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Contracting, Governance and Organizational Form: Moral Hazard
Contracting, Governance and Organizational Form: Moral Hazard
Slide 2
Figure 15.1
Vertical Requirements Contracting
• A manufacturer (M) can update its product or not update it.
• The retail ( R) can continue selling efforts or not
• If M updates, R discontinues efforts, but best is for M to advertise anyway and get
$280,000 and R $120,000. If R continues efforts, R will end up with just $100,00.
• How do we get the maximum payoff for both $480,000, Retail Manufacturer
when each has an incentive to shirk? Advertise $180,000 $300,000
Continue Not
selling efforts M1 Advertise $100,000 $350,000
Slide 5
Frustration of Purpose
Doctrine
• Suppose you enter into an agreement to sell a
truck that uses 100% ethanol.
• But suppose the government changes rules making
ethanol use prohibited.
• The Uniform Commercial Code (UCC) provided
the frustration of purpose doctrine to excuse the
truck manufacturer from delivering something it is
prohibited in doing. This would likely give the
truck manufacturer a way to avoid ‘expectation
damages’ if sued by the truck retailer.
Slide 6
A Spectrum of Contract
Environments
• Spot Market Transaction – one time only exchange of
standardized goods
» Tends to be between anonymous buyers and sellers, and
information tends to be efficient
» The purchase of a dozen ears of corn at a roadside stand or the sale
of electricity at a spot rate off the grid, are examples of spot
markets.
• Vertical Requirements Contracts – promise of future
performance for immediate consideration
» Tends to be between contract partners that know each other, but
there are problems with ambiguity
• Relational Contract – between repeat business parties
» Tends to be self-enforcing because we can see if the other partner
lives up to his or her word.
Slide 7
Incomplete Information and
Incomplete Contracting
• Incomplete Information -- uncertain knowledge of
payoffs, choices, or types of opponents a market player
faces.
• Insurance works when we can pool a group of possible
events (like injuries at work) to reduce the risk of loss to
any one party.
• But some risks are catastrophic, like a nuclear accident.
It is difficult to assess the likelihood or the damage;
hence, insurance in this case is often unavailable.
• Contracts can specify duties under several states of the
world, but sometimes the outcomes are too numerous or
unknowable for years. This creates incomplete
contracts.
Slide 8
Types
• Full contingent claims contract -- specifies all
possible future events.
• Incomplete contingent claims contract -- not
all possible future events are specified.
• Due to incomplete contracts, some people may
take advantage of spirit of the contract.
Accident insurance may permit people to succumb
to a moral hazard by acting recklessly.
Slide 9
Corporate Governance and the
Problem of Moral Hazard
• Doing business in markets involves the cost of contracts.
• When only incomplete contracts are possible, it is often the
best to integrate the operations within a firm.
• The moral hazard problem occurs when parties change their
behavior due to contracts. This is especially true when the
people’s effort is hard to observe.
• In a borrower-lender contract, a reliable borrower, once given
money in a loan, may elect to invest in highly risky projects.
» To try to avoid this moral hazard, the bank may insist on
costly monitoring or governance actions, forcing the
borrower to submit frequent financial data.
Slide 10
Implementaion of Mechanisms of
Corporate Governance
Table 15.2
• Internal monitoring by an independent board of
director subcommittee
• Internal/external monitoring by large creditors
• Internal/external monitoring by owners of large
blocks of stock
• Auditing and variance analysis
• Internal benchmarking
• Corporate culture of ethical duties
• High employee morale supportive of whistle blowers
Slide 11
The Principal-Agent Model
• The agents (managers) may wish to maximize leisure and
minimize risk, whereas the principal (shareholders) may wish
hard work and high risk-return investments.
• Example: an employee knows that working hard helps the
whole firm, and helps himself only a little. Why not let the
other workers be grinds and take it easy (be a free rider)?
• Principal-Agent problems may lead to:
• Risk Avoidance in Managers
• Managers have Short Time Horizons
• Sales Maximization
• High Levels of Social Amenities at the Work Site
• Satisficing or Sufficing Behavior
Slide 12
Alternative Managerial Labor Contracts
Slide 14
Principal-Agent Problem
in Managerial Labor Markets
• Stockholders (principals) hire managers (agents) with
different incentives.
• Alternative labor contracts
Pay based on profits
Paying a bonus on top of a salary when goals are exceeded
Have manager own stock
• Benchmarking involves a comparison of similar
firms, plants, or divisions
Slide 15
Signaling and Sorting
of Managerial Talent
Applicants to positions know more about
themselves than they reveal, which is the problem
of asymmetric information.
Asymmetric Information -- unequal or
dissimilar knowledge among market participants.
For example, is the applicant highly risk averse or
a risk taker?
If I ask you if you are highly risk averse, you will likely
tell me what I want to hear.
How can we sort between risk-takers and risk
averse candidates?
Slide 16
Screening and Sorting of Managerial Talent
with Optimal Incentives Contracts
• A Linear Incentive Contract is a combination of salary
and (plus or minus!) a profit sharing rate.
• A Pooling Equilibrium is an offer that dominates all other
offers will not help distinguish among applicants.
• A Separating equilibrium is an offers that distinguishes
between behaviors
• For example, a risk averse person would tend to
select an offer which primarily paid a base salary
• Whereas the risk-loving individual would tend to
select an offer with more profit sharing.
Slide 17
Sorting Managers with Incentives
Indifference
curve for the
• Contract A has lower
Base Rate risk averse person profit sharing rate and
Salary Indifference lower base rate than
curve for the Contract B
risk lover
• Both a risk averse
B
person and a risk
lover picks B over A
A • This results in a
pooling equilibrium.
Slide 20
The Efficient Organizational Form Depends
on Asset Characteristics
Table 15.3
Fully Redeployable Nonredeployable
Durable Assets Reliant Assets
Slide 21
Prospect Theory
Motivates Full-Line Forcing
• Utility theory in economics is based on the LEVEL of wealth or
income received. More money leads to higher satisfaction or utility.
• But Prospect theory is based on the choice relative to a base point.
The difference (or the prospect) is categorized as either a gain or loss.
• Buy now, pay later has both a gain (the goods now) and the loss (the
pay later)
• A car purchase as a “loss” of the money paid, but as a “gain” if you
think you got a good deal. It can also help explain why manufacturers
offer many versions (a full-line) of automobiles to get the customer to
trade up to a pricier version.
Slide 22
Prospect Theory & Full-Line Forcing:
Figure 15.5
Town & Country
+140 Minivan
+100
Caravan SXT
$17,000
$22,000 $27,000 $32,000
Losses Full Option Gains
VALUE Caravan
-160
FUNCTION Caravan Base SE
• With full options, the Caravan costs $22,000. Other prospects viewed from this.
• Moving down to the Base SE version is viewed as a loss of 160 in value, but at
$5,000 less. The customer decides to move up to the Full Option Caravan.
• Moving up to a Caravan SXT costs another $5,000, with a gain of 100 value.
Slide 23
Uses for Prospect Theory
• It helps explains why companies
pay dividends • It explains packaging that
» Gains should be separated with four says, 35% more for free.
checks a year. » Separate gains and
• It explains why companies
losses, to create a Silver
announce all the bad news at one
time
Lining.
» Bundle all the negative prospects • It explains why we wrap
together
Christmas and Birthday
• It explains the purchases of $750
stereos in Cars gifts separately
» Bundled together » Separate gains.
Slide 24
Vertical Integration
• Vertical integration is a way to avoid
transaction costs, such as moral hazard, which
are found in arm's length (or market) dealing.
• The two stages of production are merged.
The producer ships goods to the next stage of
the same firm.
• If each stage of production has some
monopoly power, the profits can be higher by
merging the two stages.
Slide 25
Vertical Integration in the Hosiery Market
• Suppose yarn is used in
Ph’ making hosiery (socks) in
Ph fixed proportions.
• Let the marginal cost of
yarn (MCy) and hosiery
Py’ +MCh manufacture (MCh) be
MCy +MCh constant.
• The profit maximizing
MCh hosiery price is Ph
• But if the price of yarn is
Py’ Higher yarn prices raised to Py’ the price ends
Py MCy up too high at Ph’ with
MRh DEMAND smaller total profits for the
hosiery + yarn industries.
Quantity (lbs.)
Figure 15.6 Slide 26
Mergers with
Upstream Competitors