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Chapter 2 International Flow of Goods, Services and Investments
Chapter 2 International Flow of Goods, Services and Investments
Chapter 2 International Flow of Goods, Services and Investments
Part 1 Environment
Multinational
corporation (MNC)
• The transactions arising from international business cause money flows from one
country to another (i.e., balance of payments).
• The balance of payments can indicate the volume of transactions between specific
countries and may even signal potential shifts in specific exchange rates.
• Thus, it can have a major influence on the long-term planning and management
by MNCs.
• Inflows of funds generate credits for the country’s balance, while outflows of
funds generate debits.
• Service exports and imports represent tourism and other services (such as legal,
insurance, and consulting services) provided for customers based in other countries.
Examples: Medical treatment, broadcasting a sports event etc.
• The difference between total exports and imports is referred to as the balance of
trade.
• Investments in fixed assets (land, building, plant) in foreign countries that results in transfer of
control.
A firm’s acquisition of a foreign company, its construction of a new manufacturing plant, or its
expansion of an existing plant in a foreign country.
2. Portfolio investment
• Transactions involving long term financial assets (such as stocks and bonds) between countries
that do not affect the transfer of control.
If a U.S. firm purchased all of Heineken’s stock in an acquisition, this transaction would result in a
transfer ofInternational
For use with control Financial
and therefore
Management,would be classified as direct foreign investment.
5th edn, ISBN 978-1-4737-7050-8 © Jeff Madura and Roland Fox
Components of Financial Account
3. Other investments
• Transactions involving short-term financial assets (such money market securities e.g., derivatives)
between countries.
4. Reserves
• Changes in reserves (currency and gold).
• The negative balance on the current account should be offset by a positive balance on the capital and
financial account (borrowings/investments).
• However, the offsetting effect is seldom perfect because the measurement errors can occur when
attempting to measure the value of funds transferred into or out of a country
• Example: The value of export of financial services (e.g., payment to Bloomberg) is sometimes difficult to
document.
For use with International Financial Management,
5th edn, ISBN 978-1-4737-7050-8 © Jeff Madura and Roland Fox
Capital Account (Relatively minor amount)
• It includes the value of financial asset transferred across country borders by
people who move to a different country (non-resident).
• Example: A non-resident in USA buys stocks or bonds from France.
The acquisition of drilling rights by a U.S. oil company to an overseas location represents a
debit to U.S. balance-of-payment account.
Note: Negative
represents a
demand for
foreign currency;
positive
represents a
demand for home
currency.
• A mature economy should be able to generate surplus goods and surplus savings.
Notes:
• The balance of payments is a record of the demand and supply of currency held by home residents in transactions with –non residents.
• Particularly for Eu countries, both the home currency and the foreign currency could be euros.
o The trade volume of a European country is typically between 30–40 per cent
of its GDP
o While the trade volume of US (and Japan) is typically between 10–20 per cent
of its GDP.
• Nevertheless, the volume of trade has grown over time for most countries.
• The factors interact, such that their simultaneous influence on the balance
of trade is complex.
For use with International Financial Management,
5th edn, ISBN 978-1-4737-7050-8 © Jeff Madura and Roland Fox
Factors Affecting International Trade Flows
(1)
• Impact of Cost of Labor
o Firms in countries where labor costs are low commonly have an advantage when competing
globally especially in labor intensive industries (non-robotic).
o China, India, Thailand, Vietnam, Indonesia, Philippines - - > Increase exports
• Impact of Inflation
o In response to local inflation, goods from foreign country become cheaper.
o Therefore, consumer will purchase more goods overseas, and hence imports will rise,
decreasing the current account balance.
o Each country’s government wants to increase its exports as more exports lead to more
production and income, which create more jobs.
o Country’s government generally prefer that its citizens and firms purchase products and services
locally because doing so creates local jobs.
Governments of countries with a weak economy tend to form policies that are intended to boost
their exports or reduce imports.
There are several types of government policies often used to improve the balance of trade
and thereby creating jobs within a country (Next topic…).
For use with International Financial Management,
5th edn, ISBN 978-1-4737-7050-8 © Jeff Madura and Roland Fox
Impact of Government Policies (1)
1. Restrictions on Imports:
• Taxes (tariffs) on imported goods increase prices and limit consumption (e.g., cars)
• Quotas limit the volume of goods a firm can import.
Subsidies by US Govt. on agriculture products, such as soyabeans and corns, make their production
cheaper for exports.
5. Labor Laws:
• Countries with more restrictive laws will incur higher expenses for labor,
other factors being equal.
• In addition, some countries have more restrictive child labor laws.
• These costs can place them at disadvantage compared to firms in other
countries that are not subject to the same restrictions.
• This will only work when the country has sufficient production of goods and
services (along with competitiveness) to fulfill the global demand.
• Example
• Intra-company trades
o Many firms purchase products that are produced by their subsidiaries.
o These transactions are not necessarily affected by currency fluctuations.
For use with International Financial Management,
5th edn, ISBN 978-1-4737-7050-8 © Jeff Madura and Roland Fox
Why a Weak Home Currency isn’t a Perfect
Solution? (2)
• Pre-arranged international trade transactions
o International transactions cannot be adjusted immediately as importers and
exporters agree to complete them (no substitutes in short-run).
o When the British pound weakens, the trade balance further deteriorates in
short run (due to expensive imports) before the reversal.
o There is a lag time between a weaker British pound and increased foreign
demand..
o The lag time between weaking of British pound and increased demand of
British exports has been estimated to be 18 months or longer (J-Curve effect).
• As consumers in the country with the stronger currency are enticed by the new
exchange rate to purchase more imports….
• …….more jobs may be created in the country with the weak currency and jobs may
be eliminated in the country with the strong currency.
• Privatization
o It allows for greater international business because foreign firms can acquire operations sold
by national governments.
o Managers of privately owned businesses are motivated to ensure profitability, further
stimulating DFI.
• Exchange Rates
o Firms typically prefer to invest in countries where the local currency is
expected to strengthen against their own.
o Under these conditions, they can invest funds to establish their
operations in a country at a time when that country’s currency is
relatively cheap (weak).
For use with International Financial Management,
5th edn, ISBN 978-1-4737-7050-8 © Jeff Madura and Roland Fox
Factors Affecting International Portfolio Investment
(no management interest/no control)
• Tax Rates on Interest or Dividends
o Investors will normally prefer countries where the tax rates are relatively low.
o Investors assess their potential after-tax earnings from investments in foreign
securities.
• Interest Rates
o Money tends to flow to countries with high interest rates.
o High expected rate of return.
• Exchange Rates
o Foreign investors may be attracted if the local currency is expected to
strengthen.
For use with International Financial Management,
5th edn, ISBN 978-1-4737-7050-8 © Jeff Madura and Roland Fox
Economic Theories of International Trade
and Investment
• Mercantilism is the oft-expressed view that exports are good and
imports are somehow bad. This is in contrast to free trade arguments
that deficits can still enhance a country’s wealth.
• Theory of absolute and comparative advantage. Countries should
produce either what they are better at than other countries
(absolute) or if that is not possible what they are least bad at
producing (comparative). That way the world ‘cake’ is larger and all
countries can benefit through trade.