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Slides Prepared by John S. Loucks St. Edward's University
Slides Prepared by John S. Loucks St. Edward's University
Slides Prepared by John S. Loucks St. Edward's University
JOHN S. LOUCKS
St. Edward’s University
x
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Continuous Probability Distributions
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Uniform Probability Distribution
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Uniform Probability Distribution
Expected Value of x
E(x) = (a + b)/2
Variance of x
Var(x) = (b - a)2/12
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Example: Slater's Buffet
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Example: Slater's Buffet
1/10
x
5 10 12 15
Salad Weight (oz.)
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Example: Slater's Buffet
Expected Value of x
E(x) = (a + b)/2
= (5 + 15)/2
= 10
Variance of x
Var(x) = (b - a)2/12
= (15 – 5)2/12
= 8.33
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Normal Probability Distribution
x
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Normal Probability Distribution
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Normal Probability Distribution
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Normal Probability Distribution
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Normal Probability Distribution
1 ( x )2 / 2 2
f ( x) e
2
where:
= mean
= standard deviation
= 3.14159
e = 2.71828
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Standard Normal Probability Distribution
x
z
We can think of z as a measure of the number of
standard deviations x is from .
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Example: Pep Zone
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Example: Pep Zone
Area = .5
z
0 .83
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Example: Pep Zone
.5 .1915 .1950 .1985 .2019 .2054 .2088 .2123 .2157 .2190 .2224
.6 .2257 .2291 .2324 .2357 .2389 .2422 .2454 .2486 .2518 .2549
.7 .2580 .2612 .2642 .2673 .2704 .2734 .2764 .2794 .2823 .2852
.8 .2881 .2910 .2939 .2967 .2995 .3023 .3051 .3078 .3106 .3133
.9 .3159 .3186 .3212 .3238 .3264 .3289 .3315 .3340 .3365 .3389
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Example: Pep Zone
Area = .05
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Example: Pep Zone
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Exponential Probability Distribution
where: = mean
e = 2.71828
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Exponential Probability Distribution
P ( x x0 ) 1 e xo /
where:
x0 = some specific value of x
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Example: Al’s Carwash
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Example: Al’s Carwash
.4
.3 P(x < 2) = area = .4866
.2
.1
x
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Time Between Successive Arrivals (mins.)
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Relationship between the Poisson
and Exponential Distributions
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End of Chapter 6
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