Managing air transport demand

and capacity, from both strategic

and perspectives
Presented by:
• Malik adnan (group leader)
• Ayyaz awan
• Jalal u din
• Hamza khan
• Hamza niazi
professor:sir bilal
Introduction:

• The world has been experiencing unprecedented population growth for the past 55
years. Reports from the UN have revealed a steady increase in the number of people
worldwide expected to reach 8.3 and 10.9 billion by 2050. Pakistan has seen
significant progress in an unrestricted economy in this way attracting more global
jobs, extraordinary gifts, and labor. Population growth could encourage increased
interest rates, especially in countries such as Pakistan, where migration has become
increasingly popular among the population. A similar study has confirmed that the
recurrence of foreign trips among world travelers each year was a normal 10.42 visit
in 2000. Research, however, shows that population growth is a critical factor in
predicting future air traffic interest rates. Our previous study distinguished the
relationship of financial assets with interest in air traffic and established that GDP
could be one of the most desirable predictors for predicting future air traffic volume.
Research trends and oppurtunities:
Managing air transport demand and capacity
• Tactical adjustments:
1. Air traffic flow management Air traffic flow management (ATFM) refers to theprocess of optimizing, on
a daily and hourly basis and in the presence of capacity constraints, the flow of air traffic in time and
in space. ATFM has been playing a growing role as a means of avoiding facility overload and reducing
congestion costs at airports in Europe and the United States .Research over the past 20 years has
yielded increasingly sophisticatedoptimization models for application at individual airports
2. Efficient recovery from ‘‘irregular’’ operationsAir traffic operations are oftendisrupted by poor local or
regional weather, such as snowstorms or major thunderstorms, that result in lengthy flight delays and
numerous cancellations and missed passenger connections. Because these disruptions account for a
disproportionately large fraction of operational costs,it is critical that airlines be able to recover quickly
and efficiently from such situations. To this end, the most advanced airlines have developed decision
support capabilities that include dynamic operations recovery through re-scheduling and re-
optimization of resources. Essential to such recovery efforts is the sharing of real-time information
among airlines, national and regional air navigation service providers (ANSP), and even passengers.
• Well in advance of operations, airports and civil aviation authorities
engage in strategic planning with the goal of setting capacities system-
wide. The most congested resources in the system provide the most
significant challenges, requiring airlines to balance conflicting objectives as
they try to design and operate profit-maximizing, reliable flight schedules
under capacity constraints, and regulators to make difficult decisions with
respect to specifying and allocating capacity, particularly given weather
induced uncertainty and variability incapacity. Safety continues to be of
paramount importance estimating that in traditional first-world countries the
chance that a passenger’s flight will endin a fatal crash is just 1 in 14 million.
US and European regulators and airlines are expected to maximize the
benefits of air travel without compromising this impressive safety record
Economic impact of covid 19 on civil
aviation global and state level
Eonomic impact of covid 19 on civil aviation
global and state level
• The impact of the COVID-19 crisis removed more than 1 billion passengers for the whole year 2020
compared to the projected baseline (pre-COVID-19 forecast for 2020), representing a decline of 64.6% of
global passenger traffic . Compared to 2019 level, the decline is recorded at 63.3%.
• Europe and the Middle East were the two most impacted regions with similar declines of 5% compared to
the projected baseline.
• After being hit first, Asia-Pacific embarked on recovery earlier and faster than other regions—mostly
driven by China’s sizable domestic market— and closed the year 2020 with a decline of 61.3% compared to
the projected baseline (59.8% decline compared to 2019 level). Asia-Pacific, however, recorded the highest
traffic loss of all regions with a loss of 2.15 billion passengers in 2020 compared to the projected baseline.
• Latin America-Caribbean was the least impacted of all regions posting a decline of 61.1% compared to the
projected baseline (-59.8% compared to 2019 level).
• Following the “Great Lockdown” of April 2020, international passenger traffic was virtually non-existent in
the second half of 2020. International passenger volume ended the year below 1 billion passengers, a
decrease of more than 75% compared to 2019 volume.
• Domestic passenger traffic volume was helped by the early recovery of major domestic markets like China,
Russia and the US. Globally, domestic traffic volume for 2020 was recorded slightly above 2.4 billion
passengers, a decline of 54.7% compared to 2019 volume
Efficient recovery from irregular operation
in airports
• The irregular flights recovery considering aircraft path and passenger
itinerary integrates aircraft path recovery and passenger recovery, and
abstracts the objectives and constraints involved in these two
recovery problems as objective functions and constraints.