Chemical Process

Quantitative Risk
Assessment
CHE 1007 Safety and Hazard Analysis
Concept
• A measure of human injury, environmental damage or economic loss
in terms of both the frequency and the magnitude of the loss or injury
• Risk = Consequence x Frequency
• Measurable
• When measure a risk
• measure damage to a property
• how badly did a person get hurt
• what is the cost of damage/injury
• likelihood or probability of this hazard
Concept
Layers of Protection
• Layers of Protection are used to enhance the safe operation
• Layers of Protection Analysis (LOPA) is used
• to determine if there are sufficient layers of protection for a predicted
accident scenario
• Can the risk of this scenario be tolerated?
• Causes are also known as Initiating Events
Layer of protection
analysis - LOPA
• methodology for hazard evaluation and
risk assessment
• LOPA lies between the qualitative
(characterized by methods such as HAZOP
and what-if) and the quantitative
(characterized by methods using fault
trees and event trees) end of the scale
• Assigning priorities to recommendations
• Developing safety requirement
specifications for safety instrumented
systems
• Company’s risk-decision criteria
Concept
• Risk – A measure of human injury, environmental damage or
economic loss in terms of both the frequency and the magnitude of
the loss or injury.
Quantifying Risk
• If more than one type of receptor can be impacted by an event, then
the total risk from an undesirable event can be calculated as:
Chemical Process
Quantitative Risk
Assessment
CHE 1007 Safety and Hazard Analysis
Concept
• A measure of human injury, environmental damage or economic loss
in terms of both the frequency and the magnitude of the loss or injury
• Risk = Consequence x Frequency
• Measurable
• When measure a risk
• measure damage to a property
• how badly did a person get hurt
• what is the cost of damage/injury
• likelihood or probability of this hazard
Concept
Layers of Protection
• Layers of Protection are used to enhance the safe operation
• Layers of Protection Analysis (LOPA) is used
• to determine if there are sufficient layers of protection for a predicted
accident scenario
• Can the risk of this scenario be tolerated?
• Causes are also known as Initiating Events
Layer of protection
analysis - LOPA
• methodology for hazard evaluation and
risk assessment
• LOPA lies between the qualitative
(characterized by methods such as HAZOP
and what-if) and the quantitative
(characterized by methods using fault
trees and event trees) end of the scale
• Assigning priorities to recommendations
• Developing safety requirement
specifications for safety instrumented
systems
• Company’s risk-decision criteria
Concept
• Risk – A measure of human injury, environmental damage or
economic loss in terms of both the frequency and the magnitude of
the loss or injury.
Quantifying Risk
• If more than one type of receptor can be impacted by an event, then
the total risk from an undesirable event can be calculated as: