Presentation To Mayantoc

EnP. Jonathan John G.
Maldupana
Licensed Environmental Planner
Licensed Real Estate Consultant, Real Estate Appraiser, Real Estate Broker
Certified Public Accountant
Lecturer, Plan 201 (Theories and Practice of Planning), SURP, UP Diliman

Lecturer, P214 (Planning Analysis), UP Open University
Diploma in Urban and Regional Planning, SURP (Dean’s Medallion Awardee, GWA of 1.0)
Diploma in Real Estate Management, De La Salle – College of Saint Benilde
Diploma in Land Valuation and Management, UP Open University
EnP. Jonathan John G. Maldupana

Top 9, 2018 PRC Environmental Planner Licensure Examination
Top 1, 2018 PRC Real Estate Consultant Licensure Examination
1
Climate Change Science,
Impacts, and Solutions
Climate Change Adaptation Forum
Mayantoc, Tarlac | through Zoom | Organized by Hon. Erika Rafael, Municipal Councilor
Oct. 31, 2021, Sunday, 2PM

Environmental Planner | Climate Reality Leader / Climate Action Advocate
Outline of Presentation
1. Ano ang Climate Change?
2. Ano ang mga Epekto ng Climate Change?
3. Ano ang mga Hindi na Maso-solusyunan?
Review through Kahoot!
4. Ano ang mga Solusyon sa Climate Change?

5. Ano ang Magagawa Mo?

Review through Kahoot!
Q&A / Open Forum

Planetary Boundaries (2009)
Boundaries within which humanity can continue to develop and thrive
for generations to come.
1. Stratospheric ozone depletion
* 2. Loss of biosphere integrity (biodiversity loss and extinctions)

3. Chemical pollution and the release of novel entities
4. Climate Change
5. Ocean acidification
* 6. Freshwater consumption and the global hydrological cycle
* 7. Land system change

8. Nitrogen and phosphorus flows to the biosphere and oceans

*
9. Atmospheric aerosol loading
Developed in 2009 by former Stockholm Resilience Institute director Johan
Rockström together with 28 internationally-renowned scientists.
* Biosphere Boundaries
Stockholm Resilience Centre, 2015 | Learn more: https://www.stockholmresilience.org/research/planetary-boundaries.html
7
Ano ang Climate Change?

Climate
Climate in a narrow sense is usually defined as the average weather,
or more rigorously, as the statistical description in terms of the mean
and variability of relevant quantities over a period of time ranging
from months to thousands or millions of years. The relevant quantities
are most often surface variables such as temperature, precipitation
and wind.

IPCC, 2018: Annex I: Glossary [Matthews, J.B.R. (ed.)]. In: Global Warming of 1.5°C. An IPCC Special Report on
the impacts of global warming of 1.5°C above pre-industrial levels and related global greenhouse gas emission
pathways, in the context of strengthening the global response to the threat of climate change, sustainable
development, and efforts to eradicate poverty [Masson-Delmotte, V., P. Zhai, H.-O. Pörtner, D. Roberts, J. Skea,
P.R. Shukla, A. Pirani, W. Moufouma-Okia, C. Péan, R. Pidcock, S. Connors, J.B.R. Matthews, Y. Chen, X. Zhou,
M.I. Gomis, E. Lonnoy, T. Maycock, M. Tignor, and T. Waterfield (eds.)]. In Press
Climate Change
Climate change refers to a change in the state of the climate
that can be identified (e.g., by using statistical tests) by
changes in the mean and/or the variability of its properties
and that persists for an extended period, typically decades or
longer.

Climate Change Global Warming
Includes warming Refers only to the earth’s rising
AND surface temperature.
The side effects of warming like
melting glaciers, heavy rainstorms,
more frequent drought

Global Warming
The estimated increase in global mean surface temperature
(GMST) averaged over a 30-year period, or the 30-year
period centered on a particular year or decade, expressed
relative to pre-industrial levels.

Pre-Industrial
The multi-century period prior to the onset of largescale
industrial activity around 1750.
The reference period 1850–1900 is used to approximate pre-
industrial global mean surface temperature (GMST).

Solar radiation
in the form of light waves
passes through the
atmosphere

Most of this radiation
is absorbed by the
Earth and warms it

Some energy is radiated back
into space by the earth in the
form of infrared waves
GHG
Some of this outgoing infrared
radiation is trapped by the earth’s
atmosphere and warms it

↑ GHG
As the CO2 concentration increases,
more of the outgoing infrared radiation
is trapped.

↑ GHG → ↑ °C

Greenhouse Gases
Greenhouse gases are those gaseous constituents of the atmosphere, both
natural and anthropogenic, that absorb and emit radiation at specific
wavelengths within the spectrum of terrestrial radiation emitted by the
Earth’s surface, the atmosphere itself and by clouds. This property causes the
greenhouse effect. Water vapor (H2O), carbon dioxide (CO2), nitrous
oxide (N2O), methane (CH4) and ozone (O3) are the primary GHGs in the
Earth’s atmosphere.

Carbon Dioxide (CO2)
A naturally occurring gas, CO2 is also a
by-product of burning fossil fuels (such as oil, gas and coal), burning
biomass, industrial processes (e.g., cement production), and land-use changes
(LUC). It is the principal anthropogenic greenhouse gas (GHG) that affects
the Earth’s radiative balance.

70.4%
Fossil
Fuels

DOE. As of Dec. 2020
Since 2011, concentrations have continued to increase in the
atmosphere, reaching annual averages of 410 ppm for
carbon dioxide (CO2)…

IPCC, 2021: Summary for Policymakers. In: Climate Change 2021: The Physical Science Basis.
Contribution of Working Group I to the Sixth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate
Change [Masson-Delmotte, V., P. Zhai, A. Pirani, S. L. Connors, C. Péan, S. Berger, N. Caud, Y. Chen, L.
Goldfarb, M. I. Gomis, M. Huang, K. Leitzell, E. Lonnoy, J.B.R. Matthews, T. K. Maycock, T. Waterfield,
O. Yelekçi, R. Yu and B. Zhou (eds.)]. Cambridge University Press. In Press.
Global CO2 Levels
(1850-2020)

2 Degrees Institute | https://www.co2levels.org/ | https://research.noaa.gov/article/ArtMID/587/ArticleID/2764/Coronavirus-response-barely-slows-rising-carbon-dioxide
Global Temperature Record
(1850-2020)

2 Degrees Institute | https://www.co2levels.org/
…there is a near-linear relationship between cumulative
anthropogenic CO2 emissions and the global warming they
cause.
Each 1,000 GtCO2 of cumulative CO2 emissions is assessed

to likely cause a 0.27°C to 0.63°C increase in global surface
temperature.

1.09°C
Global surface temperature was 1.09°C higher in 2011–2020
than 1850–1900, with larger increases over land (1.59°C)
than over the ocean (0.88°C).

https://www.independent.co.uk/climate-change/news/climate-ch
ange-global-warming-end-human-civilisation-research-a894353
1.html
Expansion of extremely hot regions in a business-as-usual climate scenario.

Chi Xu et al. PNAS 2020;117:21:11350-11355
©2020 by National Academy of Sciences

Sixth Assessment Report Author Team
(6AR) of the Intergovernmental • 234 authors from
Panel on Climate Change • 65 countries
(IPCC) • 28% women
• 72% men
Working Group I Contribution: • 30% new to the IPCC
“Climate Change 2021 – The
Physical Science Basis” Review Process
• 14,000 scientific
Released: Aug. 9, 2021 publications assessed
• 78,000+ review comments
• 46 countries commented on

Final Government
Distribution
Code Red for Humanity
[The report*] is a code red for humanity. The alarm bells are
deafening, and the evidence is irrefutable: greenhouse gas
emissions from fossil fuel burning and deforestation are
choking our planet and putting billions of people at
immediate risk.

- UN Secretary-General António Guterres
August 9, 2021
* The report: IPCC Working Group 1 Report on the Physical Science Basis of the Sixth Assessment
August 9, 2021 | in url: https://www.un.org/sg/en/content/secretary-generals-statement-the-ipcc-working-group-1-report-the-physical-science-basis-of-
the-sixth-assessment
Ano ang mga Epekto
ng Climate Change?

CANADA: HEAT DOME
June 2021
record high temperature
486 dead

JULY 2021:
HOTTEST MONTH ON RECORD
0.93°C above the 20th century
average of 15.8°C

MADAGASCAR:

BACK-TO-BACK DROUGHT
July 2021 - present
400,000 “marching towards starvation”
14,000 in “famine-like” conditions
Madagascar faces the
first famine in modern
history to be caused
solely by climate
change.

Nasaan ang
Climate Justice?

Every 1°C of warming
increases lightning
strikes by 12%.

OREGON: WILDFIRE

July – August 2021
100% contained
burned for 39 days
1,671 sq.km. burned
408 buildings destroyed
GREECE: WILDFIRE
July to Aug. 2021
burned 110,000 hectares
over two weeks

CALIFORNIA: WILDFIRE
July 2021 - present
2,331 sq.km. burned
1,100 buildings destroyed
SIBERIA: WILDFIRE
July to Aug. 2021
burned 10,000,000 acres
released 800 million tons of CO2
It is virtually certain (99-100% probability) that hot extremes (including
heatwaves) have become more frequent and more intense across most land
regions since the 1950s… with high confidence that human-induced climate
change is the main driver…

Every 1°C of warming
increases the air’s
capacity to hold water
vapor by 7%.

JAPAN: MUDSLIDE

July 2021
3+ dead, 80 missing
130 houses swept away
GERMANY: FLASH FLOOD
July 2021
173 dead, 155 missing
BELGIUM: FLASH FLOOD
July 2021
40+ dead
ZHENGZHOU, CHINA: FLOOD
July 2021
292 dead, 47 missing
BLACK SEA COAST,
TURKEY: FLOOD
August 2021
77 dead, 34 missing
TENNESSEE: FLOOD
August 2021
22 dead, 20 missing
The frequency and intensity of heavy precipitation events have

increased since the 1950s over most land area … (high confidence),
and human-induced climate change is likely the main driver.
It is unequivocal that human influence has
warmed the atmosphere, ocean and land.
Widespread and rapid changes in the atmosphere,
ocean, cryosphere and biosphere have occurred.

"More than 99.9% of peer-reviewed scientific papers agree that climate change is mainly caused by humans, according to a new survey of
88,125 climate-related studies." https://news.cornell.edu/stories/2021/10/more-999-studies-agree-humans-caused-climate-change
Anong mga Pagbabago ang
Wala nang Solusyon?
Irreversible Impacts of Climate Change

400 Impacts of Climate Change
Reference: http://impact.gocarbonneutral.org/
Ocean Acidification
Ocean acidification refers to a reduction in the pH of the ocean over an
extended period, typically decades or longer, which is caused primarily by
uptake of carbon dioxide (CO2) from the atmosphere…

It is virtually certain (99-100% probability) that human-caused
CO2 emissions are the main driver of current global
acidification of the surface open ocean.

…surface open ocean pH as low
as recent decades is unusual in the last 2 million years
(medium confidence / 5 out of 10 chance).

Past GHG emissions since 1750 have committed the
global ocean to future warming
(high confidence).
Changes are IRREVERSIBLE on centennial to

millennial time scales in:
global ocean temperature (very high confidence),
deep ocean acidification (very high confidence),

and deoxygenation (medium confidence).
Glacier Ice Sheet
A perennial mass of ice, and possibly Land ice masses of continental size
firn and snow, (>50,000 km2) that is sufficiently
originating on the land surface by the thick to cover most of the underlying
recrystallisation of snow and showing bed, so that its shape is mainly
evidence of past or present flow. determined by its dynamics…

Human influence is very likely (90-100% certainty) the main driver
of the global retreat of glaciers since the 1990s.

The global nature of glacier retreat, with almost all of the world’s glaciers
retreating synchronously, since the 1950s is unprecedented in at least the last
2000 years (medium confidence).
Mountain and polar glaciers are COMMITTED to continue
melting for decades or centuries
(very high confidence / 9 out of 10 chance).
Continued ice loss over the 21st century is virtually certain (99-
100% probability) for the Greenland Ice Sheet and likely (66-100%)
for the Antarctic Ice Sheet.
The Greenland ice sheet has
melted past the point of no
return
The Economist | August 25, 2020

IF the Antarctic ice sheet
melted, sea levels would
rise by 60 meters.
NSIDC
Tipping Point: 660 ppm of CO2 levels

September 2020: 411.29 ppm
Planetary Boundary: 350 ppm
Pre-Industrial Levels: 280 ppm

Sea Level Change (Rise/Fall)
Sea level can change, both globally and locally (relative sea level change)
due to (1) a change in ocean volume as a result of a change in the mass of
water in the ocean, (2) changes in ocean volume as a result of changes in
ocean water density, (3) changes in the shape of the ocean basins and changes
in the Earth’s gravitational and rotational fields, and (4) local subsidence or
uplift of the land.

Global mean sea level increased by 0.20 m between
1901 and 2018. The average rate of sea level rise was
3.7 mm per year between 2006 and 2018 (high
confidence).

Human influence was very likely
the main driver of these increases
since at least 1971.
Global mean sea level has risen faster

since 1900 than over any preceding
century in at least the last 3000 years
(high confidence).
It is virtually certain (99-
100% probability) that global
mean sea level will continue
to rise over the 21st century.
the likely global mean sea level rise by 2100 is:

• 0.28-0.55 m under the very low GHG emissions scenario,
• 0.32-0.62 m under the low scenario,
• 0.44-0.76 m under the intermediate scenario, and
• 0.63-1.01 m under the very high scenario.
In the longer term, sea level is
COMMITTED to rise for centuries to
millennia due to continuing deep ocean

warming and ice sheet melt, and will
remain elevated for thousands of years
(high confidence).
Loss of permafrost
carbon following
permafrost thaw…
is IRREVERSIBLE
at centennial
timescales (high
confidence).

Irreversible: Committed:
1. global ocean temperature • melting of mountain and polar
(very high confidence) glaciers for decades or centuries
2. deep ocean acidification (very (very high confidence)
high confidence) • sea level rise for centuries to
3. and deoxygenation (medium millennia due to continuing deep
confidence) ocean warming and ice sheet melt,
4. the loss of permafrost carbon and will remain elevated for
following permafrost thaw thousands of years (high

confidence)
Changes in Asia:
1. Increase in Heat Extremes will continue over the coming decades (high
confidence).
2. Marine Heat Waves will continue to increase (high confidence).
3. Average and High Precipitation will increase (high to medium confidence).
4. In the long-term, Monsoon Precipitation will increase (medium confidence).
5. Mean Sea Level Rise will continue to increase (high confidence).

IPCC, 2021: Regional Fact Sheet – Asia. In:: Climate Change 2021: The Physical Science Basis.
Maaaring Epekto sa Mayantoc:
1. Food Crisis. Pagkasira ng pananim dahil sa matinding init o matinding pag-ulan at
pagbaha.
• Gutom, malnutrisyon, kawalan ng kabuhayan, kahirapan
2. Water Crisis. Maaaring matuyo ang mga patubig at mabawasan ang tubig mula sa ilog.
• Uhaw, sakit dahil walang sanidad, pagkamatay ng mga alagang hayop
3. Health Crisis. Heat stress o heat stroke at biglaang pagkamatay sa mga nasa initan tulad
ng mga magsasaka. Heat stress sa mga matatanda. Pagkalat ng mga sakit na mas
kumakalat kapag mas mainit ang panahon.
4. Destruction of Property. Pagkasira ng mga bahay, kabuhayan, pagka-putol ng kuryente
at komunikasyon. Dahil ito sa matinding pag-bagyo, pag-baha, o pag-guho ng lupa.
5. Economic Crisis. Hindi makakapag-trabaho ng maayos ang mga tao sa tindi ng init o

pag-ulan. Walang pera ang mga tao, walang maipambibili, walang kita ang mga
kabuhayan.
Breathe in, breathe out.

Ano ang mga Solusyon sa
Climate Change?

We have all the solutions at
hand!

https://youtu.be/D4vjGSiRGKY | https://www.drawdown.org/solutions
Ano ang Magagawa Mo?

The Paris Agreement PH NDC
a legally binding international treaty on GHG emissions reduction and avoidance of
climate change. It was adopted by 196 Parties 75% (2.71% unconditional and 72.29%
at COP 21 in Paris, on 12 December 2015 and conditional)
entered into force on 4 November 2016

What you can do as an individual:
1. Talk about climate change. Continue conducting webinars.
2. Share posts about climate change.
3. Join or follow The Climate Reality Project, 350.org, Extinction Rebellion,
etc.
4. Sign the Fossil Fuel Non-Proliferation Treaty.
5. Have less children.
6. Switch to a plant-based diet. Go vegan.
7. Install solar panels.
8. Make your home more energy efficient.
9. Be food and water self-sufficient.
10. Prepare your home for heat and rainfall extremes.
11. Use gas/diesel cars less.
12. Stop flying.
13. Divest from fossil fuels. (Check your VUL investment portfolio)
14. Refuse or reject overconsumption.
15. Reduce what you own, buy, or use. Embrace minimalism.

16. Reuse, recycle and compost as much as you can.
17. Buy only environment-friendly products.
18. Conduct research on climate solutions. Communicate solutions.
19. Protest. Demand a climate emergency. Demand climate action.
20. Vote for candidates who listen to science.
Ano ang Magagawa Mo para…
1. Mabawasan ang Emission ng Greenhouse
Gases (GHG)?
2. Mabawasan ang Carbon Dioxide sa
atmosphere?
3. Makapaghanda sa mas madalas at mas
matinding init?
4. Makapaghanda sa mas madalas at mas
matinding pag-ulan?

Ano ang magagawa mo para mabawasan ang Emission
ng Greenhouse Gases (GHG)?
Dati: Simula ngayon:
1. Madalas na pag-mo-motor, o pag-sakay o pag- 1. Mas madalas na pag-bisikleta o paglalakad lalo at
drive ng gas/diesel na sasakyan. malapit lang naman ang pupuntahan.
2. Pag-susunog ng basura. 2. Pag-hihintay na makolekta ang basura. Pag-sabi
sa barangay kapag natatagalan ang pango-
3. Pag-tatambak ng basura.
ngolekta.
3. Pag-co-compost ng mga nabubulok at pag-gamit
sa mga tanim na halaman.
4. Pag-re-recycle ng mga plastic, papel, lata, atbp.,

tulad ng paso, palamuti, atbp.
4. Malakas na pag-gamit sa kuryente. 5. Pag-titipid sa kuryente. Mag-install ng solar
panels.
5. Malakas na pag-gamit sa tubig. 6. Pag-titipid sa tubig. Pag-ipon ng tubig ulan.
7. Bawasan ang pagkain ng karne.
Ano ang magagawa mo para mabawasan ang Carbon
Dioxide sa atmosphere?
1. Hayaang masira ang kagubatan. 1. Ipag-alam sa barangay o sa munisipyo kapag may
namumutol ng mga puno (na walang pahintulot).
2. Ipag-alam kung may mga nanu-nunog ng
kabundukan.
3. Mag-tanim ng maraming native na puno! Makiisa
sa tree planting activities.
4. Mag-tanim ng iba’t-ibang halaman sa barangay,
paaralan, at sa bakuran.

Ano ang magagawa mo para makapag-handa sa mas
madalas at mas matinding init?
1. Hayaang mainit ang bahay. 1. Gumamit ng insulation sa bubong.
2. Gumamit ng matingkad na kulay tulad ng puti
para sa pintura ng bubong para hindi lahat ng init
ay na-a-absorb ng bahay.
3. Gumamit ng mas energy-efficient na electric fan
or aircon.
4. Huwag hayaang mag-tagal sa initan ang iyong
mga magulang o kapamilya.

5. Siguraduhing laging sapat ang inyong tubig
inumin. At pati na rin tubig pandilig.
6. Mag-abang sa mga abiso ng PAG-ASA at ng lokal
na pamahalaan.
7. Magkaroon ng mga sariling tanim na gulay at
prutas!
Ano ang magagawa mo para makapag-handa sa mas
madalas at mas matinding pag-ulan?
1. Ipag-walang bahala ang mga kalat sa 1. Mag-linis ng mga kalsada at kanal upang walang
kapaligiran. bara at upang hindi mag-baha.
2. Ipag-walang bahala ang mga warning sa pag- 2. Kung maaari ay lumipat sa mga lugar na hindi
bagyo at pag-baha, pati sa pag-guho ng lupa. masyado binabaha at hindi maaapektuhan ng
landslide.
3. Mag-rainwater harvesting o di kaya ay pond or
rain garden upang maipon ang sobrang rainwater.
4. Iboto lamang ang mga kandidato na may

pakialam sa future niyo. Mga kandidatong may
pakialam sa kalikasan. May pakialam sa inyong
kaligtasan mula sa mga impacts ng climate
change.
Pinakamahalagang magagawa mo:
Pag-usapan ang Climate Change.
Mag-share ng posts tungkol dito.
Makibahagi sa mga aktibidad
tungkol dito.

https://www.climaterealityproject.org/ https://climatereality.ph/

https://350.org/

https://rebellion.global/

In declaring a climate emergency, a government admits that global Greenpeace country director Lea Guerrero urged Duterte to issue
warming exists and that measures taken up to this point are not an executive order “to put climate action at the center of all
enough to limit the changes brought by it... Resolutions express the policy decision-making from local to national level.”
sense or position of a chamber of Congress but are not binding.
https://fossilfueltreaty.org/

Magkaisa tayo!
Makiisa at makisama sa pag-protekta ng ating kalikasan.
Dahil nakasalalay sa kalikasan ang buhay nating lahat!

Thank you for listening!
Email: jtmaldupana@gmail.com
Messenger: https://www.messenger.com/t/jtmaldupana
Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/jtmaldupana/
Presentations by Climate Reality Leaders are free of charge.

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EnP. Jonathan John G.

Lecturer, Plan 201 (Theories and Practice of Planning), SURP, UP Diliman

EnP. Jonathan John G. Maldupana

EnP. Jonathan John G. Maldupana

EnP. Jonathan John G. Maldupana

Review through Kahoot!

4. Ano ang mga Solusyon sa Climate Change?

EnP. Jonathan John G. Maldupana

Q&A / Open Forum

* 2. Loss of biosphere integrity (biodiversity loss and extinctions)

* 6. Freshwater consumption and the global hydrological cycle

* 7. Land system change

EnP. Jonathan John G. Maldupana

EnP. Jonathan John G. Maldupana

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Each 1,000 GtCO2 of cumulative CO2 emissions is assessed

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©2020 by National Academy of Sciences

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Changes are IRREVERSIBLE on centennial to

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Tipping Point: 660 ppm of CO2 levels

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