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    Changes in lake temperature lead to shifts in fish spawning times over the years. The researchers used a process-guided deep learning model to classify fish into thermal guilds based on their spawning temperature requirements. They then analyzed how the earliest date each average spawning temperature was reached had changed over time. Earlier spawning dates indicate fish spawning times are advancing in response to rising lake temperatures. This phenological shift can negatively impact fish populations by causing food mismatches, producing smaller fish sizes, lower survival rates, loss of productivity, and ultimately recruitment failure.

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    Changes in lake temperature lead to shifts in fish spawning times over the years. The researchers used a process-guided deep learning model to classify fish into thermal guilds based on their spawning temperature requirements. They then analyzed how the earliest date each average spawning temperature was reached had changed over time. Earlier spawning dates indicate fish spawning times are advancing in response to rising lake temperatures. This phenological shift can negatively impact fish populations by causing food mismatches, producing smaller fish sizes, lower survival rates, loss of productivity, and ultimately recruitment failure.

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    15 views9 pages

    Afs Spawning Phenology

    Uploaded by

    api-592265547
    Changes in lake temperature lead to shifts in fish spawning times over the years. The researchers used a process-guided deep learning model to classify fish into thermal guilds based on their spawning temperature requirements. They then analyzed how the earliest date each average spawning temperature was reached had changed over time. Earlier spawning dates indicate fish spawning times are advancing in response to rising lake temperatures. This phenological shift can negatively impact fish populations by causing food mismatches, producing smaller fish sizes, lower survival rates, loss of productivity, and ultimately recruitment failure.

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    © All Rights Reserved
    Download as PPTX, PDF, TXT or read online from Scribd
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    of 9

    Changes in lake temperature lead to shifts in

    spawning phenology
    Ashley LaRoque & Dr. Gretchen JA Hansen
    Global Temperature Change

     Models predict increasing


    change in air temperatures
    Background

    ➢ Freshwater lakes are highly


    responsive to change
    ➢ Thermal requirements are critical
    bottlenecks
    ➢ Spawning is temperature cued

    Fausch et al., 2002; Kitchell et al., 1977; Magnuson et al., 1979; reviewed by Houde, 1989; Blaxter, 1991; and Benoit et al., 2000;
    Ahas and Aasa, 2006; Crozier and Hutchings, 2014; Peer and Miller, 2014; Rodriguez‐Ruiz and Granado ‐Lorencio, 1992; Dahlke
    et al., 2020; Borcherding et al., 2010; Cushing, 1990; Edwards and Richardson, 2004; Winder and Schindler, 2004; Cushing, 1990;
    Thackeray et al., 2010, 2013; Jonsson and Setzer, 2015
    https://wallybites.com/life-cycles-of-wallenpaupack-fish/
    Background
    ➢ Freshwater lakes are highly responsive to
    change
    How requirements
    ➢ Thermal has the phenology
    are critical of spawning shifted over
    bottlenecks
    time inis response
    ➢ Spawning to
    temperature cued changes in lake temperature?

    Fausch et al., 2002; Kitchell et al., 1977; Magnuson et al., 1979; reviewed by Houde, 1989; Blaxter, 1991; and Benoit et al., 2000;
    Ahas and Aasa, 2006; Crozier and Hutchings, 2014; Peer and Miller, 2014; Rodriguez‐Ruiz and Granado ‐Lorencio, 1992; Dahlke
    et al., 2020; Borcherding et al., 2010; Cushing, 1990; Edwards and Richardson, 2004; Winder and Schindler, 2004; Cushing, 1990;
    Thackeray et al., 2010, 2013; Jonsson and Setzer, 2015
    https://wallybites.com/life-cycles-of-wallenpaupack-fish/
    Methods
    ➢ Process-Guided Deep Learning Model of lake temperature
    ➢ Thermal guild classification
    ○ Cold-fall
    ○ Cool-spring
    ○ Warm-summer
    ➢ Average spawning temperature of each guild
    ○ 5ºC
    ○ 8.9ºC
    ○ 18ºC

    ➢ Used earliest date in which each temperature was


    reached to analyze change and subsequent trends

    Read et al., 2019; Hasnain, Shuter, and Minns, 2013; Scott and Crossman, 1973; Sen, 1968
    Spatial Distribution of Change
    But why does a change in spawning

    phenology matter?
    Conclusion

    ➢ Changes in spawning phenology can lead to:


    ➢ Food mismatch
    ➢ Smaller size class
    ➢ Lower survival
    ➢ Productivity loss
    ➢ Recruitment failure

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