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Individual and Market Demand
Individual and Market Demand
Demand
Topics to be Discussed
• Individual Demand
• Income and Substitution Effects
• Market Demand
• Consumer Surplus
• Network Externalities
• Empirical Estimation of Demand
2
Individual Demand
• Price Changes
Clothing Assume:
• I = $20
10 • PC = $2
• PF = $2, $1, $0.50
U2
Food (units
per month)
4 12 20
4
Effect of a Price Change
Clothing
The Price-Consumption
10
Curve traces out the
utility maximizing
6 A market basket for each
U1 D
price of food
5
B
4 U3
U2
Food (units
per month)
4 12 20
5
Effect of a Price Change
Demand Schedule
• By changing prices and showing
what the consumer will purchase, P Q
we can create a demand schedule
and demand curve for the $2.00 4
individual
$1.00 12
6
Effect of a Price Change
Price
of Food
E Individual Demand relates the
$2.00
quantity of a good that a consumer
will buy to the price of that good.
G
$1.00
Demand Curve
$.50 H
Food (units
4 12 20 per month)
7
Demand Curves – Important Properties
• The level of utility that can be attained changes as we move
along the curve
8
Effect of a Price Change
Price When the price falls,
of Food
A Pf /Pc & MRS also fall
$2.00
10
Effects of Income Changes
Clothing
(units per Assume: Pf = $1, Pc = $2
month)
I = $10, $20, $30
Food (units
4 per month)
10 16
11
Problem
15
Individual Demand
• Income Changes
• An increase in income shifts the budget line to the right,
increasing consumption along the income-consumption
curve
16
Effects of Income Changes
Clothing
(units per The Income Consumption Curve traces
month) out the utility maximizing market
basket for each income level
7
Income Consumption Curve
D
U3
5 U2
B
3
A U1
Food (units
4 per month)
10 16
17
Effects of Income Changes
Price
of An increase in income, from $10 to
food $20 to $30, with the prices fixed,
shifts the consumer’s demand curve
to the right as well.
E G H
$1.00
D3
D2
D1
Food (units
4 10 16 per month)
18
Individual Demand
• Income Changes
• When the income-consumption curve has a
positive slope:
• The quantity demanded increases with income
• The income elasticity of demand is positive
• The good is a normal good
19
Individual Demand
• Income Changes
• When the income-consumption curve has a
negative slope:
• The quantity demanded decreases with income
• The income elasticity of demand is negative
• The good is an inferior good
20
Inferior goods: example
Inter-city bus service is an example of an inferior good. This form of
transportation is cheaper than air or rail travel, but is more time-
consuming.
When money is constricted, traveling by bus becomes more acceptable,
but when money is more abundant than time, more rapid transport is
preferred. In some countries with less developed or poorly maintained
railways this is reversed: trains are slower and cheaper than buses, so
rail travel is an inferior good.
An Inferior Good
Income-Consumption Curve
Steak
(units per
Both hamburger and steak behave as a
month) normal good, between A and B...
C
10
U3
…but hamburger becomes an inferior
good when the income consumption curve
5 B bends backward between B and C.
U2
A
U1
Hamburger
30 (units per month)
5 10 20
22
Individual Demand
• Engel Curves
• Engel curves relate the quantity of good consumed to
income
• If the good is a normal good, the Engel curve is upward
sloping
• If the good is an inferior good, the Engel curve is
downward sloping
23
Engel Curves
Income 30
($ per
month)
10
Food (units
4 8 12 16 per month)
24
Engel Curves
Income 30
($ per
month) Inferior
10
Food (units
4 8 12 16 per month)
25
Annual U.S. Household Consumer Expenditures
26
Substitutes & Complements
• Two goods are considered substitutes if an
increase (decrease) in the price of one(Px) leads
to an increase (decrease) in the quantity
demanded(Qy) of the other.
• Positive relation between Px and Qy
29
Substitutes & Complements
• If the price consumption curve is downward-
sloping, the two goods are considered substitutes
• Substitution Effect
• Income Effect
31
Income and Substitution Effects
• Substitution Effect
33
Income and Substitution Effects
• Substitution Effect
• The substitution effect is the change in an item’s
consumption associated with a change in the price
of the item, with the level of utility held constant
• When the price of an item declines, the substitution
effect always leads to an increase in the quantity
demanded of the good
34
Income and Substitution
Effects
• Income Effect
• The income effect is the change in an item’s
consumption brought about by the increase in
purchasing power, with the price of the item held
constant
• When a person’s income increases, the quantity
demanded for the product may increase or decrease
35
Income and Substitution Effects
• Income Effect
• Even with inferior goods, the income effect is
rarely large enough to outweigh the
substitution effect
36
Substitution and Income Effects
37
Income effect
· Definition: As the price of x falls, all else constant,
purchasing power rises. This is called the income effect
of a change in price.
38
Substitution effect
As the price of x falls, all else constant, good x becomes cheaper relative to
good y. This change in relative prices alone and causes the consumer to adjust
his/ her consumption basket. This effect is called the substitution effect.
39
Y (units) Normal Good: Income and Substitution Effects
BL2
BL1
Let Px decrease
A
• C
B
•
• U1
U2
BLd
Substitution
Income
0 XA XB XC X (units)
40
Y (units) Example: Inferior Good: Income and Substitution Effects
BL2
“X is an inferior good”
C
A • BL1
• U2
B BLd
• U1
Income
Substitution
0 XA XC XB X (units)
41
Y (units) The Price Consumption Curve
The price consumption curve for good x plots all the utility
maximization points as the price of x changes. This reveals an
individual’s demand curve for good x.
10
Price consumption curve
• •
• PX = 1
PX = 4 PX = 2
0 XA=2 XB=10 XC=16 20 X (units)
42
Example: Individual Demand Curve for X
PX = 4 •
PX = 2 • U increasing
PX = 1 •
X
XA=2 XB=10 XC=16
43
Income and Substitution Effects
• A Special Case: The Giffen Good
• Giffen goods: are the special type
of inferior goods in which the price
effect is negative.
44
• Example - Bread is a giffen good for a poor person. Because
when there is an increase in the price of bread, the demand
of bread may also go up.
• Why?
• Price of bread increases.
• Now the real disposable income of the consumer has
decreased. (due to reduced purchasing power)
• As the consumer can now afford less units of other
expensive products like meat etc. He reduces the demand of
meat.
• To maintain the same level of nutrition, he reduces
consumption of meat, butter etc. but buys more units of
bread than before.
• The demand curve: the relationship between price and quantity demanded
• Quantity demanded – the amount of a good that buyers are willing and able to
purchase
• One important determinant of quantity demanded is the price of the product
• Quantity demanded is negatively related to price. This implies that the demand
curve is downward sloping
•
• What causes the inverse relationship between price and quantity demanded? Move
along the line/curve
• Income Effect – a lower price has the effect of increasing money income => buy
more of other things
• Substitution Effect–a lower price causes people to switch to the purchase of the
“better deal”
• Common sense – buy more if price is lower
Market Demand Versus Individual Demand
• The market demand is the sum of all of the individual demands for a
particular good or service
• The market demand curve shows how the total quantity demanded of a
good varies with the price of the good, holding constant all other factors
that affect how much consumers want to buy
Market Demand versus Individual Demand
• Suppose Helen and Ken are the only two buyers in the Latte
market. (Qd = quantity demanded)
• If any of these other factors change, the demand curve will shift
• An increase in demand can be represented by a shift of the demand
curve to the right
• A decrease in demand can be represented by a shift of the demand
curve to the left
Shifts in the Demand Curve
• Income
• The relationship between income and quantity demanded depends on what type
of good the product is
• Normal good – a good for which, other things equal, an increase in income
leads to a increase in demand
• Demand for a normal good is positively related to income.
• Inferior good – a good for which, other things equal, an increase in income
leads to a decrease in demand
• Demand for an inferior good is negatively related to income.
Shifts in the Demand Curve
• Prices of related goods
• Substitutes – two goods for which an increase in the price of one good leads to an
increase in the demand for the other
• Example: hot dogs and hamburgers.
An increase in the price of hot dogs increases demand for hamburgers, shifting
hamburger demand curve to the right.
• Other examples: Coke and Pepsi, laptops and desktop computers, compact
discs and music downloads
• Complements – two goods for which an increase in the price of
one good leads to a decrease in the demand for the other
$3.00
$2.00
$1.00
$0.00 Q
0 5 10 15 20 25 30
Elasticity
A scenario…
You
You design
design websites
websites for
for local
local businesses.
businesses.
You
You charge
charge $200
$200 per
per website,
website, and
and currently
currently sell
sell 12
12 websites
websites per
per
month.
month.
Your
Your costs
costs are
are rising
rising (including
(including the
the opp.
opp. cost
cost ofof your
your time),
time), so
so you’re
you’re
thinking
thinking of
of raising
raising the
the price
price to
to $250.
$250.
The
The law
law of
of demand
demand says
says that
that you
you won’t
won’t sell
sell as
as many
many websites
websites ifif you
you
raise
raise your
your price.
price.
How
How many
many fewer
fewer websites?
websites?
How
How much
much will
will your
your revenue
revenue fall,
fall, or
or might
might itit increase?
increase?
Elasticity
$250 – $200
x 100% = 22.2%
$225
The % change in Q equals
12 – 8
x 100% = 40.0%
10
The price elasticity of demand equals
40/22.2 = 1.8
• If the price rises by 3 %, the quantity
demanded falls by 1.5 %. Calculate the price
elasticity of demand.
A C T I V E L E A R N I N G 1:
Calculate an elasticity
77
A C T I V E L E A R N I N G 1:
Answers
Use midpoint method to calculate
% change in Qd
(5000 – 3000)/4000 = 50%
% change in P
($90 – $70)/$80 = 25%
The price elasticity of demand equals
50%
= 2.0
25%
78
What determines price elasticity?
To learn the determinants of price elasticity, we look at a series of examples.
Each compares two common goods.
In each example:
• Suppose the prices of both goods rise by 20%.
• The good for which Qd falls the most (in percent) has the highest price elasticity of
demand. Which good is it? Why?
• What lesson does the example teach us about the determinants of the price elasticity of
demand?
EXAMPLE 1:
Rice Krispies vs. Sunscreen
• The prices of both of these goods rise by 20%. For which good
does Qd drop the most? Why?
• Rice Krispies (Breakfast cereal) has lots of close substitutes
(e.g., Cap’n Crunch, Count Chocula), so buyers can easily
switch if the price rises.
• Sunscreen has no close substitutes, so consumers would
probably not buy much less if its price rises.
• Lesson: Price elasticity is higher when close substitutes are
available.
EXAMPLE 2:
“Blue Jeans” vs. “Clothing”
• The prices of both goods rise by 20%. For which good does Qd
drop the most? Why?
• For a narrowly defined good such as blue jeans, there are
many substitutes (khakis, shorts).
• There are fewer substitutes available for broadly defined
goods.
(No substitute for clothing)
• Lesson: Price elasticity is higher for narrowly defined goods
than broadly defined ones.
EXAMPLE 3:
Insulin vs. Caribbean Cruises
• The prices of both of these goods rise by 20%. For which good
does Qd drop the most? Why?
• To millions of diabetics, insulin is a necessity.
A rise in its price would cause little or no decrease in
demand.
• A cruise is a luxury. If the price rises, some people will
forego it.
• Lesson: Price elasticity is higher for luxuries than for
necessities.
EXAMPLE 4:
Gasoline in the Short Run vs. Gasoline in the Long Run
• The price of gasoline rises 20%. Does Qd drop more in the short
run or the long run? Why?
• There’s not much people can do in the short run, other than
ride the bus or carpool.
• In the long run, people can buy smaller cars or live closer to
where they work.
• Lesson: Price elasticity is higher in the long run than the
short run.
The Determinants of Price Elasticity:
A Summary
The
The price
price elasticity
elasticity of
of demand
demand depends
depends on:
on:
the
the extent
extent to
to which
which close
close substitutes
substitutes are
are available
available
whether
whether the
the good
good is
is aa necessity
necessity or
or aa luxury
luxury
how
how broadly
broadly oror narrowly
narrowly the
the good
good is
is defined
defined
the
the time
time horizon:
horizon: elasticity
elasticity is
is higher
higher in
in the
the long
long run
run than
than
the
the short
short run.
run.
The Variety of Demand Curves
• Economists classify demand curves according to their elasticity.
• The price elasticity of demand is closely related to the slope of the
demand curve.
• Rule of thumb:
The flatter the demand curve, the higher the elasticity.
The steeper the demand curve, the smaller the elasticity.
• The next 5 slides present the different classifications, from least to most
elastic.
“Perfectly inelastic demand” (one extreme case)
Price elasticity % change in Q 0%
= = =0
of demand % change in P 10%
D curve: P
D
vertical
P1
Consumers’ price sensitivity:
0 P2
P falls by Q
Elasticity: 10% Q1
0 Q changes
by 0%
“Inelastic demand”
Price elasticity % change in Q < 10%
= = <1
of demand % change in P 10%
D curve: P
relatively steep
P1
Consumers’
price sensitivity: P2
relatively low D
P falls by Q
Elasticity: 10% Q1 Q2
<1
Q rises less than
10%
“Unit elastic demand”
Price elasticity % change in Q 10%
= = =1
of demand % change in P 10%
D curve: P
intermediate slope
P1
Consumers’
price sensitivity: P2
D
intermediate
P falls by Q
Elasticity: 10% Q1 Q2
1
Q rises by 10%
“Elastic demand”
Price elasticity % change in Q > 10%
= = >1
of demand % change in P 10%
D curve: P
relatively flat
P1
Consumers’
price sensitivity: P2 D
relatively high
P falls by Q
Elasticity: 10% Q1 Q2
>1
Q rises more than
10%
“Perfectly elastic demand” (the other extreme)
Price elasticity % change in Q any %
= = = infinity
of demand % change in P 0%
D curve: P
horizontal
P2 = P1 D
Consumers’
price sensitivity:
extreme
P changes by 0% Q
Elasticity: Q1 Q2
infinity
Q changes
by any %
Elasticity of a Linear Demand Curve
P The slope
of a linear demand
$30 curve is constant,
but its elasticity
20 is not.
10
$0 Q
0 20 40 60
Elasticity of a Linear Demand Curve
P The slope
200% of a linear demand
$30 E= = 5.0 curve is constant,
40%
but its elasticity
67% is not.
20 E= = 1.0
67%
40%
10 E= = 0.2
200%
$0 Q
0 20 40 60
Price Elasticity and Total Revenue
• Continuing our scenario, if you raise your price from $200 to
$250, would your revenue rise or fall?
Revenue = P x Q
• If demand is elastic, then
price elasticity of demand > 1
% change in Q > % change in P
• The fall in revenue from lower Q is greater than the increase in revenue
from higher P, so revenue falls.
Price Elasticity and Total Revenue Demand for your
websites
Elastic demand
(elasticity = 1.8) increased revenue
P lost revenue
due to higher P due to lower
If P = $200, Q = 12 and
Q
revenue = $2400. $250
$200
If P = $250, D
Q = 8 and
revenue = $2000.
Q
When D is elastic, a price 8 12
increase causes revenue to fall.
Price Elasticity and Total Revenue
Price elasticity of Percentage change in Q
=
demand Percentage change in P
Revenue = P x Q
• If demand is inelastic, then
price elasticity of demand < 1
% change in Q < % change in P
• The fall in revenue from lower Q is smaller than the increase in revenue from
higher P, so revenue rises.
• In our example, suppose that Q only falls to 10 (instead of 8) when you raise
your price to $250 the revenue would increase by 2500.
Price Elasticity and Total Revenue
Demand for your
Now, demand is inelastic: websites
increased revenue
elasticity = 0.82 due to higher P
P lost revenue
If P = $200, due to lower
Q
Q = 12 and revenue =
$250
$2400.
$200
If P = $250,
Q = 10 and D
revenue = $2500.
When D is inelastic, a price Q
10 12
increase
causes revenue to rise.
Elasticity and expenditure/revenue
A. Pharmacies raise the price of insulin by 10%. Does
total expenditure on insulin rise or fall?
98
A C T I V E L E A R N I N G 2:
Answers
99
A C T I V E L E A R N I N G 2:
Answers
B. As a result of a fare war, the price of a luxury cruise falls 20%.
Does luxury cruise companies’ total revenue rise or fall?
Revenue = P x Q
The fall in P reduces revenue, but Q increases, which
increases revenue. Which effect is bigger?
Since demand is elastic, Q will increase more than 20%, so
revenue rises.
100
Calculate price elasticity and total revenue
Calculate Elasticity of a Linear Demand Curve
Elasticity of a Linear Demand Curve
Price Elasticity and Consumer Expenditure
104
Income Elasticity of Demand
Price of
Album
Demand
0 1 2 3 4 Quantity of
Albums
Figure 2 Measuring Consumer Surplus with the Demand Curve
$100
John ’s consumer surplus ($20)
80
70
50
Demand
0 1 2 3 4
Quantity of
Albums
Figure 2 Measuring Consumer Surplus with the Demand Curve
80
Paul ’s consumer
70 surplus ($10)
Total
50 consumer
surplus ($40)
Demand
0 1 2 3 4 Quantity of
Albums
Using the Demand Curve to Measure Consumer Surplus
Consumer
surplus
P1
B C
Demand
0 Q1 Quantity
Figure 3 How the Price Affects Consumer Surplus
Initial
consumer
surplus
C Consumer surplus
P1
B to new consumers
F
P2
D E
Additional consumer Demand
surplus to initial
consumers
0 Q1 Q2 Quantity
What Does Consumer Surplus Measure?
• Consumer surplus, the amount that buyers are willing to pay
for a good minus the amount they actually pay for it,
measures the benefit that buyers receive from a good as the
buyers themselves perceive it.
• The “extra” value or utility a consumer gets when the good’s
market price is below what she would be willing to pay for
the good.
Consumer Surplus
• Consumers buy goods because it makes them
better off
128
Network Externalities
• Up to this point we have assumed that people’s
demands for a good are independent of one
another
• For some goods, one person’s demand also
depends on the demands of other people
129
Network Externalities
130
Network Externalities
• A positive network externality exists if the quantity
of a good demanded by a consumer increases in
response to an increase in purchases by other
consumers
• Negative network externalities are just the opposite
131
Network Externalities
• The Bandwagon Effect
• This is the desire to be in style, to have a good because almost
everyone else has it, or to indulge in a fad
• This is the major objective of marketing and advertising
campaigns (e.g. toys, clothing)
• Positive network externality in which a consumer wishes to
possess a good in part because others do
132
Positive Network
Externality: Bandwagon Effect
Price D20 D40 D60 D80 D100
($ per
unit) When consumers believe more
people have purchased the
product, the demand curve shifts
further to the the right.
Quantity
20 40 60 80 100 (thousands per month)
133
Positive Network
Externality: Bandwagon Effect
Price D20 D40 D60 D80 D100 The market demand
($ per curve is found by joining
unit)
the points on the individual
demand curves. It is relatively
more elastic.
Demand
Quantity
20 40 60 80 100 (thousands per month)
134
Positive Network
Externality: Bandwagon Effect
Price D40 D60 D80 D100 But as
Suppose themore
pricepeople
falls buy
D20
($ per from the
$30 good,
to $20.it If
becomes
there
unit) stylish
were no to own iteffect,
bandwagon and
the quantity
quantity demanded demanded
would
increases
only increase further.
to 48,000
$30
Demand
$20 Bandwagon
Pure Price
Effect
Effect
Quantity
20 40 48 60 80 100 (thousands per month)
135
Network Externalities
• The Snob Effect
• If the network externality is negative, a snob effect exists
• The snob effect refers to the desire to own exclusive or unique goods
• The quantity demanded of a “snob” good is higher the fewer the
people who own it
136
Network Externality: Snob Effect
Price
($ per Originally demand is D2,
unit) Demand
when consumers think 2,000
$30,000 people have bought a good.
D2
Pure Price Effect
D4
D6
D8
Quantity (thousands
2 4 6 8 14 per month)
137
Network Externality: Snob Effect
Price
($ per The demand is less elastic and
unit) Demand as a snob good its value is greatly
reduced if more people own
$30,000 it. Sales decrease as a result.
Examples: Rolex watches and long
lines at the ski lift.
Net Effect
Snob Effect
$15,000
D2
Pure Price Effect
D4
D6
D8
Quantity (thousands
2 4 6 8 14 per month)
138
Empirical Estimation of Demand
• The most direct way to obtain information about demand is
through interviews where consumers are asked how much of
a product they would be willing to buy at a given price
• Problem is that consumers may lack information or interest,
or be misled by the interviewer
• In direct marketing experiments, actual sales offers are posed
to potential customers and the responses of customers are
observed
139
Empirical Estimation of Demand
• The Statistical Approach to Demand Estimation
• Properly applied, the statistical approach to demand
estimation can enable one to sort out the effects of
variables on the quantity demanded of a product
• “Least-squares” regression is one approach
140
Demand Data for Raspberries
141
Empirical Estimation of Demand
••
Assuming only price determines demand:
142
Estimating Demand
Price 25
D represents demand
if only P determines
20 demand and then from
the data: Q=28.2-1.00P
15
d1
10
5 d2 D
d3
0 5 10 15 20 25 Quantity
143
Estimating Demand – Changes in Income
Price
25 d1, d2, d3 represent the demand for each
income level. Including income in the
demand equation: Q = a - bP + cI or Q =
20 8.08 - .49P + .81I
15
d1
10
5 d2 D
d3
0 5 10 15 20 25 Quantity
144
Empirical Estimation of Demand
• Estimating Elasticities
• For the demand equation: Q = a - bP
• Elasticity:
EP (Q / P )( P / Q) b( P / Q )
145
Empirical Estimation of Demand
• Assuming: Price and income elasticity are
constant
• The isoelastic demand =
146
Empirical Estimation of Demand
• Using the Raspberry data:
147
Empirical Estimation of Demand
Complements and Substitutes
148
The Demand for Ready-to-Eat Cereal
• Are Grape Nuts and Spoon Size Shredded Wheat good substitutes?
• Estimated demand for Grape Nuts (GN)
log(QGN ) 1.998 2.085 log( PGN ) 0.62 log( I ) 0.14 log( PSW )
149