Professional Documents
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2.8 Fsa 17.07.2020
2.8 Fsa 17.07.2020
2.8 Fsa 17.07.2020
Rezaul Kabir
M.Sc. (UK), Ph.D. (UK)
E-mail: mrkabir@iba-du.edu
1
Learning Objectives
By the end of this session you will be able to:
3
What Is Financial Statement Analysis (1)
Examples:
• Investors use financial statement analysis to
– Predict future returns
– Assess the risks associated with those returns
• Creditors are primarily concerned with
– Short-term liquidity – how much cash a company
has on hand to meet current payments when due
– Long-term solvency – a company’s ability to
generate cash to repay long-term debts when due
4
Sources of Information
about Companies
• Company annual reports include:
– The financial statements
– Footnotes to the financial statements
D. Ratio analysis
6
A. Cross-sectional Analysis (Inter-company Analysis)
Co.A Co.B
£’ 000 £’ 000
Return
Return on Asset (ROA) 40% 10%
7
B. Time Series Analysis (Intra-company Analysis)
8
Trend Analysis [Over More than 2 years]
• Trend analysis compares financial statement changes
over time and identifies patterns that have occurred
• To compute percentage changes, the change for an
item (like net profit) is divided by the base year
amount:
1993 £ - 1992 £
Percentage change = x 100
1992 £
9
Trend Analysis 1
10
Trend Analysis
£195 - £150
Percentage change = x 100
£150
= +30%
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Trend [Horizontal] Analysis 2
= 0.3 = 0.66 = 1.06 = 1.50
= 30% = 66% = 106% = 150%
So, So, So, So,
100 +30 100+66 100+106 100+150
=130 =166 =206 =250
12
Vertical
Vertical (Common-size)
(Common-size) Analysis
Analysis
• A firm’s ratios can differ from its peers or its own historical
performance because it has selected a different product market
strategy, because its management team has become more effective
at implementing its strategy, or because it has selected a different
financial strategy.
Financial Statement and Ratio Analysis
• The asset side of the balance sheet contains those items that an
organization owns or has claim to, whereas the liability and equity
side shows how the assets have been financed.
23
Accounting Equation 2
Current Liabilities
+Long Term
Liabilities
Current Assets
+ Long term
Assets
Capital
+ Retained
Earnings
Income Statement for the year ended June 30, 2017
Sales Revenue: 220
Cost of Goods Sold (COGS): 125
Gross Profit 95
Operating Expenses:
Salary expense 16
Utilities expense OPEX 15
Rent expense 16
Depreciation Partial CAPEX 18
Total Operating Expenses 65
Operating Profit/ Earnings Before Interest & Tax 30
Interest Payment Partial FINEX 10
Earnings Before Tax 20
Tax for the year @ 40% 8
Net income after tax 12
Proposed dividends 5
Retained earnings for the year 7
Cont’d from previous slide
Interest Payment
33%
Here,
Net Income
40%
EBIT = 30
Interest = 10
Tax = 8
Net Income = 12
Tax
27%
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WHY USE RATIO ANALYSIS?
Company A Company B
Net income last year $100,000 $1,000,000
Current assets as of the end of 50,000 $500,000
last year
WHY USE RATIO ANALYSIS?
Imagine yourself with, say, $1,000 to invest in one of two companies:
Company A or Company B. You are given the following information
about each company:
Company A Company B
Net income last year $100,000 $1,000,000
Current assets as of the end of last year 50,000 $500,000
In which company would you invest? Before deciding, suppose you were
given the following information about the two companies:
Company A Company B
Shareholders' equity as of the end of the last $500,000 $100,000,000
year
Current liabilities as of the end of last year 25,000 $10,000,000
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WHY USE RATIO ANALYSIS?
Company A Company B
Net income last year $100,000 $1,000,000
Current assets as of the end of last year 50,000 $500,000
Company A Company B
Shareholders' equity as of the end of the last $500,000 $100,000,000
year
Current liabilities as of the end of last year 25,000 $10,000,000
•Of course, these are the figures for last year only, and the
future may be quite different from the past. Nevertheless, the
notion of a return on investment would lead you in a quite
different direction than simply looking at net income in
isolation.
WHY USE RATIO ANALYSIS?
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WHY USE RATIO ANALYSIS?
• There are many ratios that can be used for purposes of analyzing a
set of financial statements. There are three broad categories of ratios:
profitability, operating efficiency, and leverage (the use of debt
financing).
• For example, the book value of total assets is equal to the sum of the
amounts paid when the asset was acquired less the depreciation taken over
time.
• Similarly, the equity accounts reflect the proceeds received from equity
financings at the time the financing occurred along with the earnings
retained at the time they were earned.
Profitability Ratios
•The current value of either assets or equity is likely to have
changed substantially.
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Other Profitability Ratios
•In addition to the measures above, there are a number of other common
measures focused on earnings and dividends. The most common are shown
in the following table.
Earnings per NI/Shares The net income generated by
share (EPS) the firm for each share
outstanding
Dividend per Total The dividend paid to each
share (DPS) dividend/Shares share outstanding
Earnings yield EPS/Price The net income per share
provide by the firm for each
dollar of share value
Dividend yield DPS/Price The return provided to
shareholders that they receive
through a dividend
Price–Earnings Market Price/EPS The magnitude of the current
ratio price relative to the current
earnings of a firm
Operating Profitability
•A wide variety of operating ratios are used to
evaluate those activities. The most commonly
employed are shown in the following table.
Gross margin (Sales − COGS) / The amount a firm earns above
(%) Sales the cost of the goods it has sold,
as a percentage of the selling
price
Operating Operating income The amount the firm earns
margin (%) (i.e. EBIT) / Sales above all costs except financing
costs and taxes, as a percentage
of the selling price
Net Profit Net Profit after The amount the firm earns after
Margin (%) Interest and taking into account of all costs, as
Tax/Sales a percentage of the selling price
P/ E Ratio
Company A Company B
44
P/ E Ratio: Factors to Consider
• Although a higher P/ E ratio means that the earning is lower relative to
the current market price.
• But it also means that the market is ready to pay a higher price for this
low earning - which may indicate the high earning potential of the
company in the future.
47
Liquidity Ratios
• The liquidity ratios describe the ability of the firm to meet its
payment obligations related to short-term commitments,
specifically the ability to make payments related to current
liabilities.
Markets for real estate are usually far less liquid than stock
markets.
Accounting Liquidity
• A company that has a quick ratio of less than 1 may not be able to fully pay off
its current liabilities in the short term, while a company having a quick ratio
higher than 1 can instantly get rid of its current liabilities.
• For instance, a quick ratio of 1.5 indicates that the company has $1.50 of liquid
assets available to cover each $1 of its current liabilities.
• While such numbers-based ratios offer insights into certain aspects of liquidity,
they may not provide a complete picture of the liquidity position of the
business. It is important to additionally look at other associated measures to
assess the true picture.
• Limitations of Balance Sheet (Single Date, Prone to manipulation)
• While calculating the quick ratio, one should be careful about the constituents
to be considered in the formula. The numerator that comprises of liquid assets
should include the assets that can be easily converted to cash in the short-
term (like, within 90 days) without compromising on their price to a great
extent.
Interpreting Quick Ratio (2)
• Whether accounts receivable is a source of quick ready cash
remains a debatable topic, and depends on the credit terms that
the company extends to its customers.
• Cash may not be collected until the end of the projects when the projects
are handed over to their owners, which explains the long cash
conversion cycle.
• It should also be noted that Boeing manufactures much of its product in-
house, whereas Apple outsources production to low-cost manufacturers.
Exhibit 6: The comparison of two U.S. auto manufacturers competing in the same
fundamental market but with very different strategies and business models, with the
two most noteworthy differences being in their DIO and DSO.
• Ford, the traditional auto maker, has very low DIO; as soon as it produces
inventory that inventory is immediately sold into the dealer network, which assumes
ownership. Ford does not own its dealers. This means the majority of inventory
Ford has in its system is raw materials and work in process.
• Conversely, Tesla has a radically different business model, at least within the auto
industry, of direct sales. As a result, the company retains ownership of all finished
vehicles, significantly increasing the value of inventory it holds and increasing its
DIO.
• With DSO, we see the benefit of Tesla’s model. Its very low DSO is a function of
its sales being direct to customers. Conversely, Ford manufactures large stocks of
inventory that sit on dealers’ lots. These large bulk purchases of inventory have
been acquired by the dealers but are often only paid for once the inventory has
been sold from its dealer lots.
Leverage Ratios
• All leverage ratios measure, in some fashion, the use of debt and the
burden of debt payments. The most common ratios are shown in next slide.
Table: Common leverage ratios.
Times interest earned EBIT/Interest The ability of a firm to meet its
required interest payments from
pretax operating cash flow
Debt service coverage EBIT/Total debt The ability of a firm to meet all its
service required debt payments (principle
plus interest) from pretax operating
cash flow
• In most of the cases, for example, debt may be limited to long-term debt.
• Furthermore, debt plus equity will not equal total assets due to the
existence of current liabilities. For this reason, some calculations will use
the sum of debt and equity for total assets in the debt ratio, and some
calculations will assume debt is equal to total assets less equity
(essentially including current liabilities in debt).
.
Gearing Ratio 200/(200+100) 100/(100+200) 0/300
=66.66% =33.33% =0%
78
ROE Drivers
82
Operating Cash Flow (OCF)
Operating cash flow is a measure of the amount of cash generated
by a company's normal business operations.
𝑆𝑎𝑙𝑒𝑠
𝑆𝑎𝑙𝑒𝑠 𝑝𝑒𝑟 𝐸𝑚𝑝𝑙𝑜𝑦𝑒𝑒=
𝑁𝑢𝑚𝑏𝑒𝑟 𝑜𝑓 𝐸𝑚𝑝𝑙𝑜𝑦𝑦𝑒𝑠
𝐴𝑛𝑛𝑢𝑎𝑙 𝑆𝑎𝑙𝑒𝑠
𝑆𝑎𝑙𝑒𝑠 𝑝𝑒𝑟 𝑆𝑞𝑢𝑎𝑟𝑒 𝐹𝑒𝑒𝑡 =
𝑇𝑜𝑡𝑎𝑙 𝐹𝑙𝑜𝑜𝑟 𝐴𝑟𝑒𝑎 (𝐼𝑛 𝑆𝑞𝑢𝑎𝑟𝑒 𝐹𝑒𝑒𝑡 )
84
6. THE LIMITATIONS OF RATIO ANALYSIS
85
Final Remarks
• Remember that ratios reveal financial performance
– Customer perspective
– Employee perspective
– Product innovation
– Quality
– Social, ethical and environmental performance.
86
Lord Weinstock [1924-2002]
The operating ratios are of great value as measures of efficiency but
they’re only the measures not efficiency itself. Statistics will not
design a product better, make it lower cost or increase sales. If ill-
used, they may guide action as to diminish resources for the sake of
apparent but false signs of improvement.