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Chap 009
Chap 009
Pricing Model
McGraw-Hill/Irwin Copyright © 2009 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved.
Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM)
• It gives a precise prediction of the relationship
that should be observed between the risk of an
asset and its expected return.
• Beneftis:
– Provides benchmark rate of return for evaluating possible
investments
– Helps to make an educated guess as to the expected return
on assets that have not yet been traded in the marketplace
• It is the equilibrium model
• Derived using principles of diversification with
simplified assumptions
• Markowitz, Sharpe, Lintner and Mossin 9-2
Assumptions
• Individual investors are price takers: they act
as though security prices are unaffected by
their own trades (their wealth is small
compared to the total wealth of all investors)
• Single-period investment horizon: myopic-
short-sighted behavior (ignores everything
that might happen after the end of the single
period horizon)
• Investments are limited to traded financial
assets: (traded financial assets –bonds and
stocks) and risk-free borrowing or lending)
9-3
Assumptions Continued
• No taxes and transaction costs
• Information is costless and available to all
investors
• Investors are rational mean-variance
optimizers: all investors use Markowitz
Portfolio Selection Model (minimum-variance
frontier, efficient frontier, CAL, optimal risky
portfolio and optimal complete portfolio)
• There are homogeneous expectations: all
investors analyze securities in the same way
and share the same economic view
9-4
Resulting Equilibrium Conditions
9-5
Figure 9.1 The Efficient Frontier and the
Capital Market Line
9-6
Resulting Equilibrium Conditions
Continued
• Risk premium on the market depends on the
average risk aversion of all market
participants
• Risk premium on an individual security is a
function of its covariance with the market
9-7
Market Risk Premium
where 2
M is the variance of the market portolio and
A is the average degree of risk aversion across investors
9-8
Return and Risk For Individual Securities
9-9
Using GE Text Example
9-10
Using GE Text Example Continued
• Reward-to-risk ratio for investment in
market portfolio:
Market risk premium E (rM ) rf
Market variance M2
P wk k
k
• This also holds for the market portfolio:
E (rM ) rf M E (rM ) rf
9-12
Figure 9.2 The Security Market Line
9-13
Figure 9.3 The SML and a Positive-
Alpha Stock
Alpha: the
difference
between the
fair and the
actual
expected rates
of return
9-14
The CAPM and Reality
9-15
Extensions of the CAPM
• Zero-Beta Model
– Helps to explain positive alphas on low
beta stocks and negative alphas on high
beta stocks
• Consideration of labor income and non-
traded assets
• Merton’s Multiperiod Model and hedge
portfolios
– Incorporation of the effects of changes in
the real rate of interest and inflation
9-16
Extensions of the CAPM Continued
• A consumption-based CAPM
– Models by Rubinstein, Lucas, and Breeden
• Investor must allocate current wealth between
today’s consumption and investment for the future
9-17
Liquidity and the CAPM
• Liquidity
• Illiquidity Premium
• Research supports a premium for illiquidity.
– Amihud and Mendelson
– Acharya and Pedersen
9-18
Figure 9.5 The Relationship Between
Illiquidity and Average Returns
9-19
Three Elements of Liquidity
9-20