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BSM 624 2015-2016 Presentation 9 Nuclear
BSM 624 2015-2016 Presentation 9 Nuclear
BSM 624 2015-2016 Presentation 9 Nuclear
and Legislation
John Karlberg
School of Law
RGU
December 2015
Agenda
Strictly speaking, Nuclear Energy, as a major source of power, is not of
course derived from hydrocarbons such as oil and gas.
But its environmental impacts and current and future role in the energy mix
in relation to hydrocarbon usage and the intensifying concentration of
greenhouse gases, are issues of increasing significance in our time.
Until the disaster that took place at the Fukushima Daiichi Nuclear Power
Plant on 11th March 2011, nuclear energy was certainly undergoing a
renaissance.
As a measure of its role in the energy mix, according to the
International Energy Agency in 2014, almost 22% of electricity supply in the
OECD area is derived from nuclear power, and its global significance can be
gauged in a 2014 EIA report which stated that nuclear power could generate
up to 24 percent of the world’s electricity by 2050.
In this topic the evolution of the nuclear industry, its environmental impacts,
regulation and monitoring will be critically analysed.
Nuclear – Carbon Neutral?
The generation of electricity from fossil fuels, notably natural gas and coal, is a major and
growing contributor to the emission of carbon dioxide – a greenhouse gas that contributes
significantly to global warming (IPCC: Climate Change 2013: The Physical Science Basis)
Influential Stern Review stated ―if no action is taken to reduce emissions, the concentration
of greenhouse gases in the atmosphere could reach double its pre-industrial level as early as
2035, virtually committing us to a global average temperature rise of over 2°C. In the longer
term, there would be more than a 50% chance that the temperature rise would exceed 5°C.
This rise would be very dangerous indeed.
As well as causing climate change, fossil fuels are non-sustainable and finite, and will
eventually be depleted.
While ideally renewables such as hydroelectric and wind might eventually substitute for
hydrocarbons, these are unlikely to meet global energy needs in time.
Nuclear energy has the potential to again become a major future energy source, together
with renewable energy.
The key decarbonisation advantages of nuclear power are discussed in the World Nuclear
Association‘s 2012 New Century Outlook.
Nuclear v. Renewable Energy
IAEA Climate Change and Nuclear Power 2013 : “GHG emissions from nuclear power
plants (NPPs) are negligible and nuclear power, together with hydropower and wind
based electricity, is among the lowest CO2 emitters when emissions over the entire life
cycle are considered.”
Nuclear energy cannot of course be classified as renewable energy, since it is produced
by the splitting of the uranium atom
Global supplies of uranium are finite but substantial, and in strict terms its use is non-
sustainable.
But according to OECD/NEA in 2014, the total identified uranium resource base in
2013 is more than adequate to meet even optimistic (high case) projections of growth
in nuclear generating capacity. Meeting high case demand requirements would
consume less than 40% of the total 2013 identified resource base by 2035.
However, total world uranium resources are dynamic and related to commodity prices.
The uranium industry has reacted to recent increases in the price of uranium by
launching major new investments in exploration, which can be expected to lead to
further additions to the uranium resource base.
Some Background
In the 1950s when the use of nuclear power for generating electricity started, the
peaceful use of the atom became a symbol of human progress, as epitomised in
President Eisenhower's Atoms for Peace speech of 1953.
At that time, scientists and scientific achievements were highly regarded by the
media and the public.
By 1980, there were 253 operational nuclear power plants with a total capacity of
135,000 MW(e) in 22 countries. In addition, some 230 units with more than 200,000
MW(e) were being built.
Then two major nuclear power accidents, one in 1979 at the Three Mile Island plant
in the US, and the other in 1986 at the Chernobyl nuclear power plant in the USSR,
negatively impacted public confidence in nuclear power technology.
The reaction in subsequent years was such that ―some people shudder at the mere
mention of the words “uranium”, “nuclear” or “atomic”, as if we were talking about
evil supernatural forces (Blix, 2001).
According to the ENS as of August 28, 2014 in 31 countries 437 nuclear power plant
units with an installed electric net capacity of about 375 GW are in operation and 70
plants with an installed capacity of 68 GW are in 16 countries under construction.
Changing Perceptions
Although many Europeans are still afraid of nuclear power plants, a substantial
percentage do not consider them to be a risk to them and their families.
The major risks are considered to be lack of security against terrorist attacks in NPPs, the
misuse of radioactive materials and the disposal of radioactive waste (EC, 2010).
In 2008 the UK Govt. published its White Paper on Nuclear Power, “Without a clean,
secure and sufficient supply of energy we would not be able to function as an economy
or as a modern society. Climate change represents a significant risk to global ecosystems,
the world economy and human populations. The scientific evidence is compelling that
human activities are changing the world’s climate. Nuclear power represents a low-
carbon form of electricity generation”,
According to DECC in 2015, Hinkley Point C will be the first nuclear power station in a
generation, with the plant expected to begin electricity generation in 2023.
In 2014 the UK Department of Energy & Climate Change (DECC) announced that
“the first new nuclear power station in a generation has moved an important step
closer, as the European Commission announced that it has approved the Hinkley
Point C State aid case.”
“
Nuclear is the technology that can provide the same quality of electricity at a similar scal
e in the medium and long term.”
Nuclear in China
China’s policymakers are also moving rapidly and decisively towards the nuclear
energy option, because most of mainland China's electricity is produced from fossil
fuels (79% from coal, 2% from gas in 2011). According to data published by the
WNO in 2014:
Mainland China has 22 nuclear power reactors in operation, 26 under
construction, and more about to start construction.
Additional reactors are planned, including some of the world's most advanced,
to give more than a three-fold increase in nuclear capacity to at least 58 GWe
by 2020, then some 150 GWe by 2030, and much more by 2050.
The impetus for increasing nuclear power share in China is increasingly due to
air pollution from coal-fired plants.
China’s policy is for closed fuel cycle.
China has become largely self-sufficient in reactor design and construction, as
well as other aspects of the fuel cycle, but is making full use of western
technology while adapting and improving it.
China’s policy is to ‘go global’ with exporting nuclear technology including
heavy components in the supply chain.
Nuclear: Post Fukushima Operational Safety:
Canada