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Monetary Economics-Unit 2
Monetary Economics-Unit 2
Value of money means the purchasing power of money, the ability of each unit to
command goods and services in exchange. All that can be purchased with a unit of
money is the value of money.
The value of money cannot be determined in terms of a single commodity or a
group of commodities. It should be expressed in the form of all commodities that
can be purchased by it.It refers to the general purchasing power of money ie the
amount of goods and services in general which a unit of money can purchase at a
particular time. According to Robertson “ we mean the amount of things in general
which will be given in exchange for a unit of money”
The larger the quantities of goods and services which a unit of money can buy the
higher is the value and vice-versa. Therefore the value of money is closely related
to the price level .Value of money varies inversely with the price level. Higher the
price level lower is the value of money and vice-versa. Algebraically Vm=1/P
Since money can buy anything that has a price ,the value should be expressed in
terms of all commodities.But there is a practical problem as it is not possible to
express the value in terms of innumerable goods.This problem is overcome by
taking the general price level . A rise or fall in the general price level does not mean
that the price of all goods has risen or fallen in the same proportion. It just means
that in general the prices of goods and services has risen
The concept of general price level is beset with some practical difficulties. The
general price level is based on the price level of a variety of goods which has little
relevance to an individual who is at a particular point of time interested only in a
collection of goods that give him utility.The purchasing power of his money is
affected by the prices of only those goods and services . He will reckon the value
of his currency in terms of the prices of only those goods he buys. Thus the value
of money is not the same for all individuals.
Monetary theory often focuses on the relationship between quantity of money and
price level and ignore changes in the real variables.
Crowther believes that there is an infinite number of different values of money
is .according to the uses to which it is put .According to him any exact definition
of the value of money is difficult.To overcome these problems Crowther
distinguished three standards of value . They are
They believed that the demand for money was determined by objective factors
They believed that the demand for money at any given time can be expressed as
the amount of goods and services that will be purchased with money during a
specified period of time.therefore the magnitude of trade that determined the
demand for money.A high proportion of trade in any given period depends upon
the production, transportation and merchandising of currently produced
goods,securities and services. This in turn depends upon the quantity and quality
of the factors of production and the techniques of production. Other factors like
the degree of employment of factors of production, velocity of circulation of
money,the volume of new security issues, volume of goods and securities carried
over from the previous periods etc.Therefore the demand for money is likely to be
higher in developed than in under-developed countries.
Demand for money depends upon the volume of currency in circulation and the
velocity of money in circulation.
The classical concept of demand for money is based on the idea that money is
neutral. Neutrality of money means that changes in the money supply will affect
only the nominal variables like prices, wages and the exchange rate and not the
real variables like output, employment, real interest rates and real
wages.Classical analysis of demand for money was within a static equilibrium
framework.In such an analysis there is perfect synchronisation between income
and expenditure flows ans therefore the asset demand for money was not
considered by the classical economists.
According to Keynes the three motives for liquidity preference( the desire for cash
or money balances) are 1) Transactions motive 2) precautionary motive and 3)
speculative motive
1. Transactions Motive is the need for cash to carry out currennt pf transactions
of a personal and business nature. This demand focuses on the medium of
exchange function of money, People desire to hold a certain amount of
money to carry out their everyday transactions which are of a routine nature.
In practical life money is received in discrete intervals of time while payments
have to be made at frequent intervals for the purchase of goods and
services.the lack of perfect synchronisation between receipts and
expenditure leads people to maintain a cash balance at all times
According to ACL. Day the transactions demand for money is based on two
characteristics of money namely convenience and certainty, convenient because
of its general acceptability and certain because in normal times the prices of
goods and services expressed in terms of money generally tend to be more stable.
The transactions motive is split up into a) the income motive and b) business
motive
Income motive refers to the transactions motive of the consumers. This motive
depends upon several factors namely 1) the size of the income 2) the interval
between income receipts and payments. The business motive refers to the
transactions demand of the business community. Business enterprises need cash
to purchase raw materials, pay salaries and wages and meet other current
expenditure.The larger the turnover of the enterprise greater will be their
transactions demand
For the community as a whole the transactions demand for money will depend
upon 1) the size and timing of personal income and 2) the turnover of
business.The transactions demand for money is income determined and is
relatively stable Also variations in the rate of interest have no influence on the
transactions demand for money.
Determinants of the Demand for Money Keynes has represented the aggregate
demand for money by M which is composed of M1 and M2. M1 is the amount of
cash held for transactions and precautionary purposes and M2 is the amount of
cash balances held to satisfy the speculative motive.Corresponding to M1 and M2
are two liquidity functions L1 and L2. L1 is the liquidity function corresponding to
income Y which determines M1. Therefore M1=L1(Y).L2 is the liquidity function of
the rate of interest r which determines M2. Therefore M2 = L2(r)
Diagrammatic Representation of the Transactions and Precautionary demand for
Money
The demand for speculative balances is a function of the rate of interest . It is highly
interest elastic.Higher the rate of interest lower will be the speculative demand for
money and vice-versa.This is because of the inverse relationship between bond
prices and rate of interest. At a very low rate of interest it becomes perfectly elastic
as indicated by AB in the figure.This is known as the liquidity trap and can be defined
as a set of points on the liquidity preference curve where the % change in demand
for money in response to a % change in r is infinity.The liquidity trap rate of interest
is thus the aggregate critical rate of interest at
which the the speculative demand for money becomes
perfectly elastic.At this rate of interest wealth holders
Prefer to hold their entire assets in the form of money
because the opportunity cost of holding money in the
form of interest income foregone is very small.Any
Increase in money supply will be held as cash balances
And thus shows the ineffectiveness of monetary policy to increase investment
and employment at low rates of interest.This is because the wealth holders begin
to regard money as a perfect substitute for interest bearing bonds at the minimum
critical rate of interest.
1. The nature and variety of substitute assets. If other assets available for
holding are highly risky and not liquid, the demand for money is likely to be
high.
2. The ease and certainty of security credit. People will like to hold larger money
balances if credit is not available easily or when its availability is uncertain.
3. The wealth of the community. The richer the community the greater will be
the demand for money and vice-versa.
4. The system of payments in the community. The demand for money is
affected by the frequency,regularity and correspondence between time and
amount of money receipts and disbursements.the greater the frequency and
regularity of disbursements and payments, the smaller is likely to be the
quantity of money demanded The greater the transactions greater will be the
demand for money
5. Expectations as to future income receipts. People will increase thei r demand
for money balances when they fear that their future income receipts will be less
certain and likely to decline.
6. Expectation regarding prices. People will tend to hold more money balances
when they expect prices to fall. This is because in such a situation their
purchasing power will increase and the value of goods will depreciate relative to
money.
Thus all factors which tend to increase the velocity of circulation of money have
adverse effects on the demand for money. The behaviour od interest rates and the
level of income within an economy depend upon several factors which can be
summarised in four functions namely a) the consumption function and the saving
function b) the investment function c) the money supply function and d) the
demand function.
QUANTITY THEORY OF MONEY
Introduction How is the value of money determined? Why does the value of money
fluctuate? These are questions which have for a long time occupied an important
position in monetary theory. Approximately in the order of their historical
development, the various theories of the value of money are
1. The Commodity Theory
2. The State Theory
3. The Quantity Theory and
4. The Income theory
The Commodity theory states that money is essentially a commodity like any
other commodity and its value is determined supply and demand-the cost of
producing it and the desire people have for it in its non monetary value. The
monetary value was the commodity value eg gold standard
The State theory of value says that the value of money lies exclusively in the laws
that create and govern it.Money is what people are willing to accept and the state
can increase the willingness in this respect.The state may be the instrument
through which the quantity of money can be regulated and hence the value of
money.
The Quantity theory is one of the most important theories which seeks to explain
the determination of the value of money at any time and the variations of this
value over periods of time. This is one of the oldest theories to have influenced the
views of economists at some point or another.This theory seeks to explain
changes in the value of money in terms of changes in the quantity of money.John
Locke was the first gave a clear formulation of the quantity theory in 1691. Later
David Hume elaborated on this in 1792 in his Political Discourses. There are two
approaches to the quantity theory of money. They are
1. The Transactions Approach /Fisher’s Version and
2. The Cash Balance Approach /Cambridge Version
Transactions Approach : In its crudest form the QTM states that the value of
money is dependent upon the quantity of money in circulation or in other words
the price level is a function of the quantity of money.The earliest version of the
QTM established a direct relationship between the quantity of money and the
price level such as an increase in the former always induced an increase in the
latter and vice versa
The transaction version of the quantity theory explains that other things remaining
unchanged, the changes in money supply bring about a directly proportionate
change in the price level and hence an inversely proportionate change in the
value of money.
J.S. Mill “ The value of money, other things being the same,varies inversely as its
quantity,every increase lowers the value and every dimunition raising it in a ratio
exactly equivalent.”
Thus the cause of the changes in the value of money lies in the changes in its
quantity. During a given period of time money flows in one direction while goods
and services move in the other direction.In a monetised economy, the value of
these two streams will be equal,for the total volume of money payments will
balance evenly against the total money value of all goods and services sold.
The theory is based on the assumption that the volume of trade remains
unchanged, velocity of circulation of money is constant and there is no change in
the ratio between the cash and credit money.
The Equation of Exchange- Irving Fisher an American economist presented the
transactions approach to the quantity theory of money in his book “ The
Purchasing Power of Money” published in 1911. Fisher presented the theory in
an equation called the equation of exchange .He puts it as
MV = PT or P = MV/T where
M = represents the quantity of money in circulation,both coins and paper currency
but excludes bank reserves and money held by the treasury
V = velocity of circulation of money i.e. the average number of times each unit of
money is spent for the purchase of goods and services during a given period.It is
obtained by dividing the total money payments in a given period by the units of
money in circulation
P = the general price level or the average price per unit of T
T = refers to the aggregate volume of transactions for which money payments are
made. It is equivalent to the physical volume of trade.
Thus the product MV gives the aggregate effective supply of money in a given
period, while PT is the money value of all purchases made during a given period
and hence gives the demand for money.
MV = PT denotes that the supply of money = demand for money. Stated differently
the money in circulation ( M) multiplied by the velocity of circulation of money (V)
is equal to the sum total of traded goods during a given period multiplied by the
price level. This formula is derived from the fact that what is given in payment for
anything in a given period is equal in value to what is sold.The identity lies in the
fact that since for every monetary payment there must be a monetary receipt, the
sum of monetary payments (MV) must be identical to the sum of all receipts (PT).
The equation of exchange is a truism.
The equation denotes that the price level P is directly related to MV and inversely
related to T. In the words of Fisher “ The quantity theory asserts that (provided
will the velocity of circulation and volume of trade are unchanged)if we increase
the number of dollars, prices will be increased in the same proportion.:
The equation MV = PT takes into consideration only currency money and its
velocity of circulation. But in modern economies bank money or credit money
forms a very important part of the money supply in an economy. Therefore credit
money and its velocity of circulation needs to be included as constituents of the
money supply. Therefore Fisher extended his original equation of exchange to
include bank money M’ and the velocity of its circulation V’.Fisher subdivided
money into two components and treated them separately. Thus
MV + M’V’ = PT or P = MV + M’V’
T
Thus the aggregate effective money supply is represented by MV + M’V’. The price
level P varies is directly related to M. M’, V,V’ and inversely related to T. However
the equation of exchange is not the QTM unless certain assumptions are made
regarding the different variables in the equation
Assumptions
Thus all the variables M”, V,V’ and T are shorn of their fluctuating tendencies. Thus
Fisher is successful in establishing a direct proportionality of P to M
FISHER ‘S
TRANSACTIONS
APPROACH TO THE
QUANTITY THEORY
OF MONEY
Critical Appraisal of the Transactions Theory
The equation of exchange has been used in one form or the other for several
decades. Though outdated the relationship that it shows is true in the modern
world as well . However this theory has been criticised on several grounds.A few
of these are
6. The theory does not throw light on the level of national income as T includes
both final as well as intermediate transactions.
8. The QTM is static in nature. It applies to a perid when other things remain
constant. But we live in a dynamic world .
11. Overemphasizes the role of money supply in determining the price level.
Ignores factors like income,expenditure,savings and investment.
12. T refers to total transactions and therefore does not refer to a specific
standard of value.
13. Theory refers to money in circulation but people hold money balances for the
future.Money which is not spent is thus not effective money in Fisher’s analysis.
14. This theory ignores the role of rate of interest as a link between M and P
Income Flow Equation of Exchange
Another variant of the QT is based on the income flow equation of exchange It
restricts transactions to those involving real national income (y) that is the flow of
final goods and services over a period of time excluding intermediate goods To
differentiate the income flow equation of exchange from the transactions
equation subscript y is used for all terms except M
The Cash Balance Equation: The proponents of the cash balance approach have
given algebraic equations known as the Cambridge equations to facilitate the
exposition of their analysis.These equations are also identities and state a truism.
Marshall’ s Equation He was the pioneer of the cash balance approach. His
equation is M=KPY where
M = the quantity of money ( currency and demand deposits
P = price level
Y = aggregate real income and
K = the proportion of real income that people desire to hold in the form of cash
Thus using this equation the value of money (1/P) is determined by the following
1/P = KY/M or P = M/KY. For example if M = 1000 and Y = 10000 and K = 0.5 , then
the value of money will be 5 ie 5 units per rupee of money and the price level will
be Rs ⅕ per unit.
The cash balance approach implies that the price level P is directly proportional to
the money supply M and indirectly proportional to the level of real income Y and
K. A sudden rise or fall in K can affect prices even if the money supply is constant.
For the determination of prices it is K and not M which is more important
Pigou’s Equation
Therefore P ( purchasing power) will vary directly with K or R and inversely with
M.Since money is held by the community not merely in the form of cash but also
in the form of bank deposits Pigou extended the equation by dividing cash into
two parts ie cash with the public and deposits with the bank
Thus
P = KR /M [ c + h (1-c)] where
c is the proportion of cash which people keep with themselves
1-c is the proportion of bank deposits held by the public and
h is the proportion of cash reserves to deposits held by the banks
Robertson’s Equation -similar to Pigou but with a slight difference. Instead of R
the total resources Robertson includes total transactions T . His equation is
M = KPT where
P is the price level
M is the money supply
T is the total amount of goods and services to be purchased during a year and
K is the proportion of T which people wish to hold in the form of cash. The
equation shows a direct relationship between M and P and inverse one between P
with K and T
Keynes Equation -Keynes was not satisfied with Pigou’s equation and hence gave
his own equation in his book “ A Tract on Monetary Reform” This equation is
known as the Real Balance Equation.Keynes stated that a holder of money
requires a quantity of real balances which is in an appropriate relationship with the
quantity of real transactions upon which those balances are spent. He measured
real balances as consumption units and gave his equation as follows
n = pk or p = n/k where n represents the total quantity of cash, p the price of a
consumption unit and k represents the amount or number of consumption units
the community chooses to hold in the form of cash.k is made up of a collection of
specified quantities of the public’s standard articles of consumption .
To include bank money in money supply Keynes extended the equation such that
n=p(k + rk’) or p = n/k + rk’ where r stands for the proportion of bank’s cash
reserves to their deposits and k’ represents number of consumption units the
community holds in the form of cash.
According to Keynes people are concerned about the value of money with respect
to consumption goods only . Assuming k k’ and r to be constant n and p rise and
fall in the same proportion.
2. The approach is defective because it does not take into consideration the total
demand for money. It considers only the transactions and the precautionary
motive and ignores the speculative motive.One of the most important reasons for
changes in money income is the speculative demand for money, without any
corresponding change in the quantity of money.
3. By ignoring the speculative demand for money the cash balance approach does
not assign a role to the rate of interest as a determinant of the rate of interest.
Therefore the theory is excluded from a whole body of monetary theory dealing
with the rate of interest.
5. Apart from changes in the total demand for money, changes in the distribution
of general demand between different categories of cash balance holders is also
important.The pattern of distribution substantially affects employment,income
and output .
6. The cash balance approach is based on the assumption that the demand for
money has unitary elasticity and elasticity of demand for money is unity only
under static conditions
In Pigou equation P = KR /M [ c + h (1-c)] if we assume that K,R c and h are constant
then the equation gives a rectangular hyperbola indicating unitary elasticity of demand
for money so that a halving of the purchasing power of money leads to a doubling of the
demand for money and vice-versa.The product of the value of money and quantity of
money demanded is a constant
7. The cash balance approach is subject to some of the criticisms of the
transactions approach. For eg by assuming K and T to be constant is as extreme
as assuming velocity V to be constant.
8. Though the Cambridge economists did recognise the fact that changes in the
money supply in the short run would partly change output, employment and partly
price level they failed to explain by how much output and prices would change for
a given change in the money supply, They failed to separate the output and the
price effects of changes in the money supply.
9. The CB approach fails to explain the real forces behind the changes in the price
level. It ignores important variables like savings and investment which are the
main causes for changes in the demand for money.
10. By giving importance to purchasing power of money, it has ignored the level of
economic activity as a important determinant of the demand for money