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Project Risk Management
Project Risk Management
Introduction
2.Quality management
3.Communication and stakeholder management
4.Risk management
PM Framework
• What is a Project?
• A project is a temporary endeavor undertaken to create a unique product, service, or result.
• Temporary ( definite beginning and definite end)
• Most projects are undertaken to create a lasting outcome.
• Unique
• ( different location, different design, different circumstances, different contractors etc.)
• Progressive Elaboration
• Continuously improving and detailing a plan as more detailed and specific information and more
accurate estimates become available.
• Projects drive change: Projects drive change in organizations. From a business perspective, a project is aimed at moving an
organization from current state to future state in order to achieve a specific objective.
• Projects enable business value creation
Business Value
Business value is defined as :
• the net quantifiable benefit derived from a business endeavor.
• The benefit may be tangible, intangible, or both.
•
• Examples of tangible elements include monetary assets, fixtures, stockholder
equity, and utility.
•
• Examples of intangible elements include good will, brand recognition, public
benefit, and trademarks. Depending on the organization.
?What is Project Management
Scope
Cost
Quality
Risk
Resources
The project life cycle
Program management
A program is defined as a group of related projects managed in a coordinated way to obtain
operations management
Operations are an organizational function performing the ongoing execution of activities that produce the
same product or provide a repetitive service.
Projects and Operations
operation
Projects
Ongoing and Temporary
repetitive Unique output
Similar outputs
Resources on
Permanent
resources temporary
upon-need basis
Projects and Operations
Planned, executed & Controlled series of tasks and
activities
Constrained by limited resources
Produce output/product
Project management office (PMO)
A project management office (PMO) is an organizational structure that
standardizes the project-related governance processes and facilitates the
sharing of resources, methodologies, tools, and techniques. The
responsibilities of a PMO can range from providing project
management support functions to the direct management of one or more
projects
Supportive. provide a consultative role to projects by supplying
templates, best practices, training, access to information, and lessons
learned from other projects. This type of PMO serves as a project
repository. The degree of control provided by the PMO is low.
• Organizational Systems
• Are management systems in place to support project needs efficiently and effectively.
• Organizational Cultures and Styles
• Most organizations have developed unique and describable cultures that often have a direct
influence on the project.
• Organizational Structure
• The structure of the performing organization often constrains the availability of resources.
• Role of the PMO in Organizational Structures
• PMO can exist in any organizational structures but are most likely to be found in projectized or
matrix organizations.
Functional Organization
C.E.
O
Functional Functional Functional Functional
Manager Manager Manager Manager
These different departments are sometimes referred to as “silos”. This means the system is
vertical and disconnected. The communication flows through the department heads to the top
management
all authority (i.e. budget allocation, resource allocation, decision making, etc.) stays with the
functional manager. Usually, the position of the project manager does not exist in this type
of organization structure. Even if this position exists, the role of the project manager will be
very limited and he will need permission from the functional manager to fulfil his
requirements. The project manager may have the title of a coordinator or an expediter
Weak Matrix Organization
C.E.O
In weak matrix organizations, the project manager will have limited power and authority.
He will have a part-time role and no administrative staff will report to him. His role will
be more like a coordinator or an expediter. Here, the functional manager controls the
Balanced Matrix Organization
C.E.O
Project coordination
power and authority are shared between the functional managers and the project managers. Although the
project manager has a full-time role, he will have a part time or otherwise limited project management
administrative staff under him. In this type of structure, both managers control the project’s budget.
Strong Matrix Organization
C.E.O
Staff Project
Staff
Staff manager
most of the power and authority is held by the project manager. The project manager has a full-time role, has
a full-time project management administrative staff under him, and controls the project budget. The
strong matrix structure has a lot of the characteristics of a projectized organization
Projectized Organization
C.E.O
•The project manager has full power and authority over resources to be utilized in the project. He controls the budget, resources,
and work assignments.
•The project manager has full-time team members working under his control who directly report him.
•When the project is completed the team is disbanded. Team members and all other resources are released.
▰ DEFINITION OF A PROJECT
MANAGER: The project manager is the
person assigned by the performing
organization to lead the team that is
responsible for achieving the project
objectives.
▰ THE PROJECT MANAGER’S SPHERE
OF INFLUENCE Project managers fulfill
numerous roles within their sphere of
influence. These roles reflect the project
manager’s capabilities and are
representative of the value and
contributions of the project management
profession.
24
PROJECT MANAGER COMPETENCES
Grade
Grade is a category assigned to products or services
having the same functional use but different
technical characteristics
Continuous improvement
( plan-do-check-act ) cycle
Management responsibility
( responsibility of management to provide the resources needed to succeed)
33
Project Communication & Stakeholder Management
36
We all can recognize an elephant .. “when we see one”, can’t
we?
38
And the elephant (project) became
…
Communication activities have many dimensions, including but not limited to:
Internal. Focus on stakeholders within the project and within the organization.
External. such as customers, vendors, other projects, organizations, government, the public, and
environmental advocates.
Formal. Reports, formal meetings (both regular and ad hoc), meeting agendas and minutes,
stakeholder briefings, and presentations.
Informal General communications activities using emails, social media, websites, and informal ad
hoc discussions
Hierarchical focus The position of the stakeholder or group with respect to the project team will affect the format
and content of the message, in the following ways:
Upward. Senior management stakeholders.
Downward. The team and others who will contribute to the work of the project.
Horizontal. Peers of the project manager or team.
Written and oral. Verbal (words and voice inflections) and nonverbal (body language and actions), social media
and websites, media releases.
Sample interactive communication model.
This model also describes communication as a process consisting of two parties, the sender and receiver, but
recognizes the need to ensure that the message has been understood.
displays gaps between current and desired engagement levels of individual stakeholders, it can be
further analyzed in this process to identify additional communication requirements (beyond the regular
reports) as a method to close any engagement level gaps.
DATA REPRESENTATION:
Stakeholder mapping and representation is
a method of categorizing stakeholders using
various methods such as:
Power/interest grid, power/influence
grid, or impact/influence grid.
These classification models are useful for
small projects or for projects with simple
relationships between stakeholders and
the project
• Individual project
+
Opportunit Risk
y Uncertain event or condition
that, if occurs, has an effect
Cause
(impact) on at any of the project
Impac objectives (Time, Cost, Quality,
Event
t Scope)
Impact could be +ve or –ve
)Condition(
-
Threat Overall Project Risk
The effect of uncertainty on
the project as a whole, Arising
Risk
Can never be totally eliminated.
49
Project Risk Management
Is the systematic process of Identifying, Analyzing, and
Responding to project risks
AND
Minimizing the probability and consequences of adverse
events (Threats) to Project Objectives
Organizations’ Risk Appetite
Risk Categories
Provide a means for grouping individual project risks. A common way to structure
risk categories is with a risk breakdown structure (RBS), which is a hierarchical
representation of potential sources of risk.
Definition of Risk Probability and Impact
+/– IMPACT ON PROJECT OBJECTIVES
SCALE PROBABILITY
TIME COST QUALITY
Medium 31-50% 1-3 months $501K-$1M Some impact in key functional areas
Definitions of risk probability and impact levels are specific to the project context and reflect the risk
appetite and thresholds of the organization and key stakeholders
negative for threats (delay, additional cost, and performance shortfall )
positive for opportunities (early delivery or under budget)
Probability Impact
Very Low Low Moderate High Very High
0.05 0.10 0.20 0.40 0.80
Very High
High
Moderate
Low
Very Low
Identify Risks
•Objective is to obtain a
LIST of project risks.
•Done by TEAM with
outside experts.
•Use RBS as a guideline
•An expert facilitator leads
the discussions.
Risk Register
impact
R id O --T Risk Discerption owner potential response Prob. time cost quality Score Strategy tactic
fallback
plan
the probability of worker
Site
R1 T falls and injured
Engineer
call ambulance
Perform Qualitative Risk Analysis
Very Low
Risk Register
impact
R id
O --T Risk Discerption owner potential response Prob. time cost quality Score Strategy tactic
fallback
plan
the probability of worker
Site
R1 T falls and injured
Engineer
call ambulance M VL H L M.H
Watch list
Perform Risk Quantitative Analysis
It is the process of numerically assessing the probability and impact of each
This process is not required for every project, but where it is used, it is
risk models
Outputs of this process:
confidence.
list includes those individual project risks that pose the greatest threat or
analysis
qu ality
Go od
51k
Bad Q
31k uality
i ne, 15,000 , 20%
h
ac
M 0K
w 2
Main Ne
Decision
????
up ac
18k
gr hin
M
40,000 , 60%
ad e
e ,1
lity
ex 0 K
qua
ist
o d
Go
in
g
28k Bad Q
uality
10,000 , 40%
Plan Risk Response
Escalate
Avoid eliminate the threat entirely,
reducing its probability of
occurrence to zero
Transfer shifting ownership of a
threat to a third party to manage
the risk and to bear the impact if
the threat occurs
Mitigate to reduce the probability
of occurrence and/or impact of a
threat
accept Risk acceptance
acknowledges the existence of a
threat, but no proactive action is
taken
Response Strategies for Opportunities
Escalae
Exploit
increasing the
probability of
occurrence to
100%.
Enhance The
enhance strategy is used
to increase the probability
and/or impact of an
opportunity
Accept
Risk Register
impact
R id
O --T
Risk
Discerption
owner
potential
response
Prob. time cost quality Score Strategy tactic
fallback
plan
the probability of sit engineer
Safety
worker falls and Site take him to
R1 T injured Engineer
call ambulance M VL H L M.H Mitigate procedures
hospital
ce ce ive
an
Ac ss
pt
Pa
Watch list
Monitor Risks
Is the process of monitoring the implementation of
agreed-upon risk response plans, It involves tracking
identified risk , identifying new risks , evaluating risk
response plans, and monitoring their effectiveness.
Monitor Risks process uses performance
information generated during project execution to
determine if:
Implemented risk responses are effective,
Level of overall project risk has changed,
Status of identified individual project risks has changed,
New individual project risks have arisen,
Risk management approach is still appropriate,
Project assumptions are still valid,
Risk management policies and procedures are being
followed,
Contingency reserves for cost or schedule require
modification, and
Project strategy is still valid.