Professional Documents
Culture Documents
Lecture Note 02 - Bond Valuation and Yield Measures
Lecture Note 02 - Bond Valuation and Yield Measures
n
F V P V ( 1 r /m )
m = 2, n = 10, and r = 6.3%
FV = 2M (1 + 0.063/2)10
= 2.7272M
n
F 2.819M
V P =V2M ×( (1
1 + r/2)
r /m )
6
r = 0.1177 = 11.77%
n
F V P V ( 1 r /m )
2.69M = PV × (1 + 0.058)10
PV = 1.5307M
Points in time
0 1 2 3
Time
1 2 3
Points in time
0 1 2 3 4 … n
Time
$1 $1 $1 $1 … $1
A A A A … A
Cash Flows
Review of Time Value 2-10
Future Value of an Ordinary Annuity
Points in time
0 1 2 3 4 … n
Time
$1 $1 $1 $1 … $1
A A A A … A
Relationships 2-21
Price-Yield Relationship
Price-Yield Relationship for a 20-year 10% coupon bond
Relationships 2-23
Price-Yield and Coupon Rate
When yield is above the coupon rate, we have r > C/M
and C < rM. From bond pricing formula,
bond price is lower than its par value. We say that bond
is selling at a discount.
Relationships 2-24
Price-Yield and Coupon Rate
When yield is equal to the coupon rate, bond price is
equal to its par value → bond is selling at par.
Relationships 2-25
Price-Time Relationship
For bond selling at a premium or a discount, if interest
rates are unchanged, bond price will not remain constant
as the maturity of the bond decreases
• The bond price approaches par value as it approaches
maturity
• The discount bond increases in price
• The premium bond decreases in price
Relationships 2-26
Price-Time Relationship
Time path for the price of a 20-year 10% bond selling at a discount
and premium as it approaches maturity
Price of Discount Bond Price of Premium Bond
Year Selling to Yield 12% Selling to Yield 7.8%
20.0 $ 849.54 $1,221.00
16.0 859.16 1,199.14
12.0 874.50 1,169.45
10.0 885.30 1,150.83
8.0 898.94 1,129.13
4.0 937.90 1,074.37
0.0 1,000.00 1,000.00
Relationships 2-27
Price-Time Relationship
Time path for the price of a 20-year 10% bond selling at a discount
and premium as it approaches maturity
130.00
120.00
110.00
Premium Bond
Discount Bond
100.00 Par Bond
90.00
80.00
0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 18 20
Relationships 2-28
Price-Time Relationship
Mathematically, after t period, the bond price is
Relationships 2-29
Changes in Bond Price
Reasons for change in price of coupon bond:
Relationships 2-30
Bond Pricing: Complication
In pricing the bonds, it is assumed that
• The next coupon payment is exactly six months away
• The cash flows are known
• The appropriate required yield can be determined
• One rate is used to discount all cash flows
Complications 2-31
1. The Next Coupon Payment is Due in
Less than 6 Months
The accepted method for computing the price of the
bond is:
where
Complications 2-32
1. The Next Coupon Payment is Due in
Less than 6 Months
How to calculate fractional time periods? A day count
convention tells us how many days to assume in each
month and year.
Which day count convention to apply depends on the
type of interest instrument traded and on the country
where this instrument is traded.
• Actual/360
• Actual/Actual
• 30/360
Refer to Appendix A for more details.
Complications 2-33
2. The Cash Flows may not be Known
In applying bond pricing formula, we assume that the
cash flows of the bond are known. For most bonds,
however, the cash flows are not known with certainty.
Examples:
• Callable Bonds
• Puttable Bonds
• Convertible Bonds
• Floating Rate Bonds
• Foreign-denominated Bonds
Complications 2-34
2. The Cash Flows may not be Known
For bond with uncertain future cash flows, we need to
examine the relationship between future cash flows and
discount rates.
Example: callable bonds. If interest rates drop far enough,
an issuer might call a bond and the bond holder receives
call price and no further cash flows.
Complications 2-35
3. The Appropriate Required Yield must
be Determined
The required yield for a bond has two components:
• The interest rate information embedded in the government
bond or swap curve. All required yields are benchmarked
off yields offered by government bond or swap curves.
• The interest rate information depending on the credit
characteristics of the individual bond issuer.
Benchmark interest rate and interest rate models.
Complications 2-36
4. One Discount Rate may not be
Applicable to Cash Flows
A bond can be viewed as a package of zero-coupon
bonds. Zero-coupon bonds with different maturity have
different prices.
Complications 2-37
Full Price, Clean Price and Accrued Interest
where
Figure: Full and Clean prices for the 3.625% of August 15, 2019, Over
Time with a Constant Discount Function with 3% yield
The full price changes dramatically over time even when the
market is unchanged, including a discontinuous jump on
coupon payment dates, while the clean price changes only
gradually over time.
Price Quotes 2-42
Track Clean Prices
Therefore, when trading bonds day to day, it is more
intuitive to track flat prices (clean prices) and negotiate
transactions in those terms.
n
C M
P = +
1+ y 1+ y
t n
t =1
20
63.75 / 2 1,000
1,006.25 t
20
(1 y ) (1 y )
→ y = 3.1449% (usingt Excel
1
or Financial Calculator)
• YTM (Bond Equivalent Basis) = 6.2898%
• YTM (Effective Yield) = 6.3887%
16
110 / 2 1,055
1,169 t
16
→ y = 4.2675% (using (1 y ) (1 y )
t 1 Excel or Financial Calculator)
The yield to put is the interest rate that makes the present
value of the cash flows to the assumed put date plus the
put price on that date as set forth in the put schedule
equal to the bond’s price
2-67
Appendix A
2-68
Day Count Convention
A day count convention is a system used in the bond
markets to determine the number of days between two
coupon dates.
This system is important to traders of various bonds
because it affects how the accrued interest and present
value of future coupons is calculated.
The conventions were developed in different markets in
order to simplify calculations (before the days of
calculators and computers), but they have continued to
persist.
2-69
Calculating Interest Earned
The day count convention is usually expressed as X / Y.
When calculating the interest earned between two dates,
• X defines the way in which the number of days between
the two dates is calculated
• Y defines the way in which the total number of days in the
reference period is measured
The interest earned between the two dates is
2-70
Basic Day Count Conventions
Actual/360
Actual/Actual
30/360
2-71
Actual/360
This calculates the actual number of days between two
dates and assumes that the year has 360 days
2-72
Actual/Actual
This day count convention calculates the actual number
of days between two dates and assumes the year has
either 365 or 366 days depending on whether the year is
a leap year
This day count basis is used for most government bonds.
The UK money market and the money market in Hong
Kong and China use Actual/Actual day count
convention.
2-73
30/360
This day count convention assumes that each month has
30 days and the total number of days in the year is 360.
This day count convention is used for U.S. corporate and
municipal bonds.
Example: February 21, 2011 to May 2, 2012.
• Number of days: 2 – 21 + 30(5 – 2) + 360 = 431
• Number of years: 431/360
2-74
Financial Calculator
Using BAII Plus to 2nd, DATE,
calculate the number of DT1 = 2.2111, ENTER, ↓
days between 02/21/11 DT2 = 5.0212, ENTER, ↓
and 05/02/12, using ↓ (ACT or 360) Assume ACT
An Actual day count ↑, DBD = ?, CPT
436
A 360 day count
↓, 2nd, SET (change to 360)
↑, DBD = ?, CPT
431
2-75