Professional Documents
Culture Documents
Lecture 5 Shariah Stocks
Lecture 5 Shariah Stocks
Lecture 5 Shariah Stocks
- Fundamentals
- Screening Methodologies
- Pricing
Dr Buerhan Saiti
- Stock Indices
1
Modern Corporations
• OIC Academy has approved share companies and by that, has
accepted two Western legal concepts – artificial/legal
personality and limited liability
3
© INCEIF 2015
Shares as Partnership Interest
• Relationship between shareholders can be construed as a musharakah
arrangement
• Classical law holds that partnership must be terminated and liquidated upon
withdrawal of a partner
• How to effect sale of shares in the secondary market?
• Rationale for partnership termination requirement is to determine
partners’ equitable share in the partnership
• Modern accounting procedures and techniques can satisfy this
condition
• Partners’ consent to new partners can be obtained in advance
• New shareholder is new party to the musharakah contract
4
© INCEIF 2015
Shares as Partnership Interest
• Profit / loss distribution (for e.g. dividends paid) are
made by nominal (par) value
– This seems to contradict the legal maxim that
distribution of loss must be by capital contribution
(actual)
9
© INCEIF 2015
Shari'ah Stock Screening
• Rules to ensure that ordinary shares are Shari'ah compliant
10
© INCEIF 2015
Business/Sector Screening – excluded industries
Dow Jones Meezan, Pakistan SC, Malaysia
Conventional finance and Conventional finance and Conventional finance and
insurance insurance insurance
Gambling and gaming Gambling and gaming Gambling and gaming
Alcohol production and Alcohol production and Alcohol production and
sale sale sale
Pork related products Pork related products Pork and non-halal food
Tobacco manufacturing Tobacco manufacturing Tobacco manufacturing
and sale and sale and sale
Entertainment, media and
broadcasting (cinemas, music,
pornography)
Hotels
Weapons and defense
Real estate holding and
development
© INCEIF 2015
Business/Sector Screening – excluded industries (2)
FTSE Shari’ah Index S&P Shari’ah Index MSCI Islamic Index
Conventional finance and Conventional finance and Conventional finance and
insurance insurance insurance
Alcohol Alcohol Alcohol
Pork related products and Pork Pork related products
non-halal food production
Tobacco Tobacco Tobacco
Weapons, arms & defence Weapons & defence
Entertainment (Casinos, Gambling, Pornography Gambling, Casinos, Music,
Gambling, Cinema, Music, Advertising and media Hotels, Cinema, TV,
Pornography, Hotels) except: Cable/Satellite, Adult
• if revenue >65% from GCC entertainment
• News channels
• Newspapers
• Sports channels
Cloning
Trading of gold and silver
as cash on deferred basis
© INCEIF 2015
Business/Sector Screening – “mixed” businesses
© INCEIF 2015
Mew Methodology
© INCEIF 2015 14
Business/Sector Screening – “mixed” businesses (2)
© INCEIF 2015
Business/Sector Screening – Discussion
• Note : Index providers do not provide details of rationale for screening
criteria
– Thus, they can only be implied or presumed
Excluded sector Probable reason for exclusion
Media and broadcasting May include material with nudity or obscene
images
Hotels Serve alcoholic beverages and non-halal food
Weapons and defense Use of weapons prejudicial to Muslim interests
Real estate holding & development High levels of leverage
© INCEIF 2015
Business/Sector Screening – Discussion (2)
© INCEIF 2015
Debt Financing Screening
Dow Jones
Short Term + Long Term Debt
≤ 33%
Trailing 24 month Average Market Capitaliza tion
Meezan,
Pakistan Total interest bearing debt
≤ 45%
Total assets
SC Malaysia
Interest Bearing Debt
≤ 33%
Total assets
FTSE
Shari’ah Debt
Index ≤ 33%
Total assets
S&P Shari’ah
Index Debt
≤ 33%
Trailing 36 month Average Market Capitaliza tion
MSCI Islamic
Index Debt
≤ 33%
Total assets
© INCEIF 2015
Debt Financing Screening – Discussion
• Some have criticized use of market capitalization as denominator
– In bear markets, market capitalization typically falls while debt
remains constant or rises
• Prolonged bear markets may force compulsory exit by Muslim investors
and funds, thus exerting further downward pressure on price
• Using a trailing 24-month average market cap can delay exclusion but a
stock market down cycle can persist
• Disinvestment by Islamic funds during a slump may worsen companies’
economic woes
• Islamic equity fund performance may be negatively affected as selling
shares when prices are falling may not be the best strategy
– Conversely, in a bull market, debt-laden companies are included by
virtue of high stock valuations
– As a whole, it may be unjust to include or exclude companies on the
basis of stock market cycles or external market forces, which are
beyond the control of the companies individually
– Perhaps there is a need to develop a ratio that neutralizes effects of
temporary market fluctuations
• Dow Jones’ amendment to the ratio (moving to 24-month trailing average
from 12-month) represents such a view
© INCEIF 2015
Effect of bull/bear markets on market cap-based financial ratios
© INCEIF 2015
Debt Financing Screening – Discussion (2)
• Note that in Malaysia Shari’ah compliant debt financing is
excluded from the ratio computation
• Rationale: To promote Shari’ah compliant financing?
• At present financial reporting standards do not differentiate
Shari’ah compliant and non-Shari’ah compliant debt
– Perhaps why many other Shari’ah jurisdictions include
all debt
• What is the objective of the debt financing screening ratio?
– If to exclude over-leveraged firms
• Need to also consider operating leverage (variation
in profitability attributable to changes in business
conditions) in relation to financial leverage (amount
of debt undertaken) in ascertaining overall level of
optimal leverage
© INCEIF 2015
Interest Earnings Screening
Dow Jones
Cash + Interest Based Securities
≤ 33%
Trailing 24 month Average Market Capitalization
© INCEIF 2015
Interest Earnings Screening (2)
FTSE
Shari’ah
Index Cash + interest bearing items
≤ 33%
Total assets
S&P Shari’ah
Index
Cash + interest bearing securities
≤ 33%
Trailing 36 month Average Market Capitaliza tion
MSCI Islamic
Index
Cash + interest bearing securities
≤ 33%
Total assets
© INCEIF 2015
Interest Earnings Screening – Discussion
© INCEIF 2015
Cash and Receivables Screening
Dow Jones
Total Accounts Receivable
≤ 33%
Trailing 24 month Average Market Capitaliza tion
Meezan,
Pakistan Total illiquid assets
≥ 10%
Total assets
SC Malaysia
Cash
≤ 33%
Total assets
FTSE Shari’ah
Index Cash + accounts receivable
≤ 50%
Total assets
S&P Shari’ah
Index Accounts receivable
≤ 49%
Trailing 36 month Average Market Capitaliza tion
MSCI Islamic
Index Cash + accounts receivable
≤ 33%
© INCEIF 2015
Total assets
Cash and Receivables Screening – Discussion
© INCEIF 2015
Cash and Receivables Screening – Discussion (2)
• One view – as long as the firm is still a going concern, share trading at
any price should be allowed, regardless of liquidity of firm assets
– Even in the extreme example that a firm’s assets are 100% in the
form of liquid assets, an individual shareholder cannot trade his
shares with the firm’s receivable (debt)
– Exception – the case of a takeover where a shareholder acquires all
(or majority) shares of the firm and culminating in liquidation or
asset stripping
• Instances of non-compliance to the receivables ratio due to market
conditions or nature of business
– Prudent management of investment companies may prescribe
holding more liquidity in volatile or uncertain market conditions,
especially when equity prices are falling
– Competitive market forces may necessitate more aggressive credit
sales
• For example, car manufacturers such as Ford, General Motors
and Daimler-Chrysler have effectively become “banks” because
much of their profits are derived from financing vehicle sales
through extended payment terms
© INCEIF 2015
Dividend/Income Purification
Index / Dividend/income purification norm
Authority
Dow Jones None
© INCEIF 2015
Dividend/Income Purification – Discussion
• Basic idea – some threshold of non-compliant income (esp. interest)
allowed but must be “cleansed” via channeling to charity
• Common practice is,
– Purifying applied to dividend payout, quantum calculated as ratio of
non-compliant income to total income
– Some contend that this represents incomplete purging, appears to be
window dressing to solace the conscience of Shari’ah compliant
investors
• The ideal is,
– Pro rata amount of interest income earned per share during period of
holding, regardless of dividend payment, to be paid upon declaration
of results
• Amount to be paid in gross (pro-rated by percentage of
shareholding) and not multiplied by ratio of non-compliant
income to total income – see AAOIFI Standard
• Not dependent upon magnitude of dividend payment – remove
non-compliant income that goes to retained earnings
• Also, dividend policy varies with firms, some companies never
issue dividends
© INCEIF 2015
Dividend/Income Purification – Discussion (2)
• Purification should not be applied to realized capital gains
– Movement in share prices attributable to the firm’s core
business, and not marginal income generated by interest
or other minority non-compliant business
– Remote correlation between share price movement and
interest income
• AAOIFI Shari’ah Standard 21 [3/4/6/1]
– Element of unfairness – shares may have exchanged
hands numerous times during a year
– May encourage sell-down just prior to financial year-end,
creating unnecessary and unwarranted volatility
– Suggestion - Pro-rate purging quantum by portion of time
that share is owned
• Other issues
– Deduct (firm manager/fund manager/individual investor)
versus inform, interests of non-Muslim shareholders
– Purification versus screening - Do we need screening?
Can’t we just purify any and all tainted income?
© INCEIF 2015
Shari’ah Stock Screening – Other Issues
© INCEIF 2015
Shari’ah Stock Screening – Other Issues (2)
© INCEIF 2015
Shari’ah Stock Screening – Other Issues (3)
• Islamic equity funds should incorporate social responsibility and ethical
dimensions into their Shari’ah compliance criteria
– At present, Shari’ah compliance does not necessarily imply
presence of good business ethics
– By contrast, ethical investment funds address aspects of corporate
social responsibility, environmental protection & conservation, and
occupational safety & health in their investment decisions
• Nonetheless Islamic equity funds and ethical funds may share
some common grounds
– Examples of ethical stock market indices and funds
• The Calvert Group, Domini Social Index, Friends Provident
Stewardship Fund, Dow Jones Sustainability Index, Wilderhill
Clean Energy Index, etc.
– Surely the Shari’ah compliance connotation can be extended to
include all that is good and wholesome
• Does the Shari’ah condone the following practices –
environmental pollution, exploitation of developing countries,
avoidable animal testing, deceptive advertising?
© INCEIF 2015
Shari’ah Stock Screening – Other Issues (4)
• Islamic equity funds should incorporate social responsibility
and ethical dimensions into their Shari’ah compliance criteria
(continued)
– Emphasize on a positive criteria rather than negative
screening by favouring investments in companies that do
“social good”
• For example, supply of basic necessities at reasonable
prices, goods & services that benefit society,
investments in renewable energy sources, philanthropic
businesses, etc.
– Be proactive rather than reactive
• Engage corporations or use financial muscle to
influence positive change in policies (for e.g., using
shareholders’ voting rights)
– Recognize that purely mechanical application of “ethical
criteria” (e.g., board composition, hiring practices) could
result in abuse or manipulation
© INCEIF 2015
Shari’ah Stock Screening – Other Issues (5)
• Automated screening
– Rely on established industry classification
taxonomies
– May produce unintended outcomes
– E.g. Louis Vuitton
• Substantial revenues come from sale of wines
and spirits
• Investment performance
– Does a smaller investment universe penalize
performance of Islamic portfolios (due to less
portfolio diversification)?
© INCEIF 2015
Shari’ah Stock Screening – Summary of Key Issues
© INCEIF 2015
What to do with non-compliant stocks?
© INCEIF 2015
Shari’ah compliant securities which are subsequently
considered as Non-Shari’ah compliant
38
© INCEIF 2015
• Price of share < original investment cost
– May hold the share until price of share equals to
original investment cost
– Liquidate when total dividends received (if any)
together with the market price of the non-approved
share equal the original investment cost
39
© INCEIF 2015
Example –Assuming investor holds the
share and dispose on 20th May 2005
Investment Cost Announcement date Disposal price
(20 January 05) (29 April 05) (20 May 05)
41
© INCEIF 2015
Purification of Income
• Investor/Unit trust fund receives income from invested
companies in the form of dividend and capital gain. Not
all income are considered “clean”. Some are derived from
non halal sources such as interest income
• Purification of income requires identifying the non halal
portion of income received from invested companies and
deducting it from the total income prior to distribution
• The income net of purification is then distributed to the
investors
• The “tainted” income cannot be distributed to investors
but instead donated to charities
42
© INCEIF 2015
It is also possible for the fund to allow discretion to the investor in
deciding the recipient charitable organization
No consensus among Shari’ah scholars in implementing purification
No standard available from AAOFFI
43
© INCEIF 2015
Issues in Stock Screening
45
© INCEIF 2015
Preference Shares
• Malaysian Companies Act 1965 has defined preference share as a share that
does not give a right to the shareholders to vote at its general meeting or
any right to participate in any distribution of the company that has stated
the amount, whether through dividends, redemption, dissolution or
otherwise
46
© INCEIF 2015
• The characteristics of a preference share are as follows:
– Predetermined dividend
– Higher entitlement to assets if business is liquidated
– No voting rights
47
© INCEIF 2015
Preference Shares (cont.)
48
© INCEIF 2015
Preference Shares
• Hybrid instrument
– General features : Fixed dividend, no voting rights, priority in liquidation
• Rationale:
– Investor : More secure income, less risk in liquidation
– Issuer : Firm feels it is not prudent to assume additional debt, dilute its equity or
share expected profits, redeemability (mandatory offer not required),
restrictions on voting rights given to foreign shareholders
• Non-cumulative preference shares allowed by SAC of SC based on tanazul (to drop
claims to right)
– During general meeting to approve issuance of preference shares, ordinary
shareholders give their agreement
• Dissenting opinion
– That income to shareholder is proportional to company profits – an
unchangeable tenet of Islamic partnership
– Priority in liquidation – violates principle that losses should be borne by partners
in proportion to their capital contribution
• The notion of a hierarchy of capital suppliers is repugnant, not in the spirit of Islamic
partnership
– Higher payout ratio is acceptable but not fixed rate of dividend 49
© INCEIF 2015
Short Selling
• Sale of a security (e.g. shares) not owned by the investor at the time of sale
• Selling high, buying cheap
• Typical mechanism:
– Mr. A assesses stock A as being overpriced at $20
– Day 0 : Mr. A “borrows” 100 shares of stock X from Mr. B
– Day 0 : Mr. A short-sells 100 shares of stock X to Mr. C at $20
– Day 3 : Price of stock X drops to $15, Mr. A buys 100 shares
– Day 3 : 100 shares of stock X delivered to Mr. A
– Day 3 : Mr. A “returns” 100 shares of stock X to Mr. B
– Mr. A makes profit = Sale proceeds ($2,000) less Cost of purchase ($1,500) less
transaction costs
• Securities Borrowing and Lending (SBL) was introduced by SC at end of 1995 to
regulate short-selling
• SBL was suspended at end of 1997 following economic crisis
50
© INCEIF 2015
Short Selling
• Merits
– Makes arbitrage possible, which can help to eliminate market inefficiencies
• E.g. two stocks mispriced, it takes time for their valuation to align via the
market’s net buying of the cheaper stock and net selling of the expensive
one
• With short-selling, punters can short the expensive stock and go long on
the cheaper one
– Facilitates hedging
• Those with exposure to falling prices of stocks but cannot immediately sell
(e.g. share option holders, pledged shares, shares under moratorium)
• Demerits
– Potential loss from short-selling strategy theoretically infinite
– Unrestrained short-selling pressure could lead to collapse in share prices
51
© INCEIF 2015
Short Selling
• Shari’ah validity of short-selling still being debated
• SAC of SC permits short-selling on the following basis:
– Istihsan with maslahah
• Clear advantage to original shareholder and provides liquidity to the market
– Istihsan with ‘urf khas (‘urf iqtisadi khas)
• Customary practice accepted in economic activities
• Dissenting opinion
– Hadith : “… sell not what is not with you”
– Ownership / possession at time of sale instead of deliverability
– Economic implications
• No doubt could contribute to more efficient share market, but
• Allows speculative trading, shortened investment horizon
– If indeed brings benefit (maslahah) to society and it is an accepted custom
(‘urf), why was it suspended?
• Indicative of room for abuse and undesirable repercussions?
52
© INCEIF 2015
Types of Indexes
– Example: Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA), Major Market Index (MMI) and
Nikkei 225
© INCEIF 2015 54
Types of Indexes
– It is computed by adding the closing prices of the component stocks and dividing by
a divisor.
– Since every stock has equal weight, it has ‘equal influence’ on the index’s closing
value.
– Because an index should be representative, small companies are often also included.
© INCEIF 2015 55
Types of Indexes
– The weight of each stock will depend on its market value proportionate to the
market value of the total index.
• Market value or market capitalization refers to the price per share multiplied by the
number of shares outstanding.
– A capitalization weighted index gives a larger weight to big firms which have a
large number of shares outstanding.
© INCEIF 2015 56
Types of Indexes
© INCEIF 2015 57
Types of Indexes
© INCEIF 2015 58
Types of Indexes
© INCEIF 2015 60
– Example : Valueline index
Stock Index Futures
© INCEIF 2015
Stock Index Futures – Shari’ah Permissibility
• SAC of Malaysia’s SC permits Shari’ah Index futures on the basis of:
– Hikmat tasyri’iyyah – create maslahah to the investor in particular
and to the economic system in general, serving as a hedging
instrument
– ‘Urf iqtisadi khas (common practices specifically occurring in
economic activities)
• To critically assess the justification given
– If indeed stock index futures used purely for hedging purposes,
perhaps acceptable
• But in reality significant trading on stock index futures is
speculative in nature
• Benefit (maslahah) in genuine hedging activity but cannot
ignore costs associated with pure speculative stock index
futures trading
– Just because something is customary (‘urf) does not make it
Islamically valid (for e.g., interest-based lending)
– Even hedging as a valid motive in itself can be questioned
• Is not the purpose of investing in stock to accept some degree
of risk in exchange for potential return?
• A legal maxim in Islamic jurisprudence states – al ghurmu bil
ghunmi (the taking of profit is associated with risk taking)
© INCEIF 2015
Is Trading in Shares Equivalent to Gambling?
Gain and loss In the long and in the Zero sum game (total
distribution aggregate, there is a gain equals total loss)
net gain
© INCEIF 2015
Speculation in Share Trading
© INCEIF 2015
Investment vs. Speculation
Investment Speculation
Entails detailed analysis and Typically relies on rumours or
research of quantitative and unsubstantiated hearsay
qualitative data (past share price
behaviour, company
announcements, economic
conditions, analyst reports, etc.)
Long term perspective Speculation seeks a quick gain
E.g., Warren Buffett’s investment
horizon
Based on hard facts and figures Often motivated by emotion (hope,
hype)
Forecasting the prospective yields Forecasting the psychology of the
of assets over their whole life market
Keynes’s famous beauty contest
analogy
© INCEIF 2015
Speculation at its Extreme
• History has witnessed many instances where speculation, at the
extreme, led to irrational behaviour and undesirable economic and
social repercussions
– The South Sea Bubble, The Great Crash of 1929
– Stock Market Crashes of 1973, 1981 and 1997
– “Tulip Mania”, 17th Century Holland
• A flower belonging to the onion family, national symbol of the
Netherlands
• Mutations result in unusual colours or patterns, visually appealing
• Slow growing process, limited supply but high demand
• Became the object of price speculation
• 1620s : price of one tulip equivalent to 120 sheep
• 1634 : price of one tulip equivalent to 12 acres of good land
• Price fluctuation engineered to produce huge profits
• Ordinary businesses of the country neglected
• Majority of population sold house, land and valuables to take part in
tulip speculation
• Feb 1637 : Beginning of rationalization, panic and rush to sell
• Price fell drastically within a short time
• “Those who do not learn from the lessons of history are doomed to
repeat them” – Abraham Lincoln, former U.S. President
• There is popular argument that lays blame for the surge in oil prices in
2008 on speculative trading of oil futures
© INCEIF 2015
Deficiencies in Contemporary Stock Markets
• Some research advocate that the current stock market-based corporate
model is guilty of misallocation of resources
– Flawed pricing process
• Information arbitrage efficiency (that all publicly available
information is incorporated in share prices so that no abnormal
profit can be made) prevails over fundamental valuation
efficiency (that shares prices reflect the real economic worth of
companies)
• Volatility of the Nasdaq index
– 1052.1 (1995) 2192.7 (1998) 4069.3 (1999) 5060.3
(2000) 2175.4 (2004)
– Classic case of share price bubble & bust
• Prices could not have been efficient in the fundamental sense
– There is evidence that there was no change of the required
magnitude in the economic fundamentals during that period
– Technology companies
► Total stock market value : 7% (1990) 36% (2000)
► Share of employment : 6% (1990) 9% (2000)
► Share of sales : 6% (1990) 10% (2000)
– During the period of 1995-2000, Amazon.com made
increasing losses in each successive year and yet its share
price rose rapidly
© INCEIF 2015
Deficiencies in Contemporary Stock Markets (continued)
• Share price volatility is a negative feature of stock markets
– Reduces efficiency of price signals in allocating investment
resources
– Increases riskiness of investments, discourages risk-averse
corporations from financing growth by equity issues
– At the macroeconomic level, stock market volatility contributes to
financial fragility of the whole economy
• Use of stock options to align interests of management with those of
shareholders ineffective
– Encouraged over-reporting of earnings
• Shortcomings of take-over mechanism
– Evidence suggests that take-over selection process in the market for
corporate control
• Works only to a limited extent on the basis of profitability and
stock market valuation
• But operates to a much greater extent on the basis of size
• Resource misallocation arising from takeovers by companies with
overvalued equities
– E.g., Nortel acquired companies, paying with its overvalued stock
– Post-tech stocks bust : acquisitions written off, jobs lost, productive
capacities destroyed
© INCEIF 2015
Failings of the Stock Market
© INCEIF 2015
In Defence of Speculation
© INCEIF 2015
Speculation – An Islamic Perspective
© INCEIF 2015
Speculation-Friendly Market Mechanisms
1. Short-selling
• This mechanism promotes market velocity (more buying and selling)
• Inherently short-term outlook, sell-and-buy strategies occurring within a
short time frame
• Fiqh perspective – majority of jurists disapprove of short-selling, citing that
it represents the selling of something one does not own
2. Margin trading and financing
• Provides speculator with high degree of leverage, enabling him to make
larger purchases with a smaller amount of funds
• Margin trading expands and contracts volume of transaction, which
contributes to fluctuations in share prices, without any real change in
supply of stocks or the underlying economic conditions
• Variations in margin requirements and interest rates introduce an
unnecessary dimension of uncertainty and instability
• Typically entails interest-based financing which is prohibited by the
Shari’ah
3. Derivatives
• Derivative instruments like stock index futures and stock options thrive
under volatile market conditions
• Some jurists allow derivatives on the basis of their use for hedging
purposes but in reality, only a small percentage of derivatives are used for
that objective
© INCEIF 2015
Curbing Speculation – Implementation Challenges
© INCEIF 2015
Speculation – Concluding Points
© INCEIF 2015
The Story of the Monkeys and the Villagers
© INCEIF 2015
The Story of the Monkeys and the Villagers (continued)
• The man again increased his offer rate to $25, but the
supply of monkeys became so little that it was an effort to
even find a monkey, let alone catch it!
• The man now announced that he would buy monkeys at
$50! However, since he had to go to the city for some
business purpose, he appointed his assistant who was asked
to act as buyer, on his behalf.
• In the absence of his boss, the assistant told the villagers:
“Look at all these monkeys in the big cage my boss has
collected. I will sell them to you at $35 and when my boss
returns from the city, you can sell them back to him for
$50.”
• So all the villagers thought that it was good idea to make
some quick money, so they squeezed together all their
savings and bought all the monkeys.
• But later on they never saw the Boss or his assistant again,
only monkeys everywhere!
© INCEIF 2015
Thank you
Wa Allah A’lam
77
© INCEIF 2015