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Elasticity and Its Application
Elasticity and Its Application
Application
Chapter 3
Elasticity . . .
• 4) ADVERTISING OR PROMOTIONAL
ELASTICITY OF DEMAND
Prof.Swati Padoshi
Price Elasticity of Demand
Price elasticity of demand is the percentage change in quantity
demanded given a percent change in the price.
Inelastic Demand
Percentage change in price is greater than
percentage change in quantity demand.
Price elasticity of demand is less than one.
Elastic Demand
Percentage change in quantity demand is greater
than percentage change in price.
Price elasticity of demand is greater than one.
Perfectly Inelastic Demand
- Elasticity equals 0
Price Demand
1. An Rs5
increase
in price... 4
100 Quantity
2. ...leaves the quantity demanded unchanged.
Inelastic Demand
- Elasticity is less than 1
Price
Rs5
1. A 25%
increase
in price... 4
Demand
90 100 Quantity
2. ...leads to a 10% decrease in quantity.
Unit Elastic Demand
- Elasticity equals 1
Price
1. A 25% Rs5
increase
in price... 4
Demand
75 100 Quantity
2. ...leads to a 25% decrease in quantity.
Elastic Demand
- Elasticity is greater than 1
Price
1. A 25% R
increase s5
in price... 4
Demand
50 100 Quantity
2. ...leads to a 50% decrease in quantity.
Perfectly Elastic Demand
- Elasticity equals infinity
Price
1. At any price
above Rs4, quantity
demanded is zero.
Rs4 Demand
2. At exactly Rs4,
consumers will
buy any quantity.
Percentage Change
Income Elasticity = in Quantity Demanded
of Demand Percentage Change
in Income
Income Elasticity
- Types of Goods -
Normal Goods
Income Elasticity is positive.
Inferior Goods
Income Elasticity is negative.
Higher income raises the quantity demanded for normal goods but
lowers the quantity demanded for inferior goods.
DETERMINANTS OF INCOME
ELASTICITY OF DEMAND
• Nature of commodity: Commodities are grouped in to necessities,
comforts & luxuries.
• Income level: Depends upon the income of the country.
• Time period: Over a long run a luxury may become a necessity.
• Demonstration effect: Changing tastes, preferences & choices of
people.
• Frequency: Higher frequency ,income elasticity will be high.
Prof.Swati Padoshi
USE OF INCOME ELASTICITY
IN BUSINESS DECISIONS
• Planning of the firm’s growth: The knowledge of income
elasticity of demand is important for both the firms &
govt.
• Formulation of farm policy: The govt. of India has
considered it necessary to continue & increase various
agricultural subsidies.
• Forecasting demands: Used in forecasting future demand
provided the firm knows the growth rate of income &
income elasticity of demand for the good
• Formulating marketing strategies: The income elasticity
of demand of potential buyer class for products affects
the no. ,nature & location of sales centres ,& the policies
related to other sales promotion activities.
Prof.Swati Padoshi
Cross Price Elasticity of Demand
• Elasticity measure that looks at the impact a change in the price of
one good has on the demand of another good.
• % change in demand Q1/% change in price of Q2.
• Positive-Substitutes
• Negative-Complements.
APPLICATIONS OF CROSS ELASTICITY
IN MANAGEMENT
• PRODUCTION
Prof.Swati Padoshi
ADVERTISING / PROMOTIONALELASTICITY OF
DEMAND
Prof.Swati Padoshi
FACTORS INFLUENCING
ADVERTISING ELASTICITY OF
DEMAND
• Stage of product’s development
• Degree of competition
Prof.Swati Padoshi
DEMAND Forecasting
Decisions that Need Forecasts
• Which markets to pursue?
• What products to produce?
• How many people to hire?
• How many units to purchase?
• How many units to produce?
• And so on……
Common Characteristics of Forecasting
• Forecasts are rarely perfect
• Forecasts are more accurate for aggregated data than for individual
items
• Forecast are more accurate for shorter than longer time periods
Forecasting Steps
• What needs to be forecast?
• Level of detail, units of analysis & time horizon required
• What data is available to evaluate?
• Identify needed data & whether it’s available
• Select and test the forecasting model
• Cost, ease of use & accuracy
• Generate the forecast
• Monitor forecast accuracy over time
Types of Forecasting Models
• Qualitative (technological) methods:
• Forecasts generated subjectively by the forecaster
• Causal Models:
• Explores cause-and-effect relationships
• Uses leading indicators to predict the future
• E.g. housing starts and appliance sales
Composition
of Time Series Data
• Data = historic pattern + random variation
• Historic pattern may include:
• Level (long-term average)
• Trend
• Seasonality
• Cycle
Factors for Selecting a
Forecasting Model
• The amount & type of available data
• Degree of accuracy required
• Length of forecast horizon
• Presence of data patterns
Forecasting Software
• Spreadsheets
• Microsoft Excel, Quattro Pro, Lotus 1-2-3
• Limited statistical analysis of forecast data
• Statistical packages
• SPSS, SAS, NCSS, Minitab
• Forecasting plus statistical and graphics
• Specialty forecasting packages
• Forecast Master, Forecast Pro, Autobox, SCA