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2008-ICICI - Indian PE Opportunity
2008-ICICI - Indian PE Opportunity
April 2008
Private & confidential
Private equity investment in India has increased 28x fold from 2003-2007 In 2007, US$14.2 billion of private equity transactions were completed Increased diversification by both industry and types of investment
18 international locations
ICICI Ventures
One of Indias largest PE firms AUM > US$2bn Completed 55+ transactions
ICICI Lombard
One of the largest private sector general insurer iAAA rated by ICRA
ICICI Securities
Leading equity broking house Leader in fixed income market
1. As at 24-March-2008. 2. As at 31-December-2007.
Source : Economic Survey, Ministry of Agriculture, Government of India, report by investment commission of India
. %
,6 2
60
200
200
2005
2006
200
200
2009
Indian GDP grew at an average of 14.9% p.a. in US$ terms in the 3 years to 2006. (8.6% in real terms)2 Projected to grow at 8% p.a. in real terms until 20201 Indias GDP (US$ terms) expected to surpass that of the US by 20501
. Source: Goldman Sachs Research Indias Rising Growth Potential, Jan-200 . 2. Source: Goldman Sachs Economic Research.
Infrastructure Investment1
Policy initiatives to attract investments in core infrastructure projects related to power, transportation, etc Large young population (46% between the age group of 20-40) driving consumption Underleveraged economy with consumer Loan/GDP ratio at 8% as compared to 50% plus in developed markets Indian consumer spending projected to grow from US$425 billion to USD$1.8 trillion by 2025 Real estate still an under owned asset class with mortgage/GDP ratio at approximately 5% compared to 50% for developed countries Sustainable competitive advantage in outsourcing - IT/ITES projected to grow at circa 19% per annum until 2011 Knowledge driven businesses such as design activities and KPO moving up the value chain Cross border M&A activities to give a more global outlook
Large Population
Globalisation3
1. Source: Smith Barner Research,Goldman Sachs and planning commission 2. Source: [FICCCI], Min of External Affairs., Mckinsey Report: The Bird of Gold-The Rise of Indias Consumer Market 3. Source: Asia Pacific IT Services Market and Forecast, 200 -2011 report by Springboard Research 4. Source : FICCI- E&Y study
Liquid and deep financial markets Integrated financial markets Increasing stability and breadth of the public markets Advanced settlement systems
Strong and proactive regulators RBI/SEBI India complies with BIS 26 norms of best practices for supervisory criteria, country risk and convertibility Gross NPAs lower than those of comparable nations Pro Growth Policies
Liberal FDI policies across major sectors Forex reserves can be used for infrastructure projects Mature political economy with development as its core agenda
The Banking Regulation Act to be considered for amendments Labor and legal reforms to be taken up proactively External sector reforms roadmap in line with WTO agreements
Key risks
General Elections: Populists measures may take its toll on fiscal discipline Continuance of the structural and fiscal reforms agenda Adequate attention to Infrastructure to support 8% GDP growth requirement to develop a vibrant debt market Adequate investments in developing talent pool to meet the rising demand
Policy
Global
High Energy Prices: Oil imports constitute more than 40% of Indias total imports Stronger Currency: Adverse impact on exports
Inflation
Latest figure of 5.9% is above the 4.5%-5% target of the RBI Monsoons: Agriculture economy is exposed to this annual risk factor
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Number of deals increased 10 fold since 2003; value of deals increased 28 fold to US$ 14.2 billion Total private equity investments expected to be $20 billion by 2010
12
72 2
2 10
India
Australia
Greater hina
outh Korea
apan
From 1998 2007, India was the fastest growing private equity market in Asia Australia Z 2 In 2007, India was the largest market for private equity investments in Asia (ex. Australia)
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, Venture Intelligence
$227m
$2 m $22m
$ 7m $ $47m $37m m
Malaysia
Korea
India
2003
2004
200
200
2007
14
Other 35%
I.T. & ITES 7% Manufact. 12% I.T. & ITES 31% Other 3 % Financial Svcs. 1.0%
Manufacturing 0.1%
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Value of Deals
Other 8%
Manufacturing 3%
Number of Deals
Financial Svcs. 3%
Proportion of nonInformation Technology deals has risen from 19% in 2003 to 76% in 2007 Growth in investment into Manufacturing, Financial Services and Medical and Health
Number of Deals
Growth/ Expansion 37%
VC 47%
Buy Out 1 %
Value of Deals
PIPE 3 % Growth/ Expansion 1 %
PIPE 30%
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Most significant investment currently in growth / expansion segments PIPE deals form a significant portion
Other Other
Other
IPOs
IPOs
IPOs
$ . bn
$ . bn
$1. bn
Largest Exits
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Selecting funds from a broad universe Gaining access to the best funds
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