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Tata Power Analysis Deck
Tata Power Analysis Deck
Analyst Information:
E-mail: mihirmm345@gmail.com
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mihir_mahesh
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1
Company Overview
Table of 1. About Tata Power
Contents 2. Segment Reports
3. Management Reporting
4. Shareholder’s Pattern
5. Plan over the Years
2
Industry Overview
1. Current industry
2. Key Industry Trends
3
Financial Overview
1. Financial Performance
2. Financial Ratios
3. Projections – Story behind the numbers
4. Discounted Cash Flow Valuation
5. Trading Comps
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Company Overview
Company Overview
About TATA Power
The Company was incorporated on 18th September,1919 at Mumbai. The Company generates
and supplies Electricity. The company was founded by Dorabji Tata. The Tata Hydro-Electric
Power System comprises the Tata Hydro-Electric Power Supply Co., Ltd., the Andhra Valley Power
Supply Co. Ltd., and the Tata Power Co., Ltd. Now the company isn’t only into conservative ways
of producing power but has evolved into a company that is slowly transitioning into renewable
and green energy generation and transmission.
P/E* 39.65
EV/EBITDA* 12.36
Debt 480.99 B
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Business Model
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Segment Report
Segment Breakdown
Their business is mainly centered around these three pillars. Apart from these
established services and products they have a few new segments
4. EV Charging solutions
5. Home automation
6. Solar rooftops
7. Solar pumps
8. Micro grids
9. Solar RO Systems
10. EV Charging solutions using Tata power EZ Charge app
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Segment Report
Generation – Conventional energy
Conventional Energy
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Segment Report
Generation – Conventional energy
1. Trombay in Mumbai: The Trombay Thermal Power Station, located in Mumbai, has an installed
generation capacity of 930 MW. Providing power to majority consumers (bulk & retail) in Mumbai, the plant
has a list of firsts to its credit. From the first 150 MW and 500 MW plant in India to setting up the unique
islanding system which ensures uninterrupted power supply.
5. Mundra in Gujurat : Coastal Gujarat Power Limited (CGPL), Tata Power's wholly-owned subsidiary,
has implemented the 4150 MW UMPP near the port city of Mundra in Gujarat which meets nearly 3% of
India's power needs of the country. This UMPP is India's first 800 MW unit thermal power plant using
supercritical technology, supplying to 5 states: Gujarat, Rajasthan, Maharashtra, Haryana and Punjab.
6. Prayagraj, Allahbad
From all these plants Tata power from their thermal plants are able to generate
9032.5 MW.
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Segment Report
Generation – Conventional energy
Power through hydro is mostly generated through damns where the water runs the water
turbine. The power extracted depends on the difference in between the height and the
volume of water.
Apart from the above plants they have partnered with companies:
4. They have partnered with SN Power to develop hydro projects in Nepal and India.
5. Joint venture with Royal government of Bhutan that commissioned a 126 MW Hydro
project with Druk Green power company in 2015
6. The company has synchronized of 186 MW Shuakhevi Hydro Project in Georgia. The
company has commissioned two units of 60 MW each of its 120 MW Itezhi Tezhi hydro
Power Project in Zambia, in which Tata Power has a 50 percent stake
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Segment Report
Generation – Conventional energy
Power generation in waste plants are generated by the combustion of waste to produce
electricity.
Tata Power has set up various plants at Haldia and in Jamshedpur (Power 6) based on the
blast furnace and coke oven gases which are waste gases from steel making process which
help in reducing greenhouse gas emission significantly. It's looking at other similar projects
with Tata Steel.
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Segment Report
Generation – Renewable Energy
Solar energy
It has recently commissioned a 100 MW solar plant at Anantapur Solar Park, Andhra
Pradesh. It has also commissioned 150 MW in Pavagada, Karnataka, 30 MW at Palaswadi in
Maharashtra and 25 MW in Charanka, Gujarat in 2017.
The Company had set up its first solar power plant of 110 kW, way back in 1996 at Walwhan
in Lonavla. A 60.48 kWp solar power plant has been installed on the rooftop of one of the
Company's offices in Mumbai in 2010 and the power generated by these solar panels takes
part of the lighting load of the entire building announced the synchronisation of its 15 MW
solar plant at Belampally in Telangana, thereby starting its commercial operations.
Wind Energy
Tata Power has an installed capacity of 932 MW and plants spread across seven states of
Maharashtra, Gujarat, Tamil Nadu, Karnataka Rajasthan, Andhra Pradesh and Madhya
Pradesh leading in promoting wind power generation in India.
Recently, Tata Power's subsidiary, TPREL has commissioned 21 MW Vagarai wind Farm in
Tamil Nadu, 100 MW in Nimbagallu, Andhra Pradesh, and 26 MW in Gujarat.
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Segment Report
Transmission and distribution
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Segment Report
EV Charging stations
Tata powers EZ charging is the newest addition to their business they provide EV
charging solutions for fleets, homes, malls, retail outlets and public access. They
provide
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Segment Report
Revenue Breakdown
1%
1%
1%
17%
11% 13%
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Segment Report
Segment wise CAPEX
2019 2020
11%
18% 7%
13% 1%
2% Generation 2% Generation
Renewables Renewables
0% Transmission and Transmission and
Distribution Distribution
Others Others
Discontinued Op- Discontinued
erations Operations
66% 80%
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Segment Report
Energy Generation
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Segment Report
Future energy plans
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Management Report
Board of directors
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Shareholder Ownership
Ownership Analysis
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Shareholder Ownership
Ownership Analysis
Promoters Holding
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Shareholder Ownership
Ownership Analysis
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Shareholder Ownership
Ownership Analysis
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Shareholder Ownership
Ownership Analysis
Public holding
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Shareholder Ownership
Ownership Analysis
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Industry Overview
Current industry
Global and Indian power industry
The current power industry both global and Indian are going through major
changes with respect to the environmental repercussions of climate
change. The industry is slowly moving from conventional means of
electricity generation to green (renewable) energy generation. As per the
latest report of the ministry of power the majority of power generation is by
thermal power generation.
The power industry globally saw a decrease in power demand and this
enabled the renewable sector to acquire market share of the non
renewable generation sector.
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Current industry
Global and Indian power industry
India
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Current industry
Global and Indian power industry
India
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Current industry
Global and Indian power industry
India
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Current industry
Global and Indian power industry
Global
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Key Industry Trends
Global and Indian power industry
From the reports as per IEA and the Indian ministry of power the key trend in
the power generation industry is the move from non-renewable sources to
renewable sources of energy production the trend observed through the
research is that the developed countries like United states, Europe and
China have increased their renewable energy capacity. The penetration of
renewable energy sector in India and other developing Countries are going
to take some time as the dependence on thermal power generation
especially is too high but the Indian government is promoting companies
that manufacture and undertake solar energy projects and products.
The decline in power generation demand has been uniform globally, It is the
lowest power demand in the last 50 Years, a decline of 2% as per IEA
(Internation Energy Agency)
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Key Industry Trends
Global and Indian Electric vehicle industry
There were 10 million electric cars on the world’s roads at the end of
2020, following a decade of rapid growth. Electric car registrations
increased by 41% in 2020, despite the pandemic-related worldwide
downturn in car sales in which global car sales dropped 16%. Around
3 million electric cars were sold globally (a 4.6% sales share), and
Europe overtook the People’s Republic of China (“China”) as the
world’s largest electric vehicle (EV) market for the first time. Electric
bus and truck registrations also expanded in major markets, reaching
global stocks of 600,000 and 31,000 respectively.
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Key Industry Trends
Global and Indian Electric vehicle industry
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Key Industry Trends
Global and Indian Electric vehicle industry
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Key Industry Trends
Global and Indian Electric vehicle industry
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Key Industry Trends
Global and Indian Electric vehicle industry
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Key Industry Trends
EV Batteries and charging industry
Batteries
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Key Industry Trends
EV Batteries and charging industry
Charging industry
While most charging of EVs is done at home and work, roll-out of publicly accessible charging will be
critical as countries leading in EV deployment enter a stage where simpler and improved autonomy
will be demanded by EV owners. Publicly accessible chargers reached 1.3 million units in 2020, of
which 30% are fast chargers. Installation of publicly accessible chargers was up 45%, a slower pace
than the 85% in 2019, likely because work was interrupted in key markets due to the pandemic. China
leads the world in availability of both slow and fast publicly accessible chargers.
Slow chargers
The pace of slow charger (charging power below 22 kW) installations in China in 2020 increased by
65% to about 500 000 publicly accessible slow chargers. This represents more than half of the world’s
stock of slow chargers. Europe is second with around 250 000 slow chargers, with installations
increasing one-third in 2020. The Netherlands leads in Europe with more than 63 000 slow chargers.
Sweden, Finland and Iceland doubled their stock of slow chargers in 2020. Installation of slow
chargers in the United States increased 28% in 2020 from the prior year to total 82 000. The number
of slow chargers installed in Korea rose 45% in 2020 to 54 000, putting it in second place.
Fast chargers
The pace of fast charger (charging power more than 22 kW) installations in China in 2020 increased
by 44% to almost 310 000 fast chargers, slower than the 93% pace of annual growth in 2019. The
relatively high number of publically available fast chargers in China is to compensate for a paucity of
private charging options and to facilitate achievement of goals for rapid EV deployment. In Europe,
fast chargers are being rolled out at a higher rate than slow ones. There are now more than 38 000
public fast chargers, up 55% in 2020, including nearly 7 500 in Germany, 6 200 in the United
Kingdom, 4 000 in France and 2 000 in the Netherlands. The United States counts 17 000 fast
chargers, of which nearly 60% are Tesla superchargers. Korea has 9 800 fast chargers. Publicly
accessible fast chargers facilitate longer journeys. As they are increasingly deployed, they will enable
longer trips and encourage late adopters without access to private charging to purchase an electric
vehicle.
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Key Industry Trends
EV30@30 and the Drive to Zero campaigns support EV deployment
EV30@30 Campaign
The EV30@30 Campaign was launched at the CEM meeting in 2017 to spur the
deployment of EVs. It sets a collective aspirational goal for EVs (excluding
two/three-wheelers) to reach 30% sales share by 2030 across all signatory
countries. This is the benchmark against which progress is to be measured for the
EVI members. Fourteen countries endorsed the campaign: Canada; Chile; China;
Finland; France; Germany; India; Japan; Mexico; Netherlands; Norway; Portugal;
Sweden and United Kingdom. In addition, 30 companies and organizations
support the campaign, including: C40; FIA Foundation; Global Fuel Economy
Initiative; Hewlett Foundation; Natural Resources Defense Council; REN21; SLoCaT;
The Climate Group; UN Environment Programme; UN Habitat; World Resources
Institute; ZEV Alliance; ChargePoint; Energias de Portugal; Enel X; E.ON; Fortum;
Iberdrola; Renault-Nissan-Mitsubishi Alliance; Schneider Electric; TEPCO; Vattenfall
and ChargeUp Europe.
These include:
• Support and track the deployment of EV chargers.
• Galvanise public and private sector commitments to incorporate EVs in company
and supplier fleets.
• Scale up policy research and information exchanges.
• Support governments through training and capacity building.
• Establish the Global EV Pilot City Programme to achieve 100 EVFriendly Cities
over five years.
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Key Industry Trends
EV30@30 and the Drive to Zero campaigns support EV deployment
Implementations:
The EVI Global EV Pilot City Programme was launched in May 2018 at the
9th CEM as an initiative of the EV30@30 campaign. It aims to build a
network of at least 100 cities over an initial period of five years to work
together on the promotion of electric mobility.
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Financial Overview
Historical Share Price Performance
Key Events & Share Price Drivers
Price movements
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Financial Performance
Financial Performance – 2017 To 2021
Balance Sheet
From the balance sheet we can clearly see that the business is very debt and
capex heavy hence the huge amounts in those two line items, The debt has
been taken in order to improve the renewable energy business. Their working
capital had improved but it worsened mainly due to COVID-19 is my
assumption. Ever since Mr. N.Chandrasekaran has become a director in Tata
power he got the subsidiaries of Tata power from 48 to 30. And have also
concentrated more Mundhwa.
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Financial Performance
Financial Performance – 2017 To 2021
Income Statement
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Financial Performance
Financial Performance – 2017 To 2021
Financial Ratios
Strengths:
Weaknesses:
5. Low interest coverage ratio.
6. Low return on equity
7. Low NPM
8. Low Current ratio but its
improving
9. Low quick ratio but its
improving
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Financial Performance
Quarterly Result
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Financial Performance
Quarterly Result
Investors Presentation
Highlight:
2. Agreement signed with HPCL to set up EV charging stations at its petrol pumps in multiple cities
and major highways across the country.
6. EV Infrastructure: Added EV Stations in 9 new cities (112 cities now), 3,400 home chargers
installed, 640+ charger points installed including bus chargers, 114 bus chargers installed in
Mumbai and Ahmedabad.
Concern:
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Projections – Story Behind the numbers
Projections
Revenue 4% 13%
• I expect the revenue growth to increase at a CAGR of 13% as I believe that Tata Power will be able to capture the EV charging market and the
renewable energy market as well.
• I expect the sales to capital ratio to go up to 0.93 in the next 10 Years but the major growth is going to take place only post Year 5. As per their
Sales to Capital 0.62 0.93 plan they expect to go completely renewable by 2050 but I haven’t been able to find any plan with regards to this so I have been fairly
conservative with the reinvestments.
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Projections – Story Behind the numbers
Projections
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Valuations
Valuation
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Valuations
Valuation
Trading Comps
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Pricing
Forward PE
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Pricing
PEG
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