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Normal Distribution
Pareto analysis
Control charts
Process flowcharting
In real life normally the process output follows the pattern of normal
distribution. This can be best explained with the help of dice.
A dice has six faces. When the dice is rolled on, chance of appearing
a number from 1, 2, …5, 6 on top of the dice is one in six.
A Dice
Sum of the numbers appearing on top of each dice represents the total
effect.
Case - When Only One Factor/Dice is present
Since there is only one dice, the number appearing on top and the
sum are same.
N=300
50
40
Frequency
30
20
10
0
1 2 3 4 5 6
Sum of numbers
Case - When Only Two Factors are present
50 N=300
40
30
Frequency
20
10
2 4 6 8 10 12
Sum of numbers
Case - When 3 Factors are Present
50
40
30
Frequency
20
10
3 6 9 12 15 18
Sum of Numbers
Case - Total Effect when 4 Dices ( Factors )
30
Frequency
20
10
4 8 12 16 20 24
Sum of Numbers
Systems In Real Life
Output of Process
is normal Distribution
Operator
Time
Coolant
50 20%
0 0%
Plyless Wrong ply Wrong Single
feeding TPM cable TPM end
Control Charts
1. Introduction
Introduction
Go
No action on Process
Stop
Investigate/Adjust
Decision About The Process
Go
Stop
Take action ( Investigate/Adjust )
16
14
Frequency
12
10
8
6
4
2
0
47 48 49 50 51 52 53 54
kg
Control Chart Views Process in Real Time
Output of the process in real time
Target
Mean
UCLx
Target
LCLx
UCLr
Range
Time Intervals
Why Control Chart?
It helps in finding
Is there any change in location of process
mean in real time?
Change in Location of Process Mean
43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50 51 52 53
Why Control Chart?
It helps in finding
Is there any change in the spread
of the process in real time?
Change in Spread of Process
Spread due
Larger spread due
to common causes
to special causes
43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50 51 52 53
Why Control Chart?
Step No. 1
Step No . 2
At this step we decide, how many units will be in a sample and how
frequently the samples will be taken by the operator.
Basic Steps for Control Charts
Step No. 3
Step No. 4
Quality characteristics
Sampling procedure
Plotting of statistics
Corrective action
4. Typical control charts
Elements of Typical Control Chart
Target
1 2 3 4 5
Sample Number
5. Types of control chart
Types of Control Chart
We have two main types of control charts. One for variable data and
the other for attribute data.
For tracking
Accuracy
Mean
control chart
Variable
Control
Chart
For tracking
Precision
Range
control chart
6. Concepts behind control charts
Understanding effect of shift of
process mean
Case When Process Mean is at Target
Target Process
L Mean
U
-3s +3 s U-L=6s
42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50 51 52 53
42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50 51 52 53
42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50 51 52 53
When there is no shift in the process nearly all the observations fall
within -3 s and + 3 s.
When there is small shift in the mean of process some observations
fall outside original -3 s and +3 s zone.
Chances of an observation falling outside original -3 s and + 3 s
zone increases with the increase in the shift of process mean.
Conclusion from Normal Distribution
Since on the control charts for accuracy we plot and watch the trend
of the means and ranges of the samples, it is necessary that we
should understand the behaviour of
distribution of mean of samples.
Distribution of Averages of Samples
Suppose we have a lot of 1000 tablets, and let us say, weight of the
tablets follows a normal distribution having a standard deviation, s.
Let us take a sample of n tablets. Calculate mean of the sample and
record it. Continue this exercise of taking samples, calculating the
mean of samples and recording, 1000 times.
The mean of samples shall have normal distribution with standard
deviation, Sm = (s÷ n). Distribution of population and ‘means of
sample’ shall have same means.
Distribution - Population Vs Sample Means
Distribution of
means of samples
[standard deviation = (s÷ n)]
Distribution of population
(standard deviation = s
43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50 51 52 53
Quality Characteristics
Control and Warning Limits for Mean Control
Chart
UCL
UWL
3 (s ÷ n) 2 (s ÷ n)
Target
3 (s÷ n) 2 (s ÷ n)
LWL
LCL
1 2 3 4 5 6 7
Sample Number
8. Flow Chart for Establishing Control
Chart
Start
Record observations
UCLx = T + A2 x R
LCLx = T - A2 x R
UCLr = D4 x R
LCLr = D3 x R
Is any
Yes
sub-group mean or range Drop that
out side the control Group
limit ?
No
Flow Chart for Control Chart
Stop
9. Interpreting control charts
Interpreting Control Chart
Zone - 2 If the plotted point falls in this zone then special cause
may be present. Be careful watch for plotting of another sample(s).
Zone - 3 If the plotted point falls in this zone then special cause has
crept into the system, and corrective action is required.
Zones for Mean Control Chart
Zone - 3 Action
UCL
Zone - 2 Warning
UWL
Zone - 1 Continue
Sample Mean
Target
Zone - 1 Continue
Zone - 2 Warning
LWL
LCL
Zone - 3 Action
1 2 3 4 5 6 7
Sample Number
Interpreting Control Charts
Since the basis for control chart theory follows the normal
distribution, the same rules that governs the normal distribution
are used to interpret the control charts. These rules include:
- Randomness.
- Symmetry about the centre of the distribution.
- 99.73% of the population lies between - 3 s of and + 3 s the
centre line.
- 95.4% population lies between -2 s and + 2 s of the centre line.
Interpreting Control Chart
Probability of a point falling outside the control limit is less than 0.14%.
This pattern may indicate:
UCL
UWL
Statistics
Target
LWL
LCL
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8
Sample Number
Interpreting Control Chart
UCL
UWL
Statistics
Target
LWL
LCL
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8
Sample Number
Interpreting Control Chart
UCL
UWL
Statistics
Target
LWL
LCL
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8
Sample Number
Interpreting Control Chart
UCL
UWL
Statistics
Target
LWL
LCL
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8
Sample Number
Interpreting Control Chart
Target
LWL
LCL
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8
Sample Number
Interpreting Control Chart
Seven consecutive points having
downward trend
UCL
UWL
Statistics
Target
LWL
LCL
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8
Sample Number
Root cause analysis
Temperature
Consumables Humidity
Components Accounting
Suppliers Lighting
Policies
Effect
Variability
Instruments
Training
Experience Tests
Technology
Tooling
Attitude Gauging
Poor No SPC
Maintenance
click
Customer
Issue satisfaction
owners dept.
International
Surveys Customer marketing
satisfaction •Review actions
dept •Emerging issues
Administration
•Action plan
Complaints
•Issue Domestic
identification Marketing
Customer
•Prioritization
Critical •Ownership Technical
Situations
Delivery
Other
Service
Failure
Cause Effect
Mode
FMEA through Cause & Effect Diagram
Causes Causes Causes
Prevent
or Detect
Failure
Mode
Effect
See next slides for specimen best to worst ratings on a 10 point scale.
Best to Worst ratings for FMEA
calculations
Rating Degree of Severity Likelihood of Occurrence Ability to detect
1 Customer will not at all observe Very remote possibility Sure that the potential failure
the adverse effect will be detected & prevented
before reaching the next
customer
2 Customer will experience Low failure with supporting Almost sure that the potential
slight discomfort documents failure will be detected before
reachig the next customer
3 Customer will experience Low failure without supporting Less chances that the
annoyance because of slight documents potential failure will reach the
degradation of performance next customer undetected
5 Customer is uncomfortable Moderate failure rate with Moderate chances that the
supporting documents potential failure will reach the
next customer
Best to Worst ratings for FMEA calculations
Rating Degree of Severity Likelihood of Occurrence Ability to detect
6 Warranty repairs Modearate failure rate without Controls are not likely to detect
supporting documents or prevent the potential failure
from reaching the next
customer
7 High degree of customer High failure rate with supporting Less chances that the potential
dissatisfaction documents failure will be detected or
prevented before reaching
the next customer
8 Vey high degree of customer High failure rate with supporting Very less chances that the
dissatisfaction documents potential failure will be detected
or prevented before reaching
the next customer
9 Negative impact on the Failure is almost certain Existing controls will not detect
customer the potential failure
10 Negative impact on the Assured failure Existing controls will not detect
customer, people & society the potential failure
FMEA Form: ( Column 1 to 9 )
Rank severity Rank how well
Rank occurrence List how the cause
on 1 to 10 cause/failure
on a 1 to 10 is presently
scale can be detected
scale being controlled
on 1 to 10 scale
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Process Potential failure mode Potential failure effect SEV Potential causes OCC Current Controls DET RPN
Part No.
1
2
3
4
5
10 11 12 13 14 15
Actions Recommended Responsibility SEV OCC DET RPN
List actions
recommended
on RPN pareto
Quality Function Deployment ( QFD )
Importance
Customer Requirements on 10 point
scale
Very Important
Moderately Important
Slightly important
Step 2 : List technical requirements to meet customer requirements
Technical Requirements
Step 3 : Comparing product with the nearest competitor
Complaints
Customer competitive
evaluation on 5 point scale( 5 high , 1 low )
Rank
1 2 3 4 5 Action
Customer Requirements
Technical Requirements
Strong relation
Moderate relation
Weak relation
Rank
Customer Requirements
QFD matrix overview after step 4
Technical Requirements
Competitive evaluation
Rank
Customer Requirements
Step 5 : Do competitive technical Assessment
Technical Requirements
Competitive evaluation
5
Competitive 4
Technical Competitor assessment
3
Assessment 2
Our assessment
1
Step 6 : Mention operational targets or action points
Technical Requirements
Competitive evaluation
Competitive
Technical
Assessment
Operational
New Product
Targets
QFD - Customers Voice
The whole process of the QFD can be linked to GIGO ( Garbage in garbage
out ). This is because, if the voice of the customer has not been captured
properly, the final product will also not be the one actually desired by the
market place. It is therefore extremely important to capture the correct
voice of the customer before taking any other step in the QFD planning
process. We will explain this by the forthcoming example of new car
development.
New car development - A case study
Survey
The product development team is all set to translate the requirements of the
customer into technical requirements as per the QFD matrix.
Fallacy : The survey is based on aggregate data management and its basic
assumption is that there is one best answer for every one.
Classification of needs
The product development team is asked by the CEO to classify the needs of
various drivers and then give it a rating instead of proceeding simply with
the aggregate data management. After the market survey the product
development team divided the customer into two broad categories :-
1. The performance driver and
2. The practical driver
The team then came with the following findings -
Two different profiles of desired product attributes
Performance driver 5 Practical driver
•Easy to drive
•Easy to drive •Durable
•Excellently finished 3 •Quiet riding
•Quiet riding •Smooth ride
•Classic styling •Protects driver
•Smooth riding •Excellently finished
2
1
•Free from breakdowns
•Excellent gas mileage •Many electronic devises
•Protects drivers •Aerodynamic design
•Durable •Hugs the road
•Many electronic devices •Instruments to read functions
•Classic styling
•Convertible roof
•Virtually maintenance free •Convertible roof
•Fast acceleration
Correctly reading the customer’s voice