Professional Documents
Culture Documents
Introduction To Finance: Blair Robertson
Introduction To Finance: Blair Robertson
Lecture 4
Blair Robertson
Lecture 4: The Time Value of Money Continued
• Time Value of Money Simplifications (which reduce the #
calculations)
- Perpetuities – we use this a lot in finance to value equity
- Annuities – we use this a lot in finance to value bonds
2
Simplifications
$$$ $$$ $$$
0 1 2 3
Perpetuity
• A constant stream of cash flows that continues forever
Growing perpetuity
• A stream of cash flows that grows at a constant rate forever
Annuity
• A stream of constant cash flows that lasts for a fixed number
of periods
Growing annuity
• A stream of cash flows that grows at a constant rate for a
fixed number of periods
3
Simplifications: Perpetuities
$C $C $C
…∞
0 1 2 3
C
PV T+1
r
T
* Note that the formula values C as of one period prior to the first period, or,
said another way, the cash is assumed to be received one full period hence
4
Perpetuity: Example
What is the value of a British consol (a British government
security without a maturity date, i.e. a perpetual stream of
future cash flows) that promises to pay $15 each year forever?
The interest rate is 10-percent.
…
0 1 2 3
PV = ?
C=?
r=?
5
Simplifications: Growing Perpetuities
• A stream of cash flows that grows at a constant rate forever
$C $C(1+g) $C(1+g)(1+g)
…∞
0 1 2 3
C
PV T+1
T
rg
* Note that the formula values C as of one period prior to the first period, or,
said another way, the cash is assumed to be received one full period hence
6
Growing Perpetuity: Example
The expected dividend next year is $1.30 and
dividends are expected to grow at 5% forever.
If the discount rate is 10%, what is the value of this
promised dividend stream?
…
0 1 2 3
PV = ?
c=?
g=?
r=?
7
Simplifications: Growing Perpetuity
The expected dividend next year is $1.30 and dividends are
expected to grow at 5% forever
If the discount rate is 10%, what is the value of this promised
dividend stream?
$1.30 $1.30×(1.05) $1.30 ×(1.05)2
…
0 1 2 3
C $1.30
PV T+1
PV $26.00
rg .10 .05
T
* Note that the formula values C as of one period prior to the first period, or,
said another way, the cash is assumed to be received one full period hence
8
Annuity
A constant stream of cash flows with a fixed maturity:
C C C C
0 1 2 3 T
C C C C
PV
(1 r ) (1 r ) (1 r )
2 3
(1 r ) T
C 1
The formula for the present PV 1 T
value of an annuity is:
*Note that in the formula C is assumed to be received in one
r (1 r )
full period (e.g., at the end of the first period)
**All our time value of money formulas give the PV one period
before the cash flows start. 9
Annuity: A Note on the “Annuity Factor”
C 1
PV 1 T
r (1 r )
1 1
PV C T
C Ar
T
r r (1 r )
A is called the “annuity factor”
*(similar ‘exchange rate’ over time idea as
the discount factor but for annuities, i.e.)
* Note that the formula values C as of one period prior to the first period, or,
said another way, the cash is assumed to be received one full period hence
10
Present Value of an Ordinary Annuity
You have just won a lottery and have two options. You can take
$1,000,000 at the end of each year for 25 years or a lump sum of
$10,000,000 today. If the appropriate discount rate is 10%, what
should you do?
$1,000,000 1
PV 1 25
$9,077,040.02
0.10 (1 0.1)
11
Annuity: Mortgage Example
If you can afford a $4,000 monthly mortgage payment, what
is the size of the mortgage you can afford if the interest rate is
7% (compounded monthly) on a 30 year (360 month) loan?
0 1 2 3 360
PV = ?
c=?
r=?
T=?
12
Annuity: Mortgage Example
To answer this question, we should put everything into monthly
terms. In order to do this, since the 7% mortgage is compounded
monthly, we can simply divide “r” by 12 to get the monthly interest
rate (.07 / 12) = 0.005833 (or 0.5833%).
$4000 $4000 $4000 $4000
0 1 2 3 360
$4000 1
PV 1 360
$601,230.27
.07 / 12 (1 .07 12)
13
Annuity: A Note on Canadian Mortgages
• Two Complicated Features
• Canadian banks quote mortgage rates using semi-annual compounding
but interest is actually calculated (i.e. compounded ) monthly
• The terms of the mortgage are usually renegotiated during the life of
the mortgage. For example, the interest of a 25-year mortgage can be
negotiated 5 years after the initiation of the mortgage.
14
FV of an Annuity
Intuitive Formula (on formula sheet):
FVT PVAnnuity (1 r ) T
(1 r )T 1
FV C
T
r r
* Note that the PV Annuity formula values C as of one period prior to the
first period, or, said another way, the cash is assumed to be received one
full period hence
15
Annuity Due (Annuity in Advance)
• The perpetuity and annuity formulas assume that the
first payment occurs at the end of the period
PVAnnuityDue PVAnnuity (1 r )
16
Difference Between Annuity Types
Ordinary Annuity
0 1 2 3
Annuity Due
0 1 2 3
17
Example: Annuity Due
• Your aunt left you the sum of $5,000 a year for ten years with
payments starting immediately. Given an interest rate of 4%,
what is the PV of the inheritance?
$5,000 1
PV 1 10
(1 0.04) $42,176.7
0.04 1 0.04
PV = ?
c=?
r=?
T=?
C 1
PV 1
r (1 r )T
18
Growing Annuity
A growing stream of cash flows with a fixed maturity:
C C×(1+g) C ×(1+g)2 C×(1+g)T-1
0 1 2 3 T
T 1
C C (1 g ) C (1 g )
PV
(1 r ) (1 r ) 2
(1 r ) T
PV 1
value of a growing annuity: r g 1 r
* Note that the formula values C as of one period prior to the first period, or,
said another way, the cash is assumed to be received one full period hence
19
Growing Annuity: Example
A retirement plan will payout $20,000 at the end of the first
year of your retirement. Annual payments will then increase
by 3% every year for 40 years. What is the present value of
this investment when you retire if the discount rate is 10%?
0 1 2 40
PV = ?
c=?
g=?
r=?
T=?
C 1 g T
PV 1
rg 1 r 20
Growing Annuity: Example
A retirement plan will payout $20,000 at the end of the first
year of your retirement. Annual payments will then increase
by 3% every year for 40 years. What is the present value of
this investment when you retire if the discount rate is 10%?
0 1 2 40
PV = ?
c=?
$20,000 1.03
40
g=?
r=? PV 1 $265,121.57
T=? .10 .03 1.10
C 1 g T
PV 1
rg 1 r 21
FV of a Growing Annuity
22
Notes on Growing Cash Flows
• C is the initial cash flow that occurs in one period’s
time
• The discount rate “r” must be greater than the growth
rate “g” for the growing perpetuity formula
23
Delayed Cash Flows
What is the present value of a four-year $100 annuity that makes its
first payment two years from today if the discount rate is 9%?
0 1 2 3 4 5
24
Delayed Cash Flows
What is the present value of a four-year $100 annuity that makes
its first payment two years from today if the discount rate is 9%?
C 1
PV 1
r (1 r )T
You can calculate this using the PV Annuity formula:
PV = ?
c=?
r=?
T=?
$323.97 $100 $100 $100 $100
0 1 2 3 4 5
25
Delayed Cash Flows
What is the present value of a four-year $100 annuity that makes
its first payment two years from today if the discount rate is 9%?
$323.97
PV $297.22
0 1.09
0 1 2 3 4 5
26
Delayed Cash Flows: Example
Your firm is about to make its initial public offering of stock and
your job is to estimate the correct offering price. Forecast
dividends are as follows.
Year: 1 2 3 4
Dividends per $1.50 $1.65 $1.82 5% growth
share thereafter
Year 1 2 3 4
0
D3
2= 1.82
𝑃 =36.40
Year 0 1 2 0.10 −0.05
PV of cash flows is
$32.81
28
Tips for Solving Time Value of Money Problems
29
Additional Example: More Complicated Cash Flows
• You can value any complicated stream of cash flows by
splitting that stream into separate cash flows, annuities,
and perpetuities
30
Answer
• You are ready to pay the PV of two annuities (one of
200,000 and one of 250,000 but delayed 3 years) plus
the PV of 4M. This is equal to:
$200,000 1
PV 1 3
0.08 1 0.08
$250,000 1 1 4,000,000
1 3
0.08 1 0.08 1 0.08 3
1 0.08 6
PV $3,547,543.57
31
Lecture 4: Knowledge Checks
• You should be able:
To compare cash flows that occur at different points in
time
To determine economically equivalent future values
from values that occur in previous periods through
compounding
To determine economically equivalent present values
from cash flows that occur in the future through
discounting
To find present value of perpetuities and growing
perpetuities
To find present value and future values of annuities
and growing annuities
• Readings: Chapter 5.4 & 5.5
32