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Lecture 2

https://marketbusinessnews.com/financial-glossary/futurology /
KEY CONCEPTS

Names Why future “s” Definition Futures thinking


The "futures field" is very
As the plural term Futures studies is the Futures studies seeks
broad, and goes by a variety “futures” suggests, one of systematic study of to help individuals and
of different names: "futures the fundamental possible, probable and organizations better
research", "futures studies", assumptions in futures preferable futures
understand the
sometimes "futures studies is that the future including the worldviews
is plural not singular and myths that underlie
processes of change so
analysis", "futurism",
each future. that wiser preferred
"futuristic", or even
futures can be created.
"futurology" 2
Foundational Assumptions

Ray Amara, a former president of the Institute for


the Future once suggested (Amara, 1981) that
there are three fundamental premises upon which
the futures filed rests.

The future is not Future outcomes can be


The future is not influenced by our choices in
predetermined. predictable. the present. 
“The future can only be imagined”, Riel Miller
(Miller, 2018).
Assumption of IMAGINA
TION

We imagine our future, we imagine our past, we imagine


our present.

We recreate our past, and we act in our present to shape


our preferred future.
Brain storming
What will be the result of your
assumptions on your future?

How do you feel about your assumptions


and its future consequences?

What can be alternative assumptions and


its outcome on your future?
Breakout Session
NATURE OF FUTURES STUDIES
In general, it can be
There is a debate as to History studies the past, considered as a branch of
whether this discipline is an futures studies considers the social sciences and
art or science. the future parallel to the field of
history

Part of the discipline thus seeks a Futures studies seeks to


systematic and pattern-based understand what is likely
understanding of past and present,
and to determine the likelihood of to continue and what
future events and trends could plausibly change?
of Futures
Studies

Links horizon three


Consciously uses different
Longer-term, (20–30 years) with
ways of knowing, drama or
from five to fifty horizon two (5–20)
and horizon one (the postcards from the future
years present to five years) to various games.

Futures Studies is about designing the desired future for your organization. Futures Studies is inextricably
linked to strategic management and strategic planning. This means it is concerned with making better
decisions – decisions that will future-proof your organization.
of FUTURES STUDIES
The growth of futures studies is also a
result of the desire of government to find
information that can aid in making better
policy.

Futures studies creates alternative futures


by making basic assumptions problematic.

Through questioning the future, emerging


issues analysis, and scenarios, the intention
is to move out of the present and create
the possibility for new futures.
of FUTURES STUDIES

Engaging Cultures / Inclusion

Enhancing Creativity

Designing for tomorrow not today


For 21st Century

Learning and
Digital literacy skills Career & life skills
innovation skills
• critical thinking & • information literacy • flexibility &
problem solving • Information & adaptability
• communications & communication • initiative & self-
collaboration technologies (ICT) direction
• creativity & literacy • social & cross-cultural
innovation • media literacy interaction
• productivity &
accountability
Staying Alive

https://www.philosophyexperime
nts.com/stayingalive/Default.asp
x
For two minutes

What do you see? Watch closely.

What do you hear? Listen intently.

How do you feel? Feel intensely.

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