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C9 - Introduction To Epidemiology Part Ii
C9 - Introduction To Epidemiology Part Ii
ON & BASIC
CONCEPTS
OF
EPIDEMIOL
OGY
BIOSTATISTICS and EPIDEMIOLOGY (BIOE
211)
COURSE UNIT 9
COLLEGE OF MEDICAL LABORATORY
SCIENCE
Learning Objectives:
● Discuss appropriately the importance of epidemiology
● Describe clearly the different models for disease causation
● Describe correctly the history of disease
● Discuss the different levels of disease prevention, and classifications of disease
● Identify specifically the different sources of epidemiologic data
● Describe thoroughly the quality, utility, and comparability of the different data sources
Other concepts related to
causation
NECESSARY VERSUS
SUFFICIENT CAUSE
Necessary Cause – Factor Sufficient Cause – Cause that
must be present for the disease inevitably initiates or produce an
to occur it must invariably effect includes “component
precede an effect causes”
Any given cause may be necessary,
sufficient, both, neither
EXAMPLE STATEMENTS
● Necessary but not sufficient – the factor in and of itself is not enough to cause
disease
○ Multiple factors are required, usually in a specific temporal sequence (such as
carcinogenesis)
● Sufficient but not necessary – the factor alone can cause disease, but so can other
factors in its absence
○ Benzene or radiation can cause leukemia without the presence of the other
● Neither sufficient nor necessary – the factor cannot cause disease on its own, nor i
NATURAL
HISTORY OF THE
DISEASE
NATURAL HISTORY OF DISEASE
TWO PHASES
PREPATHOGENESIS
o Phase before man is involved.
o Through interaction of agent, host and environmental
factors, agent finally reaches man.
PATHOGENESIS
o Includes the success invasion and establishment of the
agent in the host.
o From incubation period to production of detectable
evidence of the disease process (Clinical Horizon), until
NATURAL HISTORY OF
•
DISEASE
“Progression of a disease process in an individual over time, in the absence of treatment”
(CDC)
--
STAGE OF SUSCEPTIBILITY
● Pre-exposure period in the natural history of
disease, in which the individual in the population
is vulnerable or at risk to acquire the infection
and/or amenable to get exposed to and be harmed
by a health determinant.
Susceptibility
EXPOSURE
Adaptation
Who is at Risk?
Risk factors
Poor health and nutrition
Lack of immunity
Behaviors that increase opportunity for
exposure
Adaptation
● The time required for the agent to establish itself, multiply and produce
toxins
Sub-clinical stages of disease
o Asymptomatic o Asymptomatic
o Time between o Time between exposure
exposure to onset of to causal factor and
symptoms disease detection
o Infectious diseases o **common in NCD
STAGE OF CLINICAL DISEASE
Refers to the period of time at the onset of signs
or symptoms of the disease.
Sufficient end-organ changes have occurred so
that there are recognizable signs or symptoms of
disease
The outcomes of this stage may be recovery,
disability or death.
It is important to subdivide this stage for better
STAGE OF DISABILITY
The final stage in the natural history of disease
concerns the outcome: recovery, disability or
death.
Clinical
Outcome
LEVELS OF PREVENTION
Primordial
• Before risk factors
Primary
• Pre-pathogenesis
Secondary
• Subclinical or very early clinical
Tertiary
• Middle to late clinical
Primordial Prevention
o Prevent development of risk factors
o Target: National
Policies and
Programs
Mass
Education
Individual
Education
Primary Prevention
• Prevent disease:
o Reduction of risk factors
o Immunization
o Removal of harmful agents
Target:
Secondary Prevention
o Early detection
o Prompt treatment
o Cure disease at the earliest stage
Target:
Tertiary Prevention
o Complete treatment
o Limit disability
o Rehabilitation
Target:
Classification of diseases
Research Objective
Data Quality
Sensitivity Issues
Logistics
General Types of DATA
Primary Secondar
Data
A. Queries
Interviews
y
A. Data
Computerized
bibliographic databases
Questionnaires
FGD
B. Surveillance data
o Census
B. Observations o Registries
Direct o Hospital records
With tools o Insurance records
Secondary: Census
Advantage Disadvantage
o Info on population numbers and
o Small number of
distributions by age, sex and
others health questions that
o Allows small-area estimation can be included
and disaggregation like socio-
economic status
Secondary: Civil Registry
Advantage Disadvantage
o Enables the routine production o In low and lower-middle-
of vital statistics essential for income countries, civil
improving health outcomes, as registry is weak or non-
well as the provision of small- existent
area data
Civil Registry: Birth Statistics
Most visible evidence of a government’s existence of a person as a member of
the society.
**Cause of Death
o Immediate cause of death: final disease, injury, complication
o Antecedent cause of death: intervening event between immediate and
underlying cause of death
o Underlying cause of death: disease that initiated chain of morbid events
Civil Registry: Death Statistics
Problems:
o Correctness of entries
o Stigma associated with certain illnesses
o Lack of standardization of diagnostic criteria
o Change of coding for CoD over time
Notifiable Disease Statistics
Reportable diseases
o Selected for being epidemic-prone
o Targeted for eradication or elimination
o Subject to international health regulation
USES
o Monitor progress towards disease reduction targets
o Measure achievements of disease prevention activities
o Identify hidden outbreaks or problems so that early action
may be taken
Notifiable Diseases
Category 1 Category 2
acute flaccid paralysis, anthrax, Acute blood diarrhea, acute
adverse event following encephalitis, acute hemorrhagic
immunization, human avian fever, acute viral hepatitis,
influenza, measles, bacterial meningitis, cholera,
meningococcal disease, neonatal dengue, diptheria, influenza-like,
tetanus, paralytic shellfish leptospirosis, Malaria, Non-
poisoning, rabies, SARS, neonatal tetanus, pertussis,
outbreaks, clusters of diseases, typhoid and paratyphoid fever
unusual diseases or threats
Population (Sample) Survey
Advantage Disadvantage
o Prime data sources on risk o Less efficient in rare
factors events
o Sampling error
o Possible to generate important o Estimates for local areas
data on the links between health may not be possible
and socio-economic
determinants
Data Quality and Utility
Nature of the data
Vital statistics, registries, surveys
Issues:
o Loss of control over intellectual property
o Loss of privacy and confidentiality of the research subject
Data Linkage