Why Do States Building Nuclear Weapons?: Rupp IFL DIS

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RUPP

IFL
DIS

WHY DO STATES BUILDING


NUCLEAR WEAPONS?
COURE: IS409 CLASS: E4.1
LECTURER: NBR GROUP: 6
2020-2021
CONTENT
01 AN OVERVIEW

02 THE SECURITY MODEL


- Explaining Nuclear Restraint
- Policy Implications of The Security Model
- Problems and Evidence

03 THE DOMESTIC POLITIC MODEL


- Addressing The India Puzzle
- South Africa Revisited
- Policy Implication of The Domestic Politics Model

04 THE NORMS MODEL


- French Grandeur and Weapons Policy
- The NPT and The Ukraine Case
- Policy Implications of the Norm Model

05 CONCLUSION
Why Do States Build Nuclear Weapons?

States will seek to develop nuclear weapons


when they face a significant threat. If they
don’t face such threat, they will willingly
remain non-nuclear states.

Conventional Wisdom

Nuclear weapons are more than just tools for


national security.

KANYA
Three Models in Search of a Bomb

1 The Security Model: Nuclear Weapons and International


Threats

2 The Domestic Model Politics: Nuclear Pork and Parochial Interest

3 The Norm Model: Nuclear Symbols and State Identity


The Security Model

Increase national security Balance of power: self- Deterrent or Coercive


against foreign threats sufficient or join alliance

States actually build nuclear weapons in a EXAMPLE:


response to emerging nuclear threat from their - A threat from the U.S to USSR
main rival. - A threat from the U.S to China
The Security Model: Explaining Nuclear Restraints

Growing Soviet Expansionist


Threat to Southern Africa

Nuclear restraints occur as a


result of the radical change Develop 6 Atomic Weapons
Mid-1970s
to Serve as a Deterrent
in external security threats. Against Soviet

Destroyed its Own Nuclear


Arsenals in 1991 as the Threat
From Soviet Eliminated

Case Study: South Africa


The Domestic Politics
Model
 Nuclear weapon as a political tool to serve the
parochial bureaucratic or political interests.

 Three kinds of actors:


- The state’s nuclear energy establishment
- Important military units
- Politicians

 Actors form coalitions

HAKSENG
The Domestic Politics Model (Con’t)

-
• Bureaucratic Actors • Scientific-Military • Political Coalition
x
Industrial Comple
 Not seen as passive recipients  Builds broader political
loped
 Initial ideas deve support within executive
tories
 Create the conditions that inside state labora or legislative branches.
favor weapons acquisition ate
 Scientists find/cre onal
si
sponsors in profes
military.

 However, Realists recognize the domestic political actors have parochial interests and that interests have only a
marginal influence on crucial national security issues due to bureaucratic battles determine whether a state to
builds 500 or 1000 ICBMs.

HAKSENG
Proliferation Revisited: Addressing the India Puzzle
 
 No consensus among officials in New Delhi to have a nuclear
deterrent as a response to the 1964 Chinese nuclear test.

 Prime Minister Gandhi developed an alliance to fabricate a


nuclear device in 1971.

 Domestic Political Concerns:


- Decision to test was made in a very small circle
Ex: Defense and foreign affairs officials were not involved
- Absence of a systematic program for nuclear weapons
- Domestic support for Gandhi was at an all time low

India Case
HAKSENG
Thank You
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