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Asean and European Union: Anaviso, Nina Buenaflor, Bronz Enriquez, Thea Fadrique, Jhemina
Asean and European Union: Anaviso, Nina Buenaflor, Bronz Enriquez, Thea Fadrique, Jhemina
and
European Union
Anaviso, Nina
Buenaflor, Bronz
Enriquez, Thea
Fadrique, Jhemina
Objectives
Copenhagen criteria:
● The problem with a hard Brexit is that the UK will consume much
time to get used to their new freedom, and they will be under the
rules of the World Trade Organization.
Identification of problems
The European Union mainly focuses on promoting peace, values and the
prioritizes the well-being of its citizens and as well as offering freedom,
security and justice without internal borders. It also strives to manage
out a sustainable development based on balanced economic growth and
price stability, a highly competitive market economy with full
employment and social progress, and environmental protection.
Article Review
● The author opens the article by mentioning that the European Union is the most significant
project in post-1945 Europe, and the most advanced example of institutional cooperation
between countries in the world as of the time the article was produced.
● A number of the European Union’s founding fathers (the French statesman: Jean Monnet,
foreign minister: Robert Schumann, and many in the 1950s government of the 6 founding
countries: France, Germany, Italy, Belgium, Holland, and Luxembourg) shared a ‘federalist’
vision for Europe.
● However, many disagree with such a vision of the EU. They are skeptical about the EU
becoming too supranational an organization, often because they see this as an intrusion on
nation-states’ rights and are concerned that it is not democratic enough.
Main Arguments
● Federalists’ Vision
-Decisions and negotiations will not be between governments but in the EU’s central institutions.
-The Federalists argue that the Commission should serve as the executive, as it has the
community’s broader interests at heart.
-Some suggest more radical democratization, with a directly elected President who might be able
to choose his Commission.
-Some suggest a second chamber representing member states and their regions to take its place.
Main Arguments
● Intergovernmentalists’ Vision
-Their vision would keep a reformed Council of Ministers and the European Council as the most
powerful bodies, with ministers agreeing on matters in their responsibility and heads of the
government deciding the most difficult questions and steering the EU. The Commission and
Parliament would take a less prominent role.
Projected Developments by the Author
● He mentions that enlargement is a key factor in the EU’s development. He sees around 10
post-Communist countries, including Cyprus and Malta, that will join the EU in 2004-¬2008.
● He brings to the table the 2004 Intergovernmental Conference that will likely produce a
constitutional document.
● Impact of Globalization
The European Union at Present
(Relating Salient Points and Issues)
● Present articles recognized that the European Union developed both components of
Federalism and Intergovernmentalism into its governance.
● Instead of removing or lessening the powers of any institution to favor one side, the
preferred institutions of each side were improved to serve.
The European Union at Present
(Relating Salient Points and Issues)
● According to Sedef Topal, the present dispute now lies in if the EU will become a political unity in
the future. The present form of EU is between the lines of Federalism and Intergovernmentalism.
● Above all internal disputes in the EU form, the institutions must focus on cooperating instead.
● The reviewed article also presented the European Union’s projected outcomes after the EU’s 2004
enlargement and the 2004 Intergovernmental Conference.
ASEAN
Reporters:
Bronz Buenaflor
Jhemina Fadrique
I. Key Facts
● ASEAN Summit
● Organizational Structure
● ASEAN Coordinating Council
● ASEAN Community Councils (comprised of 3
pillars)
● ASEAN Sectoral Ministerial Bodies
● Committee of Permanent Representatives
● National Secretariats
● ASEAN Committees in Third Countries and
International Organizations (ACTCs)
Key Obligations
● States join International Organizations because of the benefits that come from its policies.
● Problems arise because of distributional conflicts that emerge from the member state's
disagreements.
● International Organizations mitigate problems by using formal rules like the MFN principle
and Anti-dumping rules.
The Case of Enlargement (extraordinary bargaining)
● The EU provides a nearly ideal cases for empirical tests to eliminate the need to rely on
proxies or indirect measures like policies or economic outcomes.
● The data consists of 25 EU members states which includes 4 enlargement rounds: 1981
(Greece), 1986 (Spain and Portugal), 1995 (Austria, Finland, and Sweden), and 2004 (Czech
Republic, Estonia, Hungary, Latvia, Lithuania, Poland, Slovakia, Slovenia, Malta, and Cyprus).
● In dependent variable, the EU’s member budget receipts as percentage of the overall EU budget
appropriations for that year as my first dependent variable, “Total Budget Shares”.
● In independent variable, the weak states can use accession negotiations to increase their
bargaining leverage within the EU Council if (and only if) they expect that enlargement will lead to
economic hardship.
Estimation Procedure
● Apply panel-corrected standard errors to correct for the heteroscedasticity of the error
terms across EU member states (Beck and Katz, 1995).
● The size of the coefficients in a LDV model cannot be interpreted directly because the
coefficient of the LDV includes the first lags of all the coefficients of the other independent
variables (which are correlated with the variables on the right hand side of the equation).
Empirical Results
● Table 2 presents the main results.12 all models fit the data very well. The results of the Wald
test indicate that the variables together exert a significant effect on EU budget shares.
● The Budget Shares model explains almost 87%, and the Net Receipts model explains about
69% of the variation in the data.
Phases of Routine Bargaining
● Turning now to the statistical significance of the estimated coefficients, I find strong support
for the existence of different bargaining environments in the EU.
● I test for both possibilities by (i) conditioning the effect of income on whether the country is
a cohesion country and by (ii) conditioning the effect of cohesion countries on their
population size (estimation results in the appendix).
Phases of Extraordinary Bargaining
● A 0.5% increase in budget shares should substantially be more important for cohesion
countries than non-cohesion countries.
● Economic and political power is very important in explaining bargaining outcomes in routine
negotiations, politically weak countries can increase their shares during 24times of
expansion.
Enlargement of Credibility of Threats
● Recall that weak member states can only increase their shares during phases of enlargement
if (i) enlargement is decided unanimously, (ii) the current member’s threat to delay
enlargement is credible, and (iii) the international organization’s promise to solve conflicts is
credible.
● This indicates that any concession is renegotiable once the weak states revert to their
subordinate political status. The gains obtained in the extraordinary phase dissipate over the
years.
● Even though weak states seem to acquire more power during phases of enlargement, their
actual power remains quite limited.
Conclusion
● Enlargement is one of the essential strategy used by ASEAN to stay relevant Internationally
and garner local cooperation.
● Enlargement is also one of the most controversial problem that ASEAN is facing.
● As stated in the article, strong member states will always dominate and fight for more
benefits at the cost of weaker states.
● Cooperation is a crucial element for ASEAN to survive and it is in danger because of
Enlargement's problem.
Insights as to how these points shed light on the issues ASEAN is facing
● The points stated in the article highlights the problems that Enlargement brings to ASEAN.
● The dangers of accommodating new members and how they will affect the old and weaker
member states is a problem that Enlargement brings.
● Highlighting the problem that Enlargement brings to weak member states allow ASEAN's
council to review their actions.
● Reviewing Enlargement's problems will benefit all of ASEAN's member states.