Probabilistic Fracture Mechanics

Analysis for Optimization of High-

pressure Vessel Inspection
Indera Sadikin, Djoko Suharto
Mechanical Engineering Department
Institut Teknologi Bandung
Indonesia
Presented at:
The 7th International Conference on Fracture
and Strength of Solid, Xinjiang, China, 2007
 Case

Taxi CNG Tank Explosion, Indonesia

December 2005
CNG High-pressure Vessel

Working Pressure = 200 bars.

Why It Fails

Water Vapour

Corrosion

Crack
 How It Fails

Compression/ Crack
Break
Decompression Propagation
 Method of Assessment

Inspection

Material Data
Crack Data Next
& Load Data
Inspection
Schedule

System
Reliability
 Assessing System Reliability

Stochastic Probabilistic
Crack Data Fracture
Mechanics
Analysis
Stochastic Probability
Material Data of Failure
Cycle-by-
Cycle
Deterministic Numerical
Load Data System
Integration Reliability
Finite Element Model
 Safety Factor vs. Reliability
Mean
Strength
Strength
Mean
Stress
Stress
4% Fail

SF = 2 R = 96%
Reliability Curve (a0 = 1 mm)

8 years
Reliability Curve (a0 = 2 mm)

3 years
Reliability Curve (a0 = 3 mm)

1 year