CGE Training: Case: Power Sector: Center For Research On Energy Policy

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Bogor, 6 March 2020

CGE Training:
Case: Power Sector

Ucok W.R Siagian, Iwan Hendrawan, Rias Parinderawati, Gissa Navira


Center for Research on Energy Policy
INSTITUT TEKNOLOGI BANDUNG
1
Concept of AIM/CGE (Computable General Equilibrium)- General Picture
SUPPLY SIDE

Production
Available tech.
sector
Intermediate Production sector: Maximizing profit under
demand available technology

Equilibrium
price Production
Supply
International P

market Trade
Demand In the market,
Production Q Supply and demand of
Trade factors Market Every commodity and
DEMAND SIDE balance • Capital Factor are balanced
• Labor
• land
Final cons.
Fixed cap. formation
Preference
Available tech. Household
Collection of tax
Endowment of Government Income distribution
factors Household: Maximizing utility
under income constraint 2

2
Flow CGE_4
Case: Power Sector

This model :
• File CGE : CGE_4_IDN_Exim_xl.gms
• Model structure : CGE_4
• IO data : Indonesia IO table 2010
• Dissagregation: 6 goods & 7 sectors (disaggregated the
electricity sector into electricity from
fossil fuel (ele_ff) and non-fossil (ele_nf)
• Objective : simulate the effect of efficiency (power
generation technology & demand side)

3
U_matrix

  agr frs f_f man ele_ff ele_nf ser hc sum


  agr frs f_f man ele ser hc
agr agr 38 0 0 580 - - 75 430 1,122
frs frs 0 0 0 62 - - 0 3 66
f_f
man f_f 8 1 322 236 70 - 252 117 1,005
Tabel IO
ele man 106 4 59 2,043 4 1 561 3,274 6,052
ser ele 0 0 2 24 117 22 33 87 285
lab
cap ser 62 4 73 749 11 2 874 2,683 4,457
lab 228 13 118 708 12 2 1,088  
cap 655 44 599 1,478 38 7 1,724  
• To fit the model specification, we
disaggregated the Electricity Allocation sum 1,097 67 1,173 5,880 250 34 4,607

Matrix so it fits the sector in the CGE.

Electricity Generation (TWh) V_matrix


180

160
16% ele_nf
140
  agr frs f_f man ele ser sum
agr 1,097 - - - - - 1,097
120
frs - 67 - - - - 67
100
f_f - - 1,173 - - - 1,173
80 man - - - 5,880 - - 5,880
60
84% ele_ff ele_ff - - - - 250 - 250
40
ele_nf - - - - 34 - 34
ser - - - - - 4,607 4,607
20
exp 31 1 429 867 - 332
- imp 56 0 260 1,038 - 182
2010
Coal Oil Gas Hydro
Solar and Wind Biomass geotermal Biofuel sum 1,122 66 1,005 6,052 285 4,457

44
 What we have done in current program file :

Change parameter:

1. x0("ele",j)

2. v0(j,"ele")

3. el_e(j)

4. k0 ("ele_nf")  capital

5. l0 (j)  labor

5
• Parameter Changed : initial intermediate input of good I in sector j
x0("ele",j) = u_tab("ele",j)*0.5

    agr frs man ser f_f ele_ff ele_nf hc exp imp tot endow tot2 price
org agr 38.047 0.001 579.971 74.728 0.001 429.7 31.113 -56.194 1097.367  
org frs 0.05 0.001 62.497 0.167 0.125 3.343 0.787 -0.299 66.671  
org man 105.707 4.197 2042.574 561.304 58.843 3.93204 0.74896 3274.219 866.603 -1038.3 5879.831  
org ser 62.349 3.59 749.012 873.808 73.287 10.67052 2.03248 2682.719 331.981 -182.477 4606.972  
org f_f 7.823 1.464 235.689 252.18 321.511 69.535 117.079 428.537 -260.453 1173.365  
org ele 0.16 0.0465 11.9685 16.421 1.164 58.32792 11.11008 86.517 185.715  
org lab 228.391 13.126 708.286 1087.617 118.236 12.1128 2.3072 2170.076 2170.076  
org cap 654.68 44.199 1477.865 1724.326 599.034 37.54632 7.15168 4544.802 4544.802  
org GHG 114925.7 43.92 7129.349 7565.4 17032.08 2086.05  3512.37    152294.9 152294.9  
org tot 1097.207 66.6245 5867.863 4590.551 1172.201 192.1246 23.3504 6593.577  
mcp agr 38.21005 0.001003 581.9599 74.90007 0.000986 431.7742 31.38814 -56.165 1102.069 0.998441
mcp frs 0.050214 0.001003 62.71132 0.167385 0.123212 3.343868 0.785822 -0.30138 66.88145 1.003
mcp man 106.16 4.210248 2049.579 562.5965 58.00134 3.581873 3284.977 870.7897 -1039.9 5899.993 0.999975
mcp ser 62.6162 3.601332 751.5806 875.82 72.23874 9.720259 2691.466 333.1665 -182.63 4617.58 1
mcp f_f 7.86166 1.467972 236.1178 252.0682 316.9123 64.17142 -1.8E-13 113.813 421.753 -257.584 1156.581 1.001559
mcp ele 0.149579 0.043375 11.15418 15.26917 0.972092 50.07525 71.05052 148.7142 1.272687
mcp lab 229.0436 13.14884 710.2222 1089.616 116.3895 11.65568 2170.076 2170.076 1.00556
mcp cap 657.8196 44.36147 1484.769 1730.834 590.8184 36.19919 4544.802 4544.802 1.00362
mcp GHG 115418.4 44.03916 7142.415 7562.047 16788.46 1925.143 -5.5E-12 3414.389    152294.9 152294.9 -4.6E-05
mcp tot 1092.232 65.5555 5649.05 4345.784 839.592 61.26502 2.49E-16 6596.425           

6
• Parameter Changed : initial produced good I in sector j
v0(j,"ele") = v_tab(j,"ele")*0.5 ;

    agr frs man ser f_f ele_ff ele_nf hc exp imp tot endow tot2 price
org agr 38.047 0.001 579.971 74.728 0.001 429.7 31.113 -56.194 1097.367  
org frs 0.05 0.001 62.497 0.167 0.125 3.343 0.787 -0.299 66.671  
org man 105.707 4.197 2042.574 561.304 58.843 3.93204 0.74896 3274.219 866.603 -1038.3 5879.831  
org ser 62.349 3.59 749.012 873.808 73.287 10.67052 2.03248 2682.719 331.981 -182.477 4606.972  
org f_f 7.823 1.464 235.689 252.18 321.511 69.535 117.079 428.537 -260.453 1173.365  
org ele 0.32 0.093 23.937 32.842 2.328 116.6558 22.22016 86.517 284.913  
org lab 228.391 13.126 708.286 1087.617 118.236 12.1128 2.3072 2170.076 2170.076  
org cap 654.68 44.199 1477.865 1724.326 599.034 37.54632 7.15168 4544.802 4544.802  
org GHG 114942.5 43.92 7129.468 7565.4 17048.99 2086.05 3512.37 152328.7 152328.7  
org tot 1097.367 66.671 5879.831 4606.972 1173.365 250.4525 34.46048 6593.577  
mcp agr 38.20312 0.001014 584.1406 75.11642 0.000982 1.68E-06 1.56E-07 430.1699 31.06239 -56.7579 1101.937 1.003898
mcp frs 0.050203 0.001014 62.94631 0.167868 0.122851 1.22E-06 1.19E-07 3.641806 0.938169 -0.25654 67.61168 0.922295
mcp man 106.1408 4.256688 2057.259 564.2215 57.8313 4.268028 3.51E-08 3292.756 876.0129 -1040.65 5922.097 0.999462
mcp ser 62.60485 3.641055 754.3968 878.3498 72.02696 11.5823 -6.1E-09 2696.474 334.5049 -182.919 4630.662 1
mcp f_f -0.20551 -9.8E-09 235.2809 251.2568 315.9832 75.26231 1.15E-08 116.2424 418.6476 -259.284 1153.184 1.004733
mcp ele -7.2E-06 -5.6E-07 23.94526 32.78983 2.275006 126.527 -9.9E-05 86.31628 271.8533 1.006261
mcp lab 223.9269 12.4743 712.5487 1092.045 115.8895 13.19168 4.18E-05 2170.076 2170.076 1.000814
mcp cap 643.9797 42.14181 1491.604 1736.991 589.0618 41.02399 -0.00014 4544.802 4544.802 0.997562
mcp GHG 115172.3 7.81E-07 7117.648 7537.703 16755.87 2257.869 -2.4E-07 3487.271 152328.7 152328.7 0.000284
mcp tot 1106.323 62.42092 5658.138 4345.662 838.3106 70.6158 -9.7E-05 6625.6           

8
• Parameter Changed : initial produced good I in sector j
v0(j,"ele") = v_tab(j,"ele")*0.9 ;

    agr frs man ser f_f ele_ff ele_nf hc exp imp tot endow tot2 price
org agr 38.047 0.001 579.971 74.728 0.001 429.7 31.113 -56.194 1097.367  
org frs 0.05 0.001 62.497 0.167 0.125 3.343 0.787 -0.299 66.671  
org man 105.707 4.197 2042.574 561.304 58.843 3.93204 0.74896 3274.219 866.603 -1038.3 5879.831  
org ser 62.349 3.59 749.012 873.808 73.287 10.67052 2.03248 2682.719 331.981 -182.477 4606.972  
org f_f 7.823 1.464 235.689 252.18 321.511 69.535 117.079 428.537 -260.453 1173.365  
org ele 0.32 0.093 23.937 32.842 2.328 116.6558 22.22016 86.517 284.913  
org lab 228.391 13.126 708.286 1087.617 118.236 12.1128 2.3072 2170.076 2170.076  
org cap 654.68 44.199 1477.865 1724.326 599.034 37.54632 7.15168 4544.802 4544.802  
org GHG 114942.5 43.92 7129.468 7565.4 17048.99 2086.05 3512.37 152328.7 152328.7  
org tot 1097.367 66.671 5879.831 4606.972 1173.365 250.4525 34.46048 6593.577  
mcp agr 38.047 0.001 579.971 74.728 0.001 429.7 31.113 -56.194 1097.367 1
mcp frs 0.05 0.001 62.497 0.167 0.125 3.343 0.787 -0.299 66.671 1
mcp man 105.707 4.197 2042.574 561.304 58.843 3.93204 0.74896 3274.219 866.603 -1038.3 5879.831 1
mcp ser 62.349 3.59 749.012 873.808 73.287 10.67052 2.03248 2682.719 331.981 -182.477 4606.972 1
mcp f_f 7.823 1.464 235.689 252.18 321.511 69.535 3.27E-12 117.079 428.537 -260.453 1173.365 1
mcp ele 0.32 0.093 23.937 32.842 2.328 116.6558 22.22016 86.517 284.913 1
mcp lab 228.391 13.126 708.286 1087.617 118.236 12.1128 2.3072 2170.076 2170.076 1
mcp cap 654.68 44.199 1477.865 1724.326 599.034 37.54632 7.15168 4544.802 4544.802 1
mcp GHG 114942.5 43.92 7129.468 7565.4 17048.99 2086.05 9.82E-11 3512.37 152328.7 152328.7 -2.7E-12
mcp tot 1089.224 65.114 5620.205 4321.95 849.526 64.26168 12.24032 6593.577           

9
• Parameter Changed :Elasticity of substitution among energies
el_e(j) = 100 ;

agr frs man ser f_f ele_ff ele_nf hc exp imp tot endow tot2 price
org agr 38.047 0.001 579.971 74.728 0.001 429.7 31.113 -56.194 1097.367
org frs 0.05 0.001 62.497 0.167 0.125 3.343 0.787 -0.299 66.671
org man 105.707 4.197 2042.574 561.304 58.843 3.93204 0.74896 3274.219 866.603 -1038.3 5879.831
org ser 62.349 3.59 749.012 873.808 73.287 10.67052 2.03248 2682.719 331.981 -182.477 4606.972
org f_f 7.823 1.464 235.689 252.18 321.511 69.535 117.079 428.537 -260.453 1173.365
org ele 0.32 0.093 23.937 32.842 2.328 116.6558 22.22016 86.517 284.913
org lab 228.391 13.126 708.286 1087.617 118.236 12.1128 2.3072 2170.076 2170.076
org cap 654.68 44.199 1477.865 1724.326 599.034 37.54632 7.15168 4544.802 4544.802
org GHG 114942.5 43.92 7129.468 7565.4 17048.99 2086.05 3512.37 152328.7 152328.7
org tot 1097.367 66.671 5879.831 4606.972 1173.365 250.4525 34.46048 6593.577           
mcp agr 38.047 0.001 579.971 74.728 0.001 429.7 31.113 -56.194 1097.367 1
mcp frs 0.05 0.001 62.497 0.167 0.125 3.343 0.787 -0.299 66.671 1
mcp man 105.707 4.197 2042.574 561.304 58.843 3.93204 0.74896 3274.219 866.603 -1038.3 5879.831 1
mcp ser 62.349 3.59 749.012 873.808 73.287 10.67052 2.03248 2682.719 331.981 -182.477 4606.972 1
mcp f_f 7.823 1.464 235.689 252.18 321.511 69.535 117.079 428.537 -260.453 1173.365 1
mcp ele 0.32 0.093 23.937 32.842 2.328 116.6558 22.22016 86.517 284.913 1
mcp lab 228.391 13.126 708.286 1087.617 118.236 12.1128 2.3072 2170.076 2170.076 1
mcp cap 654.68 44.199 1477.865 1724.326 599.034 37.54632 7.15168 4544.802 4544.802 1
mcp GHG 114942.5 43.92 7129.468 7565.4 17048.99 2086.05 3512.37 152328.7 152328.7
mcp tot 1089.224 65.114 5620.205 4321.95 849.526 64.26168 12.24032 6593.577           

10
k0 ("ele_nf")= u_tab("cap","ele_nf")*1;

    agr frs man ser f_f ele_ff ele_nf hc exp imp tot endow tot2 price
org agr 38.047 0.001 579.971 74.728 0.001 429.7 31.113 -56.194 1097.367  
org frs 0.05 0.001 62.497 0.167 0.125 3.343 0.787 -0.299 66.671  
org man 105.707 4.197 2042.574 561.304 58.843 3.93204 0.74896 3274.219 866.603 -1038.3 5879.831  
org ser 62.349 3.59 749.012 873.808 73.287 10.67052 2.03248 2682.719 331.981 -182.477 4606.972  
org f_f 7.823 1.464 235.689 252.18 321.511 69.535 117.079 428.537 -260.453 1173.365  
org ele 0.32 0.093 23.937 32.842 2.328 116.6558 22.22016 86.517 284.913  
org lab 228.391 13.126 708.286 1087.617 118.236 12.1128 2.3072 2170.076 2170.076  
org cap 654.68 44.199 1477.865 1724.326 599.034 37.54632 7.15168 4544.802 4544.802  
org GHG 114942.5 43.92 7129.468 7565.4 17048.99 2086.05 3512.37 152328.7 152328.7  
org tot 1097.367 66.671 5879.831 4606.972 1173.365 250.4525 34.46048 6593.577  
mcp agr 38.047 0.001 579.971 74.728 0.001 429.7 31.113 -56.194 1097.367 1
mcp frs 0.05 0.001 62.497 0.167 0.125 3.343 0.787 -0.299 66.671 1
mcp man 105.707 4.197 2042.574 561.304 58.843 3.93204 0.74896 3274.219 866.603 -1038.3 5879.831 1
mcp ser 62.349 3.59 749.012 873.808 73.287 10.67052 2.03248 2682.719 331.981 -182.477 4606.972 1
mcp f_f 7.823 1.464 235.689 252.18 321.511 69.535 117.079 428.537 -260.453 1173.365 1
mcp ele 0.32 0.093 23.937 32.842 2.328 116.6558 22.22016 86.517 284.913 1
mcp lab 228.391 13.126 708.286 1087.617 118.236 12.1128 2.3072 2170.076 2170.076 1
mcp cap 654.68 44.199 1477.865 1724.326 599.034 37.54632 7.15168 4544.802 4544.802 1
mcp GHG 114942.5 43.92 7129.468 7565.4 17048.99 2086.05 3512.37 152328.7 152328.7  
mcp tot 1089.224 65.114 5620.205 4321.95 849.526 64.26168 12.24032 6593.577           

11
k0 ("ele_nf")= u_tab("cap","ele_nf")*0.5;

    agr frs man ser f_f ele_ff ele_nf hc exp imp tot endow tot2 price
org agr 38.047 0.001 579.971 74.728 0.001 429.7 31.113 -56.194 1097.367  
org frs 0.05 0.001 62.497 0.167 0.125 3.343 0.787 -0.299 66.671  
org man 105.707 4.197 2042.574 561.304 58.843 3.93204 0.74896 3274.219 866.603 -1038.3 5879.831  
org ser 62.349 3.59 749.012 873.808 73.287 10.67052 2.03248 2682.719 331.981 -182.477 4606.972  
org f_f 7.823 1.464 235.689 252.18 321.511 69.535 117.079 428.537 -260.453 1173.365  
org ele 0.32 0.093 23.937 32.842 2.328 116.6558 22.22016 86.517 284.913  
org lab 228.391 13.126 708.286 1087.617 118.236 12.1128 2.3072 2170.076 2170.076  
org cap 654.68 44.199 1477.865 1724.326 599.034 37.54632 3.57584 4541.226 4541.226  
org GHG 114942.5 43.92 7129.468 7565.4 17048.99 2086.05 3512.37 152328.7 152328.7  
org tot 1097.367 66.671 5879.831 4606.972 1173.365 250.4525 30.88464 6593.577  
mcp agr 37.95714 0.000999 579.5959 74.71032 0.001007 428.1327 30.83356 -56.4576 1094.774 1.003644
mcp frs 0.049882 0.000999 62.45658 0.16696 0.125847 3.343259 0.78729 -0.29854 66.63228 0.999906
mcp man 105.4573 4.194563 2041.253 561.1712 59.24181 4.286759 3272.536 865.8399 -1037.95 5876.028 1.000498
mcp ser 62.20174 3.587915 748.5276 873.6013 73.78371 11.63313 2682.675 332.1492 -182.277 4605.882 1
mcp f_f 7.793896 1.461232 235.2412 251.7911 323.6901 75.77933 116.8839 431.2047 -262.528 1181.318 1.000705
mcp ele 0.318896 0.092849 23.89804 32.8003 2.342172 127.1664 3.42E-09 86.42784 273.0464 1.000858
mcp lab 228.0214 13.12884 708.4045 1088.16 119.1359 13.22563 2.23E-08 2170.076 2170.076 0.99905
mcp cap 652.9749 44.16489 1476.652 1723.482 602.9971 40.95528 -2.3E-09 4541.226 4541.226 1.000038
mcp GHG 114670.7 43.83695 7115.996 7553.733 17164.54 2273.38 3506.518 152328.7 152328.7 3.55E-05
mcp tot 1090.729 65.07106 5619.647 4321.143 855.8334 70.17256 1.99E-08 6589.999           

12
k0 ("ele_nf")= u_tab("cap","ele_nf")*0.9;

    agr frs man ser f_f ele_ff ele_nf hc exp imp tot endow tot2 price
org agr 38.047 0.001 579.971 74.728 0.001 429.7 31.113 -56.194 1097.367  
org frs 0.05 0.001 62.497 0.167 0.125 3.343 0.787 -0.299 66.671  
org man 105.707 4.197 2042.574 561.304 58.843 3.93204 0.74896 3274.219 866.603 -1038.3 5879.831  
org ser 62.349 3.59 749.012 873.808 73.287 10.67052 2.03248 2682.719 331.981 -182.477 4606.972  
org f_f 7.823 1.464 235.689 252.18 321.511 69.535 117.079 428.537 -260.453 1173.365  
org ele 0.32 0.093 23.937 32.842 2.328 116.6558 22.22016 86.517 284.913  
org lab 228.391 13.126 708.286 1087.617 118.236 12.1128 2.3072 2170.076 2170.076  
org cap 654.68 44.199 1477.865 1724.326 599.034 37.54632 6.436512 4544.087 4544.087  
org GHG 114942.5 43.92 7129.468 7565.4 17048.99 2086.05 3512.37 152328.7 152328.7  
org tot 1097.367 66.671 5879.831 4606.972 1173.365 250.4525 33.74531 6593.577  
mcp agr 37.95361 0.001 579.8435 74.75113 0.001007 427.9225 30.76972 -56.5707 1094.672 1.004705
mcp frs 0.049877 0.001 62.48326 0.167052 0.125894 3.345644 0.788014 -0.29853 66.66222 0.999758
mcp man 105.4475 4.196447 2042.125 561.4777 59.26363 4.288145 3274.025 866.1719 -1038.46 5878.539 1.000608
mcp ser 62.19597 3.589527 748.8474 874.0784 73.81088 11.63689 2684.191 332.3878 -182.341 4608.398 1
mcp f_f 7.790362 1.461352 235.2726 251.8609 323.8093 75.79615 116.9116 431.4117 -262.561 1181.753 1.000728
mcp ele 0.318774 0.092864 23.90291 32.8117 2.342453 127.2035 86.4625 273.1347 1.000982
mcp lab 227.8848 13.12791 708.402 1088.324 119.1115 13.22587 2170.076 2170.076 0.999392
mcp cap 653.0326 44.19212 1477.662 1724.928 603.288 40.9842  4544.087 4544.087 0.999693
mcp GHG 114659.9 43.84057 7116.964 7555.827 17170.87 2273.884 3507.348 152328.7 152328.7 4.66E-05
mcp tot 1091.816 65.09106 5622.766 4323.58 856.1802 70.22316  6592.859           

13
l0 (j)= u_tab("lab",j)*1;

    agr frs man ser f_f ele_ff ele_nf hc exp imp tot endow tot2 price
org agr 38.047 0.001 579.971 74.728 0.001 429.7 31.113 -56.194 1097.367  
org frs 0.05 0.001 62.497 0.167 0.125 3.343 0.787 -0.299 66.671  
org man 105.707 4.197 2042.574 561.304 58.843 3.93204 0.74896 3274.219 866.603 -1038.3 5879.831  
org ser 62.349 3.59 749.012 873.808 73.287 10.67052 2.03248 2682.719 331.981 -182.477 4606.972  
org f_f 7.823 1.464 235.689 252.18 321.511 69.535 117.079 428.537 -260.453 1173.365  
org ele 0.32 0.093 23.937 32.842 2.328 116.6558 22.22016 86.517 284.913  
org lab 228.391 13.126 708.286 1087.617 118.236 12.1128 2.3072 2170.076 2170.076  
org cap 654.68 44.199 1477.865 1724.326 599.034 37.54632 7.15168 4544.802 4544.802  
org GHG 114942.5 43.92 7129.468 7565.4 17048.99 2086.05 3512.37 152328.7 152328.7  
org tot 1097.367 66.671 5879.831 4606.972 1173.365 250.4525 34.46048 6593.577  
mcp agr 38.047 0.001 579.971 74.728 0.001 429.7 31.113 -56.194 1097.367 1
mcp frs 0.05 0.001 62.497 0.167 0.125 3.343 0.787 -0.299 66.671 1
mcp man 105.707 4.197 2042.574 561.304 58.843 3.93204 0.74896 3274.219 866.603 -1038.3 5879.831 1
mcp ser 62.349 3.59 749.012 873.808 73.287 10.67052 2.03248 2682.719 331.981 -182.477 4606.972 1
mcp f_f 7.823 1.464 235.689 252.18 321.511 69.535 117.079 428.537 -260.453 1173.365 1
mcp ele 0.32 0.093 23.937 32.842 2.328 116.6558 22.22016 86.517 284.913 1
mcp lab 228.391 13.126 708.286 1087.617 118.236 12.1128 2.3072 2170.076 2170.076 1
mcp cap 654.68 44.199 1477.865 1724.326 599.034 37.54632 7.15168 4544.802 4544.802 1
mcp GHG 114942.5 43.92 7129.468 7565.4 17048.99 2086.05 3512.37 152328.7 152328.7  
mcp tot 1089.224 65.114 5620.205 4321.95 849.526 64.26168 12.24032 6593.577           

14
l0 (j)= u_tab("lab",j)*0.5;

    agr frs man ser f_f ele_ff ele_nf hc exp imp tot endow tot2 price
org agr 38.047 0.001 579.971 74.728 0.001 429.7 31.113 -56.194 1097.367  
org frs 0.05 0.001 62.497 0.167 0.125 3.343 0.787 -0.299 66.671  
org man 105.707 4.197 2042.574 561.304 58.843 3.93204 0.74896 3274.219 866.603 -1038.3 5879.831  
org ser 62.349 3.59 749.012 873.808 73.287 10.67052 2.03248 2682.719 331.981 -182.477 4606.972  
org f_f 7.823 1.464 235.689 252.18 321.511 69.535 117.079 428.537 -260.453 1173.365  
org ele 0.32 0.093 23.937 32.842 2.328 116.6558 22.22016 86.517 284.913  
org lab 114.1955 6.563 354.143 543.8085 59.118 6.0564 1.1536 1085.038 1085.038  
org cap 654.68 44.199 1477.865 1724.326 599.034 37.54632 7.15168 4544.802 4544.802  
org GHG 103005.6 43.92 7125.927 7565.4 16190.01 2086.05 3512.37 139529.3 139529.3  
org tot 983.1715 60.108 5525.688 4063.164 1114.247 244.3961 33.30688 6593.577  
mcp agr 38.04763 0.00101 588.021 76.98799 0.000919 419.7509 30.99592 -56.4206 1097.385 1.045547
mcp frs 0.050001 0.00101 63.36446 0.172051 0.114928 3.179332 0.750665 -0.31996 67.31248 1.073916
mcp man 105.7087 4.237437 2070.925 578.2795 54.10175 4.370953 3250.439 904.7102 -1011.81 5960.963 1.028811
mcp ser 62.35003 3.624589 759.4083 900.2345 67.38192 11.86161 2739.965 371.294 -170.827 4745.293 1
mcp f_f 8.377782 1.580895 254.0777 276.6065 295.6054 78.14194 2.36E-12 108.3866 352.5481 -299.621 1075.704 1.109723
mcp ele 0.34505 0.101116 25.98206 36.27088 2.328383 131.9969 1.87E-09 81.38482 278.4092 1.081468
mcp lab 113.199 6.558401 353.2568 551.8854 53.87233 6.266092 5.89E-09 1085.038 1085.038 1.230722
mcp cap 655.142 44.58829 1488.194 1766.587 551.0746 39.21593 3.64E-08 4544.802 4544.802 1.219121
mcp GHG 103023.9 47.42685 7678.356 8298.196 14885.5 2344.258 7.09E-11 3251.597 139529.3 139529.3 -0.00011
mcp tot 1137.746 70.4112 5821.065 4407.853 859.6763 71.6243 5.16E-08 6603.106           

15
l0 (j)= u_tab("lab",j)*0.9;

    agr frs man ser f_f ele_ff ele_nf hc exp imp tot endow tot2 price
org agr 38.047 0.001 579.971 74.728 0.001 429.7 31.113 -56.194 1097.367  
org frs 0.05 0.001 62.497 0.167 0.125 3.343 0.787 -0.299 66.671  
org man 105.707 4.197 2042.574 561.304 58.843 3.93204 0.74896 3274.219 866.603 -1038.3 5879.831  
org ser 62.349 3.59 749.012 873.808 73.287 10.67052 2.03248 2682.719 331.981 -182.477 4606.972  
org f_f 7.823 1.464 235.689 252.18 321.511 69.535 117.079 428.537 -260.453 1173.365  
org ele 0.32 0.093 23.937 32.842 2.328 116.6558 22.22016 86.517 284.913  
org lab 205.5519 11.8134 637.4574 978.8553 106.4124 10.90152 2.07648 1953.068 1953.068  
org cap 654.68 44.199 1477.865 1724.326 599.034 37.54632 7.15168 4544.802 4544.802  
org GHG 112555.1 43.92 7128.76 7565.4 16877.2 2086.05 3512.37 149768.8 149768.8  
org tot 1074.528 65.3584 5809.002 4498.21 1161.541 249.2412 34.22976 6593.577  
mcp agr 37.98228 0.001002 581.4263 75.12865 0.00099 426.589 30.85813 -56.4869 1095.499 1.0113
mcp frs 0.049915 0.001002 62.65382 0.167895 0.123718 3.315907 0.782104 -0.30203 66.79234 1.012181
mcp man 105.5272 4.20464 2047.699 564.3134 58.23965 4.302617 3269.751 873.6375 -1033.11 5894.568 1.00535
mcp ser 62.24295 3.596535 750.8915 878.4929 72.53555 11.67617 2693.39 338.9939 -180.182 4631.638 1
mcp f_f 7.899161 1.483176 238.7488 256.2498 318.2144 76.22982 1.5E-12 115.2912 415.8857 -268.778 1161.225 1.019593
mcp ele 0.323617 0.094364 24.28539 33.42381 2.338677 128.0859 85.50475 274.0565 1.014958
mcp lab 204.9144 11.81532 637.4746 981.9152 105.164 11.78479  1953.068 1953.068 1.03834
mcp cap 653.7616 44.28149 1480.423 1732.663 593.015 40.65757 4544.802 4544.802 1.036573
mcp GHG 112366.3 44.49528 7220.7 7687.493 16704.15 2286.895 4.49E-11 3458.737 149768.8 149768.8 2.08E-05
mcp tot 1099.578 65.99595 5657.591 4337.727 855.4602 70.43058 9.35E-16 6593.843           

16
 Problem

1. Efficiency on the demand side; which block in the flow diagram (model structure of CGE_4) related to demand side? And which
parameter to be shocked (in the CGE code) to show the effect of efficiency in the demand side? and which part of the result table
showing the effect and should be evaluated?

2. If we implement more efficient technology (such as: CCT technology or others) in power plant, which parameter should be
shocked (in the CGE code) ? and which part of the result table showing the effect and should be evaluated?

3. When we change elasticity of substitution among energies [el_e (j)], even by multiplying with extreme value (100), it doesn’t
change the result. What the explanation for the matter?

Corresponding emails:
ucokwrs@yahoo.com or ucokwrs@tm.itb.ac.id
gelangdewi@gmail.com
rias.parinderati@yahoo.com
seviegissa@gmail.com
iwanhendrawan21@gmail.com

17
THANK YOU

18

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