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Strategic Management - Unit 1-1
Strategic Management - Unit 1-1
Strategic Management - Unit 1-1
Unit 1
Strategy
Derived from the Greek word “stratagos”;
stratus (meaning army) and “agos” (meaning
leading/moving).
A story with
many possible
endings
Scenario planning was popularized in
the 1970s by Royal Dutch/Shell, which
created an entire department dedicated
to crafting narratives about how
potential issues in the oil industry
could affect their business planning,
innovation, personnel, and public
affairs.
Scenario planning is a strategic planning
process in which organizations envision
different futures that may play out
Scenario planning is used to prepare for worst-
case scenarios (like data breaches or natural
disasters) as well as best-case scenarios (sudden
demand spikes).
It is more creative than forecasting, which
involves more numerical analysis
Scenario planning is identifying a specific
set of uncertainties, different “realities” of
what might happen in the future of a
business.
If not done, there is a risk of opening the
door to increased costs, increased risks,
and missed opportunities.
Scenario planning helps decision-
makers identify ranges of potential
outcomes and impacts, evaluate
responses and manage for both positive
and negative possibilities
Helps businesses become proactive
rather than reactive by visualizing risks
and threats
What issues are we trying to address?
Over what time frame?
Major external factors
Internal factors
How to mitigate?
Can we entirely avoid?
Types:
Operational
Quantitative
Normative
Overall
Best case (optimistic)
Worst case (pessimistic)