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UCCM2233 - Chp6.1 Estimation and Hypothesis Testing-Wble
UCCM2233 - Chp6.1 Estimation and Hypothesis Testing-Wble
Estimation
and
Hypothesis Testing
Learning Objective
Perform estimation and hypothesis testing
Estimation
• Estimation =The assignment of value(s) to a
population parameter based on a value of the
corresponding sample statistic.
• estimate =The value(s) assigned to a
population parameter based on the value of a
sample statistic.
• Estimator = The sample statistic used to
estimate a population parameter.
Estimation
• The estimation procedure involves the
following steps:
1.Select a sample.
2.Collect the required information from the
members of the sample.
3.Calculate the value of the sample statistic.
4.Assign value(s) to the corresponding
population parameter.
Estimation
• A point estimate is a single value (or point)
used to approximate a population parameter.
For example,
i) 𝑝 estimate
^
the sample proportion, p̂ , is the best point
of the population proportion, p.
ii) the sample mean, X , is the best 𝑋 ´point estimate of
the population mean, .
iii) the sample variance, s2, is the best point estimate of
the population variance, 2 . σ 2
Estimation
• Interval estimate = an interval that constructed
around the point estimate, and it is stated that
this interval is likely to contain the true value of
a population parameter.
𝝈 𝝈
( ´𝒙 − 𝒁 α /2 , ´𝒙 + 𝒁 α /2 )
√𝒏 √𝒏
Estimation
• Margin of error
• Solution:
Like the normal distribution curve,
The t-distribution curve is also
symmetric
What is the probability of
t-value 3.4 at 5 degree of
freedom?
Solution:
0.005 < p <0.01
Estimation
Example 4
Find the area in the appropriate tail of the t-
distribution for the following,
a) t = 2.467, v = 28
b) t = – 2.878, v = 18
• Solution:
Estimation
Example 5
A doctor wanted to estimate the mean cholesterol
level for all adult men living in a town. He took a
sample of 25 adult men from the town and found
that the mean cholesterol level for this sample is 186
with a standard deviation of 12. Assume that the
cholesterol levels for all adult men in the town are
normally distributed.
Construct a 95% confidence interval for the
population mean .
Estimation
Solution:
n 25, X 186, s 12, v n 1 24
0.05, t 2 =2.064
s 12
X t 2 186 2.064 =186 4.9536
n 25
The 95% CI for is 181.05, 190.95
Interval estimation
of a
Population Proportion
Estimation
Interval estimation of a Population Proportion
• Large sample?
In the case of a proportion, a sample is considered to be
large if np and nq are both greater than 5.
If p and q are unknown, then npˆ and nqˆ should each be
greater than 5 for the sample to be large.
Estimation
The (1 )100% confidence interval for p for large
samples is
ˆˆ
pq
pˆ z / 2
n
The value of z /2 used here is read from the standard
normal distribution table for the given confidence level.
z
2
1.96 0.169 0.831
2
2 pq
a ) p 0.169, n
0.04
2
E2
337.19 n 338
1.96 0.25
2
b) n 600.25, n 601
0.04
2