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Forward Forward 16TH November 2020
Forward Forward 16TH November 2020
11/23/2020 UIBFS 2
PREMIUM/ DISCOUNT
• Spot rate: GBP/USD 1.5235 1.5245
• 3 months points 30 25
• Forward outright 1.5205 1.5220
Us$ is at premium to sterling (cable)
Forward prices will always exhibit a larger bid-offer
spread than spot prices
When base currency is at premium, the forward points
are added and vice versa
High/low subtract the forward points (145-135)
Low/high add the forward points (20-23)
11/23/2020 UIBFS 3
Forward points
• forward points is the difference between the
outright forward rate and the current spot rate.
• given the following information calculate the
forward points:
USD/ZAR 6.75/80
USD 6 month (182 days) interest = 1.5%
ZAR 6 month (182 days) interest rate 9%
USD 360day and ZAR 365day convention.
Use the borrowing method used earlier
11/23/2020 UIBFS 4
PREMIUM/ DISCOUNT
The swap rate or forward rate reflects the interest rate
differential between the two currencies. The change in
inflation rate will increase or decrease the number of
forward points (domestic rate increase or decrease)
Negative points implies the base currency interest rates
is higher than the quote currency, hence base currency is
at discount and forward rate will be lower than the
current spot rate
positive points implies the base currency interest rates is
lower than the quote currency, hence base currency is at
premium and forward rate will be greater than the
current spot rate
11/23/2020 UIBFS 5
PREMIUM/ DISCOUNT
Premium is when the swap points are
positive » offer rate is higher than the bid
rate
Discount the swap points are in negative »
offer rate is lower than the bid rate
11/23/2020 UIBFS 6
FORWARD- FORWARD
• A swap agreement created through the synthesis of two swaps
differing in duration for the purpose of fulfilling the specific
time-frame needs of an investor.
• Also referred to as a "forward start swap," "delayed start swap,"
and a "deferred start swap."
• Example: an investor wants to hedge a five-year duration
beginning one year from today, this investor enters into both a
one-year and six-year swap, creating the forward swap that meets
the needs of his or her portfolio.
11/23/2020 UIBFS 7
Forward-Forward interest rate
wants to enters into 2 transactions (lend and borrow). Assume 3 month UGX
rate is 12.5% and 9 month UGX rate is 13.25%. Mark borrows UGX 10
• Mark has borrowed UGX 10 million and interest accrual starts in 3 months
time
11/23/2020 UIBFS 8
Forward-forward
•
• Subst:-
11/23/2020 UIBFS 9
Effective rate
• Effective rate on the transaction
11/23/2020 UIBFS 10
FORWARD - FORWARD
• Mark borrows UGX 10 million for 9 months @ 13.25% and lends UGX 10
million for 3 months @ 12.5%, calculate the true yield.
11/23/2020 UIBFS 11
Forward-Forward rate formula
•• Simple
basic interest rate yield formula
• FRA agreement the buyer of FRA lends shorter term and borrows
longer term
• Shorter term (mv) = principal amount ()
• Longer term (mv) = maturity value ()
• %
- forward rate; - longer rate; – longer days
– shorter rate; – shorter days and – day base
11/23/2020 UIBFS 12
Forward-Forward interest rate
•
Amount US$10m, borrowing rate 12% for 272 days and lending US$10m @
rate of 12% for 91 days. What is the 3 x 9 FRA rate?
11/23/2020 UIBFS 13
Swap banks
• A swap bank is generic term describes a financial
institution that facilitates swaps between
counterparties. The swap bank can serve as either
a broker or a dealer
A swap bank as a broker matches counterparties
but does not assume any risks of the swap
S swap bank as a dealer, stands ready to accept
either side of a currency swap and then later lay
off their risk, or match it with a counterparty.
11/23/2020 UIBFS 14
SWAPS
• Investors use swaps to hedge:
Currency risk
Credit risk
Interest rate risk
11/23/2020 UIBFS 15
Interest Rate Swaps
Two parties – party and counterparty both exposed to
default risk, defaulting terminates the swap
Arrangement – directly or indirectly (two swaps)
A notional amount – basis for determination of the
cash flows
Cash flows – fixed and floating cash flows
Payment schedule- quarterly & net amounts (simple
interest formula applicable).
Swap – party wishes to borrow for fixed rate and
counterparty wishes to borrow floating (changing
nature of their payments)
11/23/2020 UIBFS 16
Interest Rate Swaps
• An instrument that allows the counterparty to exchange
one set of cash flows for another (floating to fixed)
Financial institutions exchange risk (cash flows) on the
movement of interest risk
Common derivatives and highly liquid (buy/sell market)
Swap markets commonly talk in terms of fixed interest
rates
Cissy quotes “6.45-6.36” in five year US dollars means
she is ready to pay 6.36 and receive at 6.45% in a five
year US dollar swap. Usually referred to as absolute
prices
11/23/2020 UIBFS 17
Interest Rate Swaps
• A swap is set begin in two weeks time where party,
Aktion is to pay a fixed rate 7.19% per annum on
semi-annual basis (182days), and will receive the
floating rate: six- month LIBOR + 30bps from party
Brition. the notional principal is Us$ 35million. The
swap is for five years. Two weeks later the six-month
LIBOR is 6.45% per annum.
• Calculate the cash flows
• Explain the future payments related to this transaction
of 5 years.
11/23/2020 UIBFS 18
Interest amount (Fixed interest
• The
fixed rate is rate)
usually quoted on a semi-annual
bond equivalent yield basis, therefore the amount is
payable every six months
11/23/2020 UIBFS 19
Interest amount (Floating interest rate)
• The
fixed rate is usually quoted on a semi-annual
money market yield basis, therefore the first amount
is payable:
• ,375
• Other future payments will be determined every 6
months by the six- month LIBOR at that time
11/23/2020 UIBFS 20
Interest amount (Floating interest rate)
• Aktion
borrows $10m at floating:
11/23/2020 UIBFS 21
Barclays Bank PLC London
1715 BARCLAYS BANK PLC LONDON 283 0909 TX 887841 BAST
SPOT 1 MTH 2MTHS 3MTHS 6MTHS 12MTHS
11/23/2020 UIBFS 22
Value dates
• When calculating forwards dates with value date
shorter than spot, reverse the swap points and proceed
exactly as for a longer dated transaction.
Spot USD/DEM 1.4505 - 10
Overnight swap 1- ¾
1- week swap 7 -5
11/23/2020 UIBFS 23