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Classical vs.

Keynesian Economists
Which model best describes our economy?
Keynesian vs. Classical Approach

Stock Market suddenly falls 25%

LRAS1
What Now?
Price SRAS1
Level
Tax Cuts?
Gov’t Spending?
P1 --------------- E1 New Incentives?
P2 --------- E2 Self-Regulation?
--------

AD1
AD2

Y2 Y1
Real
GDP
Economy is at Full Employment when AS turns Vertical

AS
Price
Level
Classical Range

Intermediate Range

Keynesian Range

AD

Real GDP
Economic Schools of Thought
Classical Economics Keynesian Economics NeoClassical Economics
|----------------------------| |----------------------------| |--------------------------------|

1900 1929 1936 1979 1980 2008


Keynesian Economics
did not help here!

Great
Depression?
Prices were
not flexible!
What Now?
CLASSICAL VIEW
1. Markets are naturally self regulating
2. No government intervention necessary
3. Recessions are temporary
4. Wages & prices are flexible
5. against minimum wages, welfare, government assistance
6. Real Variables do not depend on nominal variables
7. Great Depression challenged Classical View
9-2b

Classical View

FIGURE 9-1
Aggregate Supply and Aggregate Demand in Classical Economics
Classical Model Failure: The Great Depression

Real GDP ↓ 27%


Price LRAS1
Level
Unemployment 3% → 25%

Price Levels fell


AD1
AD2

Real
GDP However,
Wages did not adjust
KEYNSIAN VIEW
1. Economy is inherently unstable
• not self regulating
2. Recessions can be long & permanent
3. Major government intervention necessary
4. Wages and prices are sticky/fixed
• AS curve is very flat or upward sloping
5. Support welfare and government assistance
6. Stagflation challenged Keynesian view
Keynesian Failure: “Oil Shock”
1. An adverse shift in the SRAS
Shifting AD
Price would make
Level inflation worse!
LRAS
SRAS2
SRAS1

B
P2
A
P
3. . . . and
Price level ↑
.
AD

0 Y2 Y Quantity of
2. . . . causes R-GDP to fall . . . Output
Reconciling 2-Views
• Most economists believe classical theory describes world in
the long run but not short run

• Prices, Wages & interest rates are at least somewhat sticky in


the short run

• Keynesian economics focuses on AD and failed to explain the


Stagflation of the late 1970’s
Adverse Shifts in SRAS
• Consider an adverse shift in short run aggregate supply:
• curve shifts to the left
• Output falls below natural rate of employment
• BOTH unemployment & price level rise
Stagflation
• A period of recession and inflation.
– Output falls and price level rises
– Example: late 1970’s in USA (oil crisis)

• Challenge: Policymakers who can influence aggregate


demand cannot offset both simultaneously
Classical Recovery
2. . . . causes output to fall in the short run . . .
Price
Level

LRAS
SRAS

SRAS2
3. . . . but over
time, the short-run
P A aggregate-supply
curve shifts . . .
P2 B
1. A decrease in
aggregate demand . . .
P3 C

AD1
AD2
0 Y2 Y Quantity of
4. . . . and output returns Output
to its natural rate.
Alphabet Recovery Part 2
• http://www.pbs.org/newshour/bb/business/
july-dec11/makingsense_10-07.html

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