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Lecture 9 Multiple Deposit Creation and The Money Supply Process
Lecture 9 Multiple Deposit Creation and The Money Supply Process
• Monetary Liabilities
• Currency in circulation—in the hands of the public
• Reserves—bank deposits at the Fed and vault cash
• Assets
• Government securities—holdings by the Fed that affect money supply
and earn interest
• Discount loans—provide reserves to banks and earn the discount rate
Fed’s Balance Sheet
Liabilities
• The two liabilities on the balance sheet, currency in circulation and
reserves, are often referred to as the monetary liabilities of the Fed.
• They are an important part of the money supply, because increases in
either or both will lead to an increase in the money supply
(everything else held constant).
• The sum of the Fed’s monetary liabilities (currency in circulation and
reserves) and the U.S. Treasury’s monetary liabilities (Treasury
currency in circulation, primarily coins) is called the Monetary Base
(also called High-powered Money).
• When discussing the monetary base, we will focus only on the
monetary liabilities of the Fed, because those of the Treasury account
for less than 10% of the base.
Fed’s Balance Sheet
Liabilities
1. Currency in circulation
• The Fed issues currency.
• Currency in circulation is the amount of currency in the hands of the public.
• Currency held by depository institutions is also a liability of the Fed, but is
counted as part of the reserves.
• Federal Reserve notes are IOUs from the Fed to the bearer and are also
liabilities, but unlike most liabilities, they promise to pay back the bearer
solely with Federal Reserve notes; that is, they pay off IOUs with other
IOUs.
• Accordingly, if you bring a $100 bill to the Federal Reserve and demand
payment, you will receive two $50s, five $20s, ten $10s, one hundred $1
bills, or some other combination of bills that adds to $100.
Fed’s Balance Sheet
Liabilities
2. Reserves
• All banks have an account at the Fed in which they hold deposits.
• Reserves consist of deposits at the Fed plus currency that is physically
held by banks (called vault cash because it is stored in bank vaults).
• Reserves are assets for the banks but liabilities for the Fed, because
the banks can demand payment on them at any time and the Fed is
required to satisfy its obligation by paying Federal Reserve notes.
• As you will see, an increase in reserves leads to an increase in the
level of deposits and hence in the money supply.
• Total Reserves = Required Reserves + Excess Reserves
Monetary Base
High-powered money
MB = C + R
C = currency in circulation
R = total reserves in the banking system
Open Market Purchase from a Bank
Nonbank Public
Assets Liabilities
Securities -$100
Checkable +$100
deposits
• Person selling bonds to the Fed deposits the Fed’s check in the bank
• IdenticalCopyright
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purchase from a bank
Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 16-12
Open Market Purchase from Nonbank Public II
16-13
Open Market Purchase: Summary
• The effect of an open market purchase on reserves depends on
whether the seller of the bonds keeps the proceeds from the
sale in currency or in deposits
• The effect of an open market purchase on the monetary base
always increases the base by the amount of the purchase
Open Market Sale
Nonbank Public Federal Reserve System
Assets Liabilities Assets Liabilities
Securities +$100 Securities -$100 Currency in -$100
circulation
Currency -$100
Net effect
Federal Reserve System
on monetary liabilities
Assets Liabilities
is zero
Currency in +$100
circulation
Reserves are changed
Reserves -$100 by random fluctuations
Monetary base
is a more stable variable
Bank A Bank A
Assets Liabilities Assets Liabilities
Reserves +$100 Checkable +$100 Reserves +$10 Checkable +$100
deposits deposits
Loans +$90
Bank B Bank B
Assets Liabilities Assets Liabilities
Reserves +$90 Checkable +$90 Reserves +$9 Checkable +$90
deposits deposits
Loans +$81
Bank One
Assets Liabilities
Reserves + $90 Deposits + $90
Bank One
Assets Liabilities
Reserves + $ 9 Deposits + $90
Loans + $81
Deposit Creation
Creation of Deposits (assuming 10% Reserve Requirement and $100
increase in reserves)
Increase in Increase Increase in
Bank Deposits in Loans Reserves
Manhattan Commercial 0.00 100.00 0.00
Fleet Bank 100.00 90.00 10.00
Bank One 90.00 81.00 9.00
Bank A 81.00 72.90 8.10
Bank B 72.90 65.61 7.29
Bank C 65.61 59.05 6.56
Bank D 59.05 53.14 5.91
. . . .
. . . .
. . . .
Total For All Banks 1000.00 1000.00 100.00
Deposit Creation
If Fleet Bank buys securities with $90 check
Fleet Bank
Assets Liabilities
Reserves + $10 Deposits + $100
Securities + $90
Seller deposits $90 at Bank One and process is same
Whether bank makes loans or buys securities, get
same deposit expansion
This system will end when all the banks are fully
loaned up so that the excess reserves are zero
Deposit Multiplier
Simple Deposit Multiplier
1
D R
r
Where ΔD = change in deposits, r = reserves rate and ΔR = change in
reserves
The simple deposit multiplier 1/r which is the multiple by which
deposits increase in the bank in response to any increase in the
reserves. It is a reverse of the required reserve ratio, , so increases in
the required reserve ratio will lower the deposit multiplier and vice
versa – if required reserves are 20 % then multiplier is 5. In an open
market sale, reserves will fall by the same amount. Since the banking
system receives an inflow of Rs. 100 all reserves will be required
reserves when deposits grow by enough that Rs. 100 is r% of the
deposits
Deposit Multiplier
Simple Deposit Multiplier
1
D R
r
If the SBP conducted an open market purchase of RS. 1 million
and r was 20%, how does this affect deposits in banks?
ΔD = 1/0.2 x 1mn = 5 x 1mn = Rs. 5mn. Increase in deposits
A General Model of Money Creation
A general model of money creation
• In reality the public holds deposits as well as currency, so the total money
stock is the sum of currency (C) and deposits (D)
• M=C+D
• We now assume that the public decides to hold currency in proportion to
the deposits, so that people who want to hold more money would increase
their cash and deposit holdings proportionally. This is in contrast to the
previous slides where we assumed that people held money only in the
form of deposits. The desired deposit to currency ratio is indicated as: cd
and C = cd X D……………………..(i) (10% of D)
• We also allow that banks hold excess reserves in excess of the
required reserve ratio. Therefore, total reserves (R) = required
reserves (RR) + excess reserves (ER)
A General Model of Money Creation
A general model of money creation
• Required reserves equal the required reserve ratio (r) x deposits (D)
• RR = r X D……………………..(ii) (20% of deposits)
• Desired excess reserves are assumed to be proportional to the deposits,
so that the desired excess reserves are equal to the desired excess
reserve ratio (ed) times deposits:
• ER = ed X D……………………(iii) (5% of deposits)
• Together equations (i), (ii), and (iii) imply that the total bank reserves
are:
• R = RR + ER
• R = r X D + ed X D
• R = (r + ed) X D……………….(iv)
The Monetary Base
The Monetary Base
• Since the public holds currency, the SBP cannot lend funds
that will be earmarked as commercial bank reserves, instead
funds supplied by the banks get divided among 2 uses: as
commercial bank reserves and as currency in the hands of
the public
• Therefore, we can’t view all the funds of the SBP as reserves
since a portion winds up in currency held outside banks.
Therefore all SBP funds are referred to as the Monetary Base
(MB) which is denoted as
• MB = C + R………………………………….(v)
The Monetary Base
The Monetary Base
• MB = C + R………………………………….(v)
• An example will illustrate why it is convenient to use the monetary
base to analyze the SBP’s open market operations and how currency
holdings and excess reserves affect money creation
• Suppose the SBP’s OMO leaves the securities dealer holding a cheque
for Rs. 1 million which he deposits in his bank. If the securities dealer
did not wish to hold cash, this deposit would increase the bank’s
reserves by Rs. 1 million. Furthermore if the required reserve ratio (r)
is 20% and the bank holds no excess reserves, it can lend out Rs.
800,000 of new deposit. We can use the deposit multiplier to see
how this would create new money in the form of deposits
The Monetary Base
• MB = C + R………………………………….(v)
• Now suppose that the securities dealer wants to keep his
currency holdings equal to one quarter of his checkable
deposits (cd = 0.25 of 800,000), so that when he deposits the
one million cheque, he takes 200,000 out in currency. Due to
this withdrawal the bank has gained reserves (deposits) of Rs.
800,000, instead of the whole one million as in the previous
case. For this reason it is more convenient to think of OMO
purchase as increasing currency plus reserves (the monetary
base) then to figure out how much of the initial deposit is
converted into currency and how much into reserves.
The Monetary Base
• MB = C + R………………………………….(v)
• Out of this remaining Rs. 800,000, how much can be lent out? The
required reserve ratio of 20 percent implies that Rs. 160,000 will
be set aside as reserves and Rs. 640,000 can be lent. Further more
if it is the bank’s policy to keep 5% excess reserves, in case of
emergency that another 40,000 less will be available for lending –
this will happen in each subsequent round of deposits and lending
also and continue to diminish the amount the banks can loan
• This example suggests that a Rs. 1 million open market purchase
will increase bank loans and hence deposits at other banks, but by
less than would be the case in the absence of currency holdings
and excess reserves
Controlling the Quantity of Money
Figure 3 illustrates the multiplier effect of an open market
operation.
The Complete Deposit Multiplier
• We now derive the relationship between the monetary base and
the total banking system deposits – taking into account how
currency holdings and excess reserves drain the banking system of
reserves. Substituting equation (i), (iv) and (v), we get
• MB = C + R………………………………….(v)
• MB = cd X D + (r + ed) X D ……………….(vi)
• MB = (r + ed + cd) x D ……………..(vii)
• Therefore, the monetary base is the total banking system
deposits, multiplied by the sum of the deposit to currency
ratio, the required reserve ratio and the desired excess
reserves ratio
The Complete Deposit Multiplier
• Next you solve equation (vii) for D
• MB = (r + ed + cd) x D ……………..(vii)
• D = MB x [ 1/ r + ed + cd]…………….(viii)
• This shows that the total amount of banking system deposits
is actually a multiple of the monetary base
• For instance if the SBP has a monetary base of Rs. 350
billion, and required reserves at 20% of deposits. If the bank
holds 5% of deposits as excess reserves and the public holds
25% of deposits as currency, the total banking system
deposits are:
The Complete Deposit Multiplier
• Next you solve equation (vii) for D
• D = MB x [ 1/ r + ed + cd]…………….(viii)
• D = 350,000,000,000 x [ 1 / 0.2 + 0.05 + 0.25] = Rs. 700 bn
• Here the total deposits are two times the monetary base
• ΔD = Δ MB x [ 1/ r + ed + cd]…………….(ix) is the Complete
Deposit Multiplier – also notice that when the public does
not hold any currency and there are no excess reserves
required, the complete Deposit Multiplier equation gets
simplified into the Simple Deposit Multiplier
The Complete Deposit Multiplier (CDM)
• Next you solve equation (vii) for D
• ΔD = Δ MB x [ 1/ r + ed + cd]…………….(ix)
• We can use the above equation to calculate the effect of OMOs on deposits.
When the SBP purchased Rs. 1 mn. In bonds from the securities dealer
• Given the previous example ΔD =1000,000 x 2 = Rs. 2 mn.
• Notice that this amount is considerably less than it would have been
without the currency holdings and the excess reserves, without which it
would have been Rs. 5 mn.
• This difference is due to the fact that the banks now have less money to
lend out due to the currency holdings and excess reserves requirement.
Therefore, the CDM multiplier decreases with increase in excess reserves
and currency holdings and is less than the simple deposit multiplier
The Complete Currency Multiplier (CCM)
• When the public holds currency, an Open Market Purchase, leads not
only to an increase in deposits, but also to more currency in circulation
• Just how much currency is put in the hands of the public with a Rs. 1
mn open market purchase?
• We first derive the relationship between the monetary base and
currency holdings. To do this we solve the equation (i) & (ix)
• C = cd X D……………………..(i)
• D = MB x [ 1/ r + ed + cd] …………….(ix)
• C = cd X MB x [ 1/ r + ed + cd]
• C = MB x [cd / r + ed + cd] = 350 x [0.25 / 0.2 + 0.05 + 0.25]
• = Rs.175 bn…………………(x)
• In other worlds the SBP must maintain a monetary base of Rs. 350
bn. to keep Rs. 175 bn. In the hands of the public
The Complete Currency Multiplier (CCM)
• Just how much currency is put in the hands of the public with a Rs.
1 mn open market purchase?
• We first derive the relationship between the monetary base and
currency holdings. To do this we solve the equation
• C = MB x [cd / r + ed + cd] = 350 x [0.25 / 0.2 + 0.05 + 0.25]
• = Rs.175 bn.
• A change of Rs. 1 mn. Will change currency by half that amount in
this example, and currency change will be equal to
• ΔC = ΔMB x [cd / r + ed + cd] = Rs. 500,000
• It is important to know that the 500,000 increase in currency
holdings is in addition to the Rs. 2 mn. increase in deposits and is
an additional increase in the money stock
The Complete Money Multiplier (CMM)
• How is money stock (M) related to the monetary base?
• Since MS = Total currency in hands of public (C) + checkable deposits (D),
we can use the preceding equations to find the link
• M=C+D
• D = MB x [ 1/ r + ed + cd] …………….(ix)
• C = MB x [cd / r + ed + cd]…………..(x)
• M = MB x [1+ cd / r + ed + cd]…………..(xi)
• The above equation shows how the total stock of money is a multiple of
the monetary base
• M = 350 x [1+ 0.25 / 0.2 + 0.05 + 0.25] = 350 x 2.5 = Rs. 875 bn.
• Since it equals currency + deposits it is the same as the sum of C and D
calculated earlier = 175 + 700 = 875
• Same formula is true for change in M
The Complete Money Multiplier (CMM)
• What are the changes in deposits, currency holdings
and the money stock for an open market sale of Rs.
100,000. the required reserve ratio is 10%, the
desired excess reserve ratio is 5% and the desired
currency to deposit ratio is 25%
• ΔD = 2.5 x -100,000 = -250,000
• ΔC = 0.625 x -100,000 = -62,500
• ΔM = 3.125 x -100,000 = -312,500
Conclusion - Controlling the Monetary Base
• If the public decides to hold more money relative to deposits, then there
will be less money available for multiple deposit creations. In turn, the
money multiplier falls.
• The same can be said about what happens if banks decide or have to
hold more reserves. There will be less funds available for multiple deposit
creation resulting in a decline in the money multiplier.
References
• Mishkin, F. S., and Serletis, A. (2007). The Economics Of Money, Banking and
Financial Markets. Pearson Canada Toronto.
• Mishkin, F. S., and Serletis, A. (2013). The Economics Of Money, Banking and
Financial Markets. Pearson Canada Toronto.