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Common Stock Basics-1
Common Stock Basics-1
A model that describes the relationship between risk and expected return and that is
used in the pricing of risky securities.
The CAPM says that the expected return of a security or a portfolio equals the rate on a
risk-free security plus a risk premium. If this expected return does not meet or beat the
required return, then the investment should not be undertaken. The security market line
plots the results of the CAPM for all different risks (betas).
The Panic of 1987
Index arbitrage and portfolio insurance (programmed
trading) were the major cause. From Tuesday 10/13/87 to
10/19/87, the DJIA fell 769 points or 31%. On 10/19/87 the
DJIA fell508 points or 22.6%. On 10/28/29 the DJIA fell 11.7%.
Columns 1 & 2: 52-Week High and Low - These are the highest and lowest prices at which
a stock has traded over the previous 52 weeks (one year). This typically does not include
the previous day's trading.
Column 3: Company Name & Type of Stock - This column lists the name of the company.
If there are no special symbols or letters following the name, it is common stock.
Different symbols imply different classes of shares. For example, "pf" means the shares
are preferred stock.
Column 4: Ticker Symbol - This is the unique alphabetic name which identifies the stock.
If you watch financial TV, you have seen the ticker tape move across the screen, quoting
the latest prices alongside this symbol. If you are looking for stock quotes online, you
always search for a company by the ticker symbol. If you don't know what a particular
company's ticker is you can search for it at: http://finance.yahoo.com/.
Stock Market Basics
Reading Stock Quotes
Column 5: Dividend Per Share - This indicates the annual dividend payment per share. If this space is
blank, the company does not currently pay out dividends.
Column 6: Dividend Yield - The percentage return on the dividend. Calculated as annual dividends per
share divided by price per share.
Column 7: Price/Earnings Ratio - This is calculated by dividing the current stock price by earnings per
share from the last four quarters. For more detail on how to interpret this, see our P/E Ratio tutorial.
Column 8: Trading Volume - This figure shows the total number of shares traded for the day, listed in
hundreds. To get the actual number traded, add "00" to the end of the number listed.
Column 9 & 10: Day High and Low - This indicates the price range at which the stock has traded at
throughout the day. In other words, these are the maximum and the minimum prices that people have
paid for the stock.
Stock Market Basics
Reading Stock Quotes
Column 12: Net Change - This is the dollar value change in the stock price
from the previous day's closing price. When you hear about a stock being
"up for the day," it means the net change was positive.
Stock Market Basics
Selling Short
Common Stock
Investments
Graham’s Fundamental
Investment Rules
• 1. Adequate Size
• 2. Sufficient Strong Financial
Condition
• 3. Earnings Stability
• 4. Dividend Record
• 5. Earnings Growth
• 6. Moderate Price/Earnings Ratio
• 7. Moderate Ratio of Price to Assets
Terms
1. Net Current Assets (NCA)
– Defined as:
Current Assets
- Current Liabilities
- Long-Term Debt
- Preferred Stock
NCA Total
• 8. Total Debt
• 9. Equity
• 10. Growth
1/n
g = [ (1 + RP,-1)(1 + RP,-2) ... (1 + RP,-10)] -1
The Graham Model
• 1. Group A Criteria
#1: E/P > 2 (AAA Yield)(1 pt.)
E/P > 1.33 (AAA Yield) (1/2 pt.)
#2: P/E < .4 (Avg. P/E in last 3 yrs.) (1 pt.)
P/E < .4 (Avg. P/E in last 10 yrs.) (1/2 pt.)
#3: P/Bk < 2/3 (1 pt.)
P/Bk < 1 (1/2 pt.)
#4: D/P > .67 (AAA Yield) (1 pt.)
D/P > .50 (AAA Yield) (1/2 pt.)
#5: P/NCA < 1 (1 pt.)
P/NCA < 1.33 (1/2 pt.)
Sir John Mark Templeton
• Sir John’s 16 Rules for Investment
Success:
1. Invest for maximum total real return including taxes and
inflation.
2. Invest. Don’t trade or speculate.
3. Remain flexible and open-minded about types of
investments. No one kind of investment is always best.
4. Buy at a low price. Buy what others are despondently
selling. Then sell what others are despondently buying.
5. Search for bargains among quality stocks.
6. Buy value not market trends or economic value.
7. Diversify. There is safety in numbers.
8. Do your homework. Do not take the word of experts.
Investigate before you invest.
A. Definition
Technical analysis really just studies supply and demand in a
market in an attempt to determine what direction, or trend, will
continue in the future. In other words, technical analysis
attempts to understand the emotions in the market by
studying the market itself, as opposed to its components. If
you understand the benefits and limitations of technical
analysis, it can give you a new set of tools or skills that will
enable you to be a better trader or investor.
H
C
Dollar L
Price of
Stock
Trading Days
Types of Technical Charts:
• Line Charts: a graph of successive day’s
closing prices
Closing
Prices
Trading Days
B. Approaches to
Technical Analysis
• 1. The Dow Theory
– The Dow theory views the movement of market
prices as occurring in three categories
1. Primary Movements: bull and bear markets
2.Secondary Movements: up and down
movements of stock prices that last for a few
months and are called corrections
3. Daily Movements: meaningless random daily
fluctuations
B. Approaches to Technical
Analysis (continued)
• 2. Trading Action
– a. Concentrates on minor trading
characteristics in the market
– b. Examples include:
• 1. Monday is the worst day to buy stocks,
Friday is the best.
• 2. If January is a good month for the
market then chances are good a good year
will occur.
B. Approaches to Technical
Analysis (continued)
• 3. Bellwether Stocks
– a. A few major stocks in the market are
consistently highly accurate in
reflecting the current state of the
market.
• IBM
• DuPont
• AT&T
• Exxon
• GM
Approaches to Technical
Analysis (Continued):
• 4. Relative Strength
– The basic idea behind relative strength
is that some securities will increase
more, relative to the market, in bull
markets and decline less, relative to
the market, in bear markets.
Technicians believe that by investing
in those securities that exhibit relative
strength higher returns can be earned.
B. Approaches to Technical
Analysis (continued)
• 5. Technical Indicators
– a. Market Volume -- a measure of investor
interest
• 1. STRONG when volume goes up in rising
market or drops during declining market
• 2. WEAK when volume goes up in declining
market or decreases during a rally
B. Approaches to Technical
Analysis (continued)
– Example
• On June 3, 2003
– Advances = 930
– Declines = 691
– Difference = + 239
• On June 11, 2003
– Advances = 651
– Declines = 920
– Difference = -269
– Conclusion: A weak market.
B. Approaches to Technical
Analysis (continued)
– b. Breadth of the Market
• 1. Considers the advances and
declines in the market.
• 2. As long as advances outnumber
declines a strong market exists.
• 3. The spread is used as an
indicator of market strength.
B. Approaches to Technical
Analysis (continued)
– c. Short Interest -- measures the number of stocks
sold short
• When the level of short interest is high, by historical
standards, then the situation is optimistic.
– d. Odd-Lot Trading: Theory of Contrary Opinion
• If the amount of odd-lot purchases start to exceed odd-lot
sales by a widening margin, it may suggest that
speculation is occurring among small investors. This is
the first signal of an upcoming bear market.
Review Questions: Section 3
• What are two theoretical ways to determine the value of
Common Stock?
• Net Current Asset in the Graham model is defined as?
• Why do we calculate geometric instead of linear growth
rates?
• The Graham model is a fundamental valuation model?
Explain.
• Define technical analysis.
• What are Bellweather stocks?
• Who was Peter Lynch and what is he primarily known for?
• What are Lynch’s 10 golden rules for investing?