Summary of Comparison Methods We Know So Far:: Still To Come

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Summary of comparison methods we know so far:

Present worth

Future worth

Annual worth

Still to come:

Rate of return

Cost/benefit

Payback period
Comparing Alternatives

In comparing alternatives, any cost common to all the alternatives


can be ignored.

This will sometimes result in all the alternatives having negative


present worth. Don’t worry – just choose the least negative.

In many situations – for example, Question 2.5 – you will need to


be careful to set up the comparison fairly.
Study Period
The Chopper lawnmower costs $100, requires $10 in fuel every year,
and will last 4 years. The LawnBoy lawnmower costs $120, uses $15
in fuel every year, and lasts 6 years. If I expect to be cutting lawns
for the rest of my life, which is the better buy?

Either determine a salvage value:

PW(Chopper) = -100 - 10(P/A, i, 4)

PW(LawnBoy) = -120 - 15(P/A, i, 4) + S(P/F, i, 4)

Or consider the lowest common multiple of lives:

PW(Chopper) = -100 - 10(P/A, i, 12) – 100(P/F,i,4) – 100(P/F,i,8)

PW(LawnBoy) = -120 - 15(P/A, i, 12) - 120(P/F, i, 6)


The Chopper lawnmower costs $100, requires $10 in fuel every year,
and will last 4 years. The LawnBoy lawnmower costs $120, uses $15
in fuel every year, and lasts 6 years. If I expect to be cutting lawns
for the rest of my life, which is the better buy?

…Or look at Equivalent Uniform Annual Worth:

EUAC(Chopper) = -100(A/P, i, 4) – 10

EUAC(LawnBoy) = -120(A/P, i, 6) - 15
Sets of Alternatives

Alternatives may be independent, contingent, or exclusive

Independent: Buying socks and buying a tie

Contingent: Buying shoes and buying socks

Exclusive: Buying a Lamborghini and buying a Ferrari


In a complex situation, arrange the possibilities into mutually exclusive
subsets and pick the best subset.

Example: You can do A, B, C , D or E. If you do A, you can’t do B. To do


D, you must do either B or C. If you do E, you must do A. You can’t do
both B and C, and if you do D, you can’t do E.

What are the possible subsets?


Rates of Return
What is your interest rate?
The MARR
This is your Minimum Acceptable Rate of Return

If you’re in business at all, it’s because you think you


can make more money from your investment than the
bank can.

So, your MARR must be at least as great as the bank


rate.
The MARR
If all the initial investment in the business is yours,
your MARR is whatever you think it should be.

If you’ve borrowed some of the money from the bank,


your MARR must be enough to pay the interest on the
loan.
If your business is owned by its shareholders…

your rate of return must be high enough to keep them happy.


The Internal Rate of Return

One way of comparing projects is to calculate their


rates of return.

If the project’s rate of return is less than your MARR,


don’t do it.

If you have several projects, the one with the highest


rate of return might be the best…
The Internal Rate of Return

If your project requires a single present investment,


P, and yields a single future payout, F, in N years
time, then its rate of return is the solution to:

P = F(P/F, i, N)
The Internal Rate of Return

This can be re-stated as:

PW = P - F(P/F, i, N) = 0

More generally, the internal rate of return, or IRR,


is the interest rate which makes the total present
worth of the project cashflows equal to zero.
Example:
We build a bicycle factory at an initial cost
of $800 000. We hire workers at $100 000 a
year, payable at year’s end. In the first five
years of the project, our year-end sales are:

End of Year Sales ($ 000)


1 80
2 200
3 500
4 1000
5 1200

What is the rate of return for the project?


A good way of solving these problems is to
build a spreadsheet.

We work out the value of:

PW = - 800 - 20(P/F,i,1) + 100(P/F,i,2)

+ 400(P/F,i,3) + 900(P/F,i,4) + 1100(P/F,i,5)

For different values of i and plot a graph.


i -800 -20(P/F,i,1) 100(P/F,i,2) 400(P/F,i,3) 900(P/F,i,4) 1100(P/F,i,5) PW
0.00 -800 -20 100 400 900 1100 1680
0.05 -800 -19 91 346 740 862 1220
0.10 -800 -18 83 301 615 683 863
0.15 -800 -17 76 263 515 547 583
0.20 -800 -17 69 231 434 442 360
0.25 -800 -16 64 205 369 360 182
0.30 -800 -15 59 182 315 296 37
0.35 -800 -15 55 163 271 245 -81
0.40 -800 -14 51 146 234 205 -179
0.45 -800 -14 48 131 204 172 -260

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