Professional Documents
Culture Documents
EFE - MSESPM - Lec 13 - Benefit-Cost Analysis - 2020
EFE - MSESPM - Lec 13 - Benefit-Cost Analysis - 2020
Public Sector
MSREE
Lecture 13
Amrit Nakarmi
Energy Financial Management
25 Feb 2020
04/13/2020 1
Benefit –Cost Analysis
The objective of private investment is to increase the
net worth of the company
In the public sector, government spend a lot of money
on projects such as education, health, infrastructure –
road construction, airport construction, water
pipeline, irrigation systems, and hydropower plants
etc.
04/13/2020 2
Benefit –Cost Analysis
Benefit –cost Analysis is a decision-making tool for
systematically developing useful information about
desirable or undesirable effects of a public project.
Benefit-cost Analysis tries to determine whether the
social benefits are greater than social costs.
04/13/2020 3
Benefit –Cost Analysis
There are three types of benefit –cost Analysis
To maximize benefits over any costs
To maximize net benefits when benefits and costs vary
To minimize costs to get a certain level of benefits
04/13/2020 4
Framework of Benefit –cost Analysis
Identify users’ benefits from the projects
Quantify, as much as possible, benefits in Rupee
term
Identify sponsors’ costs
Quantify, as much as possible, social costs in
Rupee term
Determine the equivalent benefits and costs at the
base period using social interest rate
Accept the project if the equivalent users’ benefits
exceed the sponsors’ costs
04/13/2020 5
Social Benefits
Benefits due to reduction of deaths
Benefits due to reduction of damage to property
Primary users’ disbenefits (need to be deducted)
B =B1 + B2- DB
04/13/2020 6
Social Costs
Primary sponsors’ costs
Primary sponsors’ savings ( need to be deducted)
C =C1 + C2- S
04/13/2020 7
Benefit –Cost Ratio
We need to consider social benefits and costs of
primary effects and secondary effects
B – C should be positive
04/13/2020 8
Benefit –Cost Ratio
If B and C are the present values of benefits and costs,
then
B =Σ Bn (1+i)-n
C = Σ Cn (1+i)-n
The sponsors’ costs consist of the equivalent capital (I)
and equivalent annual operating costs (C’), then
04/13/2020 9
Benefit –Cost Ratio
I =Σ cn (1+i)-n
C’ =Σ Cn (1+I)-n
Here, C =I+C’
BC(i) = B/C= B/(1+C’)>1
An alternative measure,
net B/C =(B –C’)/I>1, where I>0
04/13/2020 10
Incremental Analysis
For selecting public projects from mutually exclusive
projects, we must do incremental analysis.
Computing the incremental differences for each of B,
I, and C
ΔB =Bk – Bj
ΔI =Ik – Ij
ΔC =Ck – Cj
04/13/2020 11
Incremental Analysis
ΔBC (i)k-j = ΔB/(ΔI+ ΔC) >1, then select project ‘k’
If ΔI+ ΔC =0, we cannot use this formula
04/13/2020 12
ENPV & EIRR
For economic analysis
Economic NPV (ENPV)>=0
Economic IRR (EIRR)>=0
04/13/2020 13
Levelized cost of electricity (LCOE)
Where
Lcoe levelized cost of electricity in NR/kWh
Capex Capital cost (expenditure) in NR
Opex Annual Operating and maintenance cost
(expenditure) in NR
R Discount rate
Ei Electricity generated in year ‘ i’ (kWh)
N Service life of the plant in years