INTERNATIONAL ISSUES

Terrorism
 Terrorism of the Foreseeable Future..
Intensified Ideological Extremism
Enhanced Operational Capabilities
Expanded Transnational Associations
Flexible Organizational Networks
Emergent Independent Actors
Increased Weapon System Lethality
Targeted Economic Disruption
Exploited Mass Media Marketing
Disarmament
 Possible Scenarios In 2020
Nuclear, chemical, bio weapons continue to proliferate.

Terrorism will continue

Increasing violence and political influence by non-state actors.

Proliferation of primitive as well as modern weapons/systems.

Disarmament of India by 2020 would be difficult.

In support of a non-discriminatory, verifiable FMCT (Fissile

Material Cut-off Treaty )
 Foreseeable India’s Future
IT will help India overtake China as the fastest growing economy and become the
3rd ranked economy

Internet access will increase 6-10 times

Every Indian will have a UID (vs. none today)

300 M+ will have access to electronic fund transfer

India will have 2nd largest electronic payments volume.

Indian IT and Telecom companies will be global players

India will be the major IT product market

 Possible Scenarios In 2020
Skills Shortage & Ubiquitous Data

Over 2200 Indian companies are projected to open operations outside the
country over the next fifteen years.

Cash& carry and supper market model will be more prominent

Medical tourism/global health care.

Tele-medication in rural and urban area.

9-10 percent expected growth in infrastructure.

Global infrastructure investment in India expected to increase considerably in

the next 10 years.
B
R
I
C
 BRIC IN 2020
China and India dominant supplier of manufactured goods and services

Brazil and Russia dominant supplier of raw materials

BRIC maintain economic growth by trading with each other

BRIC investment in infrastructure projected over $22 tn

Growth of middle class in India and China,rising incomes will have much
greater impact on global demand
South Africa and Indonesia are the potential additions to the BRIC, forming
it a 6 nation congregation
International Financial Institutions
India’s borrowing likely to reduce by 2020 – source funding through
other means.

Poorest countries – African – need more funding.

Domestic funds

International Funds

Innovative approaches to raise capital

Domestic institutions forced to compete with the FIIs; Structural

issues will come to the fore with a plain message: reform or despair.
INTERNATIONAL TRADE
 INTERNATIONAL TRADE BARRIERS

Subsides for
Conflict between political or Removal of
US & UK economical internal subsidies
reasons

Structural Piracy in global Controversial

adjustment trade monetary aid
GLOBAL TRADING SYSTEM
 GLOBAL TRADING SYSTEM
The economic development of China.

An initiative for Asia Pacific Free Trade Area makes concrete progress.

2020 possibility of FTAA, African common market and Euro- Mediterranean Free trade
Area in existence.

Smaller groupings with closer integration might co-exist.

It moves mainly towards regional trade agreements.

The political differences between India have led Pakistan.

world moving to region-wide economic groupings.

UNITED NATION
 RELEVANCE OF UNITED NATIONS
VISION FOR 2020:

Crisis prevention and recovery

HIV and development

Poverty reduction

Conservation energy and prevention

Mitigation plans for crisis management

ERADICATE REDUCE ENSURE
EXTREME CHILD ENVIRONMENT
POVERTY AND MORTALITY AL
HUNGER SUSTAINABILITY

ACHIEVE IMPROVE GLOBAL

UNIVERSAL MATERNAL PARTNERSHIP
PRIMARY HEALTH
EDUCATION

COMBAT HIV PROMOTE

AND OTHER GENDER
DISEASES EQUALITY
TAXATION IN INTERDEPENDENT WORLD
TAXATION IN INTERDEPENDENT WORLD

Double
taxation

Realistic
Not
policy
completely
For E-
automatic
commerce

Gov., need Gov., need

transparency revamped
LOGISTICS
 LOGISTIC MANAGEMENT

TODAYS SCM THE VISION

• WEEKLY WEEKLY • DAILY BASIS

SOURCE MAKE DELIVARY SOURCE MAKE DELIVARY

ISSUES IN INTERNATIONAL

product product
International Domestic

Fluctuation rate, government policies, local collaborators

ultimately become competitors, danger of foreign government.
 WTO in 2020

OPTIMISTIC APPROACH

LEGITIMACY

JUSTICE

LAWMAKING

ATTENTION TO POVERTY

PASCAL LAMY
DIRECTOR GENERAL WTO
WTO - 2020

Pessimistic Approach

Countries decide to pull out

Decision making and conflict of interest

By 2020…….
World Peace Organization

• Focus of UN towards maintaining world

peace both within the countries and
world wide.
• Including the “Rogue States” as an
integral part.
• UN  UN Terra
UN Universal
 By 2020…….
Weapon Reserves

• Nuclear weapons  created and operated

from Moon.
• Extended use of the ISS for military.
• Operations from IDC ( International Defense
Centre ) which would be in the geo-
synchronous orbit of planet Earth
POVERTY
POVERTY

• In 2020,
• Poverty related to monetary
benefits will surely come
down
• Poverty may get a new face
of recognition (other than
money).
• It is a relative process and
will exist.
POVERTY - 2020
(a)Consistent Approach Which
Includes Participation Of People
Of Faith Government And
Business .

(B) Protect Human Dignity.

(C) Avoiding Disparity

Between

The Rich And Poor.

MULTI NATIONAL COMPANIES
 FACE OF INDIAN MNC’S IN 2020

Indian companies progress over the next 20 years will be

intimately linked to events within the region as well as around
the world.

Both opportunities and challenges will arise as the result of

transformations in the regional and global political and
security environments.
 INDIAN MNC’S
TATA IN 2020
Acquisition of JAGUAR in auto sector(TOYOTA,VOLKSWAGON)
Acquisition of CORUS in metal sector(ARCELORMITTAL)

MAHINDRA IN 2020
Acquisition of REVA(G-WHIZ) in HYBRID sector(RISING OIL PRICES).

MICROMAX IN 2020
Surpassing NOKIA in terms of sales in world market.
 FACTORS THAT WILL LEAD TO FURTHER
GROWTH OF MNC’S

Population Growth

Economic Expansion
Growth of World Trade
Growth of Services Sector

Capital Flows

Technology & Infrastructure

Expansion of software market
Thank You

Presented By

Sowmya P(1021452)
Samuel Norman(1020759)
Varghese John(1021035)