The Nature of An External Audit • The purpose of external audit is to develop a finite list of opportunities that could benefit a firm and threats that should be avoided. • Identify key variables that offer actionable responses. KEY EXTERNAL FORCES Competitors Suppliers Economic Forces, Distributors Creditors Social, Cultural, Customers Demographic, Employees And Environmental Communities Organization’s Forces. Managers Opportunities Political, Legal, Stockholders And And Gov’t Forces Labor Unions Threats Governments Technological Trade Assoc Forces Products, Service Competitive Forces Market Natural Enviro. Spec Interest Group The Process of Performing An External Audit • Involve as many managers and employees as possible. • Gather competitive intelligence and information about social, cultural, demographic, environmental, economic, political, legal, gov’tal, and technological trends. • Managers and employees identify opportunities and threats. Economic Forces • Economic Factors have direct impact on the potential attractiveness of various strategies. • Availability of credit, level of disposable income, Interest rate, inflation, Economies of scale, GDP, Unemployment, Govt Budget Defisit, Consumption pattern, Stock market trends, etc. Social, Cultural, Demographic, and Environmental Forces • Population • Childbearing rates • Number of Marriage • Number of divorce • Pollution Control • Average level of Education • Energy Conservation • Etc (see page 112) Political, Governmental, and Legal Forces • Represent opportunities and threats for both small and large organization. • Some variables: Government regulation, tax laws, environmental protection laws, special tariffs. • etc Technological Forces • Technological advances dramatically can affect organization’ products, services, market, suppliers, distributors, competitors, customers, marketing practices, and competitive positions. • Technological advances can affect product’s life cycle. • Technological advances affect the process of production. Competitive Forces • What are the major competitors’ strengths? • What are the major competitors’ weaknesses? • What are the major competitors’ objective and strategies • Etc (please see page 118) Sources of External Information • Indexes • Internet Competitive Analysis: Porters’ Five Forces Model • Rivalry among competitive firms • Potential entry of new competitor • Potential development of substitute products. • Bargaining power of suppliers • Bargaining power of consumers The intensity Rivalry increases when… • Increase the number of competitors • Competitors have equal ability • Demand of product decreases • Price cutting become common • Barrier to leave market high • Fixed cost high • When product is perishable • When rivals have diverse strategies • When industry profit decreases Potential Entry of New Competitors Barriers: • Economic of scale • Technology • Lack of experience • Lack of distribution channel • Government regulatory • Tariff • Access to raw materials • Patent • Etc. Potential Development of Substitute Products Competitive pressure arising from substitute products increase as the relative price of substitute product declines and as consumers’ switching cost decrease. Bargaining Power of Suppliers Competition intensifies when: • Large number of suppliers • A few substitute of raw materials • The cost of switching materials is costly Bargaining Power of Consumers Competition intensifies when: • Large customers • Concentrated customers • Buy in volume • Standardized or undifferentiated products The Five-Forces Model of Competition External Factor Evaluation • Listing • Weighing • Rating • Multiplying • Sum weighed score Listing • List key external factors as identified in the process of external-audit factor. • Include a total of 10 to 20 factors, including both opportunities and threats affecting the firm and its industry. • Be as specific as possible using %, ratios, comparative numbers Weighing • Assign 0.0 for not important and 1.0 for very important factors. • The sum of all weights assigned to the factors must equal to 1.0 Rating • Assign a 1 to 4 rating to each critical success factor to indicate how effectively the firm’s current strategies respond to the factor. • 4 = superior response; 3 = above average response; 2 = average response; 1 = poor response. • Ratings are base on effectiveness of the firm’s strategies. • Rating = company based; weighing = industry weight. Multiplying and Summing • Multiply each factor’s weight. • Summing the weighted score Meaning of Weighted Score • Score 1.00 to 4.00; Average 2.5 • Total of 4.0 indicates that an organization is responding in outstanding way to existing opportunities and threats. • Total of 1.0 indicates that the organization strategies are not capitalizing on opportunities or avoiding external threats EFE MATRIX End Chapter 3