Professional Documents
Culture Documents
Lecture 23 and 24 - Peer Review, Structural Path Analysis - S18
Lecture 23 and 24 - Peer Review, Structural Path Analysis - S18
team today
Environmental Life Cycle
Assessment
CEE 12-714 / EPP 19-714
3
Group Presentation Schedule
4
Course trajectory
1. Introductions 10. Uncertainty
2. Life cycle thinking 11. Input-output LCA
3. Quantitative methods and 12. Process-matrix LCA
life cycle cost analysis
13. Hybrid LCA
4. ISO LCA framework
14. Impact assessment
5. Critical review
15. Structural path analysis
6. LCA data sources
16. End-of-life with WARM
7. Life cycle inventory
17. Professional responsibility
8. SimaPro
18. Carbon footprinting
9. Handling multifunction
19. LCA for big decisions
systems
20. Project presentations
5
ISO 14040: Figure 1
Phases of an LCA
6
• Inventory
• Impact assessment
• Interpretation
6
Today…
• Review of critical review process
And applicability to your projects
• What is SPA and how is it useful?
• SPA MATLAB code
What’s in there, what can you do with it?
7
Review (from Lecture 6)
Critical Review
in LCA
8
Need for Critical Review in LCA
ISO Statements
ISO 14040:
7.1 Critical review is a process to verify whether an LCA has met the
requirements for methodology, data, interpretation and reporting and
whether it is consistent with the principles.
In general, critical reviews of an LCA may utilize any of the review options
outlined in 7.3. A critical review can neither verify nor validate the goals that
are chosen for an LCA by the study commissioner, nor the ways in which
the LCA results are used.
10
Critical Review Process
7.3.3 Critical review by a panel of interested
parties
External independent expert should be selected by
original study commissioner to act as chairperson of
review panel (at least three members). Based on
goal, scope and budget available for the review,
chairperson should select other independent
qualified reviewers
Panel may also include other interested parties
affected by conclusions drawn from study (e.g.,
government agencies, non-governmental groups,
competitors and affected industries)
11
Top Pet Peeves of LCA
(based on doing peer reviews)
• Not showing inventory flows (and/or by stage)
Just showing final results tables insufficient
No “raw” inventory flows
• Making own process models, but with non-robust
inventories
e.g., using acidification as an LCI metric but having no
SO2 emissions in process data
• No justification of LCIA categories shown
“Acidification not relevant for our product” despite
availability in SimaPro
12
Top Pet Peeves of LCA
(based on doing peer reviews)
• No justification of LCIA method
“we used IMPACT2002 since that’s a button in SimaPro”
• Forgetting that A in LCA is assessment
Not answering 3rd part of three-part question
• No interpretation / improvement section
How to reduce!
• Using convenient (read: irrelevant) process data
• Not documenting process data from libraries
e.g., “SimaPro” not “ecoinvent 2.0… electricity, coal, at
plant”
13
Final pet peeves
• Poor documentation of assumptions in general
• Giving a 10 page LCA report to review
when a 100 page report is needed
• Asking for review, then not closing the loop with
responses / edits / even a “thank you”
• No sensitivity / uncertainty analysis
• Silly victories – 6.00 better than 6.04, etc.
• Too many significant digits! Record: 14
14
In-class exercise: Think about typical
Peer Review questions for your group
project
1. Is methodology consistent with ISO 14040/14044?
2. Are objectives, scope, purpose, and boundaries of study
clearly identified?
3. Are assumptions used clearly identified and reasonable?
4. Are sources of data clearly identified and representative?
5. Does LCIA include comprehensive set of (justified) indicators,
and are results compared by category without weighting?
Does LCIA use an accepted international standard?
6. Is there sufficient analysis of sensitivity and uncertainty of
results?
7. Is report complete, consistent, and transparent?
8. Are conclusions appropriate based on data and analysis?
9. Are there other issues of concern? What is your overall
satisfaction with study?
15
Part 1
Structural Path
Analysis
16
Recap of Detail Available in LCA
Models Discussed So Far
• LCA methods generally yield aggregated
results
IO-LCA: rolled up totals by sector
US LCI, ecoinvent, etc. as process matrices: rolled up
totals by process
17
Examples of aggregated results
18
EIO-LCA economic and CO2 emissions
results for 'Paint and Coatings' Sector
19
Limitations of Aggregated Results
• Useful/interesting to have “total effects across
system” and aggregated results for each sector
or process
• But, might care about very specific effects
What are effects of a specific demand for electricity in
a part of system (not just total)
Where in supply chain are heavy impacts?
We know the iron casting occurs in Allegheny
County…
20
Yet – we’ve seen glimpses of this
• SimaPro ‘Network’
visualization feature
• Results by stage or
scenario
21
Structural path analysis
• Methodology to “unroll” aggregated results
Reveal underlying connected flows
• Resultant “paths” can be ranked
Why would this be useful?
Hot spots within supply chain
Prioritization for analysis
Do average properties reflect your study target?
Prioritization for process improvements
Alternative sourcing of materials and energy?
22
Two-Unit Example to illustrate paths
A12
A11 1 2 A22
A21
23
Two-Unit Example as Tree
(a)
A12
A11 1 2 A22
A21
(b)
Tier 0 1 2 Y
Tier 1 1 2 1 2
Tier 2 1 2 1 2 1 2 1 2
24
Generating aggregated results
-1
é .05 .01 ùé 0 ù é 10 ù
X= A Y = ê úê ú=ê ú
ë 0 .1 ûë 1000 û ë 100 û
25
Generating aggregated results
26
Not just Tier level analysis
• We have seen SOME more detail beyond the
total X vector
• Chapter 8 – how to find tier-by-tier values
X = [I + A + A×A + A×A×A + … ] Y
= IY +AY + A2Y + A3Y + …
= Tier 0 + Tier 1 + Tier 2 + …
30
Review of A matrix derivation
Transaction
table Process 1 Process 2 X Y
Product 1 150 500 350 1000
Product 2 200 100 1700 2000
V 650 1400
X 1000 2000
32
Revisit 2-sector example from Ch. 8
A11 A12
A=
21 22
A A
Y1 = $100 B
Y2 = $0 B
Y1 or $100 billion
Y1*A11 =
$100B * 0.15 = $15 billion
Y1 * A11 * A21 =
$100B * 0.15 * 0.2 = $3.0 billion Y2 * A22 =
$0B * 0.05 = $0 billion 33
What about energy/environmental
effects??
• Similar node value equation:
Y1 = $100 B
34
2-sector example
• Can generate a sorted list of largest nodes (and
their paths)
Y1 – 5,000 g
Y1:1 – 750 g
Y1:1:1 – 112.5 g
Y1:2 – 100 g
• Also might care about total impact of a node and
it’s supply chain
Node’s “LCI value”
35
Can we do the same thing for a larger
system?
• Yes. Technique called Structural Path Analysis,
SPA
• Problem:
Number of supply chain interactions goes up
exponentially!
• EIO-LCA at 4th supply chain tier: 4304
interactions, or 34 billion interactions!
• Must use some cutoff rules
• Luckily, can still get a good amount of system
using programming
36
Structural paths
• EIO-LCA (aggregated) results for soft drink sector
($1M)
• What’s really going on within the matrix?
• Where are the hot spots?
37
How?
• MATLAB code provided to perform complete,
economy-wide SPA on your IO system
Requires: final demand, A matrix, R matrix, truncation
criteria
Produces: list of paths sorted by impact
Truncation criteria needed to keep it manageable
38
Abridged SPA Summary Graph
for Soft Drinks – Top GHG Paths
Legend
LCI tons
Sector
site tons
39
Where are the top 5 paths?
Rank by “Sector site tons”
Legend
LCI tons
Sector
site tons
40
Soft drinks SPA
• Top 10 paths of 2002 benchmark US IO model,
total GHG of $1million from Soft drink and ice
manufacturing sector
• Truncation parameter of 0.01% of the total tons
CO2e in the SPA for a path's LCI value
41
Soft drinks SPA
• All paths start with sector with final demand
Summary (S1) (Columns E&F)
Total number of paths assessed • “Effects, site” = GHG for that node (Col. C)
Truncated at 4 steps and • “Effects, LCI@site” = GHG for that node and it’s
LCI@site>0.01% of total effects supply chain (Col. D)
• Tier 0 will have Length = 0, soda manuf. facility,
with LCI@site effects being same as Total
Effects (940.4 tons), and much lower site
effects (36 tons)
43
Compare to eiolca.net results
44
How does this help with hybrid?
• If you know the emissions associated with
a certain supplier
• If you know a certain supplier was not US-
based
Or in different region of electric grid!
45
Wrap up
• Looked at paths and the drill-down details
that SPA provides
• Examined output from SPA MATLAB runs
• Visualization tool
• Hot spot identification!
• Next time, how to use SPA in a hybrid LCA
What if you wanted to adjust not the sector
totals, but an individual part of the supply
chain?
46
Next
• Finish Structural Path Analysis
Read rest of Ch 12
Read SPA exchange paper and skim other material
• HW6 due Friday, April 13, midnight
• Preliminary project results/draft report due
Monday, April 16, midnight
47
Environmental Life Cycle
Assessment
CEE 12-714 / EPP 19-714
• Group projects
Draft report due midnight, tonight
Team meetings
Not required, but feel free to request a meeting
Final reports due May 9th
49
Course trajectory
1. Introductions 10. Uncertainty
2. Life cycle thinking 11. Input-output LCA
3. Quantitative methods and 12. Process-matrix LCA
life cycle cost analysis
13. Hybrid LCA
4. ISO LCA framework
14. Impact assessment
5. Critical review
15. Structural path analysis
6. LCA data sources
16. End-of-life with WARM
7. Life cycle inventory
17. Professional
8. SimaPro responsibility
9. Handling multifunction 18. Carbon footprinting
systems
19. LCA for big decisions
20. Project presentations
50
ISO 14040: Figure 1
Phases of an LCA
51
• Inventory
• Impact assessment
• Interpretation
51
Today…
• Structural path exchange
• SPA MATLAB code
What’s in there, what can you do with it?
• Using SPA in Hybrid LCA
Changing a node
Interpreting the results
• Professional responsibility
52
MATLAB SPA
• Last class we saw the SPA output and discussed
its interpretation
• Now, the underlying software
Needed for HW7
53
MATLAB SPA
Hint: Download zip file, extract into a new folder you can find easily.
54
MATLAB SPA
55
Double-click on
RunEIO02SPA.m to open in
RunEIO02SPA.m Editor
filename = 'softdrinks_1million';
56
RunEIOSPA.m, continued
% sector names in the external .mat file
sectornames = EIOsecnames;
F_total = F*L;
y = zeros(428,1);
58
RunEIOSPA.m, continued
% this last command runs two other .m files in the
zip file
% the parameters on the right hand side are the
threshold parameters
SPAEIO02(F, A, y, F_total, T_max, percent, filename,
sectornames, thresh_banner);
59
RunEIOSPA.m, continued
• After editing RunEIO02SPA.m to reflect your
choices, select Run in the Toolstrip
61
Now what?
• We have the theory to unroll the supply chain
• We have a program that gives us the nodes with
highest impacts
• How to use this power?
62
Structural Path
Exchange
63
Structural path exchange method
• Path and node-specific information can be used
to assess alternative designs
• Generate baseline SPA
• Replace specific baseline results (nodes) with
adjusted data or assumptions
Primary data
Supplier information
Local characteristics
64
Path exchange steps
(1) Perform general SPA for a sector and effect of
interest to develop baseline estimate
(2) Identify paths where alternate process data
could be used
Paths with relatively high values in baseline
Process values significantly different than averages
(3) Re-calculate SPA results with path exchanges,
compare new results to baseline SPA
65
For each exchanged path:
• Develop quantitative connection between baseline
and alternative process data
• Simplest case, straightforward percentage change
50% reduction in need for Path 1
50% reduction in emission intensity in Path 1
• More complex analyses track shifts from one path to
another, or transformations across different units
20% reduction in Path 1 (truck transport), causing some
increase in demand for Path 2 (rail transport)
Mass to dollars, energy requirements across technologies
• Normalize available process data to replace
information in default path
• Update path value
66
You have reduced the
transaction coefficient, A
Simple exchange #1 matrix, so the impacts flow
through that node’s LCI
• Adjusted path:
Site: 50%*52.1 = 26.0 ton GWP
LCI: 50%*119.4 tons = 59.7 ton GWP
• Adjusted Total:
940.4 – originalLCI + revisedLCI = 940.4 - 119.4 + 59.7 =
880.7 ton
880.7/940.4 = 94%, or a 6% reduction overall
67
Essentially changing R matrix
coefficient (ton GWP/$) by hand,
Simple exchange #2 while keeping A matrix coefficient
the same (still buying same
amount of electricity)
69
More complex exchange
• Model $1m soda (SDM), 940.4 tons GWP, total
• Important path:
Truck>SDM, 15 tons (site), 21.7 tons (LCI)
Logistics improvement: shift 50% of truck shipments to rail
• Impacted secondary path
Rail>SDM, 2.5 tons (site), 3.2 tons (LCI)
How much will these emissions change to accommodate
shift from truck?
Rail emissions: 0.1 kg CO2/ton-mile
Truck emissions: 0.17 kg CO2/ton-mile
• Adjusted truck path:
Site: 50%*15 ton = 7.5 ton GWP
LCI: 50%*21.7 = 10.9 ton GWP
70
More complex exchange, continued
73
Bonus: Online SPA Visualization tool
• http://www.eiolca.net/abhoopat/componentviz/
74
PROFESSIONAL
RESPONSIBILITY
FOR CLAIMS
US Federal Trade Commission (FTC)
• General mission: “The FTC is a bipartisan
federal agency with a unique dual mission to
protect consumers and promote competition.”
• Established a series of guides about
“environmental claims”
76
FTC Enforcement
• Guides about FTC’s views about environmental
claims
• Help marketers avoid making environmental
marketing claims that are unfair or deceptive
Section 5 of FTC Act, 15 U.S.C. 45
• FTC can take enforcement action if marketer
makes environmental claim inconsistent with
guides
Must prove that challenged act/practice is unfair or
deceptive in violation of Section 5
77
Does FTC enforce the guidelines?
• “The staff of the Federal Trade Commission has
sent warning letters to five providers of
environmental certification seals and 28
businesses using those seals, alerting them to
the agency’s concerns that the seals could be
considered deceptive and may not comply with
the FTC’s environmental marketing guidelines.”
78
US FTC Guide to Env’l Marketing Claims
Authority: 15 U.S.C. 41-58. Source: 77 FR 62124, Oct. 11, 2012.
79
Example: What does the claim apply
to?
• A plastic package
containing a new shower
curtain is labeled
“recyclable” without further
elaboration
Does claim refer to plastic
packaging or the shower
curtain?
Claim is deceptive if any part
of either packaging or
curtain, other than minor,
incidental components,
cannot be recycled
80
Example: What does claim apply to?
81
FTC Guide (cont.)
c) ... should not overstate, directly or by implication, an
environmental attribute or benefit. Should not state
or imply environmental benefits if the benefits are
negligible
82
Example: Implied benefits
• Trash bag labeled “recyclable” without qualification
Trash bags ordinarily not separated from other trash at
landfill or incinerator for recycling
Highly unlikely to be used again for any purpose
Even if technically capable of being recycled, claim is
deceptive since it asserts environmental benefit where
no meaningful benefit exists
83
FTC Guide (cont.)
d) Comparative environmental marketing claims
should be clear to avoid consumer confusion
about the comparison. Marketers should have
substantiation.
• Advertiser notes that its glass bathroom tiles contain
“20% more recycled content”
To what? Their previous product or to its competitors’?
Advertiser should have substantiation for both
interpretations
Or make basis for comparison clear
“20% more recycled content than our previous bathroom tiles.”
84
Example: Competitive claims
• Advertiser claims “our plastic diaper liner has the
most recycled content.”
diaper liner has more recycled content, calculated as a
percentage of weight, than any other on the market,
although still well under 100%
Claim likely conveys that product contains significant
percentage of recycled content and has significantly
more recycled content than competitors
If advertiser cannot substantiate these messages, claim
would be deceptive.
85
Example: Competitive claims
• Advertiser claims that its packaging creates “less
waste than the leading national brand.”
Advertiser implemented source reduction several
years ago and supported claim by calculating relative
solid waste contributions of the two packages
Advertiser should have substantiation that comparison
remains accurate
86
Examples: Competitive claims
• A product is advertised as “environmentally preferable.”
Claim likely conveys product is environmentally superior to
other products. Unlikely that marketer can substantiate
messages conveyed – claim is deceptive
Would not be deceptive if accompanied with clear and
prominent language limiting environmental superiority
representation to particular substantiated attributes,
provided advertisement's context does not imply other
deceptive claims.
“Environmentally preferable: contains 50% recycled content
compared to 20% for the leading brand” would not be
deceptive.
87
FTC Guides
§260.5 Carbon offsets.
§260.6 Certifications and seals of approval.
§260.7 Compostable Claims.
§260.8 Degradable claims.
§260.9 Free-of claims.
§260.10 Non-toxic claims.
§260.11 Ozone-safe and ozone-friendly claims.
§260.12 Recyclable claims.
§260.13 Recycled content claims.
§260.14 Refillable claims.
§260.15 Renewable energy claims.
§260.16 Renewable materials claims.
§260.17 Source reduction claims.
88
Close the Loop
• LCAs might inevitably be performed to
substantiate such “claims”, especially for
comparative assessments to be released to the
public
89
ACLCA
• American Center for Life Cycle Assessment
Only focused professional group in U.S., education
and training focused mission
www.lcacenter.org
Annual Conference
LCA XVIII, September 25-28, 2018, Fort Collins, CO
90
LCACP – Professional Certification
• Similar to LEED AP
• ~$500 exam
Can be done locally, or at annual conference
• ~ 60 LCACPs out there
Troy Hawkins, CMU EPP/CEE, Franklin, EPA
Not Scott, Deanna, Gwen, others in field
While valuable, unlikely you will “lose out” on an
opportunity by not having it
• Primary goal: Gain a reputation of doing good
work
91
LCACP Exam
• Half day, closed book, multiple choice exam
184 questions!
No calculator needed
No SimaPro questions!
Grading curve – 30% failure rate
• Preparing:
A “criteria list” available that implies content
Study ISO standards
Study ACLCA Ethics Statement
92
Certification and Recertification
• Certification for 3 years
• Maintain status by:
Take and successfully complete current LCACP
examination in 3rd year of cycle,
Earn 36 Continuing Education Units (CEUs) in
approved areas of professional development, or
Earn 18 CEUs and document 25 years of experience
in life cycle assessment
93
Activities that Earn CEUs
• Taking courses on LCA
• Giving courses/lectures on LCA
• Doing an MS or PhD thesis on LCA
• Attending LCA conferences
• Publishing papers/books on LCA
94
Next
• HW7 due Thursday, April 26, midnight
Extra credit is worthwhile!
• Wednesday, guest lecture, Sara Hartwell, US
EPA (retired) on EPA’s Waste Reduction Model
(WARM) as an LCA tool
Be on time, please.
95