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Chapter 1 Over View
Chapter 1 Over View
B Dayal
Dr. B Dayal
INTRODUCTION
Managers have to take decisions on a wide range
of issues, such as:
How much to produce
What prices to charge
How many staff to employ
Whether to invest in new capital equipment
whether to fund a new marketing initiative
whether to introduce a new range of products
whether to employ an innovative method of production.
In all of these cases, it is clearly highly desirable to be able to compute
the likely effects of the decisions on the company's costs, revenues
and, most importantly, profits.
Similarly, it is important in business research to be able to use data
from samples to estimate parameters relating to the population as a
whole.
INTRODUCTION
DEFINITION OF QUANTITATIVE ANALYSIS
In its plural form, quantitative analysis stands for numerical facts
( facts expressed in numbers) pertaining to a collection of objects.
In its singular form, it stands for the science of collection,
organization & interpretation of numerical facts.
‘The science of estimates & probabilities’. - Boddington
- ‘Science of collection, presentation, analysis & interpretation of
numerical data.’ - Croxton & Cowden
‘Quantitative analysis may be defined as an aggregate of facts
affected to a marked extent by multiplicity of causes, numerically
expressed, enumerated or estimated according to reasonable
standards of accuracy, collected in a systematic manner for a pre-
determined purpose & placed in relation to each other.’
- Horace Secrist-
INTRODUCTION
Functions of Quantitative Techniques:
The following are the important functions of quantitative
techniques:
To facilitate the decision-making process
To provide tools for scientific research
To help in choosing an optimal strategy
To enable in proper deployment of resources
To help in minimizing costs
To help in minimizing the total processing time required for
performing a set of jobs
INTRODUCTION
ROLE OF QUANTITATIVE ANALYSIS IN
DECISION MAKING
Decision making is not the headache of only management; rather
all of us make decisions. The essential characteristics of all
decisions are:
• Objective to be accomplished.
• Alternative available at your disposal.
• The influencing factors
Quantitative analysis focuses on the mathematical scoring of
consequences of a decision aiming to optimize the use of time,
effort and resources, and avoid heavy mistakes and penalties due
to them. The act of obtaining the best results under any given
circumstances is known as optimizing. The key purpose of
quantitative analysis is to do preparatory calculations that aid the
decision making process.
INTRODUCTION
QUANTITATIVE
ANALYSIS
DESCRIPTIVE INFERENTIAL
ANALYSIS ANALYSIS
INTERPRETATION
OF DATA
Replacement Theory:
Simulation:
Non Linear Programming:
Sequencing:
Quadratic Programming:
Branch and Bound Technique
CHARACTERISTICS OF QUANTITATIVE
ANALYSIS
Quantitative analysis is an aggregate of facts.
Affected to a marked extent by multiplicity of causes.
Numerically expressed.
Enumerated or expressed to reasonable standards of accuracy
depending on the end use.
Collected, mathematically modelled and interpreted in a
systematic manner.
Related data are collected for a pre-determined purpose.
Data are placed in relation to each other
FUNCTIONS OF QUANTITATIVE
ANALYSIS
Simplifies mass data.
Makes comparison easier.
Brings out hidden relations between variables.
Reduces bulk of data.
Decision making process is eased. Adds precision to thinking.
Guides policy formulation & aids planning.
Brings out or indicates trends & tendencies.
Aids studying relationship between different factors. Relation
between production & prices.
To provide tools for scientific research
To help in choosing an optimal strategy
To enable in proper deployment of resources
To help in minimizing costs
To help in minimizing the total processing time required for
performing a set of jobs
USES OF QUANTITATIVE ANALYSIS
Business and Industry. Quantitative analysis render valuable
services in the field of business and industry. Today, all
decisions in business and industry are made with the help of
quantitative analysis.
Some important uses of quantitative techniques in the field of
business and industry are given below:
Quantitative techniques of linear programming is used for
optimal allocation of scarce resources in the problem of
determining product mix
Inventory control techniques are useful in deciding when and
how much items are to be purchased so as to maintain a balance
between the cost of holding and cost of ordering the inventory
Quantitative techniques of CPM, and PERT helps in
determining the earliest and the latest times for the events and
activities of a project. This helps the management in proper
deployment of resources.
USES OF QUANTITATIVE ANALYSIS
Decision tree analysis and simulation technique help the
management in taking the best possible course of action under the
conditions of risks and uncertainty.
Queuing theory is used to minimize the cost of waiting and
servicing of the customers in queues.
Replacement theory helps the management in determining the
most economic replacement policy regarding replacement of an
equipment.
LIMITATIONS OF QUANTITATIVE
ANALYSIS
Does not deal with qualitative data. Only with quantitative data.
Cannot deal with an individual fact. Can apply to aggregate of facts.
Quantitative conclusions/inferences are not exact. They are
probabilistic/ true only on an average.
Quantitative techniques involves mathematical models,
equations and other mathematical expressions
Quantitative techniques are based on number of assumptions.
Therefore, due care must be ensured while using quantitative
techniques, otherwise it will lead to wrong conclusions.
Quantitative techniques are very expensive.
Quantitative techniques do not take into consideration
intangible facts like skill, attitude etc.
Quantitative techniques are only tools for analysis and decision-
making. They are not decisions itself.
COMPUTERS & QUANTITATIVE
ANALYSIS
When collected data are small, the analysis and interpretation
can be done without much difficulty. But when a huge amount
of data, the process of analysis and interpretation will be
difficult.
With the advent of computers a lot of statistical programs are
available in the market. They help us in summarizing,
presenting & analyzing the mass data in a short time. Some of
them are:
Mminitab
SPSS
Texto
Contexto
Excel
E-view
MS project