Professional Documents
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Sales and Distribution Management
Sales and Distribution Management
MANAGEMENT
Corporate Strategic
Planning (long-
Corporate
term)
Division/Business Division/SBU
unit Strategic
Strategic Planning
Business Unit
(SBU)
Product/
Functional
Product/Functional /operational
planning
(Short-term)
1) Use the most cost effective tools to achieve the desired communication
objectives.
Sales managers are responsible for strategic decisions at the account level.
Sales strategies are developed for each specific customer.
However, the strategic decisions are typically made by arranging
individual customers into similar categories or groups.
There are four parts of a sales strategy:
1) Classification of accounts
2) Relationship strategy
3) Selling methods
4) Channel Strategy
1) CLASSIFICATION OF ACCOUNTS
1) Transactional relationship
2) Value-added relationship
3) Collaborative relationship
3) SELLING METHODS
2) Finance for raising cash for investment and operations as well as for
profit planning
Industry Sales
Product
Company Sales
Level
Product lines Sales
World
Nation (India/USA)
Geographic
Region (North/South)
Area
Territory (Branch/District)
Customer
BASIC TERMS USED IN FORECASTING
3. Sales Potential (or company sales potential): it is the best possible (or
maximum) estimated sales of a given product or service for a company
in a given geographical area for a specific period of time.
4. Sales Forecast (or company sales forecast): It is estimated company
sales of a given product or service, under a proposed marketing plan, in
a given market, for a specific period of time. Sales forecast is less than
the sales potential.
5. Sales Budget: the sales revenue budget and the selling expense budget
6. Sales Quota: it is a sales goal set for a marketing unit for a specific
period of time.
FORECASTING APPROACHES
Executive Opinion
Delphi Method
Test Marketing
Moving Average
Exponential Smoothing
Quantitative Decomposition
Methods
Naïve/Ratio Method
Regression Analysis
Econometric Analysis
1) EXECUTIVE OPINION METHOD
The method includes getting the views of top executives of the company
regarding future sales.
The sales forecasts are made either by taking the average of all the
executives’ individual opinion or through discussions among the
executives.
Some executives’ opinion may be supported by the use of forecasting
methods, and other executives may form their opinion based on
experience, judgement, and intuition.
The Advantages: Forecasting can be done quickly and easily, less
expensive than other methods, very popular, particularly among small and
medium-sized companies.
The Disadvantages: Unscientific, subjective, difficult to break-down the
forecast into subunits of the organization.
2) DELPHI METHOD
This method is similar to the executive opinion method, and was developed by
R. Corporation during the late 1940s.
The procedure includes selection of panel of experts from within and outside
the organization.
A coordinator asks each expert separately to make a forecast on some matter.
Each member of the expert panel submits in writing his/her forecast secretly.
The coordinator summarizes these forecasts into a report that is sent to each
panel member.
The experts are then asked to make another prediction separately on the same
matter, with the knowledge of the forecasts of the other experts on the panel.
This process is repeated until the panel of experts arrive at some consensus.
The basic relief in this method is that experts, without any pressure or influence
will develop a more accurate prediction of the future
Advantages: objective forecast that is accurate, useful for technology, new
product, and industry sales forecast, both long and short term forecasting
possible.
1) Full-blown test markets (2 to 6 cities, max. 1 year, trial and repurchase rate)
Disadvantages: For some of the methods like full-blown test market and
controlled test marketing, where there are possibilities of the information on
new products going to competitors, there are chances of spoilage of the test
marketing.
If re-purchase period is long, particularly for consumer durables, it is difficult
for the company to wait to measure test results.
6) MOVING AVERAGE METHOD
In this method the company’s previous periods sales data is broken down
into four major components, such as Trend, Cycle, Seasonal, and erratic
events.
These components are then recombined to produce the sales forecast.
Cyclic and erratic events are included in the calculation of annual sales
forecast.
However, the seasonal component is used for forecasting sales for less than a
year, likely quarterly or monthly sales forecast.
In this method, many regression equations are built to forecast industry sales,
general economic conditions, or future events. The procedure followed is as
follows:
To find out which factors or variables influence sales and the relationships
between sales and these factors as well as the interrelationships between the
factors, develop a number of regression equations representing these
relationships.
(a) Product-wise quantities, the average selling price per unit, and sales
revenue,
1) Planning
2) Co-ordination
3) Control
METHODS USED FOR DECIDING SALES
EXPENDITURE BUDGET
Step: 2 Communication
Find Location
Select a Control Decide basic OR
and Potential of
Unit territories
Customers
Use Break-
Down Method
STEP: 1 SELECT A CONTROL UNIT
The sales manager should select the smallest control unit.
The reasons are: 1) the control units’ market potential and the company
sales potential should be possible to calculate, 2) adjustments of control
units should be possible when tentative territory boundaries are modified
to make final territories.
Commonly used control units are States, metros (or metropolis), cities,
districts, towns, pin-code areas, industrial estates, and major customers.
STEP: 2 FIND LOCATION AND POTENTIAL
OF CUSTOMERS
The next step is to find the location and sales potential of present and
prospective customers in each control unit.
Information of present customers should be available from the company’s
sales analysis.
The information on prospective customers can be obtained not only from
the company’s salespeople, but also from telephone directories, and
market research studies.
After the present and potential customers are identified, the company
should estimate the total sales potential for all customers in each
geographical control unit.
After the sales potential of control units are calculated, it is necessary to
classify the customers based on their sales and or profits potential. (ABC
Analysis).
STEP: 3 DECIDE BASIC TERRITORIES
This decision can be taken by using either Build-up method or Break
down method.
Build-up method equalizes the workload of salespeople and is commonly
used by manufacturers of industrial products and services or by
companies that want selective distribution strategy.
Break-down method equalizes the sales potential of territories, and is
popularly used by manufacturers of consumer products and services or by
firms that want to adopt intensive distribution strategy.
Build-up Method (equalize the workload of salespeople)
2. To control performance.
(2) Financial
(3) Activity
(4) Combination
1) SALES VOLUME QUOTAS
Most companies have sales volume quotas for individual salespersons,
distributors, retailers, geographical areas, or products, for a specific
period of time.
For effective control, sales volume quota should be set for the smallest
marketing units, such as salesperson, districts/ branches, product
items/brands.
Similar approach is used for setting sales volume quotas for products for
specific time periods.
Sales volume quotas can be stated in:
1. Rupees / dollars sales volume quotas are appropriate when salespeople
are required to sell many products.
2. Unit sales volume quotas are suitable a) when Salespeople are selling a
few products, b) Prices of the product fluctuate rapidly, c) Price of each
product / service is high.
3. Point sales volume quotas are appropriate when the company wants
salespeople to sell products that contribute more to profits.
2) FINANCIAL QUOTAS
Financial quotas are the goals set to control gross margin or profit
contribution, and expenses of various marketing (or sales) units, such as
sales territories, salespeople, and products.
2) Expense quotas
In many companies, expense quotas are stated as a percentage of sales.
Expense quotas to be administered with flexibility, to make salespeople
cost conscious, allowing reasonable expenses.
3) ACTIVITY QUOTAS
Many companies set activity quotas so as to direct salespeople to carry out
important job related activities.
These activities are useful for achieving performance targets of
salespeople.
The process of deciding activity quotas includes:
1) Defining the important activities
2) Finding out the time required for carrying out these activities
3) Deciding the priorities to be given among the various activities
4) Deciding the quotas or frequency for important activities
These are set when salespeople perform both selling and non-selling
activities
For effective implementation, activity quotas are combined with sales
volume and financial quotas
E.G. Calling on high potential customers, payment collection from
defaulting customers
4) COMBINATION QUOTAS
It is Used when companies want to control Salesforce performance on key
selling and non-selling activities.
Typically use ‘points’ as a common measure to resolve the problem of
different measures used by various types of quotas
METHODS FOR SETTING SALES QUOTAS
Several methods are used for establishing sales quotas
In practice, companies use more than one of the following methods to
increase their confidence in sales quotas
2) Territory potential
4) Executive judgement
5) Salespeople’s estimates
6) Compensation plan
1) TOTAL MARKET ESTIMATES METHOD
The Process followed by established companies is as under:
4) Find each territory’s percentage share out of the total company sales
in the previous year
2) Estimate multiple factor index (MFI) for each territory, based on factors
that influence sales of the product. These factors are given weights
corresponding to the degree of sales opportunity.
Senior executives use their judgement when the product, territories, and
the company are new or very little market information is available
Executives predict company sales budgets and also territory sales quotas
This method should generally be used along with other methods
5) SALESPEOPLE ESTIMATES METHOD
quotas
6) COMPENSATION PLAN METHOD
Some organizations set quotas to fit with their sales compensation plan
E.G. A company wants to pay a monthly salary of Rs 5000, and a
commission of 3% on monthly sales above Rs 1,00,000. The quota of
Rs 1,00,000 is set in such a way that salesperson would find it very
difficult to cross total compensation of Rs 8000 per month (5000+3000)
Sales quotas should not be based only on this method, because it would
“put the cart before the horse”
INSIGHT INTO SETTING &
ADMINISTRATION OF SALES QUOTAS
Set realistic quotas.
Understand problems in setting quotas.
Ensure salespeople understand quotas.
• By allowing salespeople to participate in the process
• By continuous feedback to salespeople on their performance compared
to quotas
Have flexibility in administering quotas.
• Change quotas in cases of major changes in market demand or company
strategies
Use monthly or quarterly quotas for incentives and annual quotas for
performance evaluation.
Select a few quotas that have relationships with marketing environment and
sales situations.
T H A N K
O U . . ! !
Y