Economics and Business World

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ECONOMICS AND

THE BUSINESS WORLD

By Sudhanshu Bhushan

© 2018 1
ECONOMICS AND BUSINESS WORLD

LET’s MAKE ECONOMICS GREAT !!

© 2018 2
A woman hears from her doctor that she has only half a year to
live.
The doctor advises her to marry an economist and move to
Mumbai. 
WOMAN: “Will this cure my illness?

DOCTOR: “No, but the half year will seem pretty long. 

© 2018 3
What comes to your mind when you think of WORD –
“ECONOMICS” ..... ??? !!!

© 2018 4
What comes to Sudhanshu’s mind when he thinks of the word –
ECONOMICS !!!!

ECONOMICS IS THE MOTHER TONGUE OF PUBLIC POLICY, THE


LANGUAGE OF PUBLIC LIFE, AND THE MINDSET THAT SHAPES
SOCIETY…….. !!!!

© 2018 5
WHAT QUESTIONS COME TO YOUR MIND
WHEN YOU THINK
OF
ECONOMICS AND BUSINESS ??

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Questions of economics and economic policy are central to the present crisis.

Is there something that can be done to boost growth?


Should that even be a priority for the Governments ? And what else?
What about exploding inequality everywhere?
Is international trade the problem or the solution?
What is its effect on inequality?
What is the future on trade--can countries with cheaper labor costs lure global
manufacturing away from China?
And what about migration?
Is there really too much low-skilled migration?
What about new technologies?
Should we, for example, worry about the rise of artificial intelligence (AI) or celebrate it?
And, perhaps most urgently, how can society help all those people the markets have left
behind? 

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The answers to these problems take more than a tweet. So there is an urge to just
avoid them. And partly as a result, nations are doing very little to solve the most
pressing challenges of our time; they continue to feed the anger and the distrust
that polarize us, which makes us even more incapable of talking, thinking
together, doing something about them. It often feels like a vicious cycle. 

 
Economists have a lot to say about these big issues. They study immigration to
see what it does to wages, taxes to determine if they discourage enterprise,
redistribution to figure out whether it encourages sloth. They think about what
happens when nations trade, and have useful predictions about who the winners
and losers are likely to be. They have worked hard to understand why some
countries grow and others don't and what, if anything, governments can do to
help. They gather data on what makes people generous or wary, what makes a
man leave his home for a strange place, how social media plays on our
prejudices. 

© 2018 8
SNIPPET 1 -Economics
• “The tools of economics are indispensable to help societies find
the golden mean between an efficient market mechanism and
publicly decided regulation and redistribution … But those who
would reduce government to the constable plus a few
lighthouses are living in a dream world. An efficient and humane
society requires both halves of the mixed system—market and
government. Operating a modern economy without both is like
trying to clap with one hand.”
• “International trade has replaced empire-building and military
conquest as the surest road to national wealth and influence.”

© 2018 9
Snippet 2- In a nutshell

• Markets don’t always deliver prosperity, and


government interventions are often flawed. To
be really useful, economics must be built on
common sense, not ideology.

© 2018 10
Snippet 3 - In a similar vein
SCRIPTURES OF ECONOMICS
• John Maynard Keynes The General Theory of
Employment, Interest, and Money
• Paul Krugman The Conscience of a Liberal
• Alfred Marshall Principles of Economics
• PAUL SAMUELSON - ECONOMICS

© 2018 11
Snippet 4- BEYOND IDEOLOGY
• Samuelson wrote a frontispiece to the nineteenth edition of Economics, entitled “A
Centrist Proclamation.” In his mind centrism celebrates “an economy that combines
the tough discipline of the market with fair-minded governmental oversight.” It was
obvious to Samuelson and Nordhaus that, in the wake of the 2008 meltdown in the
financial and housing markets, lax regulation of both, inspired by a “lazy but
misguided libertarianism,” had brought the world close to economic disaster. The
centrist approach is not ideological but looks at the evidence, and events of the
previous 20 years had clearly shown that neither unregulated capitalism, nor a
centrally planned economy, were viable routes to prosperity. If economies had been
run along Hayek-Friedman lines, there would have been no welfare system, no
minimum wage, no national parks, nor any regulation of pollution and global
warming—yet citizens had voted for such things “in large majorities” around the
world. What people want, the authors say, is the rule of law to achieve certain social
objectives, combined with a sufficient amount of freedom to compete in markets.

© 2018 12
Snippet 5

• The market system gives feedback to producers in the


form of profits or losses. By seeking profits, a
company naturally produces more of what people
want or need, so society’s resources are allocated
efficiently. But the invisible hand of efficiency only
works when the market itself is open and functions
well. If there are market failures, you can still get
negative externalities such as pollution, or
monopolies. Perfect competition rarely, if ever, exists.

© 2018 13
Snippet 6 - Samuelson’s economics: the
“neoclassical synthesis”
• In the fourth edition (1958), Samuelson first used the term
“neoclassical synthesis” to describe his approach, arguing that
economics could no longer be divided into Keynesian or anti-
Keynesian camps; Keynes’ thinking had become part of
mainstream economics. There was no mechanism in a laissez-
faire economy that naturally balanced investment and
employment, as classical economics held, and if that did
happen it was pure luck. It was necessary for government to
spend when the private sector was not, and for central banks
to keep inflation down through manipulating and setting
interest rates, and acting as lender of last resort.

© 2018 14
Snippet 7

• Fiscal policy in the form of higher government


spending or lower taxes certainly stimulates
spending and investment in the short run,
increasing use of society’s idle resources, but this
is often balanced out by the need for central banks
to raise interest rates to head off inflation caused
by the spending, and by financial markets which
put pressure on exchange rates. So government
intervention is often self-sabotaging

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Snippet 8 - GROWTH AND GOVERNMENT
• The goal of macroeconomics is not just stability, Samuelson and Nordhaus stress,
but the creation of rising living standards through growing output per worker.
• But how does growth happen? The authors cite the “four wheels” of growth:
human capital, natural resources, capital, and technological capacity and
innovation. Neoclassical growth models say that if you just build more factories
like the first, or expand the number of farms farming the same way, without using
new technologies, then you enter a “long-run steady state.” The economy may
get larger, but standards of living will not rise. You need both capital deepening
and technological change for rising productivity and wages. So what puts one
country at the frontier of creating and adopting new technologies, while others
lag? The key, Samuelson says, is competition. If there is vigorous competition,
companies need to keep ahead of the curve to survive and thrive, and this usually
means developing or adopting new technologies to increase productivity.

© 2018 16
Snippet 9
• The goal of macroeconomics is not just stability, Samuelson and Nordhaus stress, but the
creation of rising living standards through growing output per worker. Growth is not just about
“getting out of the way of business,” as conservatives and libertarians believe, but seeing what
role there may be for the state given the reality of market failures. “New growth theory”
(exponents include Paul Romer) points out that technology doesn’t just happen, but requires a
combination of private market forces, institutions and public policies for it to really benefit the
wider economy. Companies can reap big profits from inventions, but many innovations and
research would not be carried out were it not for government providing money for research,
which is not economic for companies to do, and through fostering innovation through the
establishment of intellectual property rights, including patents and copyright. What Keynes
called the “spirit of enterprise” is probably universal, but sustained growth and productivity
invariably need the soil of good government to take root.
• But how does growth happen? The authors cite the “four wheels” of growth: human capital,
natural resources, capital, and technological capacity and innovation. Neoclassical growth
models say that if you just build more factories like the first, or expand the number of farms
farming the same way, without using new technologies, then you enter a “long-run steady
state.” The economy may get larger, but standards of living will not rise. You need both capital
deepening and technological change for rising productivity and wages. So what puts one country
at the frontier of creating and adopting new technologies, while others lag? The key, Samuelson
says, is competition. If there is vigorous competition, companies need to keep ahead of the
curve to survive and thrive, and this usually means developing or adopting new technologies to
increase productivity.
© 2018 17
Snippet 10

• Growth is not just about “getting out of the way of business,” as conservatives and libertarians
believe, but seeing what role there may be for the state given the reality of market failures.
“New growth theory” (exponents include Paul Romer) points out that technology doesn’t just
happen, but requires a combination of private market forces, institutions and public policies for
it to really benefit the wider economy. Companies can reap big profits from inventions, but many
innovations and research would not be carried out were it not for government providing money
for research, which is not economic for companies to do, and through fostering innovation
through the establishment of intellectual property rights, including patents and copyright. What
Keynes called the “spirit of enterprise” is probably universal, but sustained growth and
productivity invariably need the soil of good government to take root.

© 2018 18
The Nature and Scope of Business Economics

• The Scope of Business Economics


• The Basic Process of Decision Making
• The Theory of the Firm
• The Nature and Function of Profits
• Business Ethics
• The Global Economy
• Business Economics and the Internet

© 2018 19
Learning Objectives
• 1.1 Understand the relationship between Business
Economics and other fields of study.
• 1.2 Describe the five steps of the decision-making
process and understand the objectives and the
constraints of the firm.
• 1.3 Understand the theory of the firm, function of
profits and firm’s role in allocating society’s resources.
• 1.4 Analyze the role of the business ethics,
globalization and the Internet in a modern firm.

© 2018 20
The Scope of Business Economics

• Business Economics refers to the application


of economic theory and the tools of decision
science to examine how an organization can
achieve its aims or objectives most efficiently.
– Applications of economic theory
– Quantitative methods
– Statistical methods
– Computational methods

© 2018 21
The Nature of Business Economics

© 2018 22
Relationship to Economic Theory

• Microeconomis
– Study of the economic behavior of individual
decision-making units.
• Macroeconomics
– Study of the total or aggregate level of output,
income, employment, consumption, investment,
and prices for the economy viewed as a whole.

© 2018 23
Relationship to Decision Sciences

• Mathematical Economics
– Expresses and analyzes economic models using
the tools of mathematics.
• Econometrics
– Applies statistical tools to real-world data to
estimate the models postulated by economic
theory and for forecasting.

© 2018 24
Economic Methodology

• Economic Models
– Abstract from details
– Focus only on the most important determinants of
economic behavior
• Evaluating Economic Models
– Evaluation is based on how accurately it predicts
and how logically predictions follow from the
assumptions.

© 2018 25
The Decision-Making Process

© 2018 26
Theory of the Firm

• The firm:
– combines and organizes resources for the purpose
of producing goods and/or services for sale.
– internalizes transactions, reducing transactions
costs.
• According to economic theory:
– the primary goal of managers is to maximize the
value of the firm.

© 2018 27
Value of the Firm

• The present value of all expected future


profits
1 2 n n
t
PV  1
 2
  n
 t
(1  r ) (1  r ) (1  r ) t 1 (1  r )

n
t n
TRt  TCt
Value of Firm   t
 t
t 1 (1  r ) t 1 (1  r )

© 2018 28
Exercise 1

• What is the value of the firm if it expects to


earn a profit of $10,000, $20,000 and $50,000
in the next three years before it is dissolved if
the discount rate is 5 percent?

© 2018 29
Solving for Present Value

• Apply the value of the firm equation. Take a


note that the further in the future the profit is,
the more it is discounted by the given rate.

© 2018 30
Solution to Exercise 1

• Present value (PV) of the firm is .

© 2018 31
Constraints on the Operation of the Firm

• Constraints that firms face:


– Resource constraints
– Legal constraints
– Managerial constraints

• Constrained optimization:
– The primary goal or objective of the firm is to
maximize wealth or the value of the firm subject to the
constraints it faces.

© 2018 32
Alternative Theories

• Sales maximization
– Maximize sales after an adequate profit has been earned

• Management utility maximization


– Aims to resolve principle-agent problem

• Satisficing behavior
– Due to uncertainty and a lack of data, firms strive for
some measurable and attainable goal

© 2018 33
Business vs Economic Profit

• Business or accounting profit:


– Total revenue minus the explicit or accounting costs.

• Economic profit:
– Total revenue minus the explicit and implicit costs.

• Opportunity cost:
– Implicit value of a resource in its best alternative use.

© 2018 34
Understanding Costs

• Explicit or accounting costs:


– Actual out-of-pocket expenditures of the firm to
purchase or hire the inputs.

• Implicit or opportunity costs:


– Value of the inputs owned and used by the firm in
its own production processes.

© 2018 35
Exercise 2

• Emily quits her $80,000 per year job to start a


boutique jewelry store in a building she owns.
She previously rented it for $2,000 per month.
She expects her revenues to be $1100,000
while the accounting costs to be $15,000.
What is the expected business and economic
profit? Is it worthwhile for her to start this
business?

© 2018 36
Recognizing Costs

• Identify accounting (explicit) and opportunity


(implicit) costs.

Business Revenues Accounting (explicit) costs Opportunity (implicit) costs


$110,000 $15,000 $80,000
$2,000*12=$24,000

© 2018 37
Solution to Exercise 2

• Business Profit

• Economic Profit

• Since she incurs economic loss of $9,000, it is


not worthwhile for her to start this business.

© 2018 38
Theories of Profit
• Risk-bearing theories of profit:
– Above-normal returns are required in fields that are above-average risk.

• Frictional theory of profit:


– Profits arise from friction or disturbances from long-run equilibrium.

• Monopoly theory of profit:


– Firms with monopoly power can restrict output and charge higher prices and earn profits even in the
long-run.

• Innovation theory of profit:


– Profit is the reward for the introduction of a successful innovation.

• Managerial efficiency theory of profit:


– More efficient firms may earn above-normal returns and economic profits in the short-run.

© 2018 39
Function of Profit
• Profit is a signal that guides the allocation of society’s resources.

• High profits in an industry are a signal that buyers want more of


what the industry produces.

• Low (or negative) profits in an industry are a signal that buyers


want less of what the industry produces.

• Governments sometimes step in to modify the operation of the


profit system to make it more consistent with broad societal goals.

© 2018 40
Business Ethics

• Identifies type of behavior that businesses and


their employees should not engage in.

• Goes beyond the enforceable law to provide


guidelines as to what is an acceptable behavior.

• Sometimes may not be clear as people have


different values.

© 2018 41
The International Framework

• Rapid movement toward globalization of economic


activity.
– Goods and services
– Capital
– Labor
– Technology

• Managerial economics should be studied in an


international framework.

© 2018 42
The Changing Environment
• The firms operate in the world that has become more:
– Risky
– Crisis-prone
– Sluggish

• Technological change
– Advances in telecommunications
– The Internet

• Cyber attacks
– Arose with advent of Internet
– Requires with firms to invest in security and insurance

© 2018 43
Global Corporations in 2015

© 2018 44
Global Most Admired Companies in 2017

© 2018 45
Appendix: Using Spreadsheets
• Spreadsheets are a great tool to
calculate statistical information for a
given data set.

• Using the test scores in column B to


the right, we can calculate the mean,
median, mode, sample variance,
sample standard deviation, and
coefficient of variation of the data.

• The next table shows the formulas


used. You can either write out the
entire formula or use Excel function
commands.

© 2018 46
Descriptive Statistics in Excel

© 2018 47
Appendix: Using Spreadsheets

• With Excel you can also create various figures for visual
inspection of the data.

• For a histogram in Excel, choose Data Analysis under the


Data tab. In the resulting dialog box, select “Histogram” and
click “OK.”

• For the input range, select the data from B1 to B10. Also
check the “Chart Output” and “Cumulative Percentage”
boxes.

© 2018 48
Creating Histograms

© 2018 49
Reading Histograms

© 2018 50
Review of Learning Objectives

• 1.1 Understand the relationship between Business


economics and other fields of study.
• 1.2 Describe the five steps of the decision-making
process and understand the objectives and the
constraints of the firm.
• 1.3 Understand the theory of the firm, function of
profits and firm’s role in allocating society’s resources.
• 1.4 Analyze the role of the business ethics,
globalization and the Internet in a modern firm.

© 2018 51
FINAL COMMENTS
• In “The Perseverance of Paul Samuelson’s Economics” (Journal of Economic
Perspectives, Spring 1997), Mark Skousen noted that successive editions of the
textbook became less overtly Keynesian and gave recognition to competing
schools of economics, including the Chicago and Austrian schools. Yet these were
portrayed as outside “mainstream economics,” that is, the synthesis of neoclassical
market economics and the Keynesian welfare state which has dominated political
economy the last sixty years. As a result, Skousen noted, Economics provides
plenty of examples of market failure, but many fewer corresponding examples of
government failure. Conservatives also complained that Samuelson was taken in
by the liberal view that communism was a durable form of economic and political
organization that could exist alongside market liberalism.

© 2018 52
• “Economics is above all a living and evolving organism,” Samuelson said, and the
success of Economics, in its many changes and iterations over the decades, owes
much to this admission. Even with its frequent updating, though, the work is
strangely light on one of the discipline’s revolutions of the last 20 years: behavioral
economics. Indeed, Deirdre McCloskey invented the term “Samuelsonian” to
denote an approach to the discipline that assumed human beings were much
more rational than they actually are. This flaw notwithstanding, in a discipline of
competing ideologies the book stands out for its moderation. Samuelson died in
2009, but his realism about the role of markets and government lived on in many
of his students, who included George Akerlof, Joseph Stiglitz and Paul Krugman.

© 2018 53
THANK YOU

© 2018 54

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