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Probability Independent and Dependent
Probability Independent and Dependent
Objectives
Understand the difference between
independent and dependent events based
on the situation of the problem.
Formula:
P(A ∩ B) = P(A) x P(B)
or
P(A and B) = P(A) x P(B)
Example
Soln:
Let A be the event in getting a 1 in a die
When we roll a die and
and B the event in getting a head in a coin.
then flip a coin. What is
P(A) = 1/6
the probability of getting
P(B) = ½
1 and a head?
P(A and B) = P(A) x P(B)
P(A and B) = 1/6 x ½
= 1/12
Thus, the probability of getting 1 and a
head is 1/12 or 0.0833 or 8.33 %
Example
Soln:
Let A be the event in landing a head and B
In flipping a coin and
the event in getting a club.
drawing a card in a
P(A) = ½
standard deck of card.
P(B) = 13/52
What is the probability in
landing head and getting P(A and B) = P(A) x P(B)
a spade? P(A and B) = ½ x 13/52
= 13/104 or 1/8
Thus, the probability of landing and getting
a club is 1/8 or 0.125 or 12.5 %
Multiplication Rule of Probability: Dependent Events
Formula:
P(A ∩ B) = P(A) x P(B\A) or
P(A and B) = P(A) x P(B\A)
The probability of A
times the probability
of B given A
Example
Soln:
A bag has 4 red balls and 6
Let A be the event in choosing the first
blue balls. What is the
blue ball, and B the event in choosing the
probability of choosing 2
second blue ball.
blue balls at random?
P(A) = 6/10 P(B) = 5/9
P(A and B) = P(A) x P(B\A)
= 6/10 x 5/9
= 30/90
= 1/3
Thus, the probability of choosing blue
ball is 1/3 or 0.3333 or 33%
Example
In a standard deck of Soln:
cards, Jojo draw randomly Let A be the event in getting the first red
without any replacement. jack, and B the event in getting the
What is the probability in second red jack.
getting red jack? P(A) = 2/52 P(B) = 1/51
P(A and B) = P(A) x P(B\A)
= 2/52 x 1/51
= 2/2652 or 1/1326
Thus, the probability of choosing blue
ball is 0.0008 or 0.08%
Application
1. If you toss two coins, what
is the probability of getting 2
heads?
Application
2. In a jar there are 5 yellow
gums and 7 green gums.
What is the probability in
getting 2 yellow gums
without replacement?
Application
3. Suppose a football player
has 65% chance of making a
goal he can keep each time he
tries to make a goal. What is
the probability he makes a goal
the first three times he tries to
but not on the fourth try?
Application
4. There are 6 snickers , 4 m&m’s
and 6 cloud 9 chocolates in a
box. If Mary chooses 2 of them,
what is the probability if she gets
2 snickers?