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Analysing Common Stocks - FUNDAMENTAL ANALYSIS
Analysing Common Stocks - FUNDAMENTAL ANALYSIS
Analysing Common Stocks - FUNDAMENTAL ANALYSIS
Learning Goals
1. Discuss the security analysis process, including
goals and functions.
2. Appreciate the purpose and contributions of
economic analysis.
3. Describe industry analysis and note how it
is used.
4. Demonstrate a basic understanding of fundamental
analysis and why it is used.
Analyzing Common Stocks
Learning Goals (cont'd)
5. Calculate a variety of financial ratios and describe
how financial statement analysis is used to gauge
the financial vitality of
a company.
6. Use various financial measures to assess a
company’s performance, and explain how the
insights derived form the basic input for the
valuation process.
What is Security Analysis?
“The process of gathering and organizing
information and then using it to determine the
intrinsic value of a share of
common stock.”
What is Intrinsic Value?
Intrinsic Value
The underlying or inherent value of a stock, as
determined through fundamental analysis
A prudent investor will only buy a stock if its market
price does not exceed what the investor thinks the
stock is worth.
Intrinsic value depends upon several factors:
Estimates of future cash flows
Discount rate
Amount of risk
“Top Down” Approach to
Traditional Security Analysis
Step 1: Economic Analysis
State of overall economy
Step 2: Industry Analysis
Outlook for specific industry
Level of competition in industry
Step 3: Fundamental Analysis
Financial condition of specific company
Historical behavior of specific company’s stock
Efficient Market Hypothesis
Efficient Market: the concept that the market
is so efficient in processing new information
that securities trade very close to or at their
correct values at all times
Efficient market advocates believe:
Securities are rarely substantially mispriced in
the marketplace
No security analysis is capable of finding mispriced
securities more frequently than using random chance
Who Needs Security Analysis
in an Efficient Market?
Fundamental analysis is still
important because:
All of the people doing fundamental analysis is the
reason the market is efficient
Financial markets may not be perfectly efficient
Pricing errors are inevitable
Key Economic Measures
Gross Domestic Product (GDP): market
value of all goods and services produced in a
country over the period of a year
Generally, GDP goes C, economy goes C
Higheramounts: better
Lower amounts: worse
Activity Ratios
Accounts Receivable Turnover: how quickly
the company is collecting its accounts receivable
(sales to customers on credit)
Annual sales
Accounts receivable turnover
Accounts receivable
Annual sales
Total asset turnover
Total assets
Higher ratio: better
Lower ratio: worse
Leverage Ratios
Debt-Equity Ratio: how much debt the company
is using to support its business compared to how
much stockholders’ equity it is using to support
its business
Long-term debt
Debt-equity ratio
Stockholders’ equity
Total assets
Equity multiplier
Total stockholders’ equity
Investors want to know if ROE is moving up (or down)
because of how much debt the company is using or
because of how the firm is managing its assets
and operations.
Common Stock Ratios
$139,700,000
EPS or $2.26
61,815,000 shares
$41.50
Price/Earnings ratio or 18.4
$2.26
Common Stock Ratios (cont'd)
Price/Earnings Growth Ratio (PEG): compares
company’s P/E ratio to the rate of growth
in earnings