MATH213

ENGINEERING DATA
ANALYSIS
By: ENGR. MARIA YSABELLA MOSCOSO
1 BINOMIAL DISTRIBUTION
1. The experiment consists of repeated trials.
2. Each trial results in an outcome that may be classified as a success or a failure.
3. The probability of success, denoted by p, remains constant from trial to trial.
4. The number of “x” success may come in any of “n” trials.

P(x) = [nCx]
Where:
p = is the success probability
q = 1-p; is the failure probability
x = number of desired success
n = number of trials
1 BINOMIAL DISTRIBUTION
EXAMPLES

1. Determine the probability of obtaining exactly 3 heads in 4

tosses of a fair coin.
2. In testing a certain kind of truck tire over rugged terrain, it
is found tar 25% of truck fail to complete the test run
without a blowout. Of the next 15 trucks tested, find the
probability that
a. Exactly 5 have blowouts
b. from 3 to 6 have blowouts
c. Fewer than 4 have blowouts
d. more than 5 have blowouts
1 NEGATIVE BINOMIAL DISTRIBUTION
1. The experiment consists of repeated trials.
2. Each trial results in an outcome that may be classified as a success or a failure.
3. The probability of success, denoted by p, remains constant from trial to trial.
4. The number of “xth” success may occur on the “nth” trial.

P(x) = [nCx]
Where:
p = is the success probability
q = 1-p; is the failure probability
x = number of desired success
n = number of trials
1 NEGATIVE BINOMIAL PROBABILITY
EXAMPLE

1. Suppose the probability that any given person will believe a tale about a
transgressions of a famous actress is 0.8. What us the probability that the sixth
person to hear this tale is the fourth one to believe it?
2. Determine the probability of obtaining 5th head on 7th toss of a fair coin.
1 POISSON DISTRIBUTION
1. The number of outcomes occurring in one time interval or specified region is
independent of the numbers that occur in any other disjoint time interval or
region.
2. The average number of outcome in a certain interval of concern is proportion
to intervals length.
3. The probability of x number of outcome in a certain interval is given by,

P(x) =
Where:
λ = average outcome in a specific interval
x = number of desired outcome in specified interval
1 POISSON DISTRIBUTION
EXAMPLE

1. The average of cellphones sold by a store is three perday. What is the

probability that exactly 4 cellphones will be sold tomorrow?
2. The average number of traffic accidents on a certain intersection in manila is 2
per month.
a. Find the probability that zero accident happen on that certain
intersection in one month.
b. Find the probability that at most four accidents occur on that certain
intersection in a 2 month period.