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The Relevance of Mathematical Modelling
The Relevance of Mathematical Modelling
The Relevance of Mathematical Modelling
http://depedbohol.org/v2/wp-content/uploads/2016/03/Math-CG_with-tagged-math-
equipment.pdf
Focus on Critical Thinking and Problem
Solving
Critical thinking, according to Scriven and Paul (1987) is the intellectually disciplined process of actively and
skillfully conceptualizing, applying, analyzing, synthesizing, and/or evaluating information gathered from, or
generated by, observation, experience, reflection, reasoning, or communication, as a guide to belief and action.
On the other hand, according to Polya (1945 & 1962), Inquiry-based learning... is a form of active learning that starts
mathematical problem solving is finding a way around a by posing questions, problems or scenarios.... Inquiry-based
difficulty, around an obstacle, and finding a solution to a learning is often assisted by a facilitator rather than a lecturer.
problem that is unknown. Inquirers will identify and research issues and questions to
Reflective learning is a form of education in which the develop knowledge or solutions. Inquiry-based learning
student reflects upon their learning experiences. A theory includes problem-based learning, and is generally used in small
about reflective learning cites it as an intentional and scale investigations and projects, as well as research. The
complex process that recognize the role of social context and inquiry-based instruction is principally very closely related to
experience. (Wikipedia) the development and practice of thinking and problem solving
skills. (Wikipedia)
𝒚=𝜷 𝑿+𝜺
𝒚=𝜷𝟎 +𝜷𝟏 𝒇 𝒈𝒎𝒂𝒕𝒉 +𝜷 𝟐 𝒇 𝒈𝒔𝒄𝒊𝒆𝒏𝒄𝒆 +𝜺 Multiple regression model
“All models are wrong but some are useful.” - George Box
All models are
wrong but some
are useful
Wear mask
Keep distance
Image: https://www.yankodesign.com/2020/05/30/for-every-premium-cloth-mask-you-buy-this-company-donates-a-mask-to-medical-professionals/
https://medium.com/@Cancerwarrior/
covid-19-why-we-should-all-wear-masks-there-
is-new-scientific-rationale-280e08ceee71
All models are wrong but some are useful:
Modelling the Confirmed COVID-19 cases
423022.24 0.0266
𝑦= 𝑦=1004
=1467𝑒 𝑒0.1843
0.0322
423022.24𝑦𝑦− 𝑒
( )
=5.26
502.537 −0.036 𝑡
1+ 𝑒
Doubling502.537
Doubling time == ln
time ln 222/0.1843
log // 0.0322
0.0266 == 21.5
26.06days
3.76 days
Doubling time = log 2/0.036 = 19.04 days
All models are wrong but some are useful:
Beyond the logistic model
https://www.doh.gov.ph/covid19tracker
The pandemic is a teaching opportunity
https://fassster.ehealth.ph/covid19/
https://www.doh.gov.ph/covid19tracker
https://covid.cdc.gov/covid-data-tracker/#cases_casesper100klast7days
https://www.coronatracker.com/
https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/
Summary