$10 000
= = $22 857.14
0.4375

F $10 000
BEPx = = = 5714
P-V 4.00 - (1.50 + .75)

Copyright © 2014 Pearson Canada Inc. S7 - 43


Reducing Risk with
Incremental Changes
(a) Leading demand with incremental (b) Capacity lags demand with incremental
expansion (Leading Strategy) expansion (Lag Strategy)
New New
capacity capacity
Demand

Demand
Expected Expected
demand demand

(c) Attempts to have an average capacity with


incremental expansion (Straddle Strategy)

New
Demand

capacity Expected
demand

Figure S7.6
Copyright © 2014 Pearson Canada Inc. S7 - 44
Reducing Risk with
Incremental Changes
(a) Leading demand with incremental
expansion (Leading Strategy)

New
capacity
Demand

Expected
demand

1 2 3
Time (years)
Figure S7.6
Copyright © 2014 Pearson Canada Inc. S7 - 45
Reducing Risk with
Incremental Changes
(b) Capacity lags demand with incremental
expansion (Lag Strategy)

New
capacity

Expected
Demand

demand

1 2 3
Time (years)
Figure S7.6
Copyright © 2014 Pearson Canada Inc. S7 - 46
Reducing Risk with
Incremental Changes
(c) Attempts to have an average capacity with
incremental expansion (Straddle Strategy)

New
capacity
Demand

Expected
demand

1 2 3
Time (years)
Figure S7.6
Copyright © 2014 Pearson Canada Inc. S7 - 47
Expected Monetary Value
(EMV) and Capacity Decisions

 Determine states of nature


 Future demand
 Market favourability
 Analyzed using decision trees
 Hospital supply company
 Four alternatives

Copyright © 2014 Pearson Canada Inc. S7 - 48


Expected Monetary Value
(EMV) and Capacity Decisions
Market favourable (0.4)
$100 000

Market unfavourable (0.6)


-$90 000

Market favourable (0.4)


$60 000
Medium plant
Market unfavourable (0.6)
-$10 000

Market favourable (0.4)


$40 000

Market unfavourable (0.6)


-$5000

$0

Copyright © 2014 Pearson Canada Inc. S7 - 49


Expected Monetary Value
(EMV) and Capacity Decisions
Market favourable (0.4)
$100 000

Market unfavourable (0.6)


-$90 000

Market favourable (0.4)


$60 000
Medium plant
Large Plant Market unfavourable (0.6)
-$10 000

EMV = (0.4)($100 000) Market favourable (0.4)


$40 000
+ (0.6)(-$90 000)
Market unfavourable (0.6)
EMV = -$14 000 -$5000

$0

Copyright © 2014 Pearson Canada Inc. S7 - 50


Expected Monetary Value
(EMV) and Capacity Decisions
-$14000
Market favourable (0.4)
$100 000

Market unfavourable (0.6)


-$90 000
$18 000
Market favourable (0.4)
$60 000
Medium plant
Market unfavourable (0.6)
-$10 000
$13 000
Market favourable (0.4)
$40 000

Market unfavourable (0.6)


-$5000

$0

Copyright © 2014 Pearson Canada Inc. S7 - 51


Strategy-Driven Investment

 Operations may be responsible


for return-on-investment (ROI)
 Analyzing capacity alternatives
should include capital
investment, variable cost, cash
flows, and net present value

Copyright © 2014 Pearson Canada Inc. S7 - 52


Net Present Value (NPV)
In general:
F = P(1 + i)N
where F = future value
P = present value
i = interest rate
N = number of years

Solving for P:
F
P=
(1 + i)N
Copyright © 2014 Pearson Canada Inc. S7 - 53
Net Present Value (NPV)
In general:
F = P(1 + i)N
where F = future value
P While
= present valuethis works
i fine, it is
= interest rate
N = numbercumbersome
of years for
larger values of N
Solving for P:
F
P=
(1 + i)N
Copyright © 2014 Pearson Canada Inc. S7 - 54
NPV Using Factors
F
P= N = FX
(1 + i)
where X = a factor from Table S7.1
defined as = 1/(1 + i)N and
F = future value

Table S7.1

Copyright © 2014 Pearson Canada Inc. S7 - 55


Limitations
1. Investments with the same NPV may
have different projected lives and
salvage values
2. Investments with the same NPV may
have different cash flows
3. Assumes we know future interest rates
4. Payments are not always made at the
end of a period

Copyright © 2014 Pearson Canada Inc. S7 - 56


Summary
1. Capacity calculations and capacity planning
is essential for profitable operations. Other
considerations are:
 Accurate forecasting
 Understanding equipment, processes, and
capacity increments
 Finding the optimum operating size
 Ensuring to have flexibility
2. Bottleneck and Break-even Analysis are
useful techniques
3. Expected Monetary Value, cash flow and net
present value (NPV) consider the monetary
side of the operations

Copyright © 2014 Pearson Canada Inc. S7 - 57

You might also like